Constantin Wurthmann
@wurthmann.bsky.social
Elections, Parties, Representation, Attitudes & LGBTQ* | PI VisibleQueers (ERC) & PI German Sexual Identity and Election Study (DFG) |🇪🇺| he/him
Pünktlich, fast zum Jahrestag der Bundestagswahl 2025, ist nun der Studien- und Methodenbericht mit ausführlichen Darstellungen der Datenqualität der Querschnittbefragungen zur Bundestagswahl 2021 (!) erschienen. 😀🙏 mit u.a. @timonscheuer.bsky.social
doi.org/10.21241/sso...
doi.org/10.21241/sso...
December 22, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Pünktlich, fast zum Jahrestag der Bundestagswahl 2025, ist nun der Studien- und Methodenbericht mit ausführlichen Darstellungen der Datenqualität der Querschnittbefragungen zur Bundestagswahl 2021 (!) erschienen. 😀🙏 mit u.a. @timonscheuer.bsky.social
doi.org/10.21241/sso...
doi.org/10.21241/sso...
Es geht um die radikale Rechte. Fakt ist: Es ist empirisch falsch.
Habe ich auch mal anders gedacht? Ja. Gibt es aber einen einzigen empirischen Ansatzpunkt dafür? Nein.
Das Gegenteil ist der Fall.
Habe ich auch mal anders gedacht? Ja. Gibt es aber einen einzigen empirischen Ansatzpunkt dafür? Nein.
Das Gegenteil ist der Fall.
Falsch. Die Ausgrenzung hat sie groß gemacht. Statt in die Debatte zu gehen.
December 21, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Es geht um die radikale Rechte. Fakt ist: Es ist empirisch falsch.
Habe ich auch mal anders gedacht? Ja. Gibt es aber einen einzigen empirischen Ansatzpunkt dafür? Nein.
Das Gegenteil ist der Fall.
Habe ich auch mal anders gedacht? Ja. Gibt es aber einen einzigen empirischen Ansatzpunkt dafür? Nein.
Das Gegenteil ist der Fall.
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷
How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:
shorturl.at/2ekBj
TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:
shorturl.at/2ekBj
TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
December 18, 2025 at 11:41 AM
🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷
How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:
shorturl.at/2ekBj
TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:
shorturl.at/2ekBj
TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years)
We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
Postdoctoral Research Associate - International Research Training Group 2560 “Baltic Peripeties" 25/E19
Stellenausschreibung Institut für Politik- und Kommunikationswissenschaft
www.uni-greifswald.de
December 17, 2025 at 9:45 AM
🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years)
We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
Radical right parties in Europe have not moderated. Their positions and rhetoric have entered the mainstream. They have become normalized and legitimized. Unless we understand this, we have little chance of countering their success.
In many parts of Europe populist-right parties have moderated as they have grown, shedding unpopular policies and personnel. If anything, the AfD in Germany is growing more radical econ.st/3KSptMm
Illustration: Javier Palma
Illustration: Javier Palma
December 16, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Radical right parties in Europe have not moderated. Their positions and rhetoric have entered the mainstream. They have become normalized and legitimized. Unless we understand this, we have little chance of countering their success.
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
December 12, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Wenn die Zahl der Einwohner Thüringens auf unter 2 Mio fällt, wie in diesem Artikel dargelegt, verlöre das Bundesland gemäß Artikel 51 GG, Absatz 2, das Anrecht auf ein viertes Mitglied im Bundesrat?
Ist jemand tief genug im Thema, um die Konsequenzen zu erläutern?
www.spiegel.de/panorama/ges...
Ist jemand tief genug im Thema, um die Konsequenzen zu erläutern?
www.spiegel.de/panorama/ges...
Immer weniger und immer älter: In ostdeutschen Flächenländern geht die Bevölkerungszahl zurück
In den ostdeutschen Flächenländern leben immer weniger Menschen. In Sachsen wird die Einwohnerzahl auf unter vier Millionen sinken, in Thüringen auf weniger als zwei Millionen.
www.spiegel.de
December 12, 2025 at 10:58 AM
Wenn die Zahl der Einwohner Thüringens auf unter 2 Mio fällt, wie in diesem Artikel dargelegt, verlöre das Bundesland gemäß Artikel 51 GG, Absatz 2, das Anrecht auf ein viertes Mitglied im Bundesrat?
Ist jemand tief genug im Thema, um die Konsequenzen zu erläutern?
www.spiegel.de/panorama/ges...
