Kevin Rye
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kevinrye.bsky.social
Kevin Rye
@kevinrye.bsky.social
Owner, Think Fan Engagement, Lecturer in football business & media at UCFB Wembley. #slavaukrani
Reposted by Kevin Rye
BBC

Bias is often in the eye of the beholder

So let’s stick to measurable facts

During 10 yrs of debate about Brexit, BBC QuestionTime had Britain’s Members of the European Parliament on the show 50 times

Every single one was from the pro Brexit minority

47 were from UKIP/BP

23 times Farage
November 14, 2025 at 7:43 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
let's see how that works for him
Trump un-endorses Marjorie Taylor Greene
November 15, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
NEW | The world has achieved nearly a tenfold increase in solar power in the ten years since the #ParisAgreement ☀️

Solar rose from providing 1% of global electricity in 2015 to 8.8% in the first half of 2025.

Emerging economies now lead this growth 📈
https://loom.ly/tlCvBso
November 14, 2025 at 12:30 PM
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Our Coalition for Change open letter to the friends of Georgia👇🏻
November 15, 2025 at 10:35 AM
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Jesse Watters is straight up lying to his audience about the Epstein emails and hoping his viewers too dull and/or indoctrinated to notice
November 14, 2025 at 1:25 AM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
Instead of just releasing the Epstein files, Trump ordered the DOJ to investigate Democrats and AG Pam Bondi is complying.

Are they setting up a pretext to block the release by arguing the files are now part of an active investigation? I’m not saying that would work, but he’s desperate to block.
November 14, 2025 at 11:16 PM
That's why the far right are moving. The tide is against them and they need to unpick whatever they can.
2/🧵 New piece with @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social in @NewRepublic: We analyzed 60,000+ respondents in the 2024 Cooperative Election Study. Gen Z has the lowest racial resentment of any generation. The generational shift overwhelms the education divide that supposedly defines modern politics.
The Shocking Truth About Gen Z Voters Is That They’re Pretty Great
Stop panicking: They are the most progressive generation ever, especially on race. If that surprises you, you’ve been listening to the wrong story.
newrepublic.com
November 14, 2025 at 11:36 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
“We are still early enough in the electoral cycle for them to take firm action & reap the benefits by the time of the next election. But that time is running out and they don’t have the bravery. They don’t have the character. They don’t have the vision. What a crushing disappointment they are […].“
A week of chaos, cowardice and negligence: Labour has managed to pack so many failures into a single five day period that it's becoming difficult to remember all the details iandunt.substack.com/p/a-week-of-...
A week of chaos, cowardice and negligence
Labour has managed to pack so much failure into a single week that it becomes hard to remember all the details.
iandunt.substack.com
November 14, 2025 at 6:13 PM
It's true. I'm struggling to support this silly mess. Mind you, it matters nowt because I could never elect a Labour MP in Guildford anyway.
This last part in particular is so poorly understood. Part of winning an election is “appealing to your lot”, part is “not upsetting or terrifying the other lot”.
Starmer is disliked by ~75% of the electorate. Newsflash: that includes quite a lot of Labour voters- and, crucially, those who may have voted for other parties or stayed at home but were comfortable with Labour winning.
November 14, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
2/🧵 New piece with @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social in @NewRepublic: We analyzed 60,000+ respondents in the 2024 Cooperative Election Study. Gen Z has the lowest racial resentment of any generation. The generational shift overwhelms the education divide that supposedly defines modern politics.
The Shocking Truth About Gen Z Voters Is That They’re Pretty Great
Stop panicking: They are the most progressive generation ever, especially on race. If that surprises you, you’ve been listening to the wrong story.
newrepublic.com
November 14, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
👇👇
November 14, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
Two stories you may not have seen this week that would be a big deal in a normal country:

1) The ‘dossier’ detailing the BBC’s editing of the Trump speech literally edited Trump’s speech.

