James Rozier
@jrozier.bsky.social
Crime/Data Analyst - Husband, dad, UNCC graduate, #RStats & #GIS nerd, and former Intel Analyst for the US Army. Research focus is black/gray-market firearm trafficking.
Reposted by James Rozier
More on ICE/CBP trespassing at a church to abduct a father in front of his family while the congregation did landscaping work, from an eyewitness. Reporting by @charlotteobserver.com
www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/a...
www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/a...
November 16, 2025 at 1:35 AM
More on ICE/CBP trespassing at a church to abduct a father in front of his family while the congregation did landscaping work, from an eyewitness. Reporting by @charlotteobserver.com
www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/a...
www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/a...
Reposted by James Rozier
Governor announces New Mexico will now provide free universal child care
Governor announces New Mexico will now provide free universal child care
NEW MEXICO (KRQE) – New Mexico is becoming the first state in the U.S. to offer free early childhood education to every family in the state. Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham announced a universal ch…
www.krqe.com
September 9, 2025 at 4:29 AM
Governor announces New Mexico will now provide free universal child care
Reposted by James Rozier
Today I spoke at #EuroCrim2025 about how to forecast the frequency of crime to support strategic decision making in policing.
Slides: lesscrime.info/slides/esc-2...
Working paper: doi.org/p4vn
Please get in touch if you’d like more information!
Slides: lesscrime.info/slides/esc-2...
Working paper: doi.org/p4vn
Please get in touch if you’d like more information!
September 6, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Today I spoke at #EuroCrim2025 about how to forecast the frequency of crime to support strategic decision making in policing.
Slides: lesscrime.info/slides/esc-2...
Working paper: doi.org/p4vn
Please get in touch if you’d like more information!
Slides: lesscrime.info/slides/esc-2...
Working paper: doi.org/p4vn
Please get in touch if you’d like more information!
Reposted by James Rozier
One thing that didn't make it into today's piece:
Washington, DC already has by far the highest number of law enforcement officers per capita of any city of 250k+.
Washington, DC already has by far the highest number of law enforcement officers per capita of any city of 250k+.
August 11, 2025 at 3:06 PM
One thing that didn't make it into today's piece:
Washington, DC already has by far the highest number of law enforcement officers per capita of any city of 250k+.
Washington, DC already has by far the highest number of law enforcement officers per capita of any city of 250k+.
Reposted by James Rozier
America has lost 116k manufacturing jobs over the last year—that's the fastest pace of job loss since the early COVID era and worse than any period from 2011-2019.
Big drops in the transportation (-49k) & electronics (-32k) industries drive most of the decline
Big drops in the transportation (-49k) & electronics (-32k) industries drive most of the decline
August 2, 2025 at 6:47 PM
America has lost 116k manufacturing jobs over the last year—that's the fastest pace of job loss since the early COVID era and worse than any period from 2011-2019.
Big drops in the transportation (-49k) & electronics (-32k) industries drive most of the decline
Big drops in the transportation (-49k) & electronics (-32k) industries drive most of the decline
Reposted by James Rozier
Wow, who could’ve known this would happen? (Everyone. Everyone knew this would happen.)
Reporter: The FDA has a new AI tool that's intended to speed up drug approvals. But several FDA employees say the new AI helper is making up studies that do not exist. One FDA employee telling us, 'Anything that you don't have time to double check is unreliable. It hallucinates confidently'
July 23, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Wow, who could’ve known this would happen? (Everyone. Everyone knew this would happen.)
Reposted by James Rozier
June 18, 2025 at 8:29 AM
Reposted by James Rozier
There are a lot of reasons this is good, but also a counter to the democracy is over talk. This was not pretty and there are real worries for the future with how it went, but the winner of the election gets her seat. And that wouldn't be happening if people just resigned themselves to The End.
Republican Jefferson Griffin has finally given up trying to overturn his loss and conceded last year’s state Supreme Court race to Democratic Justice Allison Riggs.
Republican concedes long-unsettled North Carolina court election to Democratic incumbent
RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — The Republican challenger for a North Carolina Supreme Court seat conceded last November’s election on Wednesday to Democratic incumbent Allison Riggs, two days after a federal ju...
www.wral.com
May 7, 2025 at 2:30 PM
There are a lot of reasons this is good, but also a counter to the democracy is over talk. This was not pretty and there are real worries for the future with how it went, but the winner of the election gets her seat. And that wouldn't be happening if people just resigned themselves to The End.
Reposted by James Rozier
6 of the 30 cities with the most murders in the US are reporting their lowest murder rates since the 1960s so far this year: Detroit, Los Angeles, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Columbus
May 7, 2025 at 3:33 PM
6 of the 30 cities with the most murders in the US are reporting their lowest murder rates since the 1960s so far this year: Detroit, Los Angeles, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Columbus
Reposted by James Rozier
There is growing evidence that crime is plunging incredibly fast across a wide swath of the country so far in 2025. There's still time for these trends to change, but the first 3+ months of 2025 have likely brought an enormous decline in crime. New this week: jasher.substack.com/p/crime-is-l...
