Hannes Baumann
@hannesbaumann.bsky.social
Senior Lecturer, University of Liverpool, Arab states' political economy. Views my own, not my employer's. Author "Citizen Hariri: Lebanon's neoliberal reconstruction". He/him
Pinned
Hannes Baumann
@hannesbaumann.bsky.social
· Feb 14
Monetary statecraft in the service of counter-revolution: Gulf monarchies’ deposits to Arab states’ central banks 1998–2022
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) monarchies have deposited several tens of billions of dollars in other Arab states’ central banks since 2011 to prop up recipients’ currencies. GCC currencies do not ...
www.tandfonline.com
New article where I examine Gulf deposits to other Arab states' central banks as monetary statecraft in the service of counter-revolution @ripejournal.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
We will host @clairepierson.bsky.social's 📘 launch this Wednesday (12 November) 3:30-5pm The launch will take place in 126 Mount Pleasant Room 113. Join Pierson and Professor Liz Evans (University of Southampton) for a conversation on contemporary feminist and gender politics:
www.ticketsource.co.uk
November 10, 2025 at 4:42 PM
We will host @clairepierson.bsky.social's 📘 launch this Wednesday (12 November) 3:30-5pm The launch will take place in 126 Mount Pleasant Room 113. Join Pierson and Professor Liz Evans (University of Southampton) for a conversation on contemporary feminist and gender politics:
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Fantastic weekend taking about abortion, creative methods and making our own embroideries and prints. First time I've been drawn on a panel!
November 8, 2025 at 10:29 PM
Fantastic weekend taking about abortion, creative methods and making our own embroideries and prints. First time I've been drawn on a panel!
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
How to make sense of China’s rise? For Phenomenal World I wrote something on its changing role in global finance.
China is not building a dollar-style empire of sprawling markets and speculative finance but something leaner, more functional & tightly managed.
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/a-s...
China is not building a dollar-style empire of sprawling markets and speculative finance but something leaner, more functional & tightly managed.
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/a-s...
November 10, 2025 at 8:05 AM
How to make sense of China’s rise? For Phenomenal World I wrote something on its changing role in global finance.
China is not building a dollar-style empire of sprawling markets and speculative finance but something leaner, more functional & tightly managed.
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/a-s...
China is not building a dollar-style empire of sprawling markets and speculative finance but something leaner, more functional & tightly managed.
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/a-s...
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
New from me:
An interactive data visualization showing billionaire migration: paths from birthplace to most recent residence for > 3,100 of the world’s richest individuals.
Most importantly, fun to play around with; also, useful for thinking about q's re: elites and comparative wealth ineq. 1/5
An interactive data visualization showing billionaire migration: paths from birthplace to most recent residence for > 3,100 of the world’s richest individuals.
Most importantly, fun to play around with; also, useful for thinking about q's re: elites and comparative wealth ineq. 1/5
Billionaire Migration: An Interactive Map
An interactive map of city-level migration flows for 3,106 billionaires from birth to most recent residence.
wesleystubenbord.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:31 AM
New from me:
An interactive data visualization showing billionaire migration: paths from birthplace to most recent residence for > 3,100 of the world’s richest individuals.
Most importantly, fun to play around with; also, useful for thinking about q's re: elites and comparative wealth ineq. 1/5
An interactive data visualization showing billionaire migration: paths from birthplace to most recent residence for > 3,100 of the world’s richest individuals.
Most importantly, fun to play around with; also, useful for thinking about q's re: elites and comparative wealth ineq. 1/5
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Amazing sequence of paragraphs in a piece on how dollar volatility has fallen to pre-election levels.
on.ft.com/3JAflat
on.ft.com/3JAflat
November 9, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Amazing sequence of paragraphs in a piece on how dollar volatility has fallen to pre-election levels.
on.ft.com/3JAflat
on.ft.com/3JAflat
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Looking for a long read to go with your coffee this morning? The Line is a project of incredible hubris - we got the story of how it unravelled.
