Jane Vaynman
@janevaynman.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Strategic Studies at Johns Hopkins SAIS. I study arms control, nuclear weapons, international institutions, and emerging technology.
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
The new book... exists!!! Got my author copies in the mail today! Looks quite readable! Spelled my name right on the cover, even!!!
harpercollins.com/products/the-most-awful-responsibility-alex-wellerstein
harpercollins.com/products/the-most-awful-responsibility-alex-wellerstein
November 12, 2025 at 3:42 PM
The new book... exists!!! Got my author copies in the mail today! Looks quite readable! Spelled my name right on the cover, even!!!
harpercollins.com/products/the-most-awful-responsibility-alex-wellerstein
harpercollins.com/products/the-most-awful-responsibility-alex-wellerstein
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
1/4
Policymakers often do listen to publics when formulating preferences on nuclear weapon use. Our #OpenAccess article provides first-of-kind evidence about when publics enable, constrain, or are less influential. @ejisbisa.bsky.social @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
Link: doi.org/10.1017/eis....
Policymakers often do listen to publics when formulating preferences on nuclear weapon use. Our #OpenAccess article provides first-of-kind evidence about when publics enable, constrain, or are less influential. @ejisbisa.bsky.social @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
Link: doi.org/10.1017/eis....
November 12, 2025 at 2:45 PM
1/4
Policymakers often do listen to publics when formulating preferences on nuclear weapon use. Our #OpenAccess article provides first-of-kind evidence about when publics enable, constrain, or are less influential. @ejisbisa.bsky.social @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
Link: doi.org/10.1017/eis....
Policymakers often do listen to publics when formulating preferences on nuclear weapon use. Our #OpenAccess article provides first-of-kind evidence about when publics enable, constrain, or are less influential. @ejisbisa.bsky.social @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
Link: doi.org/10.1017/eis....
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
The @statedeptus.bsky.social 2021 "compliance report" is the most detailed unclassified statement on Russian, Chinese nuclear testing. DIA said something similar in 2019. Russia is directly accused of low-yield testing, while there are only concerns about Chinese transparency.
October 30, 2025 at 2:28 PM
The @statedeptus.bsky.social 2021 "compliance report" is the most detailed unclassified statement on Russian, Chinese nuclear testing. DIA said something similar in 2019. Russia is directly accused of low-yield testing, while there are only concerns about Chinese transparency.
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
1. Crises, acquisitions, and policy all suggest that conventional weapons are taking on a larger role deterring nuclear use. My new article in @intsecurity.bsky.social examines why US officials would consider conventional options when they have nuclear options available and how they might use them.
October 28, 2025 at 9:48 PM
1. Crises, acquisitions, and policy all suggest that conventional weapons are taking on a larger role deterring nuclear use. My new article in @intsecurity.bsky.social examines why US officials would consider conventional options when they have nuclear options available and how they might use them.
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
Come to Bologna in May 2026 for Workshop on *Obstructionism in International Organizations* @johnshopkinssais.bsky.social
Co-organized w/ @borzyskowski.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk
Submit by Dec 15👇
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Please spread the word 🙏
Co-organized w/ @borzyskowski.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk
Submit by Dec 15👇
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Please spread the word 🙏
Call for Papers Obstructionism in International Organizations
Date: May 20-22 2026
Location: SAIS Europe, Bologna, Italy
Hosts: Nina Hall (Johns Hopkins University, SAIS Europe) & Inken von Borzyskowski (University of Oxford)
Aim:
This workshop will bring toge...
docs.google.com
October 24, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Come to Bologna in May 2026 for Workshop on *Obstructionism in International Organizations* @johnshopkinssais.bsky.social
Co-organized w/ @borzyskowski.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk
Submit by Dec 15👇
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Please spread the word 🙏
Co-organized w/ @borzyskowski.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk
Submit by Dec 15👇
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Please spread the word 🙏
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989–1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989–1991 is out today!
