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erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten
@erikvoeten.bsky.social
2.4K followers 360 following 75 posts

Georgetown prof. Expect content on international politics, climate, soccer, and other random stuff. Views my own. Website: https://erikvoeten.georgetown.domains/

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Erik Voeten is a Dutch political scientist.

Source: Wikipedia
Political science 59%
Law 12%
Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Erik Voeten, Daniel W. Drezner, Southern Africa

profsaunders.bsky.social
Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 7d
🧵New piece from me @goodauth.bsky.social on risks of striking Venezuela, focused on the added risk from Trump team of loyalists. Hint: it has to do with centralized role of Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, and the incompetence of advisers like SecDef Hegseth. 1/
goodauthority.org/news/trump-m...
Trump may strike Venezuela. His team makes that very risky.
Take a close look at who is advising the president on U.S. policy.
goodauthority.org

Reposted by Elizabeth Saunders, Erik Voeten, Robert Wolfe , and 3 more

abenewman.bsky.social
Abe Newman @abenewman.bsky.social · 7d
1/When @himself.bsky.social and I wrote about the future of US economic coercion we hoped that the tools could be used for global collective goods like climate. Now US “evaluating sanctions on officials sponsoring activist-driven climate policies”’
on.ft.com/4qJF3Ko
US accused of ‘bully-boy’ tactics to sink climate deal
Officials say ‘threats’ used to derail net zero deal for shipping industry ripped up rules of global diplomacy
on.ft.com

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 10d
As a Dutch friend, I agree with this and I don't think it means that votes will be "lost." It is up to the other parties to figure out how to attract those voters who really care about animal rights, pensions, Christianity and so on.
simonhix.bsky.social Simon Hix @simonhix.bsky.social · 10d
I have just written a Substack piece with some scenarios of what would have happened in the recent Dutch election if there had been 4% electoral threshold (with apologies to my Dutch friends for banging on about this!) substack.com/home/post/p-...
What Would happen if The Netherlands had a 4% Electoral Threshold?
Political scientists of electoral systems love The Netherlands.
substack.com

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Steve Peers, Tim Bale , and 4 more

simonhix.bsky.social
Simon Hix @simonhix.bsky.social · 10d
I have just written a Substack piece with some scenarios of what would have happened in the recent Dutch election if there had been 4% electoral threshold (with apologies to my Dutch friends for banging on about this!) substack.com/home/post/p-...
What Would happen if The Netherlands had a 4% Electoral Threshold?
Political scientists of electoral systems love The Netherlands.
substack.com

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 10d
The Dutch election is more of a reshuffling than a major realignment of the electorate but fragmentation of the far right will still likely bring a centrist government coalition. My quick takeaways @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/three-t...

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 11d
Three quick takeaways from the Dutch elections: @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/three-t...
Three takeaways from the too-close-to-call Dutch election
A young charismatic liberal leader may well become the next Dutch prime minister.
goodauthority.org

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 17d
Read Anjali Dayal on the UN and also listen to her podcast To Save Us from Hell open.spotify.com/show/2WBQHl2...

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · 17d
New out in @apsrjournal.bsky.social. We show how the AfD in Germant was able to use opposition to the green transition to attract voters in highly polluting occupations and communities that rely on those occupations.

Reposted by Erik Voeten, Julie Novkov

cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 17d
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social -

The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines - https://cup.org/4qoPkLR

- @vheddesheimer.bsky.social, @hannohilbig.bsky.social & @erikvoeten.bsky.social

#FirstView
Banner featuring the hashtag #OpenAccess over a green background and the text 'American Political Science Review' over a blue background.

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Marc Lynch, Kim L. Scheppele , and 18 more

adambonica.bsky.social
Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · Aug 3
The annoying spam texts destroying the Democratic brand:

$678M raised through those spam tactics

$282M to one consulting firm: Mothership Strategies.

$11M to actual campaigns (1.6%)

The party isn’t just treating donors like marks—it’s being fleeced itself yet continues to back Mothership.
The Mothership Vortex: An Investigation Into the Firm at the Heart of the Democratic Spam Machine
How a single consulting firm extracted $282 million from a network of spam PACs while delivering just $11 million to actual campaigns.
open.substack.com

Reposted by Stefanie Walter

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jul 28
New UN ideal point estimates available. These are for the first time based on years rather than UNGA sessions. For more, see here: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
dataverse.harvard.edu

Reposted by Erik Voeten

kschultz.bsky.social
Ken Schultz @kschultz.bsky.social · Oct 30
What if universities are having civil, nuanced discussions of events in Israel and Gaza, but they are happening in classrooms, office hours, and dorms, not out in the public view of lazy reporters and not in a way that fits the narrative people want to tell?

