Grant Lewis
@grantlewis.bsky.social
Currently detoxing in Higher Education
Don’t understand why Reeves doesn’t tell Bailey to knock QT on the head. Makes no sense when cutting rates - it results in both tighter monetary and fiscal policy than otherwise would be the case.
Study by University of Liverpool economist Costas Milas suggests BoE QT has raised the 10yr gilt yield by an average of 25 to 30 bps, compared with a counterfactual where the BoE ran down its stock of gilts at half the pace.
Somewhat bigger impact than BoE reckons 👇
www.reuters.com/world/uk/boe...
Somewhat bigger impact than BoE reckons 👇
www.reuters.com/world/uk/boe...
www.reuters.com
November 25, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Don’t understand why Reeves doesn’t tell Bailey to knock QT on the head. Makes no sense when cutting rates - it results in both tighter monetary and fiscal policy than otherwise would be the case.
Jury service was one of the most depressing experiences. Bloke got a long sentence for something he almost certainly didn’t do because the prosecution “accidentally” revealed his criminal past and one of the other not guilty on the jury caved because he couldn’t afford another day not working
My experience of jury service (when the courts were not a mess) led me to the same view
My view is anecdotal and I do think we got the verdict right in the two cases I sat in. We were dismissed in the third because a witness revealed the defendant’s criminal past. That was obvious from the guards
My view is anecdotal and I do think we got the verdict right in the two cases I sat in. We were dismissed in the third because a witness revealed the defendant’s criminal past. That was obvious from the guards
We should abolish juries because
1. The don't give reasons
2. There is little evidence of their competence
3. We don't use them outside a narrow area of the criminal law, other jurisdictions don't use them and are perfectly just
/1
1. The don't give reasons
2. There is little evidence of their competence
3. We don't use them outside a narrow area of the criminal law, other jurisdictions don't use them and are perfectly just
/1
November 25, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Jury service was one of the most depressing experiences. Bloke got a long sentence for something he almost certainly didn’t do because the prosecution “accidentally” revealed his criminal past and one of the other not guilty on the jury caved because he couldn’t afford another day not working
Won’t tax partnerships not paying NI. But will put an export tariff on one of the UK’s most successful export businesses. Genius.
i: Reeves to unveil £600m raid on foreign student
university fees #TomorrowsPapersToday
university fees #TomorrowsPapersToday
November 23, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Won’t tax partnerships not paying NI. But will put an export tariff on one of the UK’s most successful export businesses. Genius.
The Labour immigration stuff is horrible. But those on here saying there’s no difference between them and Reform need to give their heads a wobble.
Farage and Zia Yusuf are going to announce tomorrow that a Reform government will strip millions of EU nationals of benefits, more than double the cost of the NHS surcharge and cut foreign aid spending by more than 70%, The Times reports.
More Trumpian blood and soil nonsense.
More Trumpian blood and soil nonsense.
November 17, 2025 at 8:20 PM
The Labour immigration stuff is horrible. But those on here saying there’s no difference between them and Reform need to give their heads a wobble.
Reposted by Grant Lewis
The levy on foreign students is an export tax. Has anyone in government wondered why countries don't usually impose export taxes?
A levy on foreign students is one of the closest things you're going to see to tariffs on services - except the UK will be putting it on its own exports...
www.theguardian.com/education/20...
www.theguardian.com/education/20...
Levy on international students’ tuition fees not in best interest of UK, says leader of top university
Duncan Ivison, president of Manchester University, says government’s 6% surcharge plan will ‘hurt the sector’
www.theguardian.com
November 15, 2025 at 10:45 AM
The levy on foreign students is an export tax. Has anyone in government wondered why countries don't usually impose export taxes?
Rugby can be a bit precious about respect for the refs. But having seen a ref intimidated into abandoning an U15s school game this morning (with the boys egged on by their coach) there’s clearly a problem out there that needs tackling.
November 15, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Rugby can be a bit precious about respect for the refs. But having seen a ref intimidated into abandoning an U15s school game this morning (with the boys egged on by their coach) there’s clearly a problem out there that needs tackling.