NEW: The End of the Line: the centrepiece of Saudi Arabia’s Neom gigaproject - a 500m tall, 170km long wall-like building intended ultimately to house 9 million people - can’t get out of the ground, say more than 20 former Neom architects, engineers and senior executives.
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
End of The Line: how Saudi Arabia’s Neom dream unravelled
Mohammed bin Salman’s utopian city was undone by the laws of physics and finance
ig.ft.com
November 9, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Looking for a long read to go with your coffee this morning? The Line is a project of incredible hubris - we got the story of how it unravelled.
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
CBRL invites applications for Workshop Grants! 📑
🔹 Deadline: Friday - 16 Jan 2026
For more details and to apply:
www.cbrl.ac.uk/news/cbrl-wo...
🔹 Deadline: Friday - 16 Jan 2026
For more details and to apply:
www.cbrl.ac.uk/news/cbrl-wo...
November 3, 2025 at 12:12 PM
CBRL invites applications for Workshop Grants! 📑
🔹 Deadline: Friday - 16 Jan 2026
For more details and to apply:
www.cbrl.ac.uk/news/cbrl-wo...
🔹 Deadline: Friday - 16 Jan 2026
For more details and to apply:
www.cbrl.ac.uk/news/cbrl-wo...
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
China fueled global oil demand this century — could AI be the next driver?
The UAE expects demand staying above 100 million barrels a day beyond 2040
And says the energy industry will need annual investment of $4 trillion to meet rising consumption
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
The UAE expects demand staying above 100 million barrels a day beyond 2040
And says the energy industry will need annual investment of $4 trillion to meet rising consumption
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Adnoc CEO Says AI Raises Energy Investment Needs to $4 Trillion
The global energy industry needs annual investment of $4 trillion as the boom in data centers and artificial intelligence increases demand, according to Sultan Al Jaber, head of the biggest crude prod...
www.bloomberg.com
November 5, 2025 at 10:33 AM
China fueled global oil demand this century — could AI be the next driver?
The UAE expects demand staying above 100 million barrels a day beyond 2040
And says the energy industry will need annual investment of $4 trillion to meet rising consumption
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
The UAE expects demand staying above 100 million barrels a day beyond 2040
And says the energy industry will need annual investment of $4 trillion to meet rising consumption
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
At @livunipol.bsky.social we are recruiting for an ESRC PhD studentship. Get in touch with me if you are interested in IPE and/or Middle East politics. Any other theme, check out my colleagues' work. More info... www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPH631/e...
ESRC Funded Studentships in Politics at University of Liverpool
Apply for a ESRC Funded Studentships in Politics. Discover a wide range of PhD opportunities at jobs.ac.uk.
www.jobs.ac.uk
November 3, 2025 at 2:23 PM
At @livunipol.bsky.social we are recruiting for an ESRC PhD studentship. Get in touch with me if you are interested in IPE and/or Middle East politics. Any other theme, check out my colleagues' work. More info... www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPH631/e...
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
In this symposium on Syria contributors paint nuanced, grim, but clear-eyed pictures of multiple transitional challenges. Comparisons to other cases and situation in poli sci lit remind us Syria's not terribly unique. Amazingly, they all suggest ways through the obstacles.
zenodo.org/records/1745...
zenodo.org/records/1745...
MENA Politics, Fall 2025
zenodo.org
November 3, 2025 at 5:49 PM
In this symposium on Syria contributors paint nuanced, grim, but clear-eyed pictures of multiple transitional challenges. Comparisons to other cases and situation in poli sci lit remind us Syria's not terribly unique. Amazingly, they all suggest ways through the obstacles.
zenodo.org/records/1745...
zenodo.org/records/1745...
At @livunipol.bsky.social we are recruiting for an ESRC PhD studentship. Get in touch with me if you are interested in IPE and/or Middle East politics. Any other theme, check out my colleagues' work. More info... www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPH631/e...
