Will Satterthwaite
@satterwill.bsky.social
Research ecologist. All posts are mine only and do not speak for my employer. California salmon, stock assessment, and ecosystem based management are my big things professionally. Dogs are my big thing personally.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
Outcomes aren't important to anyone, just positioning yourself as the pathetic dupes crying that the wallet inspector never gave it back. Voters love this. Excuses are so much better than delivering, and people really respect marks.
November 10, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Outcomes aren't important to anyone, just positioning yourself as the pathetic dupes crying that the wallet inspector never gave it back. Voters love this. Excuses are so much better than delivering, and people really respect marks.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
Chuck Schumer Helps Pull Democrats Back From Brink Of Courage
November 10, 2025 at 5:02 AM
Chuck Schumer Helps Pull Democrats Back From Brink Of Courage
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
When you have no language for, or reject the concept of, what SHOULD be, it turns out that everything that happens feels inevitable and any outcome you can claim you had a hand in feels like success!
That's bad! That's really, really bad!
That's bad! That's really, really bad!
November 10, 2025 at 12:25 AM
When you have no language for, or reject the concept of, what SHOULD be, it turns out that everything that happens feels inevitable and any outcome you can claim you had a hand in feels like success!
That's bad! That's really, really bad!
That's bad! That's really, really bad!
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
apropos of nothing I wrote a book a long time ago about how the DLC and Bill Clinton redefined winning for an entire generation of Democrats as "getting something done" through bipartisanship and compromise rather than achieving (or even having!) a specific outcome in mind, and, what do I know.
Chaotic Neutral: How the Democrats Lost Their Soul in the Center
Chaotic Neutral: How the Democrats Lost Their Soul in the Center [Burmila, Ed] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. Chaotic Neutral: How the Democrats Lost Their Soul in the Center
www.amazon.com
November 10, 2025 at 12:21 AM
apropos of nothing I wrote a book a long time ago about how the DLC and Bill Clinton redefined winning for an entire generation of Democrats as "getting something done" through bipartisanship and compromise rather than achieving (or even having!) a specific outcome in mind, and, what do I know.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
"If you are going to pursue an uncertain outcome, you might as well pursue the uncertain outcome that you want, rather than one that will not give you what you want even if it succeeds."
Fight For What You Actually Want remains the savviest political strategy even though it is the least embraced by the people who consider themselves the most savvy.
www.hamiltonnolan.com/p/do-what-yo...
www.hamiltonnolan.com/p/do-what-yo...
Do What You Believe In
How to navigate a complex political world.
www.hamiltonnolan.com
November 7, 2025 at 5:05 PM
"If you are going to pursue an uncertain outcome, you might as well pursue the uncertain outcome that you want, rather than one that will not give you what you want even if it succeeds."
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
Just need everyone to Google the name "Rosalind Franklin" at this moment.
Hey folks, as news of Watson's demise spreads, please don't set aside his weighty legacy of misogyny and racism. He was truly among the worst of us. www.vox.com/2019/1/15/18...
DNA scientist James Watson has a remarkably long history of sexist, racist public comments
“People say it would be terrible if we made all girls pretty,” he said in 2003. “I think it would be great.”
www.vox.com
November 7, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Just need everyone to Google the name "Rosalind Franklin" at this moment.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
It is worth saying that putting “Africana studies” in scare quotes as if it’s a ridiculous concept is not a political argument. It’s just racism. “Africa is not worthy of a major” is the implication. Yeah dude you’re just racist. (From Gerard Baker at the WSJ today)
www.wsj.com/opinion/mamd...
www.wsj.com/opinion/mamd...
November 4, 2025 at 1:36 PM
It is worth saying that putting “Africana studies” in scare quotes as if it’s a ridiculous concept is not a political argument. It’s just racism. “Africa is not worthy of a major” is the implication. Yeah dude you’re just racist. (From Gerard Baker at the WSJ today)
www.wsj.com/opinion/mamd...
www.wsj.com/opinion/mamd...
