Daniel McDowell
@danielmcdowell.bsky.social
Family man | Professor @Syracuse | Sr. Fellow @Atlantic Council | Fmr. China Fellow @TheWilsonCenter | Geoeconomics, Finance, & Cleveland sports | www.danielmcdowell.org
Pinned
wait for it
You might be thinking, "CPSC, does a dry Christmas tree really burn that much faster than a well-watered tree?"
Friend, let's find out together by watching this PSA.
Friend, let's find out together by watching this PSA.
December 20, 2025 at 12:00 AM
wait for it
New work exploring how elite discourse shapes public views of democracy from @seaytac.bsky.social
Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)
December 19, 2025 at 11:57 PM
New work exploring how elite discourse shapes public views of democracy from @seaytac.bsky.social
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Viktor Orbán — on the war in Ukraine:
"It’s not entirely clear who attacked whom."
"It’s not entirely clear who attacked whom."
December 19, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Viktor Orbán — on the war in Ukraine:
"It’s not entirely clear who attacked whom."
"It’s not entirely clear who attacked whom."
It took three days of work, but iteration two of my Geoeconomics & Statecraft PhD seminar is ready to launch in Spring 2026.
Syllabus link: drive.google.com/file/d/1u3p6...
Syllabus link: drive.google.com/file/d/1u3p6...
December 18, 2025 at 1:18 AM
It took three days of work, but iteration two of my Geoeconomics & Statecraft PhD seminar is ready to launch in Spring 2026.
Syllabus link: drive.google.com/file/d/1u3p6...
Syllabus link: drive.google.com/file/d/1u3p6...
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Your regular reminder that the Fed has a dual mandate, we should give thanks Jay Powell has taken it so seriously, & so many of his harshest & still unrepentant critics have confused their idiosyncratic personal inflation preferences with the idea that it were otherwise
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
Fed's Powell: If we didn't have to worry about the labour market, the policy rate would be higher
December 10, 2025 at 8:34 PM
Your regular reminder that the Fed has a dual mandate, we should give thanks Jay Powell has taken it so seriously, & so many of his harshest & still unrepentant critics have confused their idiosyncratic personal inflation preferences with the idea that it were otherwise
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
This longer-term view very much undercuts the Putin/Trump claim that “Russia has the upper hand.”
Since late 2022 Russia's battlefield advances in Ukraine have remained slow
• Over past three years Russia has captured only an additional 1.45% of Ukraine’s land
• Russia’s advance also comes at enormous cost, with 1-1.35m Russian soldiers killed or wounded so far
www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
• Over past three years Russia has captured only an additional 1.45% of Ukraine’s land
• Russia’s advance also comes at enormous cost, with 1-1.35m Russian soldiers killed or wounded so far
www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
December 11, 2025 at 1:08 PM
This longer-term view very much undercuts the Putin/Trump claim that “Russia has the upper hand.”
Since I'll be trading in a pair of my vintage Advent Loudspeakers over the weekend, I decided to stack them in accordance with Hi-Fi lore.
My wife told me I have 24-hours before I must take this monstrosity down.
My wife told me I have 24-hours before I must take this monstrosity down.
December 11, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Since I'll be trading in a pair of my vintage Advent Loudspeakers over the weekend, I decided to stack them in accordance with Hi-Fi lore.
My wife told me I have 24-hours before I must take this monstrosity down.
My wife told me I have 24-hours before I must take this monstrosity down.
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
From October 2025 -
Inflation and Incumbent Support: Experimental Evidence from the 2024 US Presidential Election - cup.org/3JaiZYj
"priming Americans to think about inflation reduced support for the incumbent"
- Selim Erdem Aytaç, @danielmcdowell.bsky.social & David A. Steinberg
#OpenAccess
Inflation and Incumbent Support: Experimental Evidence from the 2024 US Presidential Election - cup.org/3JaiZYj
"priming Americans to think about inflation reduced support for the incumbent"
- Selim Erdem Aytaç, @danielmcdowell.bsky.social & David A. Steinberg
#OpenAccess
December 9, 2025 at 1:40 AM
From October 2025 -
Inflation and Incumbent Support: Experimental Evidence from the 2024 US Presidential Election - cup.org/3JaiZYj
"priming Americans to think about inflation reduced support for the incumbent"
- Selim Erdem Aytaç, @danielmcdowell.bsky.social & David A. Steinberg
#OpenAccess
Inflation and Incumbent Support: Experimental Evidence from the 2024 US Presidential Election - cup.org/3JaiZYj
"priming Americans to think about inflation reduced support for the incumbent"
- Selim Erdem Aytaç, @danielmcdowell.bsky.social & David A. Steinberg
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Europe must act now. We should use Russia’s frozen assets to provide a reparations loan that strengthens Ukraine’s ability to defend itself. This is fair, feasible and urgent. Leaders of 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇸🇪🇵🇱🇮🇪 to 🇪🇺 in the name of 🇺🇦
December 8, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Europe must act now. We should use Russia’s frozen assets to provide a reparations loan that strengthens Ukraine’s ability to defend itself. This is fair, feasible and urgent. Leaders of 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇸🇪🇵🇱🇮🇪 to 🇪🇺 in the name of 🇺🇦
"Tariff" has one R and two Fs
"Terrific" has two Rs and one F.
