Sean Ehrlich
@seandehrlich.bsky.social
Associate professor of Political Science at FSU. Studies globalization, democratic institutions, & the EU. My no-longer-new book is still for sale: https://amzn.to/2Hycbj3
Reposted by Sean Ehrlich
Mark Kelly a NO, notable as he was allegedly one of the cavers
November 10, 2025 at 1:12 AM
Mark Kelly a NO, notable as he was allegedly one of the cavers
Reposted by Sean Ehrlich
Im seeing a lot of arguments like this from colleagues in PoliSci
My view from working on autocracy is that Dems were winning on the biggest fight- making autocratization unpopular and now they're giving that up.
Those are the costs
My view from working on autocracy is that Dems were winning on the biggest fight- making autocratization unpopular and now they're giving that up.
Those are the costs
I’m not sure the benefits outweigh the costs, but this is a reasonable case that there are benefits to ending the shutdown.
I will probably get excommunicated from Bsky for saying that, but I can see a case for ending the shutdown now.
- Millions of civil servants did not get a salary for over a month, and millions are losing SNAP going into the holiday season.
- But, just as important...
- Millions of civil servants did not get a salary for over a month, and millions are losing SNAP going into the holiday season.
- But, just as important...
November 10, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Im seeing a lot of arguments like this from colleagues in PoliSci
My view from working on autocracy is that Dems were winning on the biggest fight- making autocratization unpopular and now they're giving that up.
Those are the costs
My view from working on autocracy is that Dems were winning on the biggest fight- making autocratization unpopular and now they're giving that up.
Those are the costs
I’m not sure the benefits outweigh the costs, but this is a reasonable case that there are benefits to ending the shutdown.
I will probably get excommunicated from Bsky for saying that, but I can see a case for ending the shutdown now.
- Millions of civil servants did not get a salary for over a month, and millions are losing SNAP going into the holiday season.
- But, just as important...
- Millions of civil servants did not get a salary for over a month, and millions are losing SNAP going into the holiday season.
- But, just as important...
November 10, 2025 at 12:53 AM
I’m not sure the benefits outweigh the costs, but this is a reasonable case that there are benefits to ending the shutdown.
If you’re too squishy for MattY, you probably have some serious soul searching to do.
This seems significant
November 9, 2025 at 8:51 PM
If you’re too squishy for MattY, you probably have some serious soul searching to do.
That wasted TO when they tried to substitute on defense sure seems important now.
November 8, 2025 at 8:37 PM
That wasted TO when they tried to substitute on defense sure seems important now.
You can take the Team away from James Franklin, but you can’t take the James Franklin out of the team.
November 8, 2025 at 8:27 PM
You can take the Team away from James Franklin, but you can’t take the James Franklin out of the team.
If James Franklin were still the coach, he’d figure out a way to screw this up in the last 4 minutes.
November 8, 2025 at 8:08 PM
If James Franklin were still the coach, he’d figure out a way to screw this up in the last 4 minutes.
Reposted by Sean Ehrlich
The elimination of USAID was an unforgivable moral atrocity that should haunt Trump, Elon Musk and Marco Rubio for the rest of their days and beyond
One analytical model shows that, as of November 5th, the dismantling of U.S.A.I.D. has already caused the deaths of 600,000 people, two-thirds of them children. https://newyorkermag.visitlink.me/jUzNSc
The Shutdown of U.S.A.I.D. Has Already Killed Hundreds of Thousands
The short documentary “Rovina’s Choice” tells the story of what goes when aid goes.
newyorkermag.visitlink.me
November 7, 2025 at 2:36 AM
The elimination of USAID was an unforgivable moral atrocity that should haunt Trump, Elon Musk and Marco Rubio for the rest of their days and beyond
Reposted by Sean Ehrlich
Was this the best use of my time today? No. Is it the most amusing way I could have spent the last 90 minutes? Absolutely. Pattern is free here: bit.ly/4nGGCGc
November 6, 2025 at 10:06 PM
Was this the best use of my time today? No. Is it the most amusing way I could have spent the last 90 minutes? Absolutely. Pattern is free here: bit.ly/4nGGCGc
Glad I don’t have any need to fly anywhere for at least the next month and half of not longer.
