Scott Overpeck
@505wcm.bsky.social
WCM for @NWSAlbuquerque | Former LF @NWSHouston | Texas A&M | Creighton | Sports | Love God Love People | Posts my own-standard disclaimer|
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
It finally happened: #Albuquerque just had its first freeze of the season, breaking the previous latest first freeze date by a huge *4 days*!
I put the two tables side by side (1892-2025 and 1892-2024) here so you can see how this new record has nudged the late-season historical percentiles a bit.
I put the two tables side by side (1892-2025 and 1892-2024) here so you can see how this new record has nudged the late-season historical percentiles a bit.
November 26, 2025 at 2:59 PM
It finally happened: #Albuquerque just had its first freeze of the season, breaking the previous latest first freeze date by a huge *4 days*!
I put the two tables side by side (1892-2025 and 1892-2024) here so you can see how this new record has nudged the late-season historical percentiles a bit.
I put the two tables side by side (1892-2025 and 1892-2024) here so you can see how this new record has nudged the late-season historical percentiles a bit.
I think I’m done processing that this in fact did happen. Feels good to be a Texas Fighting Aggie. 10-0 overall and 7-0 in SEC. Survive and advance. Aggies never quit.
November 16, 2025 at 4:48 AM
I think I’m done processing that this in fact did happen. Feels good to be a Texas Fighting Aggie. 10-0 overall and 7-0 in SEC. Survive and advance. Aggies never quit.
Well there’s a chance of precip for NM this weekend with a small shot at heavy precip Nov 18-19. It’s been good to have a break but could use some wet around here. #NMwx
cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/pre...
cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/pre...
November 11, 2025 at 3:28 AM
Well there’s a chance of precip for NM this weekend with a small shot at heavy precip Nov 18-19. It’s been good to have a break but could use some wet around here. #NMwx
cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/pre...
cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/pre...
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
It continues to be a record warm start to November in Albuquerque. Sunday was our first below average temperature since late October. So far this month is a whopping 7.7º warmer than average, and 1.2º warmer than the next warmest start to November. #NMwx
November 10, 2025 at 3:56 PM
It continues to be a record warm start to November in Albuquerque. Sunday was our first below average temperature since late October. So far this month is a whopping 7.7º warmer than average, and 1.2º warmer than the next warmest start to November. #NMwx
Fall temperature rollercoaster… #NMwx
Big temperature swings this week!
Loop: Map showing the forecast high (max) temperature departure from normal Today - Sunday.
🟦Much BELOW normal temperatures
🟥Much ABOVE normal temperatures
weather.gov
Loop: Map showing the forecast high (max) temperature departure from normal Today - Sunday.
🟦Much BELOW normal temperatures
🟥Much ABOVE normal temperatures
weather.gov
November 10, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Fall temperature rollercoaster… #NMwx
And one year later we are having record heat and above normal temps… #NMwx
ONE YEAR AGO: Do you remember the record breaking snowstorm that hit New Mexico November 7-9, 2024? Several feet of snow fell in the northern mountains. Ski resorts opened up early. Several inches of snow fell in parts of ABQ with over 12" in parts of northern New Mexico. #NMwx
November 8, 2025 at 4:01 AM
And one year later we are having record heat and above normal temps… #NMwx
As a grad and fan of Texas A&M football, really enjoying this 2025 season so far. Did not think the Aggies would beat LSU like that in Death Valley. Got a bye week to get ready for the final third of the season. Feels good to be a Texas Aggie.
October 26, 2025 at 4:52 PM
As a grad and fan of Texas A&M football, really enjoying this 2025 season so far. Did not think the Aggies would beat LSU like that in Death Valley. Got a bye week to get ready for the final third of the season. Feels good to be a Texas Aggie.
#NMwx And if you didn’t get any rain the last 2 weeks with all the moisture then it’s gonna be a while until there’s another chance.
#Albuquerque is now on the *7th* consecutive day with a record high dewpoint.
However, the record high dewpoint on October 17 is 51°F, and the forecast high dewpoint is 32°, so the streak will end at 7 days.
I can't find any other 7-day streak of records in previous years; just 4 & 5 day streaks.
However, the record high dewpoint on October 17 is 51°F, and the forecast high dewpoint is 32°, so the streak will end at 7 days.
I can't find any other 7-day streak of records in previous years; just 4 & 5 day streaks.
October 17, 2025 at 12:09 AM
#NMwx And if you didn’t get any rain the last 2 weeks with all the moisture then it’s gonna be a while until there’s another chance.