Reposted by Erik Voeten

dadakim.bsky.social
kim yi dionne (she/her) @dadakim.bsky.social · Nov 22
As we await the Dutch election results, you can get up to speed by reading @erikvoeten.bsky.social's pre-election report at @goodauth.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/anti-es...
Anti-establishment centrists may well win the Dutch elections
L-R: Dutch politicians Caroline van der Plas, Pieter Omtzigt, and Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius,(cc) Roel Wijnants via Flickr. Dutch politics seem chaotic to
goodauthority.org

Reposted by Erik Voeten, Andreas Dür

himself.bsky.social
Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · Nov 21
1. So - the International Criminal Court (ICC) warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant - www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11.... The one strong prediction I have - this is going to lead to US financial sanctions against ICC employees, and possibly the ICC as an institution. That is going to get ugly for the EU.
ICC Issues Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant: Israel-Hamas War Live Updates
The International Criminal Court rejected Israel’s challenges to its jurisdiction, and also issued a warrant for a top Hamas official. Its chief prosecutor had sought the arrests for war crimes in Gaz...
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Erik Voeten

fbermingham.bsky.social
Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · Nov 25
More bad news for European industry

Thyssenkrupp has revealed plans to slash its steel workforce by 40 per cent, dealing the latest blow to German industry as it warned of oversupply in Europe and “a rise in cheap imports” from Asia.

www.ft.com/content/0b39...
Thyssenkrupp to slash 40% of steel jobs in latest blow to German industry
Division to shed 11,000 roles amid oversupply in Europe and rise in cheap China imports
www.ft.com

Reposted by Erik Voeten

jeanhong.bsky.social
Jean Hong 洪知延 홍지연 @jeanhong.bsky.social · Dec 17
Wrote a piece in with Hye Young You

goodauthority.org/news/south-k...

Our main points:

- massage from South Korean politicians and citizens was clear: no return to military rule.

- then, why democratic institutions that should have deterred President’s undemocratic move did not work?
How strong is South Korea's democracy?
The big lesson from the recent tests of democratic resilience in South Korea is that any democracy can be at risk.
goodauthority.org

Reposted by Erik Voeten

abenewman.bsky.social
Abe Newman @abenewman.bsky.social · Feb 24
This is really going to throw the UN ideal point estimator for a loop... @erikvoeten.bsky.social
washingtonpost.com The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · Feb 24
Breaking news: U.S. sides with Russia to vote against a U.N. resolution condemning Moscow for the Ukraine war.

Washington’s dramatic shift on the conflict marks a major break with its European allies and coincides with the Trump administration’s bid to repair relations with the Kremlin.
U.S. votes against U.N. resolution condemning Russia for Ukraine war
Washington’s shift on the Ukraine war marks a major break with European allies and comes as the Trump administration aims to repair relations with Russia.
www.washingtonpost.com

Reposted by Erik Voeten, Stefanie Walter, Tom van der Meer , and 3 more

simonhix.bsky.social
Simon Hix @simonhix.bsky.social · Jun 26
This is fantastic. Very excited by this development in European Political Science.

Please come and join us. Get involved. Sign up to the listserv. Etc
epssnet.bsky.social EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · Jun 26
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵

Reposted by Jean‐Frédéric Morin, Erik Voeten

fgenovese.bsky.social
Federica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · Jun 17
🚨Global public action (climate!) is most effective when countries do it together yet we're in a period of IO backlash rooted in left-behind places

Does it mean all left-behind regions hate IOs the same?

@patrickbayer.bsky.social & I have a paper accepted @bjpols.bsky.social abt this🧵

osf.io/rtymv
Climate Policy Costs, Regional Politics and Backlashagainst International Cooperation by Patrick Bayer and Federica Genovese. This paper investigates the conditions under which subnational concerns shape public assessments of international climate governance. In line with existing literature, we maintain that costly policy adjustments fuel negative views of international cooperation in policy exposed regions. At the same time, we argue that the more resentful relations are with the national center of politics, the more sympathetic these regions areto international institutions and global governance. Based on geographically targeted survey data from theUnited Kingdom, we find that fossil fuel-intensive regions with strong, institutionalized regional politics have more positive assessments of international climate cooperation than structurally similar regions where regional political institutions are less pronounced. The findings show that regional politics characteristics are key for understanding climate policy beliefs among citizens that bear the brunt of adjustments to international climate agreements

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jun 14
Thanks, Federica!

Reposted by Erik Voeten

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jun 12
The US does not have to exploit this advantage. It could exercise strategic restraint and think more long-term. There is little evidence of such thinking in the current Trump Administration. Thus, we see energy dominance as a structural factor that facilitates disruptive foreign policies

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jun 12
For example, the EU is not going to apply reciprocal tariffs to the main products it imports from the US (oil and gas), which puts it at a bargaining disadvantage.

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jun 12
Oil and gas create different types of interdependencies than trade in other goods. Oil importers have a strong interest in global stability, as disturbances in price or access can have large economic and political consequences. Exporters have temptations to leverage their position for concessions.

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jun 12
At that time, the US still had an oil export ban. Now it has become the world's leading oil and gas exporter. Among the five leading US export categories are crude oil, gasoline, and LNG. The trade relationship with the EU is even more dominated by oil and gas.

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jun 12
We draw on an article we wrote for ISQ about a decade ago, which documents that (and why) oil exporters tend to be less cooperative in the international arena. academic.oup.com/isq/article-...
Shibboleth Authentication Request
doi-org.proxy.library.georgetown.edu

Reposted by Michael L. Ross

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jun 12
I have a new short piece in Foreign Affairs with @profmichaelross.bsky.social arguing that "the United States’ emergence as the world’s leading oil and gas producer is a critical and often neglected element of today’s global disorder." www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Petrostate America
The downsides of energy independence.
www.foreignaffairs.com

erikvoeten.bsky.social
Erik Voeten @erikvoeten.bsky.social · Jun 10
I really hope the new editorial team of the Journal of Politics is able to improve the speed of the process, and I wish them well. I know very well how hard it is but it is essential for academic publishing to do better,