Jake Gosselin
@jaketg.bsky.social
Econ PhD Candidate, Northwestern University. Macro/IO (I just think about production).
https://jacobgosselin.github.io
https://jacobgosselin.github.io
Pinned
Jake Gosselin
@jaketg.bsky.social
· Feb 13
Heterogeneity in Sectoral Production and the Macro Effect of Sectoral Shocks
The effect of a negative sectoral shock on GDP depends on how important the shocked sector is as a direct and indirect supplier and how easily sectors can substitute inputs. Past estimates of the para...
arxiv.org
First WP is up! Looks at classic micro-to-macro question: What happens to GDP when an individual sector is negatively shocked? Presents novel estimation of sector-yr parameters governing propagation, for 66 ind. from 97-23. Finds sectoral/temporal heterogeneity which changes answer(1/11)
#EconSky
#EconSky
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
I mean, all of these analyses present correlation as causation. The entire year of this has made me feel like I was taking crazy pills. Their response has been “ah you’re obsessed with complex academic minutiae like this ivory tower idea that ‘correlation is not causation’”
basically yglesias, jain, jentleson, WelcomePAC donors etc all base their prescriptions for Dems on a statistical model that nobody can replicate, and refuse to acknowledge (a) that uncertainty dwarfs the detectable effect of moderation & (b) that the last year has proved their views wrong!!
February 4, 2026 at 1:34 AM
I mean, all of these analyses present correlation as causation. The entire year of this has made me feel like I was taking crazy pills. Their response has been “ah you’re obsessed with complex academic minutiae like this ivory tower idea that ‘correlation is not causation’”
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
the fact that wapo is closing every single part of the newspaper that attracts readers in order to focus on vertical short form video and opinion columns makes it very clear that the bezos takeover isn't about business. it's not even about propaganda. it's about showing off his power and clout
February 4, 2026 at 2:16 PM
the fact that wapo is closing every single part of the newspaper that attracts readers in order to focus on vertical short form video and opinion columns makes it very clear that the bezos takeover isn't about business. it's not even about propaganda. it's about showing off his power and clout
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Last week in Minnesota, I watched ordinary people risk their lives to protect their neighbors. In the process, they not only won a significant—though not final—victory against authoritarianism, they proved virtually every MAGA social theory wrong. (gift link) www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
January 27, 2026 at 1:06 PM
Last week in Minnesota, I watched ordinary people risk their lives to protect their neighbors. In the process, they not only won a significant—though not final—victory against authoritarianism, they proved virtually every MAGA social theory wrong. (gift link) www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Nonviolence is, in fact, working. This administration is weaker than it was a year ago. More and more of the public is becoming galvanized against it; its agents are being impeded.
Do you honestly think people in the civil rights movement and other nonviolent movements faced no violence themselves? They practiced nonviolence because it works, because the oppressor wants a shooting war, which is the war it will win
How's your non-violent working Mr Gandhi stancil? They will kill each and everyone of you right if they had the chance and you will still be writing Kumbaya.
January 24, 2026 at 9:53 PM
Nonviolence is, in fact, working. This administration is weaker than it was a year ago. More and more of the public is becoming galvanized against it; its agents are being impeded.
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Man shot by federal agent in south Minneapolis www.startribune.com/ice-raids-mi...
January 24, 2026 at 3:46 PM
Man shot by federal agent in south Minneapolis www.startribune.com/ice-raids-mi...
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
There’s video now. Worst thing I’ve ever seen. The entire ICE contingent needs to be arrested
January 24, 2026 at 3:45 PM
There’s video now. Worst thing I’ve ever seen. The entire ICE contingent needs to be arrested
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
This is absolutely what the video shows. A person is wrestled to the ground by 6 ICE agents and then executed at point blank range.
executions in the street.
January 24, 2026 at 4:01 PM
This is absolutely what the video shows. A person is wrestled to the ground by 6 ICE agents and then executed at point blank range.