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
Prepping for an uncertain and possibly intense few days. Priscilla and, if it forms, Raymond look to hammer the southwest. My area of responsibility ends with, but includes the Rio Grande. I feel for the forecasters just to my west, but this is too close.
October 9, 2025 at 2:14 AM
Prepping for an uncertain and possibly intense few days. Priscilla and, if it forms, Raymond look to hammer the southwest. My area of responsibility ends with, but includes the Rio Grande. I feel for the forecasters just to my west, but this is too close.
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
That's a wrap on the 2025 monsoon season. ~75% of New Mexico ended with near to above average rainfall! Some mountain ranges picked up >20" of rain! Northwest New Mexico missed out on most of the monsoon this year with <50% of their average rainfall.
October 1, 2025 at 2:23 PM
That's a wrap on the 2025 monsoon season. ~75% of New Mexico ended with near to above average rainfall! Some mountain ranges picked up >20" of rain! Northwest New Mexico missed out on most of the monsoon this year with <50% of their average rainfall.
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
October 1st, 1890:
The weather service is first identified as a civilian agency when Congress, at the request of President Benjamin Harrison, passes an act transferring the Signal Service’s meteorological responsibilities to the newly created U.S. Weather Bureau in the Department of Agriculture.
The weather service is first identified as a civilian agency when Congress, at the request of President Benjamin Harrison, passes an act transferring the Signal Service’s meteorological responsibilities to the newly created U.S. Weather Bureau in the Department of Agriculture.
October 1, 2025 at 1:11 PM
October 1st, 1890:
The weather service is first identified as a civilian agency when Congress, at the request of President Benjamin Harrison, passes an act transferring the Signal Service’s meteorological responsibilities to the newly created U.S. Weather Bureau in the Department of Agriculture.
The weather service is first identified as a civilian agency when Congress, at the request of President Benjamin Harrison, passes an act transferring the Signal Service’s meteorological responsibilities to the newly created U.S. Weather Bureau in the Department of Agriculture.
Hiked the Tres Volcanoes trail on the west mesa. Could see several storms. The development over the Sandia Mtns was fun. This storm became a severe storm on the east side. #NMwx
September 29, 2025 at 1:38 AM
Hiked the Tres Volcanoes trail on the west mesa. Could see several storms. The development over the Sandia Mtns was fun. This storm became a severe storm on the east side. #NMwx
My story. Lived 10 years growing up in New Orleans LA. Family moved to Danbury CT area in 1984. Just over a year later I experience my first hurricane - Gloria. Figure that one out. Remember being out of school. Power out, branches/trees down. My 11th birthday party on the 30th was pushed back.
40 years ago today: "My Storm"
On Friday, September 27, 1985, Hurricane Gloria made its closest approach to southeast Pennsylvania. I was in 4th grade in Reading PA, and the schools had closed in advance of the coming storm. Though we had many snow days, that was my first and only "hurricane day".
On Friday, September 27, 1985, Hurricane Gloria made its closest approach to southeast Pennsylvania. I was in 4th grade in Reading PA, and the schools had closed in advance of the coming storm. Though we had many snow days, that was my first and only "hurricane day".
September 28, 2025 at 12:58 AM
My story. Lived 10 years growing up in New Orleans LA. Family moved to Danbury CT area in 1984. Just over a year later I experience my first hurricane - Gloria. Figure that one out. Remember being out of school. Power out, branches/trees down. My 11th birthday party on the 30th was pushed back.
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
UNL is proposing to cut the Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, which would eliminate the undergraduate and graduate meteorology programs. Please consider sharing the importance of our department with UNL through this link: apc.unl.edu/fall-2025-bu...
September 15, 2025 at 9:00 PM
UNL is proposing to cut the Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, which would eliminate the undergraduate and graduate meteorology programs. Please consider sharing the importance of our department with UNL through this link: apc.unl.edu/fall-2025-bu...
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
This weekend will likely be our last taste of the monsoon this year. Widespread showers/storms are likely Saturday and Sunday. Heavy rain is possible with some places picking up over 1" of rain through Monday. The monsoon is going out with a bang! #NMwx
September 25, 2025 at 11:53 PM
This weekend will likely be our last taste of the monsoon this year. Widespread showers/storms are likely Saturday and Sunday. Heavy rain is possible with some places picking up over 1" of rain through Monday. The monsoon is going out with a bang! #NMwx
8 years. So many of those days blurred together between all the flood and tornado warnings.
August 25th, 2017:
Hurricane Harvey made landfall at ~10 PM near Rockport, Texas. It was the strongest hurricane to impact America since Wilma in 2005. The Category 4 left behind a record $125 billion in damage (tied with Katrina) and killed 106 people in the United States.
