Andrew Sabl
@andysabl.bsky.social
Political theorist (Univ. of Toronto). Toronto/NYC. Realism, liberalism, toleration, privilege and opportunity, Hume, political ethics—and politics, humo(u)r, puns. Also husband, dad, stepdad.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
Hey authors! Check to see if Anthropic stole your book to train their slop generator on. You’re entitled to $1500 per stolen Work.
Look up your work, and if you’re in the database, file a claim
secure.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com/lookup/
Look up your work, and if you’re in the database, file a claim
secure.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com/lookup/
Submit a Claim
secure.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com
November 18, 2025 at 7:39 AM
Hey authors! Check to see if Anthropic stole your book to train their slop generator on. You’re entitled to $1500 per stolen Work.
Look up your work, and if you’re in the database, file a claim
secure.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com/lookup/
Look up your work, and if you’re in the database, file a claim
secure.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com/lookup/
Picked a good night to do it—but signing back off now. Be well, Bsky peeps.
Jumping temporarily off the social media wagon for U.S. odd-year election night (and maybe some Canadian budget news).
November 5, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Picked a good night to do it—but signing back off now. Be well, Bsky peeps.
This is a hell of a speech.
Mamdani starts his speech by quoting Eugene Debs, and talking about how calloused hands that were never supposed to hold power have now seized it.
Like it or loathe it, this is sounding like a fire-breathing socialist speech.
Like it or loathe it, this is sounding like a fire-breathing socialist speech.
November 5, 2025 at 4:39 AM
This is a hell of a speech.
Mamdani starts his speech by quoting Eugene Debs, and talking about how calloused hands that were never supposed to hold power have now seized it.
Like it or loathe it, this is sounding like a fire-breathing socialist speech.
Like it or loathe it, this is sounding like a fire-breathing socialist speech.
November 5, 2025 at 4:22 AM
Mamdani starts his speech by quoting Eugene Debs, and talking about how calloused hands that were never supposed to hold power have now seized it.
Like it or loathe it, this is sounding like a fire-breathing socialist speech.
Like it or loathe it, this is sounding like a fire-breathing socialist speech.
John King on CNN just now describing Republicans’ likely reaction to the election, and I quote: “Holy Shit.”
(Didn’t know you could say that on CNN.)
(Didn’t know you could say that on CNN.)
November 5, 2025 at 4:08 AM
John King on CNN just now describing Republicans’ likely reaction to the election, and I quote: “Holy Shit.”
(Didn’t know you could say that on CNN.)
(Didn’t know you could say that on CNN.)
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
the thing that I find frustrating/enraging is that this is the really boring polisci explanation. it's not some secret code; like, it's what you learn if you just follow political scientists on social media, or read a few books. 1
it's almost like 2024 was not some sort of permanent demographic reshuffling, but was simply everyone turning against an unpopular president in a shit year for incumbents.
Republicans thought they had a permanent hold over young men. They didn't.
Spanberger wins men 18-29 by 14%, Sherrill by 10%, and Mamdani by a stunning 40%.
Spanberger wins men 18-29 by 14%, Sherrill by 10%, and Mamdani by a stunning 40%.
November 5, 2025 at 3:39 AM
the thing that I find frustrating/enraging is that this is the really boring polisci explanation. it's not some secret code; like, it's what you learn if you just follow political scientists on social media, or read a few books. 1
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
Hm. This is disappointing.
Odd-year elections are designed to suppress turnout. I get why progressives may think that works in their favor right now, but I'm not a fan of voter suppression in any form.
The housing props all seem likely to win, tho. But this is too bad.
Odd-year elections are designed to suppress turnout. I get why progressives may think that works in their favor right now, but I'm not a fan of voter suppression in any form.
The housing props all seem likely to win, tho. But this is too bad.
November 5, 2025 at 3:09 AM
Hm. This is disappointing.
Odd-year elections are designed to suppress turnout. I get why progressives may think that works in their favor right now, but I'm not a fan of voter suppression in any form.
The housing props all seem likely to win, tho. But this is too bad.
Odd-year elections are designed to suppress turnout. I get why progressives may think that works in their favor right now, but I'm not a fan of voter suppression in any form.
The housing props all seem likely to win, tho. But this is too bad.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
I know a lot of people are excited because Democrats are winning
But tonight I'll sleep easier knowing that its much harder for these proto-autocrats to consolidate their authoritarian regime after extremely strong public signals of discontent.
But tonight I'll sleep easier knowing that its much harder for these proto-autocrats to consolidate their authoritarian regime after extremely strong public signals of discontent.
November 5, 2025 at 3:00 AM
I know a lot of people are excited because Democrats are winning
But tonight I'll sleep easier knowing that its much harder for these proto-autocrats to consolidate their authoritarian regime after extremely strong public signals of discontent.