Huge congratulations to @jamesgrahamwilson.bsky.social and the rest of the team at the State Department's Office of the Historian. history.state.gov/historicaldo...
Huge congratulations to @jamesgrahamwilson.bsky.social and the rest of the team at the State Department's Office of the Historian. history.state.gov/historicaldo...
September 30, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989–1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989–1991 is out today!
Huge congratulations to @jamesgrahamwilson.bsky.social and the rest of the team at the State Department's Office of the Historian. history.state.gov/historicaldo...
Huge congratulations to @jamesgrahamwilson.bsky.social and the rest of the team at the State Department's Office of the Historian. history.state.gov/historicaldo...
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
1/7
How might AI enable the (non)proliferation of nuclear weapons? In a new #OpenAccess article in Risk Analysis (@socriskanalysis.bsky.social), Dave Allison & I explore this question. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
How might AI enable the (non)proliferation of nuclear weapons? In a new #OpenAccess article in Risk Analysis (@socriskanalysis.bsky.social), Dave Allison & I explore this question. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Weapons Proliferation: The Technological Arms Race for (In)visibility
A robust nonproliferation regime has contained the spread of nuclear weapons to just nine states. Yet, emerging and disruptive technologies are reshaping the landscape of nuclear risks, presenting a ...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 26, 2025 at 3:01 PM
1/7
How might AI enable the (non)proliferation of nuclear weapons? In a new #OpenAccess article in Risk Analysis (@socriskanalysis.bsky.social), Dave Allison & I explore this question. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
How might AI enable the (non)proliferation of nuclear weapons? In a new #OpenAccess article in Risk Analysis (@socriskanalysis.bsky.social), Dave Allison & I explore this question. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
1/8
Later this year from @mitpress.bsky.social in @belfercenter.bsky.social's Studies in International Security book series-- Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail.
This is a sobering edited volume on how efforts to reduce nuclear weapons dangers may sometimes wind up exacerbating them.
Later this year from @mitpress.bsky.social in @belfercenter.bsky.social's Studies in International Security book series-- Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail.
This is a sobering edited volume on how efforts to reduce nuclear weapons dangers may sometimes wind up exacerbating them.
July 3, 2025 at 2:48 PM
1/8
Later this year from @mitpress.bsky.social in @belfercenter.bsky.social's Studies in International Security book series-- Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail.
This is a sobering edited volume on how efforts to reduce nuclear weapons dangers may sometimes wind up exacerbating them.
Later this year from @mitpress.bsky.social in @belfercenter.bsky.social's Studies in International Security book series-- Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail.
This is a sobering edited volume on how efforts to reduce nuclear weapons dangers may sometimes wind up exacerbating them.
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17
June 23, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
📅 Register for the WMD Risk Reduction Science and Policy Forum on June 23–24, 2025, at the Hopkins Bloomberg Center in Washington, DC. This two-day forum, hosted by @jhu.edu, will bring together science and policy experts. Learn more: bit.ly/4lGgPOy
WMD Risk Reduction Science and Policy Forum hosted on Whova
June 23 – 24, 2025, Washington, DC
bit.ly
June 3, 2025 at 1:04 PM
📅 Register for the WMD Risk Reduction Science and Policy Forum on June 23–24, 2025, at the Hopkins Bloomberg Center in Washington, DC. This two-day forum, hosted by @jhu.edu, will bring together science and policy experts. Learn more: bit.ly/4lGgPOy
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
Trump's offer is a dollar-store-JCPOA. Thread.
June 2, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Trump's offer is a dollar-store-JCPOA. Thread.
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
New publication: "Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025" up now at the Stimson Center
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
May 28, 2025 at 2:34 PM
New publication: "Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025" up now at the Stimson Center
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
New DIA graphic on "current and future missile threats" that Golden Dome might seek to address. (Sure looks like we might care about having a good relationship with Canada.)
May 13, 2025 at 6:29 PM
New DIA graphic on "current and future missile threats" that Golden Dome might seek to address. (Sure looks like we might care about having a good relationship with Canada.)