Reposted by Grant Lewis
Quite a contrast to the BlueSky consensus the last 24 hours
Do you think the government was right or wrong to decide not to raise income tax at the Budget?
Right: 58%
Wrong: 21%
yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
Right: 58%
Wrong: 21%
yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
November 14, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Quite a contrast to the BlueSky consensus the last 24 hours
Very important point. Better a few bps on Gilt yields on a Friday morning than three and a half years of being beaten around the head with a broken manifesto pledge
Too much analysis was still treating breaking the tax pledge as “just another unpopular decision” rather than recognising consequence of breaking a promise which defined an election for the public. If is correct the govt won’t now break it they may have avoided a deeply scarring loss of public trust
November 14, 2025 at 10:05 AM
Very important point. Better a few bps on Gilt yields on a Friday morning than three and a half years of being beaten around the head with a broken manifesto pledge
Reposted by Grant Lewis
The Economic and Social Research Council core budget for 24/25 was £134m, not £8 billion.
November 12, 2025 at 12:22 PM
The Economic and Social Research Council core budget for 24/25 was £134m, not £8 billion.
The US delegation appears to have arrived
BREAKING: Protestors brandishing batons forced their way into the venue hosting COP30, where they clashed with security guards at the entrance reut.rs/3JsekRS
November 11, 2025 at 10:43 PM
The US delegation appears to have arrived
Reposted by Grant Lewis
Sky News just had Kelvin Mackenzie on, former editor of The Sun, one of the people at the centre of probably the most disgraceful front page in newspaper history, complaining about BBC journalists not being objective and 'fake news'. Astonishing. ~AA
November 10, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Sky News just had Kelvin Mackenzie on, former editor of The Sun, one of the people at the centre of probably the most disgraceful front page in newspaper history, complaining about BBC journalists not being objective and 'fake news'. Astonishing. ~AA
That’ll teach him
Andrew in line for six-figure payout and annual stipend from king, sources say
Andrew in line for six-figure payout and annual stipend from king, sources say
The former prince remains under scrutiny as Buckingham Palace finalises plans for his future as a commoner
buff.ly
November 1, 2025 at 10:11 AM
That’ll teach him
Reposted by Grant Lewis
Saying we need to focus more on economics and less on climate change is just saying you don't understand either.
October 27, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Saying we need to focus more on economics and less on climate change is just saying you don't understand either.
His new bosses aren’t going to be impressed he’s giving advice out for free instead of billing for it
October 26, 2025 at 9:36 AM
His new bosses aren’t going to be impressed he’s giving advice out for free instead of billing for it
Reposted by Grant Lewis
Systematic murder and torture as a matter of deliberate state policy.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...
At least 135 mutilated bodies of Palestinians had been held at notorious Israeli jail, say Gaza officials
Documents indicate they came from Sde Teiman, which already faces allegations of torture and unlawful deaths
www.theguardian.com
October 20, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Systematic murder and torture as a matter of deliberate state policy.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...
Reposted by Grant Lewis
So the treatment of his wife isn’t his biggest mistake?
Nothing to see here - just the BBC giving attention to a convicted domestic abuser and his latest fucking sob story.
October 15, 2025 at 10:34 AM
So the treatment of his wife isn’t his biggest mistake?
And the workforce largely consists of immigrants
UAE has no democratically elected institutions, no free speech and an appalling human rights record.
Its economy functions on completely different metrics to the ours & ranks well below us for GDP
No serious person would ever think that we should emulate it.
But here's Tice calling us decadent
Its economy functions on completely different metrics to the ours & ranks well below us for GDP
No serious person would ever think that we should emulate it.
But here's Tice calling us decadent
October 8, 2025 at 3:49 PM
And the workforce largely consists of immigrants
Reposted by Grant Lewis
tbf I remember the meeting. We were all sat down preparing a plan for three nukes. There were maps and everything; someone had just asked where Angelsey was. Then a voice piped up, "hold it a mo, what is a woman?"
