David Rosnick
@rosnick.bsky.social
Fallen physicist. Avid bridge player. Longtime CEPR (DC)
Most likely to understand you if you refer to me with he/him; feel free to go with they if that helps; won’t be offended but if you pick she/her you’re likely adding noise to the signal
Most likely to understand you if you refer to me with he/him; feel free to go with they if that helps; won’t be offended but if you pick she/her you’re likely adding noise to the signal
Pinned
David Rosnick
@rosnick.bsky.social
· Apr 9
Do Venezuelan Oil Revenues Drive Migration to the US? A Reappraisal of the Bahar and Hausmann Results
We show that their results are driven by a flawed empirical specification that appears to be the result of a coding error.
cepr.net
New from Francisco Rodríguez, myself, and Giancarlo Bravo:
That recent counter-intuitive @cgdev.org piece by Bahar and Hausmann suffers fatal flaws, starting with a Stata programming error. We fall back on the intuitive conclusion that U.S. economic conditions drive encounters at the border
That recent counter-intuitive @cgdev.org piece by Bahar and Hausmann suffers fatal flaws, starting with a Stata programming error. We fall back on the intuitive conclusion that U.S. economic conditions drive encounters at the border
(Yes I see it; no I’m not fixing it)
February 4, 2026 at 8:37 PM
(Yes I see it; no I’m not fixing it)
And also why you can’t give ANY administration the tools because even if they use them the way you want then the tools are still there for an administration you do don’t like
February 4, 2026 at 8:33 PM
And also why you can’t give ANY administration the tools because even if they use them the way you want then the tools are still there for an administration you do don’t like
Reposted by David Rosnick
I've reread this like 3 times. Freed herself from slavery by running away, *went back a week later bc the slaver was talking shit, set his house on fire, and then escaped again is absolutely incredible queen shit
As an aside, Rachel is a legend. (From Fischer’s “African Founders”)
February 4, 2026 at 1:51 PM
I've reread this like 3 times. Freed herself from slavery by running away, *went back a week later bc the slaver was talking shit, set his house on fire, and then escaped again is absolutely incredible queen shit
Reposted by David Rosnick
Democrats Condemn ICE For Murdering Without Proper Warrants https://theonion.com/democrats-condemn-ice-for-murdering-without-proper-warrants/
January 30, 2026 at 2:01 AM
Democrats Condemn ICE For Murdering Without Proper Warrants https://theonion.com/democrats-condemn-ice-for-murdering-without-proper-warrants/
Reposted by David Rosnick
Donald Graham didn't just sell the Washington Post to Jeff Bezos, who is merrily dismantling it today. Before that Graham let Mark Zuckerberg out of an agreement for the Post to buy 10 percent of Facebook for $6 million. Today that 10 percent would be worth $175 billion.
February 4, 2026 at 2:03 PM
Donald Graham didn't just sell the Washington Post to Jeff Bezos, who is merrily dismantling it today. Before that Graham let Mark Zuckerberg out of an agreement for the Post to buy 10 percent of Facebook for $6 million. Today that 10 percent would be worth $175 billion.
Thanks. It’s not good
I had flagged the dropped apostrophe as one sign that the passage was worthy of skepticism; that it seems to be JE’s edit makes more sense of that
I had flagged the dropped apostrophe as one sign that the passage was worthy of skepticism; that it seems to be JE’s edit makes more sense of that
February 4, 2026 at 12:24 PM
Thanks. It’s not good
I had flagged the dropped apostrophe as one sign that the passage was worthy of skepticism; that it seems to be JE’s edit makes more sense of that
I had flagged the dropped apostrophe as one sign that the passage was worthy of skepticism; that it seems to be JE’s edit makes more sense of that
Reposted by David Rosnick
Fucking surreal that people dressed like this and carrying assault rifles are permitted to kidnap people off our streets
February 3, 2026 at 11:35 PM
Fucking surreal that people dressed like this and carrying assault rifles are permitted to kidnap people off our streets
Reposted by David Rosnick
Federal Judges have a very real and well-established reason to fear doxing and violence and yet I doubt anyone thinks it would be acceptable for them to preside from the bench in a hood.