Ist jemand tief genug im Thema, um die Konsequenzen zu erläutern?
www.spiegel.de/panorama/ges...
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
New article , together with Salvatore Barbaro, in Public Choice: On the prevalence of Condorcet's Paradox.
Analyzing 253 national elections, we show that Condorcet Paradoxes virtually never occur. This raises an important question: who is the Condorcet winner?
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Analyzing 253 national elections, we show that Condorcet Paradoxes virtually never occur. This raises an important question: who is the Condorcet winner?
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
December 12, 2025 at 10:22 AM
New article , together with Salvatore Barbaro, in Public Choice: On the prevalence of Condorcet's Paradox.
Analyzing 253 national elections, we show that Condorcet Paradoxes virtually never occur. This raises an important question: who is the Condorcet winner?
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Analyzing 253 national elections, we show that Condorcet Paradoxes virtually never occur. This raises an important question: who is the Condorcet winner?
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
A week ago, we - the PerFair project - celebrated the successful data collection among 7th graders in Germany 🎉funded by @excinequality.bsky.social! 🙏 to a bunch of great colleagues from political science and sociology for coming all the way to Konstanz, inspiring comments and impressive talks! 🙏🤓👍
December 11, 2025 at 12:57 PM
A week ago, we - the PerFair project - celebrated the successful data collection among 7th graders in Germany 🎉funded by @excinequality.bsky.social! 🙏 to a bunch of great colleagues from political science and sociology for coming all the way to Konstanz, inspiring comments and impressive talks! 🙏🤓👍
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
After 3 years and 5,322 emails (and counting) our Encyclopedia of Political Communication is finally out at @elgarpublishing.bsky.social
📚 Three volumes
⭐ 431 entries
🎓 581 wonderful authors from across the world
A very short 🧵
📚 Three volumes
⭐ 431 entries
🎓 581 wonderful authors from across the world
A very short 🧵
December 10, 2025 at 4:05 PM
After 3 years and 5,322 emails (and counting) our Encyclopedia of Political Communication is finally out at @elgarpublishing.bsky.social
📚 Three volumes
⭐ 431 entries
🎓 581 wonderful authors from across the world
A very short 🧵
📚 Three volumes
⭐ 431 entries
🎓 581 wonderful authors from across the world
A very short 🧵
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
Nächste Woche diskutiere ich bei der Schwarzkopf-Stiftung Junges Europa wie die radikale Rechte in Europa die Demokratie bedroht. Man kann sich noch weiterhin zur Veranstaltung anmelden.
Am 16. Dezember um 17:30 spreche ich bei der Schwarzkopf-Siftung in Berlin über die radikale Rechte in Europa. Hier könnt ihr euch für die Veranstaltung anmelden. Vor allem wenn ihr euch als junge Erwachsene fühlt. Ihr seid aber auch so willkommen glaube ich.
schwarzkopf-stiftung.de/aktuelles/ve...
schwarzkopf-stiftung.de/aktuelles/ve...
Von AfD bis Fidesz – Wie die Radikale Rechte Demokratien in Europa bedroht / Schwarzkopf-Stiftung Junges Europa
Junge Menschen stärken den europäischen Zusammenhalt. Deshalb stärken wir sie. Wir bieten jungen Europäer*innen Möglichkeiten für Begegnungen, für die persönliche Entwicklung und für aktive zivilgesel...
schwarzkopf-stiftung.de
December 8, 2025 at 11:37 AM
Nächste Woche diskutiere ich bei der Schwarzkopf-Stiftung Junges Europa wie die radikale Rechte in Europa die Demokratie bedroht. Man kann sich noch weiterhin zur Veranstaltung anmelden.
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
I’m thrilled to share that I defended my dissertation on Monday! It examines how local elites help new parties attract voters and build local branches, using a unique dataset of ~450,000 local candidates in Germany.
It took not one but three villages to write this. A 🧵
1/6
It took not one but three villages to write this. A 🧵
1/6
December 4, 2025 at 9:28 AM
I’m thrilled to share that I defended my dissertation on Monday! It examines how local elites help new parties attract voters and build local branches, using a unique dataset of ~450,000 local candidates in Germany.
It took not one but three villages to write this. A 🧵
1/6
It took not one but three villages to write this. A 🧵
1/6
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
Friday brought good news and bad news. Today I am now allowed to share the good.