April 21, 2025 at 12:13 PM
There is growing evidence that crime is plunging incredibly fast across a wide swath of the country so far in 2025. There's still time for these trends to change, but the first 3+ months of 2025 have likely brought an enormous decline in crime. New this week: jasher.substack.com/p/crime-is-l...
Reposted by James Rozier
New this week: open data from NYPD shows a clear drop in traffic accidents, especially in Manhattan, since congestion pricing was implemented last month.
jasher.substack.com/p/traffic-ac...
jasher.substack.com/p/traffic-ac...
Traffic Accidents Have Fallen in NYC Since Congestion Pricing Started
Open data provides an immediate answer to a pressing policy question.
jasher.substack.com
February 17, 2025 at 12:54 PM
New this week: open data from NYPD shows a clear drop in traffic accidents, especially in Manhattan, since congestion pricing was implemented last month.
jasher.substack.com/p/traffic-ac...
jasher.substack.com/p/traffic-ac...
Reposted by James Rozier
Here's an informal/personal update on the CrimRxiv Consortium's plans for 2025 (written by bsky-less Scott Jacques)...
February 6, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Here's an informal/personal update on the CrimRxiv Consortium's plans for 2025 (written by bsky-less Scott Jacques)...
Reposted by James Rozier
jfc
What is happening inside the Office of Personnel Management?
From an anon OPM employee on Reddit. OPM employee here, we are not the bad guysHR (self.fednews) submitted 3 hours ago by Throwaway918284 I'm a current employee at the Office of Personnel Management (...
www.dailykos.com
January 27, 2025 at 7:17 PM
jfc
Not sure about other cities but Charlotte is clearly an outlier with a ~20% increase since 2023 (from Jeff's data and the end-of-year report by CMPD). Partially due to the large growth the city has seen. If you get the per capita rates then it is a 0% change.
January 17, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Not sure about other cities but Charlotte is clearly an outlier with a ~20% increase since 2023 (from Jeff's data and the end-of-year report by CMPD). Partially due to the large growth the city has seen. If you get the per capita rates then it is a 0% change.
Reposted by James Rozier
Mecklenburg County’s sheriff gets both barrels from the Charlotte Observer with reporting on plans to modify FOIA requested data, a hostile work environment, slurs, and retreads of the numerous deaths in the jail he oversees.
www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/c...
www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/c...
Former employees allege years of abuse and dysfunction under Mecklenburg Sheriff McFadden
“He thinks he’s godlike,” a fired detention officer said of McFadden.
www.charlotteobserver.com
January 14, 2025 at 1:20 AM
Mecklenburg County’s sheriff gets both barrels from the Charlotte Observer with reporting on plans to modify FOIA requested data, a hostile work environment, slurs, and retreads of the numerous deaths in the jail he oversees.
www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/c...
www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/c...
Reposted by James Rozier
Today HUD released data showing homelessness has reached a record high in 2024, jumping roughly 120k compared to last year
The jump was especially pronounced in New York, which saw a 55k increase compared to last year, and Illinois, which saw a 14k increase.
The jump was especially pronounced in New York, which saw a 55k increase compared to last year, and Illinois, which saw a 14k increase.
December 27, 2024 at 5:03 PM
Today HUD released data showing homelessness has reached a record high in 2024, jumping roughly 120k compared to last year
The jump was especially pronounced in New York, which saw a 55k increase compared to last year, and Illinois, which saw a 14k increase.
The jump was especially pronounced in New York, which saw a 55k increase compared to last year, and Illinois, which saw a 14k increase.
Reposted by James Rozier
NEW: Why do we always think crime is rising, even when it isn’t?
This week I looked at one of the big data mysteries. Britain is 2/3 less violent than the 1990s; thefts were higher pre-lockdown
Why, then, doesn’t it feel like it?
1/8
@thetimes.com
🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/b63d...
This week I looked at one of the big data mysteries. Britain is 2/3 less violent than the 1990s; thefts were higher pre-lockdown
Why, then, doesn’t it feel like it?
1/8
@thetimes.com
🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/b63d...
December 1, 2024 at 9:26 AM
NEW: Why do we always think crime is rising, even when it isn’t?
This week I looked at one of the big data mysteries. Britain is 2/3 less violent than the 1990s; thefts were higher pre-lockdown
Why, then, doesn’t it feel like it?
1/8
@thetimes.com
🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/b63d...
This week I looked at one of the big data mysteries. Britain is 2/3 less violent than the 1990s; thefts were higher pre-lockdown
Why, then, doesn’t it feel like it?