But tonight I'll sleep easier knowing that its much harder for these proto-autocrats to consolidate their authoritarian regime after extremely strong public signals of discontent.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
Cuomo was drummed out of office 4 years ago for sexual harassment. He then lost the mayoral Dem primary. He then employed rank gutter racism to win as an independent -- winning Trump's endorsement! -- and that didn't work either. Few modern politicians so richly deserve obscurity and exile.
November 5, 2025 at 2:49 AM
Cuomo was drummed out of office 4 years ago for sexual harassment. He then lost the mayoral Dem primary. He then employed rank gutter racism to win as an independent -- winning Trump's endorsement! -- and that didn't work either. Few modern politicians so richly deserve obscurity and exile.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
this is the most successful a CIA officer has been at toppling a government in years.
November 5, 2025 at 1:13 AM
this is the most successful a CIA officer has been at toppling a government in years.
It’s totally routine for the biggest city in an advanced democracy to have a (pragmatic) Socialist mayor. It’s actually odd that it hasn’t happened in the States till now. #AmericanExceptionalism
"In order to win, Democrats should nominate candidates who better match their districts"
[Dems nominate a young Dem socialist in NYC and a moderate in VA]
"No not like that"
[Dems nominate a young Dem socialist in NYC and a moderate in VA]
"No not like that"
November 5, 2025 at 2:49 AM
It’s totally routine for the biggest city in an advanced democracy to have a (pragmatic) Socialist mayor. It’s actually odd that it hasn’t happened in the States till now. #AmericanExceptionalism
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
I'm happy that Mamdani won. But I won't let that get in the way of my celebrating Cuomo losing.
November 5, 2025 at 2:37 AM
I'm happy that Mamdani won. But I won't let that get in the way of my celebrating Cuomo losing.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
Looks like the Dems will pick up 12 seats in the VA House of Delegates, which will go from 51-49 to 63-37 D-R. That's an honestly shocking result.
November 5, 2025 at 1:45 AM
Looks like the Dems will pick up 12 seats in the VA House of Delegates, which will go from 51-49 to 63-37 D-R. That's an honestly shocking result.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
Came here to say this, but Jamelle Bouie has this covered. 👇
When the Democratic tent includes candidates like Spanberger and Mamdani, there is no crisis, or fight, for the party. IT’S A COALITION, NOT A POINT ESTIMATE.
When the Democratic tent includes candidates like Spanberger and Mamdani, there is no crisis, or fight, for the party. IT’S A COALITION, NOT A POINT ESTIMATE.
i want to repeat this: mamdani and spanberger have run similar campaigns tailored to their respective electorates and it is maddening to watch political journalists attempt to create some broad contrast where none exist
the other thing about this is that there is no reason to pit these candidates against each other? each are good fits for their respective electorates and each shows the value of vigorous campaigns focused on the stated material problems of voters.
November 5, 2025 at 2:12 AM
Came here to say this, but Jamelle Bouie has this covered. 👇
When the Democratic tent includes candidates like Spanberger and Mamdani, there is no crisis, or fight, for the party. IT’S A COALITION, NOT A POINT ESTIMATE.
When the Democratic tent includes candidates like Spanberger and Mamdani, there is no crisis, or fight, for the party. IT’S A COALITION, NOT A POINT ESTIMATE.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few more Conservatives switch parties this week.
Poilievre is poison.
“Gerretsen said d'Entremont was leaving the Conservatives because the party has become more stridently right-wing under Poilievre.”
“Gerretsen said d'Entremont was leaving the Conservatives because the party has become more stridently right-wing under Poilievre.”
Nova Scotia MP Chris d'Entremont resigns from Conservative caucus to join the Liberals | CBC News
Nova Scotia MP Chris d'Entremont resigned from the Conservative caucus Tuesday — and he's joining the Liberals.
www.cbc.ca
November 5, 2025 at 2:10 AM
I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few more Conservatives switch parties this week.
Ok, this wins the evening.
If you’re still online, stay online. Don’t stop scrolling!!
November 5, 2025 at 1:52 AM
Ok, this wins the evening.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
the future of the democratic party is a coalition of the wokest people on tumblr and absolutely dead-eyed pursuers of the national interest and the maximization of GDP
funny that the two groups in the political class who have been the least enthusiastic about trump term 2 are like neocon blob guys and economists
I feel like the econ policy people have been less annoyingly centrist on Trump than the rest of the think tank ecosystem purely because the only concrete policy he’s pursued in two months are tariffs, which like none of them like
March 23, 2025 at 2:47 AM
the future of the democratic party is a coalition of the wokest people on tumblr and absolutely dead-eyed pursuers of the national interest and the maximization of GDP
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
Pennsylvania voters retain three state Supreme Court justices, preserving Democrats' 5-2 majority
👇
www.nbcnews.com/politics/ele...
👇
www.nbcnews.com/politics/ele...