Via the generous donation of the Wallenberg Foundation and the Swedish Royal Academy of Sciences, I now have a few million euros to help understand more about the selective inclusion of LGBTQ+ citizens
Via the generous donation of the Wallenberg Foundation and the Swedish Royal Academy of Sciences, I now have a few million euros to help understand more about the selective inclusion of LGBTQ+ citizens
December 3, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Friday brought good news and bad news. Today I am now allowed to share the good.
Via the generous donation of the Wallenberg Foundation and the Swedish Royal Academy of Sciences, I now have a few million euros to help understand more about the selective inclusion of LGBTQ+ citizens
Via the generous donation of the Wallenberg Foundation and the Swedish Royal Academy of Sciences, I now have a few million euros to help understand more about the selective inclusion of LGBTQ+ citizens
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
Yesterday, I had a lovely opportunity to present co-authored work on how to counter femonationalism at
@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social . Engaged audience and great feedback! Thanks to @wurthmann.bsky.social for the invite!
@katharinalawall.bsky.social, @sophiemainz.bsky.social, @turnbulldugarte.com
@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social . Engaged audience and great feedback! Thanks to @wurthmann.bsky.social for the invite!
@katharinalawall.bsky.social, @sophiemainz.bsky.social, @turnbulldugarte.com
December 3, 2025 at 8:16 AM
Yesterday, I had a lovely opportunity to present co-authored work on how to counter femonationalism at
@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social . Engaged audience and great feedback! Thanks to @wurthmann.bsky.social for the invite!
@katharinalawall.bsky.social, @sophiemainz.bsky.social, @turnbulldugarte.com
@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social . Engaged audience and great feedback! Thanks to @wurthmann.bsky.social for the invite!
@katharinalawall.bsky.social, @sophiemainz.bsky.social, @turnbulldugarte.com
Another semester at the University of #Mannheim has come to an end. I certainly learned a great deal myself — and hopefully my students did as well! It has been a pleasure, and now I am looking forward to the coming weeks, which will hopefully be a bit quieter as we approach the end of the year.
December 2, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Another semester at the University of #Mannheim has come to an end. I certainly learned a great deal myself — and hopefully my students did as well! It has been a pleasure, and now I am looking forward to the coming weeks, which will hopefully be a bit quieter as we approach the end of the year.
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
We're looking for a colleague (postdoc) 📢 @politikuhh.bsky.social
3+3 years
Doing your own research while teaching 2.5 courses per semester
Research agenda with links to our team (democracy, digital politics, political competition/behaviour)
DL 🗓️ 05/01
stellen.uni-hamburg.de/jobposting/6...
3+3 years
Doing your own research while teaching 2.5 courses per semester
Research agenda with links to our team (democracy, digital politics, political competition/behaviour)
DL 🗓️ 05/01
stellen.uni-hamburg.de/jobposting/6...
Research Associate (Postdoc) Political Science § 28 Subsection 2 HmbHG
stellen.uni-hamburg.de
December 1, 2025 at 8:56 AM
We're looking for a colleague (postdoc) 📢 @politikuhh.bsky.social
3+3 years
Doing your own research while teaching 2.5 courses per semester
Research agenda with links to our team (democracy, digital politics, political competition/behaviour)
DL 🗓️ 05/01
stellen.uni-hamburg.de/jobposting/6...
3+3 years
Doing your own research while teaching 2.5 courses per semester
Research agenda with links to our team (democracy, digital politics, political competition/behaviour)
DL 🗓️ 05/01
stellen.uni-hamburg.de/jobposting/6...
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
Wieso die AfD mit der »Generation Deutschland« zwei Fehler macht: Sie wird extremistischer und gleichzeitig disziplinierter. Damit liefert sie neue Belege für die Radikalität der AfD– und verliert an Wucht.
Meine Gedanken nach der Gründungsversammlung in #Giessen:
www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
Meine Gedanken nach der Gründungsversammlung in #Giessen:
www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
(S+) Meinung: Wieso die AfD mit der »Generation Deutschland« zwei Fehler macht
Die AfD hat ihre Jugendorganisation neu gegründet, sie wird extremistischer und gleichzeitig disziplinierter. Damit liefert sie neue Belege für ihre Radikalität – und verliert an Wucht.
www.spiegel.de
November 30, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Wieso die AfD mit der »Generation Deutschland« zwei Fehler macht: Sie wird extremistischer und gleichzeitig disziplinierter. Damit liefert sie neue Belege für die Radikalität der AfD– und verliert an Wucht.
Meine Gedanken nach der Gründungsversammlung in #Giessen:
www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
Meine Gedanken nach der Gründungsversammlung in #Giessen:
www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
🚨Publication Alert!