February 4, 2026 at 2:10 AM
Federal Judges have a very real and well-established reason to fear doxing and violence and yet I doubt anyone thinks it would be acceptable for them to preside from the bench in a hood.
It’s not magic. I understand, however, that counting votes might SEEM like magic after years of eating too much of that sweet, sweet lead paint
Mike Johnson on Trump calling for Rs to "nationalize" elections: "We had 3 Republicans who were ahead on election day in last cycle & every time a new tranche of ballots came in they just magically whittled away until their leads were lost. It looks on its face to be fraudulent. Can I prove it? No"
February 3, 2026 at 10:37 PM
It’s not magic. I understand, however, that counting votes might SEEM like magic after years of eating too much of that sweet, sweet lead paint
Reposted by David Rosnick
Therein lies the problem. ICE is terrorizing Los Angeles, and local police are choosing not to enforce the law banning masked federal agents.
This is how trust collapses.
This is how trust collapses.
February 3, 2026 at 12:24 PM
Therein lies the problem. ICE is terrorizing Los Angeles, and local police are choosing not to enforce the law banning masked federal agents.
This is how trust collapses.
This is how trust collapses.
It's not a perfect metaphor but that's my view of "better training" and all that
February 3, 2026 at 3:54 PM
It's not a perfect metaphor but that's my view of "better training" and all that
ICE is the SA but folks like @schumer.senate.gov prefer the SS
MAGA figures are now calling for an *escalation* in ICE's war on Americans. "Raise the temperature," says Steve Bannon. They want an authoritarian terror state and they see ICE as its vanguard.
On the pod @gbrockell.bsky.social is good on the sadism that defines ICE:
newrepublic.com/article/2060...
On the pod @gbrockell.bsky.social is good on the sadism that defines ICE:
newrepublic.com/article/2060...
Trump ICE Threats Take Darker Turn as MAGA Erupts in Demands for Blood
As Trump’s designs grow more unnerving and MAGA figures call for an escalation, a journalist who closely tracks ICE explains how the agency is effectively becoming an instrument of authoritarian state...
newrepublic.com
February 3, 2026 at 3:42 PM
ICE is the SA but folks like @schumer.senate.gov prefer the SS
Reposted by David Rosnick
Kicking their own voters directly in the teeth, as they do.
Dr Oz on rural healthcare: "There's no question about it, whether you want it or not -- the best way to help some of these communities is gonna be AI-based avatars"
February 3, 2026 at 3:18 PM
Kicking their own voters directly in the teeth, as they do.
Reposted by David Rosnick
Presented without comment. I just want everyone here to know.
I want you to know what you're looking at the next time you see this guy being interviewed or RTed by an Abundance bro.
1/8
I want you to know what you're looking at the next time you see this guy being interviewed or RTed by an Abundance bro.
1/8
February 2, 2026 at 9:16 PM
Presented without comment. I just want everyone here to know.
I want you to know what you're looking at the next time you see this guy being interviewed or RTed by an Abundance bro.
1/8
I want you to know what you're looking at the next time you see this guy being interviewed or RTed by an Abundance bro.
1/8
Reposted by David Rosnick
All bodycams are going to do is facilitate a surge in prosecutions for “assaulting agents” and improve data collection about protesters so good work everyone who pushed for that big reform.
February 2, 2026 at 10:07 PM
All bodycams are going to do is facilitate a surge in prosecutions for “assaulting agents” and improve data collection about protesters so good work everyone who pushed for that big reform.
Reposted by David Rosnick
Impeachment is the only Constitutional check Congress has against a lawless president and talking about it would be a good start to reasserting Congressional power in the future. Assuming of course Congress wants to do that
Speaking out like this is all they can do now. Impeachment is a total and complete joke, and threatening to use it is akin to threatening to hit someone with a wet noodle. Impeachment is no longer a viable tool to use against Republican politicians.