November 7, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Glad I don’t have any need to fly anywhere for at least the next month and half of not longer.
People seemed to have missed the implication of putting ‘reason’ in scare quotes. I don’t actually think MTG is reasonable.
When MTG is the voice of ‘reason’ in your party, your party has truly gone off the rails.
CNN: Johnson and Thune have downplayed the elections results. Are they wrong?
MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE: I don't think they should downplay it. In Georgia we lost 2 very important Public Service Commission seats that were statewide races. I think that should be a big wakeup call.
MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE: I don't think they should downplay it. In Georgia we lost 2 very important Public Service Commission seats that were statewide races. I think that should be a big wakeup call.
November 7, 2025 at 2:08 AM
People seemed to have missed the implication of putting ‘reason’ in scare quotes. I don’t actually think MTG is reasonable.
When MTG is the voice of ‘reason’ in your party, your party has truly gone off the rails.
CNN: Johnson and Thune have downplayed the elections results. Are they wrong?
MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE: I don't think they should downplay it. In Georgia we lost 2 very important Public Service Commission seats that were statewide races. I think that should be a big wakeup call.
MARJORIE TAYLOR GREENE: I don't think they should downplay it. In Georgia we lost 2 very important Public Service Commission seats that were statewide races. I think that should be a big wakeup call.
November 6, 2025 at 5:06 PM
When MTG is the voice of ‘reason’ in your party, your party has truly gone off the rails.
When even Justice Thomas is having a go at you in oral arguments, things are not going well. (This is not me predicting that Justice Thomas or even any of the other R justices will vote against the tariffs but I’d no longer be completely surprised if he did.)
I assume the Major Questions Doctrine will play a big role in this argument. At face value, it seems really a good fit for the problem: Congress wouldn't have accidentally given the President the power to impose irrational tariffs at his fancy without saying so. /3
November 6, 2025 at 1:30 AM
When even Justice Thomas is having a go at you in oral arguments, things are not going well. (This is not me predicting that Justice Thomas or even any of the other R justices will vote against the tariffs but I’d no longer be completely surprised if he did.)
Reposted by Sean Ehrlich
on this day in 1930, writer Sinclair Lewis becomes first American to win Nobel Prize in Lit.
“Call me a socialist or any blame thing you want to, as long as you grab hold of the other end of the cross-cut saw with me and help slash the big logs of Poverty and Intolerance to pieces.”
“Call me a socialist or any blame thing you want to, as long as you grab hold of the other end of the cross-cut saw with me and help slash the big logs of Poverty and Intolerance to pieces.”
November 5, 2025 at 12:50 PM
on this day in 1930, writer Sinclair Lewis becomes first American to win Nobel Prize in Lit.
“Call me a socialist or any blame thing you want to, as long as you grab hold of the other end of the cross-cut saw with me and help slash the big logs of Poverty and Intolerance to pieces.”
“Call me a socialist or any blame thing you want to, as long as you grab hold of the other end of the cross-cut saw with me and help slash the big logs of Poverty and Intolerance to pieces.”
Not an Ivy prof, but I’m available and willing to change my handle if necessary.
It is officially time for the Democratic Party to stop wasting money on their out of touch consultant class, and start paying for insights from Bluesky posters named "<--- kill me" and "Kicked In The Farm Parts"
November 5, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Not an Ivy prof, but I’m available and willing to change my handle if necessary.
Reposted by Sean Ehrlich
Happy tariff oral arguments day to all who celebrate! Listen in here (audio not started yet, but should any minute now): www.supremecourt.gov/oral_argumen...
Live Oral Argument Audio
Live Oral Argument Audio
www.supremecourt.gov
November 5, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Happy tariff oral arguments day to all who celebrate! Listen in here (audio not started yet, but should any minute now): www.supremecourt.gov/oral_argumen...