My first first-author publication with @msaeltzer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social is out in @polbehavior.bsky.social, which began as my bachelor's thesis. We study how party polarization shapes affective polarization—with a particularly important role of the AfD. (1/7)🧵
My first first-author publication with @msaeltzer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social is out in @polbehavior.bsky.social, which began as my bachelor's thesis. We study how party polarization shapes affective polarization—with a particularly important role of the AfD. (1/7)🧵
December 1, 2025 at 12:07 PM
🚨Publication Alert!
My first first-author publication with @msaeltzer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social is out in @polbehavior.bsky.social, which began as my bachelor's thesis. We study how party polarization shapes affective polarization—with a particularly important role of the AfD. (1/7)🧵
My first first-author publication with @msaeltzer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social is out in @polbehavior.bsky.social, which began as my bachelor's thesis. We study how party polarization shapes affective polarization—with a particularly important role of the AfD. (1/7)🧵
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
Instrumentally inclusive: Does support for LGBT+ rights grow when people are reminded of Muslim opposition to it?
Yes and the results of this paper still stand.
The paper speaks a truth to power in a way our society needs.
If anything, we need more research on justifications of Islamophobia 🙏
Yes and the results of this paper still stand.
The paper speaks a truth to power in a way our society needs.
If anything, we need more research on justifications of Islamophobia 🙏
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
December 1, 2025 at 5:56 AM
Instrumentally inclusive: Does support for LGBT+ rights grow when people are reminded of Muslim opposition to it?
Yes and the results of this paper still stand.
The paper speaks a truth to power in a way our society needs.
If anything, we need more research on justifications of Islamophobia 🙏
Yes and the results of this paper still stand.
The paper speaks a truth to power in a way our society needs.
If anything, we need more research on justifications of Islamophobia 🙏
Tomorrow, the fantastic @grahn.bsky.social is presenting his amazing research at MZES Speaker Series. So glad to have you in Mannheim, Michal!!
❗️ Tue, Dec 2, 12:15-13:30 CET
📍 A 231 and ZOOM
MZES Speaker Series
with
@grahn.bsky.social
"Countering Femonationalism:
Evidence from an Audio-visual Experiment in Germany"
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/even...
1/2
📍 A 231 and ZOOM
MZES Speaker Series
with
@grahn.bsky.social
"Countering Femonationalism:
Evidence from an Audio-visual Experiment in Germany"
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/even...
1/2
Detail
www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de
December 1, 2025 at 8:50 AM
Tomorrow, the fantastic @grahn.bsky.social is presenting his amazing research at MZES Speaker Series. So glad to have you in Mannheim, Michal!!
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
Very unprofessional of the APSR to publish a response to a published article without publishing the original authors' reaction. "They will be published in the same issue." So we see them together when we get our hardcopy in the mail and flip through it on a Sunday afternoon?
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
November 29, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Very unprofessional of the APSR to publish a response to a published article without publishing the original authors' reaction. "They will be published in the same issue." So we see them together when we get our hardcopy in the mail and flip through it on a Sunday afternoon?
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
November 29, 2025 at 3:13 PM
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
For the Guardian, @jonhenley.bsky.social reports on our new research briefs on the politics of housing. Current policies too often treat housing as an asset. Housing as a social right has nearly disappeared from the agenda of even progressive parties.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
European progressives must tackle housing crisis to beat far right, say researchers
Centre left can win broad support by addressing soaring house prices and rents, according to data analysis
www.theguardian.com
November 27, 2025 at 9:17 AM
For the Guardian, @jonhenley.bsky.social reports on our new research briefs on the politics of housing. Current policies too often treat housing as an asset. Housing as a social right has nearly disappeared from the agenda of even progressive parties.
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
I had the privilege to present my ongoing research on rebutting femonationalism (with @katharinalawall.bsky.social, @sophiemainz.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com) at @helsinki.fi yesterday. Great crowd and feedback. :) thanks to @jekantol.bsky.social & @cherrymmiller.bsky.social for having me.
November 27, 2025 at 7:52 AM
I had the privilege to present my ongoing research on rebutting femonationalism (with @katharinalawall.bsky.social, @sophiemainz.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com) at @helsinki.fi yesterday. Great crowd and feedback. :) thanks to @jekantol.bsky.social & @cherrymmiller.bsky.social for having me.
Reposted by Constantin Wurthmann
Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
November 25, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
@ispp-pops.bsky.social
@ispp-pops.bsky.social