ESRC Funded Studentships in Politics at University of Liverpool
Apply for a ESRC Funded Studentships in Politics. Discover a wide range of PhD opportunities at jobs.ac.uk.
www.jobs.ac.uk
November 3, 2025 at 2:23 PM
At @livunipol.bsky.social we are recruiting for an ESRC PhD studentship. Get in touch with me if you are interested in IPE and/or Middle East politics. Any other theme, check out my colleagues' work. More info... www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPH631/e...
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
🚨New publication with Kristijan Kotarski:
Enduring Structural Power? Assessing the Dominance of the Anglosphere in Global Finance Before the Trump Turn
Includes novel visualizations of global finance (banking, portfolio inv & FDI) showing persistent US centrality
hrcak.srce.hr/clanak/487488
Enduring Structural Power? Assessing the Dominance of the Anglosphere in Global Finance Before the Trump Turn
Includes novel visualizations of global finance (banking, portfolio inv & FDI) showing persistent US centrality
hrcak.srce.hr/clanak/487488
October 30, 2025 at 1:15 PM
🚨New publication with Kristijan Kotarski:
Enduring Structural Power? Assessing the Dominance of the Anglosphere in Global Finance Before the Trump Turn
Includes novel visualizations of global finance (banking, portfolio inv & FDI) showing persistent US centrality
hrcak.srce.hr/clanak/487488
Enduring Structural Power? Assessing the Dominance of the Anglosphere in Global Finance Before the Trump Turn
Includes novel visualizations of global finance (banking, portfolio inv & FDI) showing persistent US centrality
hrcak.srce.hr/clanak/487488
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Fossil fuel use continues to climb, despite the growth of renewables.
October 29, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Fossil fuel use continues to climb, despite the growth of renewables.
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Some photos from this morning at Mar Elias, the Damascus church that was targeted by a suicide bomber some months ago. Mass now takes place in a basement there. You can still see the damage from the bombing on the roof. Story soon @irishtimes.com #Syria
October 26, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Some photos from this morning at Mar Elias, the Damascus church that was targeted by a suicide bomber some months ago. Mass now takes place in a basement there. You can still see the damage from the bombing on the roof. Story soon @irishtimes.com #Syria
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Tell me who is going to do the supplying, & I’ll believe you, if you can convince me:
- The ECB/PBOC will replace the Fed as the int’l LOLR
- 🇪🇺/🇨🇳 will tolerate 25% appreciations in the euro/RMB
- 🇪🇺 will complete banking & fiscal union
- 🇨🇳 will remove capital controls
- 🇨🇦🇦🇺🇯🇵🇨🇭 will quadruple in size
- The ECB/PBOC will replace the Fed as the int’l LOLR
- 🇪🇺/🇨🇳 will tolerate 25% appreciations in the euro/RMB
- 🇪🇺 will complete banking & fiscal union
- 🇨🇳 will remove capital controls
- 🇨🇦🇦🇺🇯🇵🇨🇭 will quadruple in size
Again, this could be a moment when dollar hegemony ebbs, but <demand> for that ≠ <supply> of alternatives, & a 🇨🇳 that is tripling down on export surpluses & a 🇩🇪 that thinks it can just do off-balance sheet defense funding while not changing the rest of its economic model will not be supplying those:
If the world really wants to move away from 🇺🇸 markets/debt/the dollar, it's going to take wholesale changes of 🇩🇪/🇪🇺 & 🇨🇳 economic policies. Fundamental changes. Not just modest things like an off-budget defense fund or some modest movement in the RMB/USD exchange rate. No signs at all of that yet.