Sleeping
What’s the opposite of doomscrolling?
November 5, 2025 at 2:57 AM
Sleeping
Staten Island reliably demonstrating who the Republican is in the race.
November 5, 2025 at 2:29 AM
Staten Island reliably demonstrating who the Republican is in the race.
And AP calls it for Sherrill just over 10 minutes after I posted this and only a couple minutes after Somerset, the last county to report any results, showed Sherrill running slightly ahead of Harris there in their 1st batch of votes.
Middlesex (my home county) just announced 70% of the vote counted with Sherrill winning 65/35. Harris won the county 52/44 last year. Probably won’t be long before AP calls it, I’d guess.
November 5, 2025 at 2:27 AM
And AP calls it for Sherrill just over 10 minutes after I posted this and only a couple minutes after Somerset, the last county to report any results, showed Sherrill running slightly ahead of Harris there in their 1st batch of votes.
AP has still not called the NJ governor’s race. My guess is that they’re waiting for returns from Middlesex and Somerset counties to at least start to come in. These are large-ish and swingy counties that have not reported any votes yet.
November 5, 2025 at 2:07 AM
AP has still not called the NJ governor’s race. My guess is that they’re waiting for returns from Middlesex and Somerset counties to at least start to come in. These are large-ish and swingy counties that have not reported any votes yet.
My analysis was overtaken by results (a call for Sherrill) but here’s what I swear I was going to say:
Ocean County was largest pro-Trump county in 2024. With over 40% of the vote counted, Sherrill is running ~3% ahead of Harris who won the state by 6. Very good early sign for the Dems.
Ocean County was largest pro-Trump county in 2024. With over 40% of the vote counted, Sherrill is running ~3% ahead of Harris who won the state by 6. Very good early sign for the Dems.
In the early returns in NJ (which might be vote by mail and, thus, vey much not representative) is running even or ahead of the Harris 2024’vote in every county that has returns.
November 5, 2025 at 1:20 AM
My analysis was overtaken by results (a call for Sherrill) but here’s what I swear I was going to say:
Ocean County was largest pro-Trump county in 2024. With over 40% of the vote counted, Sherrill is running ~3% ahead of Harris who won the state by 6. Very good early sign for the Dems.
Ocean County was largest pro-Trump county in 2024. With over 40% of the vote counted, Sherrill is running ~3% ahead of Harris who won the state by 6. Very good early sign for the Dems.
In the early returns in NJ (which might be vote by mail and, thus, vey much not representative) is running even or ahead of the Harris 2024’vote in every county that has returns.
November 5, 2025 at 1:17 AM
In the early returns in NJ (which might be vote by mail and, thus, vey much not representative) is running even or ahead of the Harris 2024’vote in every county that has returns.
That was fast! Congrats to Governor Spanberger and to Virginia.
They called it! Abigail Spanberger won the Virginia gubernatorial race!
November 5, 2025 at 12:31 AM
That was fast! Congrats to Governor Spanberger and to Virginia.
Reposted by Sean Ehrlich
REMEMBER, if you are in line to vote in the New York City elections NO YOU ARE NOT you are On Line
November 4, 2025 at 10:50 PM
REMEMBER, if you are in line to vote in the New York City elections NO YOU ARE NOT you are On Line
The race I’m really looking at is the Jersey City mayor’s race. In HS, I volunteered for McGreevey’s 1st election to mayor of Woodbridge and my 1st job was as his intern after he won. I also worked on his re-election campaign and state Senator campaign. McGreevey was my intro to practical politics.
As a former New Jerseyan, I’m going to be keeping a close eye on the gubernatorial race there this evening. I’m optimistic but I have been optimistic the last three presidential elections and that hasn’t worked out so well.
November 4, 2025 at 11:42 PM
The race I’m really looking at is the Jersey City mayor’s race. In HS, I volunteered for McGreevey’s 1st election to mayor of Woodbridge and my 1st job was as his intern after he won. I also worked on his re-election campaign and state Senator campaign. McGreevey was my intro to practical politics.