Or Tuttnauer
@ortuttnauer.com
Political Scientist at MZES Uni. Mannheim. Traveler at heart. Father of three. Casual fan of NBA basketball, Marvel, Tolkien.
אצלנו (גרמניה) הסימן הוא מי שיש לו דלעת מוארת מחוץ לבית. זה אומר שיש לך ממתקים. מי שלא בקטע לא שם דלעת, ואפשר גם לכבות אותה כשנגמר הממתקים/החשק.
October 31, 2025 at 7:04 PM
אצלנו (גרמניה) הסימן הוא מי שיש לו דלעת מוארת מחוץ לבית. זה אומר שיש לך ממתקים. מי שלא בקטע לא שם דלעת, ואפשר גם לכבות אותה כשנגמר הממתקים/החשק.
Disrupting German #Halloween 🎃
Kids come up to the house saying "Süßes oder Saures"* and I answer "Salziges!" offering them popcorn. And it's a hit!
* Literally: "sweet or sour," the 🇩🇪 version of trick or treat
Kids come up to the house saying "Süßes oder Saures"* and I answer "Salziges!" offering them popcorn. And it's a hit!
* Literally: "sweet or sour," the 🇩🇪 version of trick or treat
a halloween greeting card with a pumpkin and a haunted house in the background
ALT: a halloween greeting card with a pumpkin and a haunted house in the background
media.tenor.com
October 31, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Wait this is how Braun looks like now?!
October 20, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Wait this is how Braun looks like now?!
כנ״ל, בר מצווה לילד. אבל קניתי כרטיסים גמישים וה״לא נעים לבטל״ מת בפעם הקודמת שטסנו, בול למלחמה עם איראן
October 19, 2025 at 5:54 PM
כנ״ל, בר מצווה לילד. אבל קניתי כרטיסים גמישים וה״לא נעים לבטל״ מת בפעם הקודמת שטסנו, בול למלחמה עם איראן
Came in to shout out the random PJ appearance here, so I was already late to the party
October 11, 2025 at 10:56 AM
Came in to shout out the random PJ appearance here, so I was already late to the party
וואו לרגע הייתי צריך לוודא שאני מבין מי זה שומרון (שמרון?) ומי זה אוניל
October 6, 2025 at 9:15 AM
וואו לרגע הייתי צריך לוודא שאני מבין מי זה שומרון (שמרון?) ומי זה אוניל
I really like that this paper conceptualises and tests an idea which is common-sense (that the competition over prime-ministership matters for voting) but nonetheless has not been thoroughly studied. Also, publishing in @ejprjournal.bsky.social was always on my bucket list 😀
4/4
4/4
October 2, 2025 at 3:19 PM
I really like that this paper conceptualises and tests an idea which is common-sense (that the competition over prime-ministership matters for voting) but nonetheless has not been thoroughly studied. Also, publishing in @ejprjournal.bsky.social was always on my bucket list 😀
4/4
4/4
Interestingly, voters who believe their preferred formateur (PM candidate) will lose behave similarly to those who are uncertain, acting in what we call "puncher's chance" mentality. Both groups display higher rates of strategic behaviour (shown here relying on 6 🇩🇪 election surveys)
3/4
3/4
October 2, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Interestingly, voters who believe their preferred formateur (PM candidate) will lose behave similarly to those who are uncertain, acting in what we call "puncher's chance" mentality. Both groups display higher rates of strategic behaviour (shown here relying on 6 🇩🇪 election surveys)
3/4
3/4
Our cross-national analysis (@cses.bsky.social) shows: when there is uncertainty over which party will lead the next government, voters are more likely to vote for the two largest parties (left figure). This effect diminishes when partisan attachments are especially strong (right figure).
2/4
2/4
October 2, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Our cross-national analysis (@cses.bsky.social) shows: when there is uncertainty over which party will lead the next government, voters are more likely to vote for the two largest parties (left figure). This effect diminishes when partisan attachments are especially strong (right figure).
2/4
2/4