April 8, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Tell me who is going to do the supplying, & I’ll believe you, if you can convince me:
- The ECB/PBOC will replace the Fed as the int’l LOLR
- 🇪🇺/🇨🇳 will tolerate 25% appreciations in the euro/RMB
- 🇪🇺 will complete banking & fiscal union
- 🇨🇳 will remove capital controls
- 🇨🇦🇦🇺🇯🇵🇨🇭 will quadruple in size
- The ECB/PBOC will replace the Fed as the int’l LOLR
- 🇪🇺/🇨🇳 will tolerate 25% appreciations in the euro/RMB
- 🇪🇺 will complete banking & fiscal union
- 🇨🇳 will remove capital controls
- 🇨🇦🇦🇺🇯🇵🇨🇭 will quadruple in size
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Good piece as a “tail risk scenario.” But again, as I’ve tried to point out many times, any argument that 🇺🇸 is going to face a debt crisis & capital flight at debt/GDP ratios 100% lower than 🇯🇵 must answer all kinds of questions about where investors are going to go:
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
October 26, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Good piece as a “tail risk scenario.” But again, as I’ve tried to point out many times, any argument that 🇺🇸 is going to face a debt crisis & capital flight at debt/GDP ratios 100% lower than 🇯🇵 must answer all kinds of questions about where investors are going to go:
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Some welcome developments:
"Three diplomats told the FT that some Arab and Muslim states had voiced concerns over the plans to include Blair on a “board of peace” intended to supervise a postwar transition in the war-shattered strip, because of his backing for the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq."
"Three diplomats told the FT that some Arab and Muslim states had voiced concerns over the plans to include Blair on a “board of peace” intended to supervise a postwar transition in the war-shattered strip, because of his backing for the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq."
Arab states push back on Tony Blair role in overseeing postwar Gaza
Some countries voiced concerns over Donald Trump’s decision to name former UK prime minister to ‘board of peace’
on.ft.com
October 25, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Some welcome developments:
"Three diplomats told the FT that some Arab and Muslim states had voiced concerns over the plans to include Blair on a “board of peace” intended to supervise a postwar transition in the war-shattered strip, because of his backing for the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq."
"Three diplomats told the FT that some Arab and Muslim states had voiced concerns over the plans to include Blair on a “board of peace” intended to supervise a postwar transition in the war-shattered strip, because of his backing for the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq."
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
After submitting a FOIA request UKRI, I obtained success rates by three grant call scheme and I can only say that I am disheartened by the results:
- AHRC Responsive Mode 2025: 2%
- ESRC New Investigator Grant 2025: 1%
- ESRC Research Grant Round 2025: 1%
- AHRC Responsive Mode 2025: 2%
- ESRC New Investigator Grant 2025: 1%
- ESRC Research Grant Round 2025: 1%
October 22, 2025 at 7:55 AM
After submitting a FOIA request UKRI, I obtained success rates by three grant call scheme and I can only say that I am disheartened by the results:
- AHRC Responsive Mode 2025: 2%
- ESRC New Investigator Grant 2025: 1%
- ESRC Research Grant Round 2025: 1%
- AHRC Responsive Mode 2025: 2%
- ESRC New Investigator Grant 2025: 1%
- ESRC Research Grant Round 2025: 1%
Finally got round to Adam Hanieh's important new article: Renewables expansion in Gulf is "additive" to hydrocarbons, both hydrocarbon &renewables expansion deepens GCC ties to China, and accumulation is still via the usual big (fossil-based) Gulf corporations onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Greening the Gulf? Renewables, Fossil Capitalism and the ‘East–East’ Axis of World Energy
This article examines the place of the Gulf Cooperation Council states in the global energy transition, with a focus on the recent and rapid expansion of renewable energy in the region. It argues tha....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 23, 2025 at 11:41 AM
Finally got round to Adam Hanieh's important new article: Renewables expansion in Gulf is "additive" to hydrocarbons, both hydrocarbon &renewables expansion deepens GCC ties to China, and accumulation is still via the usual big (fossil-based) Gulf corporations onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Save the date 📅 We have an upcoming book launch by our very own @ndmlees.bsky.social on November 19th! 📚 Dr Nicholas Lees’ research examines the relationship between inequality, conflict, and democracy in world politics! We hope you can join us for what will be an exciting conversation.