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Me realizing that it’s possible to run with other people thanks to the sage advice of an LLM
January 11, 2026 at 11:47 PM
Me realizing that it’s possible to run with other people thanks to the sage advice of an LLM
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
catholicism, the religion best-known for its embrace of the free market. many people do not know this but the Pope's primary job is to make needles large enough for the rich to get into heaven through
January 2, 2026 at 6:19 PM
catholicism, the religion best-known for its embrace of the free market. many people do not know this but the Pope's primary job is to make needles large enough for the rich to get into heaven through
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
the actual story here, which the media never talks about, is that police in this country have become a discrete right-wing political operation. the story isn't about cops leaving (they're lying about that), it's about the police trying to exert influence over elections.
October 13, 2025 at 1:01 AM
the actual story here, which the media never talks about, is that police in this country have become a discrete right-wing political operation. the story isn't about cops leaving (they're lying about that), it's about the police trying to exert influence over elections.
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Long before she joined the Fed, Lisa Cook stood out in a field dominated by white men. She talked about how her experience with racism informed her approach to economics.
Now, she is Trump’s latest target in his effort to exert more control over the central bank.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/23/b...
Now, she is Trump’s latest target in his effort to exert more control over the central bank.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/23/b...
Lisa Cook, Who Broke Ground at the Fed, Faces Attack by Trump
www.nytimes.com
August 23, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Long before she joined the Fed, Lisa Cook stood out in a field dominated by white men. She talked about how her experience with racism informed her approach to economics.
Now, she is Trump’s latest target in his effort to exert more control over the central bank.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/23/b...
Now, she is Trump’s latest target in his effort to exert more control over the central bank.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/23/b...
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
I'm already seeing centrists and leftists sniping at each other but the blame for this is 100% on the Republicans. This is what they do with power and it is imperative that we work together to keep them as far from it as possible, forever.
July 3, 2025 at 7:19 PM
I'm already seeing centrists and leftists sniping at each other but the blame for this is 100% on the Republicans. This is what they do with power and it is imperative that we work together to keep them as far from it as possible, forever.
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Breaking: The Trevor Project received a stop-work order last night on its contract with the national 988 suicide prevention hotline. The Trump administration is eliminating the option for LGBTQ callers to the hotline to press 3 and connect with someone who specializes in LGBTQ mental health.
June 18, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Breaking: The Trevor Project received a stop-work order last night on its contract with the national 988 suicide prevention hotline. The Trump administration is eliminating the option for LGBTQ callers to the hotline to press 3 and connect with someone who specializes in LGBTQ mental health.
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Just utter lawlessness from the Trump Administration, with no goal other than to punish institutions for refusing to bend the knee. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...
Trump Administration Halts Harvard’s Ability to Enroll International Students
www.nytimes.com
May 22, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Just utter lawlessness from the Trump Administration, with no goal other than to punish institutions for refusing to bend the knee. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Northwestern has not received any NIH funds since March. No written communication about why or what can be done. Thank you Ben Singer for raising awareness at #ATS2025
May 18, 2025 at 10:44 PM
Northwestern has not received any NIH funds since March. No written communication about why or what can be done. Thank you Ben Singer for raising awareness at #ATS2025
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Being snatched off the street for your opinions. I'll say it again. We are deciding, right now, whether the aspirations we hold for this country are finished. Whether we're going to let these hoodlums and grifters throw what's left of the American idea into the garbage for their own profit and gain.
RUMEYSA OZTURK KIDNAPPING VIDEO
Here is a video of federal agents detaining Tufts University PhD student Rumeysa Ozturk Tuesday night.
Rumeysa was abducted as she was heading to meet with friends to break her Ramadan fast.
Here is a video of federal agents detaining Tufts University PhD student Rumeysa Ozturk Tuesday night.
Rumeysa was abducted as she was heading to meet with friends to break her Ramadan fast.