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
I’m pleased to have had an opportunity to contribute to this edited volume ably pulled together by Zachary Davis assessing the legacy of track-1.5 and track-2 initiatives for the US-India, US-Pakistan, and India-Pakistan relationships. cgsr.llnl.gov/sites/cgsr/f...
May 5, 2025 at 6:44 PM
I’m pleased to have had an opportunity to contribute to this edited volume ably pulled together by Zachary Davis assessing the legacy of track-1.5 and track-2 initiatives for the US-India, US-Pakistan, and India-Pakistan relationships. cgsr.llnl.gov/sites/cgsr/f...
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
🚨 We're hiring!
Join @theeln.bsky.social as a Senior Policy Fellow on Russia-West relations. Lead research, shape policy, and engage with ELN network members, policymakers, and experts.
🗓️ Deadline: 17 April 2025
🔗 Apply now: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/job/senior-p...
Join @theeln.bsky.social as a Senior Policy Fellow on Russia-West relations. Lead research, shape policy, and engage with ELN network members, policymakers, and experts.
🗓️ Deadline: 17 April 2025
🔗 Apply now: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/job/senior-p...
March 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM
🚨 We're hiring!
Join @theeln.bsky.social as a Senior Policy Fellow on Russia-West relations. Lead research, shape policy, and engage with ELN network members, policymakers, and experts.
🗓️ Deadline: 17 April 2025
🔗 Apply now: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/job/senior-p...
Join @theeln.bsky.social as a Senior Policy Fellow on Russia-West relations. Lead research, shape policy, and engage with ELN network members, policymakers, and experts.
🗓️ Deadline: 17 April 2025
🔗 Apply now: europeanleadershipnetwork.org/job/senior-p...
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
New article in Journal of Strategic Studies on grand strategy and nuclear weapons: makes the case that grand strategic change is probably necessary for any major shift in how states think about the political utility of their nuclear weapons www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... #NukeSky
Stability and change in nuclear thinking: Grand strategy, nuclear weapons, and policy change
What explains when states shift how they understand the utility of their nuclear weapons? Existing literature offers mechanisms that should be expected to inhibit change, but does not offer an expl...
www.tandfonline.com
March 24, 2025 at 2:02 PM
New article in Journal of Strategic Studies on grand strategy and nuclear weapons: makes the case that grand strategic change is probably necessary for any major shift in how states think about the political utility of their nuclear weapons www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... #NukeSky
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
Job alert! The Nunn School at Georgia Tech is hiring an assistant prof in intelligence studies and intl security!
In addition to folks already on the academic track, we also welcome applicants who have a PhD and are leaving the Intelligece Community for *some reason* looking for a new career.
In addition to folks already on the academic track, we also welcome applicants who have a PhD and are leaving the Intelligece Community for *some reason* looking for a new career.
March 17, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Job alert! The Nunn School at Georgia Tech is hiring an assistant prof in intelligence studies and intl security!
In addition to folks already on the academic track, we also welcome applicants who have a PhD and are leaving the Intelligece Community for *some reason* looking for a new career.
In addition to folks already on the academic track, we also welcome applicants who have a PhD and are leaving the Intelligece Community for *some reason* looking for a new career.
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
Off the charts level of institutional vandalism this past week. Kennan Institute long gathered superb Russian military expertise at a time when the subfield was not terribly fashionable. DOGE & co actively destroying DoD intellectual capacity in their mindless rampage through the bureaucracy.
Trump is eliminating Wilson Center, a stellar US foreign policy study establishment. Along with it goes the Kennan Institute - one of the best Russia study institutions.
I was fortunate to be a Kennan Fellow in 2017.
Such a loss
I was fortunate to be a Kennan Fellow in 2017.