1/8
@thetimes.com
🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/b63d...
Reposted by James Rozier
⚠️ Perhaps stating the obvious, but you cannot trust ChatGPT to summarise the law on a particular topic. The way they are built involves no checking whatsoever of whether what they say is right or wrong.
There is lots of debate about the risks and benefits that AI will bring to policing and criminal justice. One danger I've recently discovered is police officers using online AI tools to interpret or apply the law for them. Needless to say, the AI often gets the law wrong.
November 28, 2024 at 10:29 AM
⚠️ Perhaps stating the obvious, but you cannot trust ChatGPT to summarise the law on a particular topic. The way they are built involves no checking whatsoever of whether what they say is right or wrong.
Reposted by James Rozier
Reposted by James Rozier
This figure shared by @katemac.bsky.social lives rent free in my head ever since I saw it.
Tl;Dr Oil companies are spending their money on share buybacks *instead of investing in their own upstream capacity aka future production* - a window into what they really think about their long term future.
Tl;Dr Oil companies are spending their money on share buybacks *instead of investing in their own upstream capacity aka future production* - a window into what they really think about their long term future.
September 22, 2024 at 2:56 PM
This figure shared by @katemac.bsky.social lives rent free in my head ever since I saw it.
Tl;Dr Oil companies are spending their money on share buybacks *instead of investing in their own upstream capacity aka future production* - a window into what they really think about their long term future.
Tl;Dr Oil companies are spending their money on share buybacks *instead of investing in their own upstream capacity aka future production* - a window into what they really think about their long term future.
Reposted by James Rozier
Hi all,
AH Datalytics is seeking a data engineer to help with building the Real-Time Crime Index and other projects. Check out the listing here and be in touch if you're interested!
www.ahdatalytics.com/join-the-team/
AH Datalytics is seeking a data engineer to help with building the Real-Time Crime Index and other projects. Check out the listing here and be in touch if you're interested!
www.ahdatalytics.com/join-the-team/
Join the Team - AH Datalytics
We’re hiring FOR THE FOLLOWING POSITIONS! Data analyst – Remote Data ENGINEER/SCIENTIST (*new) Data analyst – Puerto Rico
www.ahdatalytics.com
September 13, 2024 at 3:02 PM
Hi all,
AH Datalytics is seeking a data engineer to help with building the Real-Time Crime Index and other projects. Check out the listing here and be in touch if you're interested!
www.ahdatalytics.com/join-the-team/
AH Datalytics is seeking a data engineer to help with building the Real-Time Crime Index and other projects. Check out the listing here and be in touch if you're interested!
www.ahdatalytics.com/join-the-team/
Reposted by James Rozier
Another large decline in shooting victims in August in Gun Violence Archive. Overall, fatal shooting victims down 11% as of Aug 31 and overall shooting victims down 13% relative to YTD 2023.
August 31, 2024 at 12:50 PM
Another large decline in shooting victims in August in Gun Violence Archive. Overall, fatal shooting victims down 11% as of Aug 31 and overall shooting victims down 13% relative to YTD 2023.
Reposted by James Rozier
Want to plug that apartment list also publishes transparently calculated state and metro-level median rents on a monthly basis in an easy to clean excel file if you want to do adjacent analysis on your own: www.apartmentlist.com/research/cat... #housing #econsky
August 30, 2024 at 8:59 PM
Want to plug that apartment list also publishes transparently calculated state and metro-level median rents on a monthly basis in an easy to clean excel file if you want to do adjacent analysis on your own: www.apartmentlist.com/research/cat... #housing #econsky
Reposted by James Rozier
PRRI's NEW 2023 Census of American Religion finds:
- Americans w/ no religious affiliation rose to 27% in 2023.
- White Christians declined to 41% in 2023, while Christians of color now make up 25%.
- 70% of Republicans identify as white and Christian, vs. 24% of Dems.
Read more: bit.ly/4cHZ9fH.
- Americans w/ no religious affiliation rose to 27% in 2023.
- White Christians declined to 41% in 2023, while Christians of color now make up 25%.
- 70% of Republicans identify as white and Christian, vs. 24% of Dems.
Read more: bit.ly/4cHZ9fH.
August 29, 2024 at 12:22 PM
PRRI's NEW 2023 Census of American Religion finds:
- Americans w/ no religious affiliation rose to 27% in 2023.
- White Christians declined to 41% in 2023, while Christians of color now make up 25%.
- 70% of Republicans identify as white and Christian, vs. 24% of Dems.
Read more: bit.ly/4cHZ9fH.
- Americans w/ no religious affiliation rose to 27% in 2023.
- White Christians declined to 41% in 2023, while Christians of color now make up 25%.
- 70% of Republicans identify as white and Christian, vs. 24% of Dems.
Read more: bit.ly/4cHZ9fH.