eric gonzalez juenke
@egojunk.bsky.social
Personal account. I study and teach racial and ethnic politics for work. Re-posting election twitter stuff. https://goodauthority.org/people/eric-gonzalez-juenke/
The Presidency and Immigration Policy: Rhetoric and Reality https://bit.ly/4cZUG9A
The Presidency and Immigration Policy: Rhetoric and Reality https://bit.ly/4cZUG9A
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
People really don't understand what an extraordinary energy revolution China is creating right now. They're installing 1GW of solar a DAY. It's not slowing down either. They just peaked their emissions and we could see them phase out coal by the end of the decade.
In 2024, China installed 1.5x as much new solar as the entire US installed base.
(via MS/Jonas)
(via MS/Jonas)
November 18, 2025 at 4:44 PM
People really don't understand what an extraordinary energy revolution China is creating right now. They're installing 1GW of solar a DAY. It's not slowing down either. They just peaked their emissions and we could see them phase out coal by the end of the decade.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
We are pleased to welcome the Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics to Bluesky, you can follow them here -
@journalrep.bsky.social.
#JREP10
@journalrep.bsky.social.
#JREP10
October 29, 2025 at 6:32 PM
We are pleased to welcome the Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics to Bluesky, you can follow them here -
@journalrep.bsky.social.
#JREP10
@journalrep.bsky.social.
#JREP10
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
The Change from 2020 tab is particularly interesting, given the narratives about what happened.
November 18, 2025 at 3:29 AM
The Change from 2020 tab is particularly interesting, given the narratives about what happened.
Don't want to sound like an idiot in a cult but I have been using a happy light for about two weeks now and I've never felt better. Probably placebo effects but I don't care. If you live up north, high recommendation for this time of year. verilux.com/products/hap...
Verilux HappyLight® Luxe Light Therapy Lamp
Verilux HappyLight® Luxe Light Therapy Lamp
verilux.com
November 18, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Don't want to sound like an idiot in a cult but I have been using a happy light for about two weeks now and I've never felt better. Probably placebo effects but I don't care. If you live up north, high recommendation for this time of year. verilux.com/products/hap...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Measuring the Ideology of Political Parties Worldwide
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
November 18, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Measuring the Ideology of Political Parties Worldwide
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Friends, I could not be more excited to let you know that my book, The American Revolution and the Fate of the World, is out today from Penguin. I’m super proud of it and super grateful to all the scholars whose work informs it. I hope you’ll take a peek and spread the word!
amzn.to/4nHkziG
amzn.to/4nHkziG
The American Revolution and the Fate of the World
The American Revolution and the Fate of the World [Bell, Richard] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. The American Revolution and the Fate of the World
amzn.to
November 4, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Friends, I could not be more excited to let you know that my book, The American Revolution and the Fate of the World, is out today from Penguin. I’m super proud of it and super grateful to all the scholars whose work informs it. I hope you’ll take a peek and spread the word!
amzn.to/4nHkziG
amzn.to/4nHkziG
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Context: There was a policy change under Trump. Since 2011, ICE didn't do enforcement operations in "sensitive locations." Those would be schools, hospitals, and houses of worship. It wasn't encoded in law, but it was the normative practice for a long time. More here:
November 18, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Context: There was a policy change under Trump. Since 2011, ICE didn't do enforcement operations in "sensitive locations." Those would be schools, hospitals, and houses of worship. It wasn't encoded in law, but it was the normative practice for a long time. More here:
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
It takes a long time to get detailed precinct-level data for a presidential election. We're now at 99 percent complete.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2024 Election (Gift Article)
See how your neighborhood voted on our interactive, precinct-level results map of the presidential election.
www.nytimes.com
November 17, 2025 at 9:51 PM
It takes a long time to get detailed precinct-level data for a presidential election. We're now at 99 percent complete.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
I’m ready to be hurt again. Let’s go.
November 17, 2025 at 10:52 PM
I’m ready to be hurt again. Let’s go.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
D+8.5 (±2) would be 245 Dem seats on average
November 17, 2025 at 10:27 PM
D+8.5 (±2) would be 245 Dem seats on average
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
I think this finding from our Oct. Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll was overlooked, and should shift some of the conventional wisdom about why Harris lost in 2024 and what the Dem. Party needs to do to win in 2026/2028. Anti-incumbent bias on the economy is underrated substack.com/@gelliottmor...
November 17, 2025 at 6:04 PM
I think this finding from our Oct. Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll was overlooked, and should shift some of the conventional wisdom about why Harris lost in 2024 and what the Dem. Party needs to do to win in 2026/2028. Anti-incumbent bias on the economy is underrated substack.com/@gelliottmor...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
strategists/consultants don't often talk about role of external factors like structural trends, incumbency and economic conditions because they can't control them so can't sell their services off them, but these things determine the vast majority of elections and **analysts** should still pay attn
November 17, 2025 at 6:07 PM
strategists/consultants don't often talk about role of external factors like structural trends, incumbency and economic conditions because they can't control them so can't sell their services off them, but these things determine the vast majority of elections and **analysts** should still pay attn
November 17, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Canaries in coal mines.