1/2
Hurricane Harvey made landfall at ~10 PM near Rockport, Texas. It was the strongest hurricane to impact America since Wilma in 2005. The Category 4 left behind a record $125 billion in damage (tied with Katrina) and killed 106 people in the United States.
1/2
August 27, 2025 at 2:37 AM
8 years. So many of those days blurred together between all the flood and tornado warnings.
I know not much compares to what happened in the TX Hill Country when it comes to flooding. But the South Fork fire burnscar combined with the fact Ruidoso is located in a “bowl” makes for optimal runoff conditions for flash flooding. This was only from 2-3” of rain in 2 hours. #NMwx
July 9, 2025 at 3:50 AM
I know not much compares to what happened in the TX Hill Country when it comes to flooding. But the South Fork fire burnscar combined with the fact Ruidoso is located in a “bowl” makes for optimal runoff conditions for flash flooding. This was only from 2-3” of rain in 2 hours. #NMwx
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
My deep dive on whether there were adequate weather warnings for the catastrophic flooding in Texas. Mentions Alan Gerard Balanced Weather and Jordan McLeod. I am really interested in your thoughts on my take.
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...
Catastrophic Flooding In Texas - Were There Warnings?
Deadly flooding in the flash flood alley of Texas is raising questions about warnings. Here's a preliminary (but not conslusive) analysis.
www.forbes.com
July 5, 2025 at 3:07 PM
My deep dive on whether there were adequate weather warnings for the catastrophic flooding in Texas. Mentions Alan Gerard Balanced Weather and Jordan McLeod. I am really interested in your thoughts on my take.
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...
www.forbes.com/sites/marsha...
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
Had a great chat with Molly today. Wired has been doing great work.
NEW: in the wake of devastating floods in tx, some officials say NWS forecasts weren't sufficient enough to warn them, while others are warning that DOGE cuts may have made predictions less accurate.
meteorologists told me: NWS did a solid job with the forecasts around this storm
meteorologists told me: NWS did a solid job with the forecasts around this storm
Meteorologists Say the National Weather Service Did Its Job in Texas
DOGE cut hundreds of jobs at the NWS, but experts who spoke to WIRED say the agency accurately predicted the flood risk in Texas.
www.wired.com
July 5, 2025 at 9:11 PM
Had a great chat with Molly today. Wired has been doing great work.
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
What Matt said.
For example, if the rainfall west of Round Rock last night had been about 10-15 miles farther E or SE, it would have been a multi- billion dollar disaster with numerous casualties.
For example, if the rainfall west of Round Rock last night had been about 10-15 miles farther E or SE, it would have been a multi- billion dollar disaster with numerous casualties.
July 6, 2025 at 12:20 AM
What Matt said.
For example, if the rainfall west of Round Rock last night had been about 10-15 miles farther E or SE, it would have been a multi- billion dollar disaster with numerous casualties.
For example, if the rainfall west of Round Rock last night had been about 10-15 miles farther E or SE, it would have been a multi- billion dollar disaster with numerous casualties.
Reposted by Scott Overpeck
I am going to go into orbit reading this article. First, @npr.org X is not where you should be looking to see what the NWS issued, see below. Second, trying to avoid the blame game - but the absolute cluelessness of these state and local officials is embarrassing.
open.substack.com/pub/balanced...
open.substack.com/pub/balanced...
July 6, 2025 at 12:48 AM
I am going to go into orbit reading this article. First, @npr.org X is not where you should be looking to see what the NWS issued, see below. Second, trying to avoid the blame game - but the absolute cluelessness of these state and local officials is embarrassing.
open.substack.com/pub/balanced...
open.substack.com/pub/balanced...
Yes. Snow. Rain on snow. Burnscar from HPCC fire. Flooding results. In May. #NMwx x.com/byronkoat/st...
Byron Morton KOAT on X: "#Flooding and #snow in the Sapello area at CR- 1 La Tewa. Courtesy: Corina Maestas. See & share your weather pics & videos https://t.co/SpmrsFNykW @koat7news #NMFlood #Flood #NMwx #NewMexico https://t.co/52qQu1V1x9" / X
#Flooding and #snow in the Sapello area at CR- 1 La Tewa. Courtesy: Corina Maestas. See & share your weather pics & videos https://t.co/SpmrsFNykW @koat7news #NMFlood #Flood #NMwx #NewMexico https://t.co/52qQu1V1x9
x.com
May 6, 2025 at 11:22 PM
Yes. Snow. Rain on snow. Burnscar from HPCC fire. Flooding results. In May. #NMwx x.com/byronkoat/st...