March 26, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Being snatched off the street for your opinions. I'll say it again. We are deciding, right now, whether the aspirations we hold for this country are finished. Whether we're going to let these hoodlums and grifters throw what's left of the American idea into the garbage for their own profit and gain.
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Check out this video! This shows the solution to 200 different PDE problems modeling wave propagation in inhomogeneous media. Each PDE is solved with about 1 million unknowns.
I'll share more about how this works and why I think it's interesting later. For now, it's mesmerizing to look at!
I'll share more about how this works and why I think it's interesting later. For now, it's mesmerizing to look at!
March 19, 2025 at 3:09 AM
Check out this video! This shows the solution to 200 different PDE problems modeling wave propagation in inhomogeneous media. Each PDE is solved with about 1 million unknowns.
I'll share more about how this works and why I think it's interesting later. For now, it's mesmerizing to look at!
I'll share more about how this works and why I think it's interesting later. For now, it's mesmerizing to look at!
First WP is up! Looks at classic micro-to-macro question: What happens to GDP when an individual sector is negatively shocked? Presents novel estimation of sector-yr parameters governing propagation, for 66 ind. from 97-23. Finds sectoral/temporal heterogeneity which changes answer(1/11)
#EconSky
#EconSky
Heterogeneity in Sectoral Production and the Macro Effect of Sectoral Shocks
The effect of a negative sectoral shock on GDP depends on how important the shocked sector is as a direct and indirect supplier and how easily sectors can substitute inputs. Past estimates of the para...
arxiv.org
February 13, 2025 at 7:14 PM
First WP is up! Looks at classic micro-to-macro question: What happens to GDP when an individual sector is negatively shocked? Presents novel estimation of sector-yr parameters governing propagation, for 66 ind. from 97-23. Finds sectoral/temporal heterogeneity which changes answer(1/11)
#EconSky
#EconSky
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Episode 36: You Are A Badass
Do you want to take control of your life? It’s a two-step process: (1) defeat your evil subconscious and (2) go into massive amounts of debt.
Do you want to take control of your life? It’s a two-step process: (1) defeat your evil subconscious and (2) go into massive amounts of debt.
You Are A Badass
Podcast Episode · If Books Could Kill · 01/23/2025 · 59m
podcasts.apple.com
January 23, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Episode 36: You Are A Badass
Do you want to take control of your life? It’s a two-step process: (1) defeat your evil subconscious and (2) go into massive amounts of debt.
Do you want to take control of your life? It’s a two-step process: (1) defeat your evil subconscious and (2) go into massive amounts of debt.
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
The lesson of mechanism design is not that we should all do central planning, but that all systems (even market prices) are constrained by incentives and private info.
And we should account for that when studying the welfare consequences of interventions.
And we should account for that when studying the welfare consequences of interventions.
January 14, 2025 at 5:41 PM
The lesson of mechanism design is not that we should all do central planning, but that all systems (even market prices) are constrained by incentives and private info.
And we should account for that when studying the welfare consequences of interventions.
And we should account for that when studying the welfare consequences of interventions.
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
going to keep saying: a society that wants to keep its basic functioning going should probably punish baldfaced lying
December 2, 2024 at 1:36 PM
going to keep saying: a society that wants to keep its basic functioning going should probably punish baldfaced lying
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
Macroeconomists cautiously proposing the idea that...
problems that Fields medalists can occasionally handle *(in special cases) are perhaps not the best as-if models of agents' dynamic behavior
problems that Fields medalists can occasionally handle *(in special cases) are perhaps not the best as-if models of agents' dynamic behavior
November 29, 2024 at 6:59 PM
Macroeconomists cautiously proposing the idea that...
problems that Fields medalists can occasionally handle *(in special cases) are perhaps not the best as-if models of agents' dynamic behavior
problems that Fields medalists can occasionally handle *(in special cases) are perhaps not the best as-if models of agents' dynamic behavior
Reposted by Jake Gosselin
New paper: benjaminmoll.com/challenge/
November 29, 2024 at 5:59 PM
New paper: benjaminmoll.com/challenge/