Or Tuttnauer
@ortuttnauer.com
Political Scientist at MZES Uni. Mannheim. Traveler at heart. Father of three. Casual fan of NBA basketball, Marvel, Tolkien.
Disrupting German #Halloween 🎃
Kids come up to the house saying "Süßes oder Saures"* and I answer "Salziges!" offering them popcorn. And it's a hit!
* Literally: "sweet or sour," the 🇩🇪 version of trick or treat
Kids come up to the house saying "Süßes oder Saures"* and I answer "Salziges!" offering them popcorn. And it's a hit!
* Literally: "sweet or sour," the 🇩🇪 version of trick or treat
a halloween greeting card with a pumpkin and a haunted house in the background
ALT: a halloween greeting card with a pumpkin and a haunted house in the background
media.tenor.com
October 31, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Disrupting German #Halloween 🎃
Kids come up to the house saying "Süßes oder Saures"* and I answer "Salziges!" offering them popcorn. And it's a hit!
* Literally: "sweet or sour," the 🇩🇪 version of trick or treat
Kids come up to the house saying "Süßes oder Saures"* and I answer "Salziges!" offering them popcorn. And it's a hit!
* Literally: "sweet or sour," the 🇩🇪 version of trick or treat
חמותי סיכמה את עצמה הכי טוב שאפשר:
״שכל מה שתרצה לעצמך יתגשם. אבל הכי חשוב שמה שאני רוצה יתגשם״
היא רוצה שנחזור לארץ. אמרנו לה כבר שאנחנו לא רוצים. אבל הנה, רואים מה הכי חשוב…
״שכל מה שתרצה לעצמך יתגשם. אבל הכי חשוב שמה שאני רוצה יתגשם״
היא רוצה שנחזור לארץ. אמרנו לה כבר שאנחנו לא רוצים. אבל הנה, רואים מה הכי חשוב…
בוקר יום הולדת.
איך דמיינתי: אני ישן בכיף, קם מאוחר לשירים ומתנות ועוגה.
איך הולך בפועל: כבר חצי שעה אסור לי לצאת מהמיטה כי השאר עוד לא מוכנים, ומתחיל לשעמם לי 😕
אבל המתנות והעוגה עוד לפניי, אז יש למה לצפות 🥳
איך דמיינתי: אני ישן בכיף, קם מאוחר לשירים ומתנות ועוגה.
איך הולך בפועל: כבר חצי שעה אסור לי לצאת מהמיטה כי השאר עוד לא מוכנים, ומתחיל לשעמם לי 😕
אבל המתנות והעוגה עוד לפניי, אז יש למה לצפות 🥳
October 25, 2025 at 9:37 AM
חמותי סיכמה את עצמה הכי טוב שאפשר:
״שכל מה שתרצה לעצמך יתגשם. אבל הכי חשוב שמה שאני רוצה יתגשם״
היא רוצה שנחזור לארץ. אמרנו לה כבר שאנחנו לא רוצים. אבל הנה, רואים מה הכי חשוב…
״שכל מה שתרצה לעצמך יתגשם. אבל הכי חשוב שמה שאני רוצה יתגשם״
היא רוצה שנחזור לארץ. אמרנו לה כבר שאנחנו לא רוצים. אבל הנה, רואים מה הכי חשוב…
בוקר יום הולדת.
איך דמיינתי: אני ישן בכיף, קם מאוחר לשירים ומתנות ועוגה.
איך הולך בפועל: כבר חצי שעה אסור לי לצאת מהמיטה כי השאר עוד לא מוכנים, ומתחיל לשעמם לי 😕
אבל המתנות והעוגה עוד לפניי, אז יש למה לצפות 🥳
איך דמיינתי: אני ישן בכיף, קם מאוחר לשירים ומתנות ועוגה.
איך הולך בפועל: כבר חצי שעה אסור לי לצאת מהמיטה כי השאר עוד לא מוכנים, ומתחיל לשעמם לי 😕
אבל המתנות והעוגה עוד לפניי, אז יש למה לצפות 🥳
October 25, 2025 at 8:08 AM
בוקר יום הולדת.
איך דמיינתי: אני ישן בכיף, קם מאוחר לשירים ומתנות ועוגה.
