Jan Berz
@janberz.bsky.social
Interim Professor, Goethe University Frankfurt | Comparative Politics | Interested in electoral behaviour, technocracy & prime ministers
Reposted by Jan Berz
Do interpersonal relations affect coalition bargaining? @hannaeback.bsky.social, @michaelimre.bsky.social and I argue that when the Prime Minister is replaced, the incumbency advantage of a coalition will be weakened because of reduced familiarity and trust journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/2
May 22, 2025 at 6:05 AM
Do interpersonal relations affect coalition bargaining? @hannaeback.bsky.social, @michaelimre.bsky.social and I argue that when the Prime Minister is replaced, the incumbency advantage of a coalition will be weakened because of reduced familiarity and trust journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/2
Reposted by Jan Berz
In the coming months, I'll be recruiting two PhD students to work with me as part of the Voting & Democracy research group at @kuleuvenuniversity.bsky.social. So watch this space if you want to join the team and work on this lovely campus!
March 27, 2025 at 2:58 PM
In the coming months, I'll be recruiting two PhD students to work with me as part of the Voting & Democracy research group at @kuleuvenuniversity.bsky.social. So watch this space if you want to join the team and work on this lovely campus!
I'm very proud of Lucas, who just published his second single-authored paper! A great track-record since the start of his PhD in 2021.
Thrilled that my paper is now published by @polbehavior.bsky.social! Using a natural experiment—the Sun boycott—I show how media may shape our voting mostly by changing our perceptions of party positions. Media matters! 🗳️
Read here: doi.org/10.1007/s111...
@tcddublin.bsky.social #mediabias #vote
Read here: doi.org/10.1007/s111...
@tcddublin.bsky.social #mediabias #vote
March 24, 2025 at 12:28 PM
I'm very proud of Lucas, who just published his second single-authored paper! A great track-record since the start of his PhD in 2021.
Reposted by Jan Berz
As speakers of the @dvpw.bsky.social's working group Elections and Public Opinion, we invite proposals for a special issue on the 2025 German federal election (to be submitted to Electoral Studies).
See: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a...
Also see the previous SI: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...
See: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a...
Also see the previous SI: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...
March 17, 2025 at 9:52 AM
As speakers of the @dvpw.bsky.social's working group Elections and Public Opinion, we invite proposals for a special issue on the 2025 German federal election (to be submitted to Electoral Studies).
See: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a...
Also see the previous SI: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...
See: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a...
Also see the previous SI: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...
Reposted by Jan Berz
As @cpsjournal.bsky.social editor I read about 100 peer-reviews per month. A 🧵 on what makes a great review:
1.) Succinct summary of the contribution (puzzle, argument, data, evidence)
2.) State clearly in your first paragraph whether the evidence supports the argument.
1.) Succinct summary of the contribution (puzzle, argument, data, evidence)
2.) State clearly in your first paragraph whether the evidence supports the argument.
March 12, 2025 at 5:59 PM
As @cpsjournal.bsky.social editor I read about 100 peer-reviews per month. A 🧵 on what makes a great review:
1.) Succinct summary of the contribution (puzzle, argument, data, evidence)
2.) State clearly in your first paragraph whether the evidence supports the argument.
1.) Succinct summary of the contribution (puzzle, argument, data, evidence)
2.) State clearly in your first paragraph whether the evidence supports the argument.
Reposted by Jan Berz
Very happy to share our new article in JoP @thejop.bsky.social, where we explore how parties forge links with social groups (here: social classes) through different appeals and how citizens respond to such appeals.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
February 26, 2025 at 11:40 AM
Very happy to share our new article in JoP @thejop.bsky.social, where we explore how parties forge links with social groups (here: social classes) through different appeals and how citizens respond to such appeals.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
Reposted by Jan Berz
My article on voter support for disabled candidates is now published at doi.org/10.1086/732994.
I find that left-wing voters in UK+US favour disabled candidates, while right-wing voters prefer non-disabled candidates - but only because voters assume disabled candidates to be more left-wing. [1/2]
I find that left-wing voters in UK+US favour disabled candidates, while right-wing voters prefer non-disabled candidates - but only because voters assume disabled candidates to be more left-wing. [1/2]
Voting for Disabled Candidates | The Journal of Politics
Despite important advances in the rights of disabled people, stigma and prejudice remain widespread. Meanwhile, disabled political representatives are few and far between. This raises the question: do...
doi.org
February 26, 2025 at 11:45 AM
My article on voter support for disabled candidates is now published at doi.org/10.1086/732994.