Pennsylvania voters retain three state Supreme Court justices, preserving Democrats' 5-2 majority
NBC News projects the incumbents survived an up-or-down vote to keep their seats on the battleground state’s high court.
www.nbcnews.com
November 5, 2025 at 1:41 AM
Pennsylvania voters retain three state Supreme Court justices, preserving Democrats' 5-2 majority
👇
www.nbcnews.com/politics/ele...
👇
www.nbcnews.com/politics/ele...
Spanberger’s acceptance speech speaks directly to those who supported her opponent, says she plans to work for all Virginians.
This is how a democrat (and I don’t mean “Democrat”) speaks.
This is how a democrat (and I don’t mean “Democrat”) speaks.
November 5, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Spanberger’s acceptance speech speaks directly to those who supported her opponent, says she plans to work for all Virginians.
This is how a democrat (and I don’t mean “Democrat”) speaks.
This is how a democrat (and I don’t mean “Democrat”) speaks.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
NYC is on pace to see its highest voter turnout since the 1960s.
Nearly 2 million New Yorkers have already cast their ballots in the mayoral race between Mamdani and Cuomo — and the polls are still open.
Nearly 2 million New Yorkers have already cast their ballots in the mayoral race between Mamdani and Cuomo — and the polls are still open.
NYC will see highest turnout in decades
Almost 2 million New Yorkers have already voted in the race between Zohran Mamdani and Andrew Cuomo, and the polls are still open.
www.politico.com
November 5, 2025 at 12:33 AM
NYC is on pace to see its highest voter turnout since the 1960s.
Nearly 2 million New Yorkers have already cast their ballots in the mayoral race between Mamdani and Cuomo — and the polls are still open.
Nearly 2 million New Yorkers have already cast their ballots in the mayoral race between Mamdani and Cuomo — and the polls are still open.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
Dems winning in Virginia will directly lead to thousands regaining the right to vote.
Spanberger can reverse GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin's reinstatement of a Jim Crow-era lifetime voting ban for felonies.
Dem lawmakers can also put a constitutional amendment on next year's ballot to permanently end it
Spanberger can reverse GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin's reinstatement of a Jim Crow-era lifetime voting ban for felonies.
Dem lawmakers can also put a constitutional amendment on next year's ballot to permanently end it
BREAKING: Democrat Abigail Spanberger flips control of the Virginia governorship, becoming the first woman to lead the state, NBC News projects. nbcnews.to/47Ljn7Z
November 5, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Dems winning in Virginia will directly lead to thousands regaining the right to vote.
Spanberger can reverse GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin's reinstatement of a Jim Crow-era lifetime voting ban for felonies.
Dem lawmakers can also put a constitutional amendment on next year's ballot to permanently end it
Spanberger can reverse GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin's reinstatement of a Jim Crow-era lifetime voting ban for felonies.
Dem lawmakers can also put a constitutional amendment on next year's ballot to permanently end it
Jumping temporarily off the social media wagon for U.S. odd-year election night (and maybe some Canadian budget news).
November 5, 2025 at 1:23 AM
Jumping temporarily off the social media wagon for U.S. odd-year election night (and maybe some Canadian budget news).
Taking another grass-touching break from here.
October 30, 2025 at 12:05 AM
Taking another grass-touching break from here.
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
There's going to be a lot of focus on the topline -- that polling was more accurate than in 2016 and 2020 but still biased towards Dems on average by 2.7 pp -- but I want to highlight some of the other findings I found most interesting
🚨It's finally here!🚨
AAPOR's Taskforce on 2024 Pre-Election Polling report is out!
Full report: /https://aapor.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AAPOR-Task-Force-on-2024-Pre-Election-Polling_Report.pdf
Executive summary: aapor.org/wp-content/u...
AAPOR's Taskforce on 2024 Pre-Election Polling report is out!
Full report: /https://aapor.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/AAPOR-Task-Force-on-2024-Pre-Election-Polling_Report.pdf
Executive summary: aapor.org/wp-content/u...
aapor.org
October 29, 2025 at 6:56 PM
There's going to be a lot of focus on the topline -- that polling was more accurate than in 2016 and 2020 but still biased towards Dems on average by 2.7 pp -- but I want to highlight some of the other findings I found most interesting
Reposted by Andrew Sabl
there was a big package of post-trump reforms on the table in 2021/22 that would have enhanced congressional power against an overreaching executive. it didn’t go anywhere, in part bc the Biden White House didn’t want to give up power and congressional Dems didn’t want to buck the party leader
consider this part one of what will be an ongoing series making the case for an imperial congress (gift link)
Opinion | The Empty Promises of Trump’s Imperial Presidency
www.nytimes.com
October 29, 2025 at 2:15 PM
there was a big package of post-trump reforms on the table in 2021/22 that would have enhanced congressional power against an overreaching executive. it didn’t go anywhere, in part bc the Biden White House didn’t want to give up power and congressional Dems didn’t want to buck the party leader