November 17, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Canaries in coal mines.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Feels like there’s a growing GOP recognition that we’re in lame duck season:
November 17, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Feels like there’s a growing GOP recognition that we’re in lame duck season:
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Very interesting, importance, nuanced research on public attitudes.
Overall, we find that immigration looks important in polls because it’s highly salient, not because it outranks daily concerns.
Polling captures the salience, but requires a bit of digging to see the whole picture of public priority.
You can read more here!: www.labourtogether.uk/all-reports/...
Polling captures the salience, but requires a bit of digging to see the whole picture of public priority.
You can read more here!: www.labourtogether.uk/all-reports/...
Measuring What Matters — Labour Together
Knowing what issues are most important to the public is the bedrock of understanding voters. Ironically, its own importance can’t go understated. This report applies some overdue methodological experi...
www.labourtogether.uk
November 17, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Very interesting, importance, nuanced research on public attitudes.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Yesterday, we put out a report on the most important issues to voters.
We know that immigration now tops the traditional most important issues question (see below from @yougov.co.uk).
But that doesn't tell the full story.
Here is a rundown of the experiments we did to test this out (A THREAD):
We know that immigration now tops the traditional most important issues question (see below from @yougov.co.uk).
But that doesn't tell the full story.
Here is a rundown of the experiments we did to test this out (A THREAD):
November 17, 2025 at 11:41 AM
Yesterday, we put out a report on the most important issues to voters.
We know that immigration now tops the traditional most important issues question (see below from @yougov.co.uk).
But that doesn't tell the full story.
Here is a rundown of the experiments we did to test this out (A THREAD):
We know that immigration now tops the traditional most important issues question (see below from @yougov.co.uk).
But that doesn't tell the full story.
Here is a rundown of the experiments we did to test this out (A THREAD):
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Even though most Americans think the country is on the wrong track, they still wish for leaders who are willing to make compromises.
People are twice as like to say they prefer leaders who make compromises over those who stick to their beliefs.
via Gallup news.gallup.com/poll/695690/...
People are twice as like to say they prefer leaders who make compromises over those who stick to their beliefs.
via Gallup news.gallup.com/poll/695690/...
September 29, 2025 at 10:50 PM
Even though most Americans think the country is on the wrong track, they still wish for leaders who are willing to make compromises.
People are twice as like to say they prefer leaders who make compromises over those who stick to their beliefs.
via Gallup news.gallup.com/poll/695690/...
People are twice as like to say they prefer leaders who make compromises over those who stick to their beliefs.
via Gallup news.gallup.com/poll/695690/...
Yep. Parties overreact to much bigger currents driving elections. It makes sense but it doesn’t make it useful.
November 16, 2025 at 9:33 PM
Yep. Parties overreact to much bigger currents driving elections. It makes sense but it doesn’t make it useful.
This sloppy field is killing all the player props today and Vegas is just laughing their asses off.
November 16, 2025 at 5:05 PM
This sloppy field is killing all the player props today and Vegas is just laughing their asses off.
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
your weekly political data roundup is here: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-hits...
Trump hits a record low with political independents — in every state
Your weekly political data roundup for November 16, 2025
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 16, 2025 at 1:00 PM
your weekly political data roundup is here: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-hits...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
Banger lede of the day:
“Michigan's top executives are offering a 12-step plan for breaking the state's addiction to failure.”
www.detroitnews.com/story/opinio...
“Michigan's top executives are offering a 12-step plan for breaking the state's addiction to failure.”
www.detroitnews.com/story/opinio...
Finley: This time, stick to plan to revive Michigan
Business Leaders for Michigan will present a platform on which it hopes all candidates in next year's midterm elections will stand.
www.detroitnews.com
November 16, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Banger lede of the day:
“Michigan's top executives are offering a 12-step plan for breaking the state's addiction to failure.”
www.detroitnews.com/story/opinio...
“Michigan's top executives are offering a 12-step plan for breaking the state's addiction to failure.”
www.detroitnews.com/story/opinio...
Reposted by eric gonzalez juenke
I tell students they are growing up during the death throes of the Archie Bunker era, a long period of reactionary backlash to the end of Jim Crow. You can see it in these survey data and the ages of who sits in Congress. Older folks (like me) are fighting the same battles they grew up with.
November 15, 2025 at 1:35 PM
I tell students they are growing up during the death throes of the Archie Bunker era, a long period of reactionary backlash to the end of Jim Crow. You can see it in these survey data and the ages of who sits in Congress. Older folks (like me) are fighting the same battles they grew up with.
I feel like Jameis is just going to win the game tomorrow. Just with his weirdness. Feel like I could be his best friend if he’d let me.
November 15, 2025 at 11:56 PM
I feel like Jameis is just going to win the game tomorrow. Just with his weirdness. Feel like I could be his best friend if he’d let me.