איך הולך בפועל: כבר חצי שעה אסור לי לצאת מהמיטה כי השאר עוד לא מוכנים, ומתחיל לשעמם לי 😕
אבל המתנות והעוגה עוד לפניי, אז יש למה לצפות 🥳
איך דמיינתי: אני ישן בכיף, קם מאוחר לשירים ומתנות ועוגה.
איך הולך בפועל: כבר חצי שעה אסור לי לצאת מהמיטה כי השאר עוד לא מוכנים, ומתחיל לשעמם לי 😕
אבל המתנות והעוגה עוד לפניי, אז יש למה לצפות 🥳
Good stuff right here by @dannychau.bsky.social
October 24, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Good stuff right here by @dannychau.bsky.social
My 2🪙 on #nba gambling scandal(s): there’s a connecting line b/w legalizing gambling; Pharma pushing opioids; oil & car companies perpetuating big, lethal, polluting cars; the guns issue; & how lobbies distort US politics. Surrendering to money & exploiting human weaknesses run thru US society.
October 24, 2025 at 8:05 PM
My 2🪙 on #nba gambling scandal(s): there’s a connecting line b/w legalizing gambling; Pharma pushing opioids; oil & car companies perpetuating big, lethal, polluting cars; the guns issue; & how lobbies distort US politics. Surrendering to money & exploiting human weaknesses run thru US society.
Reposted by Or Tuttnauer
🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour
Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.
📖
Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.
📖
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis
buff.ly
October 20, 2025 at 10:01 AM
🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour
Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.
📖
Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.
📖
Your car may be fast, but is it “the time it takes my mother-in-law from coming to visit till asking about when will I look for a job back home” fast?
October 14, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Your car may be fast, but is it “the time it takes my mother-in-law from coming to visit till asking about when will I look for a job back home” fast?
I’ll do 4 words in one (German):
Wissenschaftszeitvertragsgesetz
(Look it up)
Wissenschaftszeitvertragsgesetz
(Look it up)
In honour of spooky month, share a 4 word horror story that only someone in your profession would understand.
rm -rf ~/
rm -rf ~/
"The chancellor approved it"
October 13, 2025 at 5:41 AM
I’ll do 4 words in one (German):
Wissenschaftszeitvertragsgesetz
(Look it up)
Wissenschaftszeitvertragsgesetz
(Look it up)
My doctor: if you feel hungry, perhaps try drinking water first, see if that fills the urge.
Me: I feel hungry, let’s try chocolate first
Me: I feel hungry, let’s try chocolate first
October 3, 2025 at 8:44 PM
My doctor: if you feel hungry, perhaps try drinking water first, see if that fills the urge.
Me: I feel hungry, let’s try chocolate first
Me: I feel hungry, let’s try chocolate first
🚨New #polisky publication 🚨
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis
www.cambridge.org
October 2, 2025 at 3:19 PM
🚨New #polisky publication 🚨
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
Reposted by Or Tuttnauer
Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister?
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
October 1, 2025 at 11:31 AM
Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister?
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
#academicsky woes
Me: working my ass off on a paper
Reviewer 1: but why did you use [a model I never considered using] and not the better option of [the model I specifically said I used]?
Reviewer 2: it makes no sense to control for [a variable I never use or mention in the text]
😡
Me: working my ass off on a paper
Reviewer 1: but why did you use [a model I never considered using] and not the better option of [the model I specifically said I used]?
Reviewer 2: it makes no sense to control for [a variable I never use or mention in the text]
😡
September 26, 2025 at 8:03 AM
#academicsky woes
Me: working my ass off on a paper
Reviewer 1: but why did you use [a model I never considered using] and not the better option of [the model I specifically said I used]?
Reviewer 2: it makes no sense to control for [a variable I never use or mention in the text]
😡
Me: working my ass off on a paper
Reviewer 1: but why did you use [a model I never considered using] and not the better option of [the model I specifically said I used]?