Such a loss
Continuing the Reduction of the Federal Bureaucracy
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered: Section 1. Purpose.
www.whitehouse.gov
March 15, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Off the charts level of institutional vandalism this past week. Kennan Institute long gathered superb Russian military expertise at a time when the subfield was not terribly fashionable. DOGE & co actively destroying DoD intellectual capacity in their mindless rampage through the bureaucracy.
Zombies, international institutions edition. Julia Gray’s article at Good Authority is worth a read.
Trade wars are accelerating the decline of international economic governance. But instead of collapsing, global trade institutions are lurching forward in a zombie-like state. What happens next? Julia Gray describes our coming era of half-dead internationalism
Zombie institutions could have "afterlives," but little power.
Zombie internationalism sees a slow, stumbling transformation, and decreased trust in international agreements and global institutions.
goodauthority.org
March 11, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Zombies, international institutions edition. Julia Gray’s article at Good Authority is worth a read.
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
A small drop in an ocean of suck, but for the past few weeks friends have let me know that my book (Divided Armies), along w/ related articles + briefings, was removed from DoD reading lists & curricula for being "too woke"
Now JFQ has literally "unpublished" its review & any mention of the book ⬇️
Now JFQ has literally "unpublished" its review & any mention of the book ⬇️
Everything is unbelievably stupid, and among this is Joint Force Quarterly being forced to unpublish multiple articles and some entire issues as far back as *2006* because of "DEI material"
March 5, 2025 at 12:58 PM
A small drop in an ocean of suck, but for the past few weeks friends have let me know that my book (Divided Armies), along w/ related articles + briefings, was removed from DoD reading lists & curricula for being "too woke"
Now JFQ has literally "unpublished" its review & any mention of the book ⬇️
Now JFQ has literally "unpublished" its review & any mention of the book ⬇️
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
Awesome to visit the Pile-1 nuclear memorial after presenting new research on how tech shapes arming strategies at Chicago’s Workshop on International Politics with @janevaynman.bsky.social. Special thanks to @profpaulpoast.bsky.social for the post-dinner tour!
February 28, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Awesome to visit the Pile-1 nuclear memorial after presenting new research on how tech shapes arming strategies at Chicago’s Workshop on International Politics with @janevaynman.bsky.social. Special thanks to @profpaulpoast.bsky.social for the post-dinner tour!
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
☢️ I've collected 800+ resources for those working on WMD issues in my "LearnWMD Spreadsheet"
learnwmd.wixsite.com/learnwmd/the...
Recently, I've gone through and updated all links & information. I've also broken out the OSINT resources into their own tab.
Be sure to check it out!
learnwmd.wixsite.com/learnwmd/the...
Recently, I've gone through and updated all links & information. I've also broken out the OSINT resources into their own tab.
Be sure to check it out!
The Spreadsheet | learnwmd
learnwmd.wixsite.com
February 24, 2025 at 9:32 PM
☢️ I've collected 800+ resources for those working on WMD issues in my "LearnWMD Spreadsheet"
learnwmd.wixsite.com/learnwmd/the...
Recently, I've gone through and updated all links & information. I've also broken out the OSINT resources into their own tab.
Be sure to check it out!
learnwmd.wixsite.com/learnwmd/the...
Recently, I've gone through and updated all links & information. I've also broken out the OSINT resources into their own tab.
Be sure to check it out!
Reposted by Jane Vaynman
Elon Musk recently posted on his site that another lawyer and I are “undermining civilization.” He goes on to ask if we suffered childhood trauma and concludes by suggesting we are suffering from “generational trauma.” This is my response. www.democracydocket.com/opinion/my-o...
My Open Letter to Elon Musk
From Marc | Elon Musk recently posted on his site that another lawyer and I are “undermining civilization.” This is my response.
www.democracydocket.com
February 20, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Elon Musk recently posted on his site that another lawyer and I are “undermining civilization.” He goes on to ask if we suffered childhood trauma and concludes by suggesting we are suffering from “generational trauma.” This is my response. www.democracydocket.com/opinion/my-o...