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
you can convincingly portray this whole financialized AI edifice as a mortgage crisis-style house of cards without even mentioning that the fundamental product is unreliable, based on outright theft, and people don’t like it.
November 3, 2025 at 8:26 PM
you can convincingly portray this whole financialized AI edifice as a mortgage crisis-style house of cards without even mentioning that the fundamental product is unreliable, based on outright theft, and people don’t like it.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
I know people love to donate goods, it feels concrete and satisfying, but a food bank can make that $2 or $5 go soooo much further than you can.
Just donate the cash.
And, then they also don't need to assign staff to sort, manage, and figure out how to distribute the random donations.
Just donate the cash.
And, then they also don't need to assign staff to sort, manage, and figure out how to distribute the random donations.
The science is clear - SNAP reduces food insecurity, improves health outcomes, and lower healthcare costs.
Although fed judges ruled the admin can NOT withhold SNAP disbursements, it appears they plan to do just that.
We’re mobilizing a national food drive - join here👇
zurl.co/BrvG5
Although fed judges ruled the admin can NOT withhold SNAP disbursements, it appears they plan to do just that.
We’re mobilizing a national food drive - join here👇
zurl.co/BrvG5
November 2, 2025 at 4:18 PM
I know people love to donate goods, it feels concrete and satisfying, but a food bank can make that $2 or $5 go soooo much further than you can.
Just donate the cash.
And, then they also don't need to assign staff to sort, manage, and figure out how to distribute the random donations.
Just donate the cash.
And, then they also don't need to assign staff to sort, manage, and figure out how to distribute the random donations.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
This is partisan hack analysis. This is "obvious" only to ideologues that already believed this. The Dems were hurt by rising prices, a doddering, unpopular incumbent, and the administration's enabling of a genocide. They tried to fix the second problem by dumping Biden, but it wasn't enough.
November 1, 2025 at 1:55 PM
This is partisan hack analysis. This is "obvious" only to ideologues that already believed this. The Dems were hurt by rising prices, a doddering, unpopular incumbent, and the administration's enabling of a genocide. They tried to fix the second problem by dumping Biden, but it wasn't enough.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
The people yearn for (democratic) socialism (this one will make you cry)
October 30, 2025 at 1:06 AM
The people yearn for (democratic) socialism (this one will make you cry)
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
If SNAP benefits don’t go out November 1, it’s not because of the shutdown or because SNAP ran out of money.
It’s because the Trump admin is illegally refusing to use the money in the SNAP contingency fund.
The same admin that enacted the largest cuts to SNAP in history.
It’s because the Trump admin is illegally refusing to use the money in the SNAP contingency fund.
The same admin that enacted the largest cuts to SNAP in history.
October 29, 2025 at 3:08 PM
If SNAP benefits don’t go out November 1, it’s not because of the shutdown or because SNAP ran out of money.
It’s because the Trump admin is illegally refusing to use the money in the SNAP contingency fund.
The same admin that enacted the largest cuts to SNAP in history.
It’s because the Trump admin is illegally refusing to use the money in the SNAP contingency fund.
The same admin that enacted the largest cuts to SNAP in history.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
this is a very impressive analysis of some of the statistical "oddities" in Pielke Jr's analysis that normalized climate impacts are declining. Everyone should read this.
economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...
economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...
Roger Pielke Jr.’s Appallingly Bad Analysis of Billion Dollar Disasters – Economics from the Top Down
In a recent paper called Scientific integrity and U.S. “Billion Dollar Disasters”, Roger Pielke Jr. published a chart that's so bad I've devoted a whole essay to debunking it.
economicsfromthetopdown.com
October 29, 2025 at 1:53 AM
this is a very impressive analysis of some of the statistical "oddities" in Pielke Jr's analysis that normalized climate impacts are declining. Everyone should read this.
economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...
economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
Notice how it’s somehow the government’s job to legislate a few Bible verses on human sexuality over our entire country, but it’s suddenly “not the government’s job” when it comes to the +2,500 Bible verses calling for a generous use of wealth that prioritizes the poor.