I find that left-wing voters in UK+US favour disabled candidates, while right-wing voters prefer non-disabled candidates - but only because voters assume disabled candidates to be more left-wing. [1/2]
I find that left-wing voters in UK+US favour disabled candidates, while right-wing voters prefer non-disabled candidates - but only because voters assume disabled candidates to be more left-wing. [1/2]
Reposted by Jan Berz
As Germany heads to the polls on Sunday, here are some articles we have published on German elections that can guide you through what to expect… 🗳️ 📊
February 21, 2025 at 5:13 PM
As Germany heads to the polls on Sunday, here are some articles we have published on German elections that can guide you through what to expect… 🗳️ 📊
Reposted by Jan Berz
Letzte Woche haben @corinnakroeber.bsky.social und ich basierend auf den Kandidierendenlisten & der Wahlrechtsreform geteilt, dass der neue Bundestag deutlich weniger weibliche Abgeordnete beinhalten wird. Unsere Überlegungen dazu könnt ihr bei @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social nachlesen. 📚🕵️♀️
Women will disappear from the next Bundestag. Learn about the mechanisms through which the new German electoral law will reduce women’s presence in Sunday’s election on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social shorturl.at/v0uyi - joint work with the great @lenastephan.bsky.social
Women are disappearing from the Bundestag
Germany’s federal election on 23 February is almost certain to produce a significant decrease in the number of women in the German parliament, write Corinna Kroeber and Lena Stephan. Following the …
shorturl.at
February 19, 2025 at 12:21 PM
Letzte Woche haben @corinnakroeber.bsky.social und ich basierend auf den Kandidierendenlisten & der Wahlrechtsreform geteilt, dass der neue Bundestag deutlich weniger weibliche Abgeordnete beinhalten wird. Unsere Überlegungen dazu könnt ihr bei @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social nachlesen. 📚🕵️♀️
Reposted by Jan Berz
Do citizens stereotype Muslims as inherently homophobic?
In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Spoiler: Yes. 🧵
In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Spoiler: Yes. 🧵
Do Citizens Stereotype Muslims as an Illiberal Bogeyman? Evidence from a Double-List Experiment | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Do Citizens Stereotype Muslims as an Illiberal Bogeyman? Evidence from a Double-List Experiment - Volume 55
doi.org
February 14, 2025 at 9:09 AM
Do citizens stereotype Muslims as inherently homophobic?
In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Spoiler: Yes. 🧵
In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Spoiler: Yes. 🧵
Reposted by Jan Berz
🚨 Postdoc Fellow at LSE in Political Behaviour 🚨
We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great department (with some teaching in political behaviour and comparative European or EU politics)
Please spread the word and reach out with questions!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great department (with some teaching in political behaviour and comparative European or EU politics)
Please spread the word and reach out with questions!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
LSE Fellow in Political Behaviour
LSE Fellow in Political Behaviour,
,
<p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></em></p>
<p style="text-align: cen...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
February 7, 2025 at 1:33 PM
🚨 Postdoc Fellow at LSE in Political Behaviour 🚨
We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great department (with some teaching in political behaviour and comparative European or EU politics)
Please spread the word and reach out with questions!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
We're hiring a 2-3 year postdoc fellow at the LSE to join our great department (with some teaching in political behaviour and comparative European or EU politics)
Please spread the word and reach out with questions!
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Reposted by Jan Berz
Had a great time talking all things prime ministers with @janberz.bsky.social, @javiermcanto.bsky.social, @bittner.bsky.social, and many others in the 2-day workshop Roni Lehrer and I organised @MZES Mannheim. Inspiring stuff.
February 7, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Had a great time talking all things prime ministers with @janberz.bsky.social, @javiermcanto.bsky.social, @bittner.bsky.social, and many others in the 2-day workshop Roni Lehrer and I organised @MZES Mannheim. Inspiring stuff.
Reposted by Jan Berz
Got my first one today too 👇👇
EPSA rejection: to all early career people who face this today, I want to say that I had two of them in the past, one of them was published in AJPS in the end, the other has not been submitted yet. Today, my third EPSA rejection. If you have it, too: hear me it means nothing! Enjoy your weekend 😇
February 7, 2025 at 7:56 AM
Got my first one today too 👇👇
Reposted by Jan Berz
‼️ New paper out in EJPR!
With @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, we use a new survey item that we fielded in surveys in five countries to examine who accepts party policy change. Check out the 🧵 by Maurits below for an overview of our findings!
With @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, we use a new survey item that we fielded in surveys in five countries to examine who accepts party policy change. Check out the 🧵 by Maurits below for an overview of our findings!
Parties often change their policy positions, but what do citizens actually think about party policy change? In our new EJPRjournal article, @rdassonneville.bsky.social and I study party policy change acceptance among citizens in 5 countries (🇩🇪🇳🇱🇵🇱🇪🇸🇬🇧)
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... 1/n
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... 1/n
Who accepts party policy change? The individual‐level drivers of attitudes towards party repositioning
Experimental research has shown that political parties often, but not always, suffer reputational costs when they change their policy positions. Yet, it is not clear who accepts and who rejects party....