February 2, 2026 at 2:37 PM
Impeachment is the only Constitutional check Congress has against a lawless president and talking about it would be a good start to reasserting Congressional power in the future. Assuming of course Congress wants to do that
Please do not get carried away. Use of nominal exchange rates makes this highly misleading. Real GDP grew 57% from 1999-2013, or 3.3% per year.
Better than say, Mexico, which came in under 1.8% per year. But VZ growth not as stunning as suggested
Better than say, Mexico, which came in under 1.8% per year. But VZ growth not as stunning as suggested
February 2, 2026 at 4:42 PM
Please do not get carried away. Use of nominal exchange rates makes this highly misleading. Real GDP grew 57% from 1999-2013, or 3.3% per year.
Better than say, Mexico, which came in under 1.8% per year. But VZ growth not as stunning as suggested
Better than say, Mexico, which came in under 1.8% per year. But VZ growth not as stunning as suggested
Reposted by David Rosnick
like this is absurd, get over yourselves
February 2, 2026 at 1:57 PM
like this is absurd, get over yourselves
Reposted by David Rosnick
Good to see that many Dem elected officials now want to be seen getting involved in the cases of immigrants who have been wrongly detained by ICE.
Let's spare a word for @vanhollen.senate.gov, who did this for Kilmar Abrego Garcia back when wise pundits said this was politically dangerous.
Let's spare a word for @vanhollen.senate.gov, who did this for Kilmar Abrego Garcia back when wise pundits said this was politically dangerous.
February 1, 2026 at 11:32 PM
Good to see that many Dem elected officials now want to be seen getting involved in the cases of immigrants who have been wrongly detained by ICE.
Let's spare a word for @vanhollen.senate.gov, who did this for Kilmar Abrego Garcia back when wise pundits said this was politically dangerous.
Let's spare a word for @vanhollen.senate.gov, who did this for Kilmar Abrego Garcia back when wise pundits said this was politically dangerous.
Reposted by David Rosnick
this is like watching two paramecia bonking into each other. if, you know, single-celled organisms could also be billionaire sex criminals
Jeff Epstein calling Elon an idiot for not grokking “people in town for the UN” was an innuendo for “I, Jeff, am trafficking girls for diplomats and the powerful. Would you, Elon, a powerful man, like in on the action?” and then having to explain it to him might be my fave thing in the files so far
January 31, 2026 at 5:11 PM
this is like watching two paramecia bonking into each other. if, you know, single-celled organisms could also be billionaire sex criminals
Reposted by David Rosnick
I am sick and tired of seeing law enforcement target observers instead of ICE agents who are breaking the law. Immigration officials are not absolved from the law. 1/
January 31, 2026 at 4:37 PM
I am sick and tired of seeing law enforcement target observers instead of ICE agents who are breaking the law. Immigration officials are not absolved from the law. 1/
It’s ok they can just sell back
January 31, 2026 at 6:29 PM
It’s ok they can just sell back
NC is actually principled on 1A well past the point of embarrassment and I won’t be totally shocked if he defended JE in some fashion. But here I only see JE claiming those were “Noam”’s words and JE suggesting they are in context. Color me a little skeptical of the convicted sex offender
January 31, 2026 at 6:13 PM
NC is actually principled on 1A well past the point of embarrassment and I won’t be totally shocked if he defended JE in some fashion. But here I only see JE claiming those were “Noam”’s words and JE suggesting they are in context. Color me a little skeptical of the convicted sex offender
Reposted by David Rosnick
So if I’m understanding this sequence correctly, from Thanksgiving to Christmas 2012, Elon Musk was essentially pestering registered sex offender Jeffrey Epstein to throw him a wild party on the island.
January 30, 2026 at 9:24 PM
So if I’m understanding this sequence correctly, from Thanksgiving to Christmas 2012, Elon Musk was essentially pestering registered sex offender Jeffrey Epstein to throw him a wild party on the island.