October 23, 2025 at 10:39 AM
Save the date 📅 We have an upcoming book launch by our very own @ndmlees.bsky.social on November 19th! 📚 Dr Nicholas Lees’ research examines the relationship between inequality, conflict, and democracy in world politics! We hope you can join us for what will be an exciting conversation.
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
With intense talks underway over forming an "international stabilization force" to replace Israeli forces in Gaza, I'm re-upping a post I wrote for @carnegiemec.bsky.social exactly one year ago that remains pertinent:
carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/...
carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/...
Setting Up an Arab Civil War
The Biden administration’s plan for the “day after” in Gaza would be disastrous without the promise of Palestinian statehood.
carnegieendowment.org
October 21, 2025 at 6:53 PM
With intense talks underway over forming an "international stabilization force" to replace Israeli forces in Gaza, I'm re-upping a post I wrote for @carnegiemec.bsky.social exactly one year ago that remains pertinent:
carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/...
carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/...
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Colonial afterlives in the global cocoa supply chain: sharecropping, labour exploitation, and gendered (re)production, by Ellie Gore
www.tandfonline.com
October 20, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Colonial afterlives in the global cocoa supply chain: sharecropping, labour exploitation, and gendered (re)production, by Ellie Gore
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Our Early Career Small Research Grants and Learning and Teaching funds open TODAY! 🎉
You must have been a BISA member for over 6 months to apply and the deadline is 24 November! 🌟
Eligibility requirements 👉 www.bisa.ac.uk/members/fund...
@julietdryden.bsky.social @juanitamarieelias.bsky.social
You must have been a BISA member for over 6 months to apply and the deadline is 24 November! 🌟
Eligibility requirements 👉 www.bisa.ac.uk/members/fund...
@julietdryden.bsky.social @juanitamarieelias.bsky.social
October 20, 2025 at 11:32 AM
Our Early Career Small Research Grants and Learning and Teaching funds open TODAY! 🎉
You must have been a BISA member for over 6 months to apply and the deadline is 24 November! 🌟
Eligibility requirements 👉 www.bisa.ac.uk/members/fund...
@julietdryden.bsky.social @juanitamarieelias.bsky.social
You must have been a BISA member for over 6 months to apply and the deadline is 24 November! 🌟
Eligibility requirements 👉 www.bisa.ac.uk/members/fund...
@julietdryden.bsky.social @juanitamarieelias.bsky.social
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Really excited to be involved in a pop up exhibition Migration, Refuge & Solidarity‘ on 7th & 8th Nov at @victoriagallery.bsky.social. I will be sharing audio-visual exhibition ‘A Place Along the Way: Stories from the Island of Samos’ as a part of it. vgm.liverpool.ac.uk/whats-on/exh...
Migration, Refuge & Solidarity - Victoria Gallery & Museum - University of Liverpool
vgm.liverpool.ac.uk
October 17, 2025 at 11:14 AM
Really excited to be involved in a pop up exhibition Migration, Refuge & Solidarity‘ on 7th & 8th Nov at @victoriagallery.bsky.social. I will be sharing audio-visual exhibition ‘A Place Along the Way: Stories from the Island of Samos’ as a part of it. vgm.liverpool.ac.uk/whats-on/exh...
Reposted by Hannes Baumann
Als nicht-weiße Person in Deutschland sind die rassistischen „Stadtbild“ Ausführungen des Bundeskanzlers unerträglich. Schlimmer ist aber, gelernt zu haben, dass SPD und Grüne nicht für meine Rechte einstehen werden. Minderheitenrechte sind verhandelbar geworden. Angeblich elitär und „linksgrün“
October 16, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Als nicht-weiße Person in Deutschland sind die rassistischen „Stadtbild“ Ausführungen des Bundeskanzlers unerträglich. Schlimmer ist aber, gelernt zu haben, dass SPD und Grüne nicht für meine Rechte einstehen werden. Minderheitenrechte sind verhandelbar geworden. Angeblich elitär und „linksgrün“