Cue pandemonium. When we had got through it, everyone had forgotten the nukes.
Cue pandemonium. When we had got through it, everyone had forgotten the nukes.
"While Britain was redefining what a woman is, China was building five nuclear reactors," says Kemi Badenoch.
I cannot be the only person curious about how these two things are related
I cannot be the only person curious about how these two things are related
October 8, 2025 at 1:31 PM
tbf I remember the meeting. We were all sat down preparing a plan for three nukes. There were maps and everything; someone had just asked where Angelsey was. Then a voice piped up, "hold it a mo, what is a woman?"
Cue pandemonium. When we had got through it, everyone had forgotten the nukes.
Cue pandemonium. When we had got through it, everyone had forgotten the nukes.
Reposted by Grant Lewis
I know this is uncomfortable to admit, but there is a small area in England's second city where people are just not integrated with the rest of society. Many of them hold views that arguably go against British values.
Yes, we need to talk about the Tory conference in Manchester.
Yes, we need to talk about the Tory conference in Manchester.
October 7, 2025 at 9:10 PM
I know this is uncomfortable to admit, but there is a small area in England's second city where people are just not integrated with the rest of society. Many of them hold views that arguably go against British values.
Yes, we need to talk about the Tory conference in Manchester.
Yes, we need to talk about the Tory conference in Manchester.
Is Accidental Partridge on here?
"Hello to my friends at Greggs at Peterborough North services. You might see me later this week," says Robert Jenrick
October 7, 2025 at 11:46 AM
Is Accidental Partridge on here?
Reposted by Grant Lewis
"We want people to be living in mixed communities, don't we?"
Robert Jenrick's home is in Eye, Herefordshire, where 165 out of 166 residents were white at the time of the last census.
Robert Jenrick's home is in Eye, Herefordshire, where 165 out of 166 residents were white at the time of the last census.
Wow. Robert Jenrick doubles down by branding a black journalist's questions "ridiculous" and saying that the problem is not his comments, but "journalists like you who pop up and try to knock me down", adding that "this is the reason why terrorist attacks happen". ~AA
October 7, 2025 at 9:16 AM
"We want people to be living in mixed communities, don't we?"
Robert Jenrick's home is in Eye, Herefordshire, where 165 out of 166 residents were white at the time of the last census.
Robert Jenrick's home is in Eye, Herefordshire, where 165 out of 166 residents were white at the time of the last census.
Reposted by Grant Lewis
Wait until Liz finds out what percentage of the UK mammal population are meerkats…
October 2, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Wait until Liz finds out what percentage of the UK mammal population are meerkats…
Fantastic article. Chris Mason is terrible. But the pandering to Reform at the BBC goes much deeper than that.
This week's post: Farage and the BBC mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/09/fara...
On Monday 22nd September I watched a party political broadcast on behalf of Nigel Farage’s Reform Party. It was on the BBC, and it was entitled ‘News at Ten’.
On Monday 22nd September I watched a party political broadcast on behalf of Nigel Farage’s Reform Party. It was on the BBC, and it was entitled ‘News at Ten’.
Farage and the BBC
On Monday 22nd September I watched a party political broadcast on behalf of Nigel Farage’s Reform Party. It was on the BBC, and it was en...
mainlymacro.blogspot.com
September 27, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Fantastic article. Chris Mason is terrible. But the pandering to Reform at the BBC goes much deeper than that.
First international game I took my son to. Ten minutes from the end he starts to feel unwell so thankfully as an England supporter I spent the last ten minutes in the toilets.
It’s the 10th anniversary of 𝗧𝗛𝗔𝗧 famous night at Twickenham and quite frankly I will never, ever get bored watching this wonderful moment.
September 26, 2025 at 9:12 AM
First international game I took my son to. Ten minutes from the end he starts to feel unwell so thankfully as an England supporter I spent the last ten minutes in the toilets.
Reposted by Grant Lewis
Is it "move to Dubai"?
September 26, 2025 at 7:04 AM
Is it "move to Dubai"?