Will Satterthwaite
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satterwill.bsky.social
Will Satterthwaite
@satterwill.bsky.social
Research ecologist. All posts are mine only and do not speak for my employer. California salmon, stock assessment, and ecosystem based management are my big things professionally. Dogs are my big thing personally.
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
Yeah, sorry. That's an understandable confusion upon first seeing it. The first three screenshots are from Barro's NYT piece today. The fourth is from my article that came out yesterday. The character limit meant I couldn't spell it out.

But yes: how can he not understand this? (By not wanting to.)
November 11, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
Outcomes aren't important to anyone, just positioning yourself as the pathetic dupes crying that the wallet inspector never gave it back. Voters love this. Excuses are so much better than delivering, and people really respect marks.
November 10, 2025 at 7:46 PM
And for just historical escapement data, nrm.dfg.ca.gov/FileHandler...., and the whole CalFish page is worth poking around on.
nrm.dfg.ca.gov
November 10, 2025 at 6:36 PM
Not exactly what you are looking for and not Tuolumne-specific, but are you aware of www.cbr.washington.edu/sacramento/d...
Data & Alerts: SacPAS Central Valley Prediction and Assessment of Salmon and other fishes
www.cbr.washington.edu
November 10, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
When you have no language for, or reject the concept of, what SHOULD be, it turns out that everything that happens feels inevitable and any outcome you can claim you had a hand in feels like success!

That's bad! That's really, really bad!
November 10, 2025 at 12:25 AM
It's part of a mark-recapture type approach to estimating the total number of carcasses in the system, realizing that some carcasses will be missed but you can get an idea of detection probability by doing multiple passes. See the methods tab of www.calfish.org/ProgramsData...
Tuolumne River Escapement
www.calfish.org
November 2, 2025 at 10:13 PM
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
This is a Grateful Dead Skull. Notice the deeply baked look in its eyes.

This is a stoner skull, not a Nazi skull. You may end up locked in on the couch listening to endless riffs, but you won’t end up locked in a camp. 4/x
October 22, 2025 at 5:23 AM
Reposted by Will Satterthwaite
It’s hard to get good information about anything online. I get it. The legacy media ran a coordinated campaign of interference to lie to people about what Trump was planning to do. I get it.

We all live in the same bad information environment. Time to learn how to navigate it, maybe.
October 22, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Great dogs. I thought this guy was a pug x red heeler when I adopted him, but the DNA test said pug x husky.
October 20, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Old man staffy / chihuahua / pug / ACS / shih tzu / poodle / many kinds of terriers / [but somehow no lab?] who just had a lumpectomy but really he's always this mellow says hi.
October 20, 2025 at 12:02 PM