francisco
@fcpcal.bsky.social
Health policy, causal inference, and data science
Reposted by francisco
New in PN: @gelliottmorris.com on Trump's dire polling
"Trump has the unique problem that he started off a lot lower than other presidents. So as he loses ground — and he has lost ground at about the normal clip — he just continues to be worse and worse than every other president before him."
"Trump has the unique problem that he started off a lot lower than other presidents. So as he loses ground — and he has lost ground at about the normal clip — he just continues to be worse and worse than every other president before him."
G. Elliot Morris on Trump's dire polling
"He just continues to be worse and worse than every other president before him."
www.publicnotice.co
October 25, 2025 at 12:28 PM
New in PN: @gelliottmorris.com on Trump's dire polling
"Trump has the unique problem that he started off a lot lower than other presidents. So as he loses ground — and he has lost ground at about the normal clip — he just continues to be worse and worse than every other president before him."
"Trump has the unique problem that he started off a lot lower than other presidents. So as he loses ground — and he has lost ground at about the normal clip — he just continues to be worse and worse than every other president before him."
Reposted by francisco
Notch another win for automatic traffic enforcement.
After San Francisco began using cameras to ticket vehicles, speeding dropped 72% across 15 sites (20,000 fewer speeding drivers).
After San Francisco began using cameras to ticket vehicles, speeding dropped 72% across 15 sites (20,000 fewer speeding drivers).
SFMTA data: Drivers a lot slower around cameras
Pedestrian-safety advocates say “encouraging” findings should prompt more action.
www.sfexaminer.com
October 17, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Notch another win for automatic traffic enforcement.
After San Francisco began using cameras to ticket vehicles, speeding dropped 72% across 15 sites (20,000 fewer speeding drivers).
After San Francisco began using cameras to ticket vehicles, speeding dropped 72% across 15 sites (20,000 fewer speeding drivers).
Reposted by francisco
That’s a lot of people.
Unignorably large.
Unignorably large.
October 19, 2025 at 1:21 AM
That’s a lot of people.
Unignorably large.
Unignorably large.
Reposted by francisco
Reposted by francisco
Head to a protest today. I can almost promise you will feel less hopeless. That's exactly what they don't want. There are more of us than there are of them.
October 18, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Head to a protest today. I can almost promise you will feel less hopeless. That's exactly what they don't want. There are more of us than there are of them.
Reposted by francisco
This workshop is tomorrow, so don't miss your chance to register!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
❗️Our next workshop will be on Oct 16th, 6 pm CEST titled Structural Bayesian Techniques for Experimental and Behavioral Economics in R& Stan by @jamesbland.bsky.social
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
October 15, 2025 at 8:59 AM
This workshop is tomorrow, so don't miss your chance to register!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Reposted by francisco
A grim reminder: these people will never be satisfied. There’s no point at which they will say “we’ve won, let’s enjoy life.” They will always be looking for someone else to punish, to revile, to dehumanize. They’re empty without that.
September 18, 2025 at 3:04 AM
A grim reminder: these people will never be satisfied. There’s no point at which they will say “we’ve won, let’s enjoy life.” They will always be looking for someone else to punish, to revile, to dehumanize. They’re empty without that.
Reposted by francisco
shit is scary right now, but i have no intention of shutting up or shutting down.
support independent media. subscribe to the handbasket.
support independent media. subscribe to the handbasket.
The Handbasket
100% independent journalism by Marisa Kabas
www.thehandbasket.co
September 18, 2025 at 3:05 AM
shit is scary right now, but i have no intention of shutting up or shutting down.
support independent media. subscribe to the handbasket.
support independent media. subscribe to the handbasket.
Reposted by francisco
Remembering MN house speaker Melissa Hortman, her husband Mark and their beloved dog Gilbert. Murdered in June at their home by a rightwing Trump-voting evangelist, who also shot another MN lawmaker and his wife at THEIR home, 9 and 8 times, respectively (miraculously, they survived).
September 11, 2025 at 5:50 AM
Remembering MN house speaker Melissa Hortman, her husband Mark and their beloved dog Gilbert. Murdered in June at their home by a rightwing Trump-voting evangelist, who also shot another MN lawmaker and his wife at THEIR home, 9 and 8 times, respectively (miraculously, they survived).
Reposted by francisco
I guess this has probably already gone viral somewhere but I am simply dying at this picture of a bear that looks like it hired a photographer to do a glamour shoot
September 10, 2025 at 4:42 PM
I guess this has probably already gone viral somewhere but I am simply dying at this picture of a bear that looks like it hired a photographer to do a glamour shoot
Reposted by francisco
❗️Our next workshop will be on September 11th, 6 pm CEST, on RAG in R with ragnar by @smachlis.bsky.social
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
August 29, 2025 at 8:58 AM
❗️Our next workshop will be on September 11th, 6 pm CEST, on RAG in R with ragnar by @smachlis.bsky.social
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share!
#AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
Reposted by francisco
Reposted by francisco
Good on Lisa Cook.
As the first rule states, do not obey in advance.
As the first rule states, do not obey in advance.
August 26, 2025 at 3:58 AM
Good on Lisa Cook.
As the first rule states, do not obey in advance.
As the first rule states, do not obey in advance.
Reposted by francisco
Absolutely incredible video of a woman standing up to ICE. This is resistance
1/2
1/2
August 22, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Absolutely incredible video of a woman standing up to ICE. This is resistance
1/2
1/2
Reposted by francisco
funny how we're not hearing much about the prices of things from the media any more this year, isn't it?
Everyone I know is screaming budget-wise. Milk is $5/gal by me!
Prices up a lot at the grocery store again. Orange Juice up a few bucks now.
August 17, 2025 at 6:14 PM
funny how we're not hearing much about the prices of things from the media any more this year, isn't it?
Reposted by francisco
🚨
I have a new paper with a fantastic team (thanks to @jgeller1phd.bsky.social!) with a nice mix of theoretical & applied perspectives on beta regression modeling (i.e., proportions). It's fully reproducible with #rstats code.
Great resource for teaching & self-learning!
osf.io/preprints/ps...
I have a new paper with a fantastic team (thanks to @jgeller1phd.bsky.social!) with a nice mix of theoretical & applied perspectives on beta regression modeling (i.e., proportions). It's fully reproducible with #rstats code.
Great resource for teaching & self-learning!
osf.io/preprints/ps...
OSF
osf.io
August 13, 2025 at 12:35 PM
🚨
I have a new paper with a fantastic team (thanks to @jgeller1phd.bsky.social!) with a nice mix of theoretical & applied perspectives on beta regression modeling (i.e., proportions). It's fully reproducible with #rstats code.
Great resource for teaching & self-learning!
osf.io/preprints/ps...
I have a new paper with a fantastic team (thanks to @jgeller1phd.bsky.social!) with a nice mix of theoretical & applied perspectives on beta regression modeling (i.e., proportions). It's fully reproducible with #rstats code.
Great resource for teaching & self-learning!
osf.io/preprints/ps...
Reposted by francisco
Reminder that all three books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use (and the fourth will be, too)
All three books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use:
- #Bayesian Data Analysis, 3rd ed (aka BDA3) at stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/book/
- #Regression and Other Stories at avehtari.github.io/ROS-Examples/
- Active Statistics at avehtari.github.io/ActiveStatis...
- #Bayesian Data Analysis, 3rd ed (aka BDA3) at stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/book/
- #Regression and Other Stories at avehtari.github.io/ROS-Examples/
- Active Statistics at avehtari.github.io/ActiveStatis...
August 11, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Reminder that all three books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use (and the fourth will be, too)
Reposted by francisco
Reposted by francisco
Reposted by francisco
Reposted by francisco
July 15, 2025 at 1:28 AM
Reposted by francisco
Reposted by francisco
THIS IS WHAT A COLLAPSE LOOKS LIKE: They won’t pay to warn Texans about floods.
But they’ll send helicopters onto farms to terrorize workers picking your food.
America doesn’t “lack resources.” It prioritizes cruelty.
But they’ll send helicopters onto farms to terrorize workers picking your food.
America doesn’t “lack resources.” It prioritizes cruelty.
July 11, 2025 at 5:47 PM
THIS IS WHAT A COLLAPSE LOOKS LIKE: They won’t pay to warn Texans about floods.
But they’ll send helicopters onto farms to terrorize workers picking your food.
America doesn’t “lack resources.” It prioritizes cruelty.
But they’ll send helicopters onto farms to terrorize workers picking your food.
America doesn’t “lack resources.” It prioritizes cruelty.
Reposted by francisco
the extent to which the Epstein list cover up is blowing up amongst young apolitical swing voters is actually crazy. Dems seriously need to run on it. bonus points if they tie it to Trump’s long history of sexual abuse
July 11, 2025 at 12:48 PM
the extent to which the Epstein list cover up is blowing up amongst young apolitical swing voters is actually crazy. Dems seriously need to run on it. bonus points if they tie it to Trump’s long history of sexual abuse
Reposted by francisco
Birthright citizenship is a "longstanding custom" in the same way that freedom of speech is a longstanding custom (they are both explicitly guaranteed by the text of the Constitution)
not to be the flyspeck nyt copy as if it's the most important thing guy, but seriously wtf is this?
July 10, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Birthright citizenship is a "longstanding custom" in the same way that freedom of speech is a longstanding custom (they are both explicitly guaranteed by the text of the Constitution)