Reviewer 2: it makes no sense to control for [a variable I never use or mention in the text]
😡
This is one of the most depressing hype-posts I’ve seen in a while
September 26, 2025 at 7:33 AM
This is one of the most depressing hype-posts I’ve seen in a while
Came back to 🇩🇪 from a 3-week vacation. Already couldn’t pay in card in two places, and the trains today don’t work. Classic welcome home 👎
September 9, 2025 at 9:49 AM
Came back to 🇩🇪 from a 3-week vacation. Already couldn’t pay in card in two places, and the trains today don’t work. Classic welcome home 👎
מישהו צריך ללכת לבית שלו בלילה ולצייר לו על הראש עם משחת שיניים. אותה רמת בגרות
www.haaretz.co.il/news/law/202...
www.haaretz.co.il/news/law/202...
לוין החליף מנעולים בלשכה שמשמשת את היועמ"שית, והיא לא הצליחה להיכנס
מדובר בלשכה של שר המשפטים שמשמשת שנים ארוכות גם את היועצים המשפטיים לממשלה. לוין מסר כי שימושה של "עורכת הדין בהרב-מיארה" בלשכה "אינו מורשה", והוסיף כי זו "התנהלות תמוהה מצד מי שכבר הודחה מתפקידה". רא...
www.haaretz.co.il
August 12, 2025 at 6:52 PM
מישהו צריך ללכת לבית שלו בלילה ולצייר לו על הראש עם משחת שיניים. אותה רמת בגרות
www.haaretz.co.il/news/law/202...
www.haaretz.co.il/news/law/202...
Hadag Nahash - Lo Maspik - הדג נחש - לא מספיק
YouTube video by הדג נחש
youtu.be
August 12, 2025 at 1:33 PM
The Israeli #polisci association just issued a statement opposing the government's plan to continue the conquest of Gaza, calling for an immediate negotiation for a permanent ceasefire.
Main points (my summary):
Main points (my summary):
August 11, 2025 at 11:55 AM
The Israeli #polisci association just issued a statement opposing the government's plan to continue the conquest of Gaza, calling for an immediate negotiation for a permanent ceasefire.
Main points (my summary):
Main points (my summary):
Reposted by Or Tuttnauer
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
August 7, 2025 at 4:28 PM
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
Reposted by Or Tuttnauer
Feels like a good time to share this call for papers. Can't wait for EPSS 2026!
The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference!
📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast
🗓️ June 18–20, 2026
📍 ICC Belfast
📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025
🧵
📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast
🗓️ June 18–20, 2026
📍 ICC Belfast
📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025
🧵
August 7, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Feels like a good time to share this call for papers. Can't wait for EPSS 2026!
Couldn't have put it better myself. But I think I'll have to put my (research grant) money where my mouth is and travel all the way to Northern Ireland...
August 7, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Couldn't have put it better myself. But I think I'll have to put my (research grant) money where my mouth is and travel all the way to Northern Ireland...
So, we're having a #polisky civil war between @epssnet.bsky.social and @epsanet.bsky.social, huh?!
Can't wait to see how it goes.
Can't wait to see how it goes.
a marvel logo for the movie captain america
ALT: a marvel logo for the movie captain america
media.tenor.com
August 7, 2025 at 12:31 PM
So, we're having a #polisky civil war between @epssnet.bsky.social and @epsanet.bsky.social, huh?!
Can't wait to see how it goes.
Can't wait to see how it goes.
עוד יום שלשמוע שירי הדג נחש מלפני 10-15 שנה גורם לי לדמוע. איך הכל רק נהיה יותר גרוע בזמן הזה
August 5, 2025 at 5:58 PM
עוד יום שלשמוע שירי הדג נחש מלפני 10-15 שנה גורם לי לדמוע. איך הכל רק נהיה יותר גרוע בזמן הזה
@dfg.de can anyone tell me what it means that my application is in “processing” stage? Does that mean that it hasn’t gone to reviewers yet, or not necessarily? 🙏
August 4, 2025 at 5:03 PM
@dfg.de can anyone tell me what it means that my application is in “processing” stage? Does that mean that it hasn’t gone to reviewers yet, or not necessarily? 🙏
Made myself finish watching #marvel ‘s Ironeheart. Ugh. They really just put Sasha Baron-Cohen there to make people like me finish watching didn’t they?
August 4, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Made myself finish watching #marvel ‘s Ironeheart. Ugh. They really just put Sasha Baron-Cohen there to make people like me finish watching didn’t they?