October 28, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Notice how it’s somehow the government’s job to legislate a few Bible verses on human sexuality over our entire country, but it’s suddenly “not the government’s job” when it comes to the +2,500 Bible verses calling for a generous use of wealth that prioritizes the poor.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
This is a Grateful Dead Skull. Notice the deeply baked look in its eyes.
This is a stoner skull, not a Nazi skull. You may end up locked in on the couch listening to endless riffs, but you won’t end up locked in a camp. 4/x
This is a stoner skull, not a Nazi skull. You may end up locked in on the couch listening to endless riffs, but you won’t end up locked in a camp. 4/x
October 22, 2025 at 5:23 AM
This is a Grateful Dead Skull. Notice the deeply baked look in its eyes.
This is a stoner skull, not a Nazi skull. You may end up locked in on the couch listening to endless riffs, but you won’t end up locked in a camp. 4/x
This is a stoner skull, not a Nazi skull. You may end up locked in on the couch listening to endless riffs, but you won’t end up locked in a camp. 4/x
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
It’s hard to get good information about anything online. I get it. The legacy media ran a coordinated campaign of interference to lie to people about what Trump was planning to do. I get it.
We all live in the same bad information environment. Time to learn how to navigate it, maybe.
We all live in the same bad information environment. Time to learn how to navigate it, maybe.
October 22, 2025 at 8:37 PM
It’s hard to get good information about anything online. I get it. The legacy media ran a coordinated campaign of interference to lie to people about what Trump was planning to do. I get it.
We all live in the same bad information environment. Time to learn how to navigate it, maybe.
We all live in the same bad information environment. Time to learn how to navigate it, maybe.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
I am for a big tent, I just don’t think people who have been wrong about everything that led us to this point should be in charge of deciding who is in it and on what terms.
Funny how everyone I hear about the big tent from clearly sees themselves in the role of Tent Access Manager
October 20, 2025 at 4:12 PM
I am for a big tent, I just don’t think people who have been wrong about everything that led us to this point should be in charge of deciding who is in it and on what terms.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
This is what Leadership Culture gets you: people in charge with no skills, no knowledge of the thing they’re supposedly in charge of, and no incentive to mitigate risk, betting the future of the institution and everyone in it on whatever shiny objects they recognize from skimming Forbes.
The man betting everything on AI and Bill Belichick | TechCrunch
UNC Chancellor Lee Roberts is making big bets on AI and Bill Belichick, and he sounds like a Silicon Valley CEO while doing it.
techcrunch.com
October 20, 2025 at 2:15 PM
This is what Leadership Culture gets you: people in charge with no skills, no knowledge of the thing they’re supposedly in charge of, and no incentive to mitigate risk, betting the future of the institution and everyone in it on whatever shiny objects they recognize from skimming Forbes.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
Can someone good at economy tell me if it’s good that this thing that has consumed more investment than the interstate highway system is incapable of providing any kind of economic return
BREAKING: Microsoft, $MSFT, leaders worried that meeting OpenAI’s rapidly escalating compute demands could lead to overbuilding servers that might not generate a financial return, per the Information
October 19, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Can someone good at economy tell me if it’s good that this thing that has consumed more investment than the interstate highway system is incapable of providing any kind of economic return
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
For sure some of the legacy media outlets are downplaying the protests because they’re aligned with Trump, but I think an even bigger factor is how many elite journalists have a patrician disdain for the idea that politics can happen in the streets and not just the CNN green room.
October 18, 2025 at 10:22 PM
For sure some of the legacy media outlets are downplaying the protests because they’re aligned with Trump, but I think an even bigger factor is how many elite journalists have a patrician disdain for the idea that politics can happen in the streets and not just the CNN green room.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
In 1910, the Census director had the brilliant idea of paying local census officials by the person counted. Grift thrived. Eg, 30,000, or 25%, of Tacoma WA's records were found to be faked.
Paying ICE bonuses for exceeding a quota of people disappeared makes the 1910 Census bureau look great again.
Paying ICE bonuses for exceeding a quota of people disappeared makes the 1910 Census bureau look great again.