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
February 7, 2025 at 7:46 AM
‼️ New paper out in EJPR!
With @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, we use a new survey item that we fielded in surveys in five countries to examine who accepts party policy change. Check out the 🧵 by Maurits below for an overview of our findings!
With @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, we use a new survey item that we fielded in surveys in five countries to examine who accepts party policy change. Check out the 🧵 by Maurits below for an overview of our findings!
Reposted by Jan Berz
EPSA rejection: to all early career people who face this today, I want to say that I had two of them in the past, one of them was published in AJPS in the end, the other has not been submitted yet. Today, my third EPSA rejection. If you have it, too: hear me it means nothing! Enjoy your weekend 😇
February 7, 2025 at 7:31 AM
EPSA rejection: to all early career people who face this today, I want to say that I had two of them in the past, one of them was published in AJPS in the end, the other has not been submitted yet. Today, my third EPSA rejection. If you have it, too: hear me it means nothing! Enjoy your weekend 😇
Reposted by Jan Berz
Die "Umfrage" ist nicht repräsentativ. Sie hat die Qualität einer Videotextumfrage. Sie ist manipulierbar. Es gibt die Möglichkeit, mehrfach abzustimmen. Es widerspricht allen Kenntnisständen, die wir zum Wahlverhalten der Gruppe haben. Teilt diesen Unsinn nicht. #AfD
www.focus.de/politik/bei-...
www.focus.de/politik/bei-...
Bei Homosexuellen belegt die AfD den ersten Platz - mit haushohem Vorsprung
Diese Umfrage dürfte viele überraschen. Ein Datingportal für Homosexuelle hat rund 60.000 Nutzern die Frage gestellt, wen sie bei der kommenden Bundestagswahl wählen würden. Das Ergebnis ist verblüffe...
www.focus.de
February 5, 2025 at 10:31 AM
Die "Umfrage" ist nicht repräsentativ. Sie hat die Qualität einer Videotextumfrage. Sie ist manipulierbar. Es gibt die Möglichkeit, mehrfach abzustimmen. Es widerspricht allen Kenntnisständen, die wir zum Wahlverhalten der Gruppe haben. Teilt diesen Unsinn nicht. #AfD
www.focus.de/politik/bei-...
www.focus.de/politik/bei-...
Reposted by Jan Berz
Delighted to see this coming out in @thejop.bsky.social. Some basic science that for data reasons was never done before. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
February 4, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Delighted to see this coming out in @thejop.bsky.social. Some basic science that for data reasons was never done before. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
Reposted by Jan Berz
🚨 New Open Access Publiation! Under the lead of @ronjademel.bsky.social , David Schieferdecker, @hannaschwander.bsky.social , Swen Hutter, Jule Specht and I investigated the role of empathy on attitudes towards refugees and ingroup-outgroup dynamics
February 3, 2025 at 12:30 PM
🚨 New Open Access Publiation! Under the lead of @ronjademel.bsky.social , David Schieferdecker, @hannaschwander.bsky.social , Swen Hutter, Jule Specht and I investigated the role of empathy on attitudes towards refugees and ingroup-outgroup dynamics
Our book lays a foundation for understanding PM performance & raises new questions: 🤔 Do capable PMs strengthen democracy? 🤔 Does poor PM performance affect elections or democratic trust? We hope this sparks more research on the causes & consequences of PM performance—in CEE & beyond.
🎉 Excited to announce our book "Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe: Careers, Context, and Performance" is out and published by Oxford University Press! Co-authored by the amazing Florian Grotz, @corinnakroeber.bsky.social, & Marko Kukec. More: academic.oup.com/book/59247
Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe: Careers, Context, and Performance
Abstract. Prime ministers are the most powerful and visible politicians in established parliamentary democracies. But is this also true for post-communist
academic.oup.com
February 3, 2025 at 9:25 AM
Our book lays a foundation for understanding PM performance & raises new questions: 🤔 Do capable PMs strengthen democracy? 🤔 Does poor PM performance affect elections or democratic trust? We hope this sparks more research on the causes & consequences of PM performance—in CEE & beyond.
Reposted by Jan Berz
Last but not least, we investigate: What drives prime-ministerial performance? Our analyses highlight:
🔍 Interested in prime ministers’ careers, performance, or politics in CEE? Our new OUP book will be worth your time. Why bother reading the 228 pages? Over the next days, @janberz.bsky.social & I will share threads summarizing its main contributions. Stay tuned!