2) The NBER calculated that Brexit’s longer term damage to GDP was greater than originally forecast.
November 14, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
Sure is going to be fun watching many Labour strategists discover next May that the party's electorate in metro areas (and Scotland, and Wales) was in fact centre-left people who believe in centre-left things more than they believe in voting for a Labour party chained to an irresponsible pledge.
November 14, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
I know its just a council by-election but hard to square "25 point Labour to Green swing", "Labour in fourth behind two parties both advocating for tax increases to pay for public services" with "here's an electorate that won't stand for tax increases to pay for public services"
Wincheap (Canterbury) Council By-Election Result:

🌍 GRN: 39.1% (+24.1)
🔶 LDM: 24.1% (-12.2)
➡️ RFM: 16.3% (New)
🌹 LAB: 12.8% (-25.5)
🌳 CON: 7.7% (-2.6)

Green GAIN from Liberal Democrat.
Changes w/ 2023.
November 14, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
Is it even possible to split from a party that technically hasn't formed yet?
Blimey. Major new split in Your Party. Blackburn MP Adnan Hussain -who is secretary of the Your Party company - says he's quitting due to "persistent infighting, factional competition, and a struggle for power, position and influence rather than a shared commitment to the common good."
November 14, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
This is the point. Policy *should not* be adjusted or fine-tuned in response to minor forecasting judgements. Decisions about whether or not to break a prominent manifesto promise *should not* depend on minor forecasting judgements. This stuff matters. We've got to do better than this.
I know it’s always like this. But one striking thing from the budget kite flying and kite pulling back in, is how major policy decisions are constantly being buffeted around by iterative forecast changes.
All feels a bit of a silly way to be making major economic policy & political decisions.
November 14, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
The European countries with the most comprehensive and best quality welfare states all have very broad tax bases as well as universal services - everyone pays in a lot, everyone receives a lot. That is a better model. Trying to shift everything onto "the wealthy" is a destabilising fantasy.
November 14, 2025 at 4:01 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
A system which seeks to have a tiny group of very wealthy people, who by definition are mobile and have very good accountants and tax lawyers, pay much/most of the bill for public services is an inherently unstable system. That may not be fair, but it is nonetheless true.
November 14, 2025 at 4:01 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
They do. We have one of the most steeply progressive tax systems in the world. Four problems with trying to pay for everything with wealth taxes (1) they are hard to collect (2) wealth is mobile, some of it will leave (3) it doesn't raise enough money (4) it creates a narrow tax base
November 14, 2025 at 3:59 PM
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November 14, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
More voters rebelling against looming tax increases by swinging behind a party loudly calling for much larger tax increases
Long Ashton (North Somerset) Council By-Election Result:

🌍 GRN: 55.7% (+25.1)
🌳 CON: 17.7% (-7.2)
➡️ RFM: 15.5% (New)
🔶 LDM: 5.7% (-28.8)
🌹 LAB: 5.4% (-4.5)

Green HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.
November 14, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
I enjoyed teaching the British anti-apartheid movement today. It's always nice to be able to feature a former student - in this case the future cabinet minister Peter Hain.
November 14, 2025 at 4:59 PM
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But James Johnson did a poll showing 700k+ people were going to leave? Surely that wasn't complete and utter obvious bollocks?
November 14, 2025 at 5:14 PM
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Don't think there's any doubt it would have been incredibly unpopular.

The relevant questions are a) will the tax rises they do instead be more or less unpopular and b) would it allow them to do things that made them look more competent in three years' time.
Quite a contrast to the BlueSky consensus the last 24 hours
Do you think the government was right or wrong to decide not to raise income tax at the Budget?

Right: 58%
Wrong: 21%

yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
November 14, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Reposted by Kevin Rye
Creating the US SA was always and obviously the idea.
"what began as a way to increase the pace of deportations has come to look like a national police force, answerable to the president, that is at least as focused on bullying the residents of Democrat-run cities as it is on deporting undocumented migrants" www.economist.com/interactive/...
See how Donald Trump is creating his own police force
Immigration agents are operating in cities with few legal constraints
www.economist.com
November 14, 2025 at 5:34 PM