October 17, 2025 at 2:09 AM
In 1910, the Census director had the brilliant idea of paying local census officials by the person counted. Grift thrived. Eg, 30,000, or 25%, of Tacoma WA's records were found to be faked.
Paying ICE bonuses for exceeding a quota of people disappeared makes the 1910 Census bureau look great again.
Paying ICE bonuses for exceeding a quota of people disappeared makes the 1910 Census bureau look great again.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
"What if, in the process of trying to ban AI products that quite actually encourage children to kill themselves, we wind up banning chatbots that help children cheat on their homework, diminish their propensity for critical thought, and lead to the development of other forms of AI psychosis?"
CA governor Gavin Newsom vetoed both of the major AI bills on his desk that Silicon Valley meaningfully opposed—one making it illegal for bosses to use AI to fire workers with no oversight, one requiring chatbot sellers to ensure their products do not harm children before marketing to them.
Silicon Valley's capture of our political institutions is all but complete
The tech lobby kills off two key California AI bills, and why it matters. Plus: How Sam Altman played Hollywood with Sora 2, organized mass social media deletions, and more.
www.bloodinthemachine.com
October 16, 2025 at 11:23 PM
"What if, in the process of trying to ban AI products that quite actually encourage children to kill themselves, we wind up banning chatbots that help children cheat on their homework, diminish their propensity for critical thought, and lead to the development of other forms of AI psychosis?"
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
Sunday reading:
I wrote about the aggrieved extremist who is currently firing thousands of federal workers and ravaging state capacity based on conspiratorial nonsense - and about mainstream media’s infuriating tendency to sanitize Russell Vought and the regime he serves.
This week’s piece:
I wrote about the aggrieved extremist who is currently firing thousands of federal workers and ravaging state capacity based on conspiratorial nonsense - and about mainstream media’s infuriating tendency to sanitize Russell Vought and the regime he serves.
This week’s piece:
We need to talk about Russell Vought – But Properly
Why certain mainstream outlets insist on sanitizing Vought as a devout “small government” conservative – and what actually animates his war against pluralistic democracy
steady.page
October 12, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Sunday reading:
I wrote about the aggrieved extremist who is currently firing thousands of federal workers and ravaging state capacity based on conspiratorial nonsense - and about mainstream media’s infuriating tendency to sanitize Russell Vought and the regime he serves.
This week’s piece:
I wrote about the aggrieved extremist who is currently firing thousands of federal workers and ravaging state capacity based on conspiratorial nonsense - and about mainstream media’s infuriating tendency to sanitize Russell Vought and the regime he serves.
This week’s piece:
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
California keeps passing overwhelmingly popular bills by wide margins and Gavin Newsom, who sucks, keeps vetoing them https://ogletree.com/insights-resources/blog-posts/california-governor-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-required-employers-to-provide-notice-of-ai-use/
California Governor Vetoes Bill That Would Have Required Employers to Provide Notice of AI Use - Ogletree
On October 13, 2025, California Governor Gavin Newsom vetoed legislation that would have regulated employers’ use of artificial intelligence (AI) and other automated decisionmaking technologies in employment-related decisions, citing concerns about “overly broad restrictions” on employers’ use of the technology. The legislation, passed on the heels of the finalization of two separate sets of state AI regulations, would have added to California’s increasingly complicated web of overlapping and sometimes inconsistent laws and regulations concerning such technology.
ogletree.com
October 15, 2025 at 9:39 PM
California keeps passing overwhelmingly popular bills by wide margins and Gavin Newsom, who sucks, keeps vetoing them https://ogletree.com/insights-resources/blog-posts/california-governor-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-required-employers-to-provide-notice-of-ai-use/
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
If you have an unprofitable business model, increased demand means you’ll lose even more money, until at some point investors will realize that. That is the lesson of the Dot Com crash.
October 15, 2025 at 10:44 AM
If you have an unprofitable business model, increased demand means you’ll lose even more money, until at some point investors will realize that. That is the lesson of the Dot Com crash.