🎉 Excited to announce our book "Prime Ministers in Central and Eastern Europe: Careers, Context, and Performance" is out and published by Oxford University Press! Co-authored by the amazing Florian Grotz, @janberz.bsky.social, & Marko Kukec. More: academic.oup.com/book/59247
January 31, 2025 at 8:58 AM
Last but not least, we investigate: What drives prime-ministerial performance? Our analyses highlight:
How do PMs’ careers & contexts shape their success? We analyzed of 131 cabinets across 11 CEE countries (1990–2021) to find:
✔ PMs are more experienced than assumed
✔ Contexts are stabilizing (e.g., fewer oversized cabinets).
Take away: CEE PMs & their challenges are far from uniform!
✔ PMs are more experienced than assumed
✔ Contexts are stabilizing (e.g., fewer oversized cabinets).
Take away: CEE PMs & their challenges are far from uniform!
January 30, 2025 at 5:44 PM
How do PMs’ careers & contexts shape their success? We analyzed of 131 cabinets across 11 CEE countries (1990–2021) to find:
✔ PMs are more experienced than assumed
✔ Contexts are stabilizing (e.g., fewer oversized cabinets).
Take away: CEE PMs & their challenges are far from uniform!
✔ PMs are more experienced than assumed
✔ Contexts are stabilizing (e.g., fewer oversized cabinets).
Take away: CEE PMs & their challenges are far from uniform!
Reposted by Jan Berz
Is the idea of weak CEE PMs a myth? Our dataset reveals wide variability in PM performance, challenging assumptions of uniform weakness. PMs with strong parliamentary & party backing excelled at conflict resolution & policy influence. CEE PMs are far more dynamic than stereotypes suggest.
January 30, 2025 at 9:34 AM
Is the idea of weak CEE PMs a myth? Our dataset reveals wide variability in PM performance, challenging assumptions of uniform weakness. PMs with strong parliamentary & party backing excelled at conflict resolution & policy influence. CEE PMs are far more dynamic than stereotypes suggest.
Reposted by Jan Berz
Our paper on how plant disease pandemic destroying olive groves in 🇮🇹 fuelled far right support by activating local community narrative of state neglect forthcoming @apsrjournal.bsky.social
🧵 below ⬇️
For nerds: also presents research design for combing causal inference with ethnographic research
🧵 below ⬇️
For nerds: also presents research design for combing causal inference with ethnographic research
🚨New paper forthcoming @apsrjournal.bsky.social!🚨
How do economic shocks shape politics?
We study a plant disease epidemic in Italy🌱—finding it fueled far-right support
It’s not just economic loss but how shocks uproot communities and interact with perceptions of state neglect
shorturl.at/ntKyt
How do economic shocks shape politics?
We study a plant disease epidemic in Italy🌱—finding it fueled far-right support
It’s not just economic loss but how shocks uproot communities and interact with perceptions of state neglect
shorturl.at/ntKyt
January 29, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Our paper on how plant disease pandemic destroying olive groves in 🇮🇹 fuelled far right support by activating local community narrative of state neglect forthcoming @apsrjournal.bsky.social
🧵 below ⬇️
For nerds: also presents research design for combing causal inference with ethnographic research
🧵 below ⬇️
For nerds: also presents research design for combing causal inference with ethnographic research
Reposted by Jan Berz
📢 Our new paper in Political Analysis explains how to use LLMs like GPT-4o, Llama or Mistral to estimate the ideological and policy position of political texts. Our approach is fast, reliable, cost-effective and reproducible and works with texts written in different languages 1/7 cup.org/4axBEXo
Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging | Political Analysis | Cambridge Core
Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging
cup.org
January 28, 2025 at 7:00 AM
📢 Our new paper in Political Analysis explains how to use LLMs like GPT-4o, Llama or Mistral to estimate the ideological and policy position of political texts. Our approach is fast, reliable, cost-effective and reproducible and works with texts written in different languages 1/7 cup.org/4axBEXo
Reposted by Jan Berz
My book “The Normalization of the Radical Right” has recently come out in the US.
If you're interested, in this thread I’ll link different ways of learning about the book and its argument (I’ll keep adding if more come out).
First, here is the link to the book: academic.oup.com/book/57946
If you're interested, in this thread I’ll link different ways of learning about the book and its argument (I’ll keep adding if more come out).
First, here is the link to the book: academic.oup.com/book/57946
November 12, 2024 at 3:16 PM
My book “The Normalization of the Radical Right” has recently come out in the US.
If you're interested, in this thread I’ll link different ways of learning about the book and its argument (I’ll keep adding if more come out).
First, here is the link to the book: academic.oup.com/book/57946
If you're interested, in this thread I’ll link different ways of learning about the book and its argument (I’ll keep adding if more come out).
First, here is the link to the book: academic.oup.com/book/57946