That is all.
"Terrific" has two Rs and one F.
That is all.
December 2, 2025 at 6:24 PM
"Tariff" has one R and two Fs
"Terrific" has two Rs and one F.
That is all.
"Terrific" has two Rs and one F.
That is all.
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
From this a.m. on the talks in Florida, as they were starting. Not much optimism from me, and a suggestion that the US needs a different strategy.
Russia-Ukraine war: Talks underway in Florida
Top US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, US envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Sunday in South Florida with a Ukrainian delegation ahead of Witkoff's meeting this coming week...
www.livenowfox.com
November 30, 2025 at 10:31 PM
From this a.m. on the talks in Florida, as they were starting. Not much optimism from me, and a suggestion that the US needs a different strategy.
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
my most dad-core belief is that the IRA should have been called the Defeat Inflation Program (DIP) so that it better paired with the other signature Biden policy -- the CHIPS act.
December 1, 2025 at 5:14 PM
my most dad-core belief is that the IRA should have been called the Defeat Inflation Program (DIP) so that it better paired with the other signature Biden policy -- the CHIPS act.
I realize this is not the sophisticated opinion but:
Wonderful Christmastime is legitimately a top five Christmas song, in my book. It's catchy and fun. It makes me happy every time I hear it. I love the synthesizer. I love the overdubbed vocals. When the song comes on, I turn up the volume. 1/2
Wonderful Christmastime is legitimately a top five Christmas song, in my book. It's catchy and fun. It makes me happy every time I hear it. I love the synthesizer. I love the overdubbed vocals. When the song comes on, I turn up the volume. 1/2
December 1, 2025 at 7:03 PM
I realize this is not the sophisticated opinion but:
Wonderful Christmastime is legitimately a top five Christmas song, in my book. It's catchy and fun. It makes me happy every time I hear it. I love the synthesizer. I love the overdubbed vocals. When the song comes on, I turn up the volume. 1/2
Wonderful Christmastime is legitimately a top five Christmas song, in my book. It's catchy and fun. It makes me happy every time I hear it. I love the synthesizer. I love the overdubbed vocals. When the song comes on, I turn up the volume. 1/2
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
We used to have nice things
November 25, 2025 at 2:51 PM
We used to have nice things
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Republicans increasingly oppose requiring healthy kids to get MMR vaccines to attend public schools
2016 19%
2019 20%
2023 42%
2025 47%
www.pewresearch.org/science/2025... 🧪
2016 19%
2019 20%
2023 42%
2025 47%
www.pewresearch.org/science/2025... 🧪
November 23, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Republicans increasingly oppose requiring healthy kids to get MMR vaccines to attend public schools
2016 19%
2019 20%
2023 42%
2025 47%
www.pewresearch.org/science/2025... 🧪
2016 19%
2019 20%
2023 42%
2025 47%
www.pewresearch.org/science/2025... 🧪
There are too many alternate uniforms in sports.
November 23, 2025 at 9:27 PM
There are too many alternate uniforms in sports.
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
US stocks are feeling very iffy. We're only down 5% from the all-time high in October, but the narrative around the AI boom has definitely changed. I'm getting more and more questions if Fed rate cuts can bail out the market, which tells you something...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/can-the-fe...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/can-the-fe...
November 21, 2025 at 12:52 AM
US stocks are feeling very iffy. We're only down 5% from the all-time high in October, but the narrative around the AI boom has definitely changed. I'm getting more and more questions if Fed rate cuts can bail out the market, which tells you something...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/can-the-fe...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/can-the-fe...
Cool research!
NEW -
Hide and Seek: Offshore Financial Centers and Targeted Sanctions - https://cup.org/4i925GJ
- Menevis Cilizoglu & Chelsea Estancona
#OpenAccess
Hide and Seek: Offshore Financial Centers and Targeted Sanctions - https://cup.org/4i925GJ
- Menevis Cilizoglu & Chelsea Estancona
#OpenAccess
November 20, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Cool research!
That's 100% a goaltend.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiTq...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiTq...
LEBRON JAMES | JUST DO IT | NIKE
YouTube video by Nike
www.youtube.com
November 20, 2025 at 2:20 AM
That's 100% a goaltend.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiTq...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiTq...
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Great headline. Echoing the famous Clausewitz witticism: "The aggressor is always peace-loving; he would prefer to take over our country unopposed."
US and Russian officials draft new peace plan based on capitulation from Ukraine
US and Russian officials draft new peace plan based on capitulation from Ukraine
Unclear if Trump administration backs deal that would mean Kyiv giving up territory and slashing size of military
US and Russian officials have quietly drafted a new plan to end the war in Ukraine that would require Kyiv to surrender territory and severely limit the size of its military, it was reported on Wednesday as Russian drone and missile strikes killed at least 25 people in the city of Ternopil.
. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
November 19, 2025 at 7:47 PM
Great headline. Echoing the famous Clausewitz witticism: "The aggressor is always peace-loving; he would prefer to take over our country unopposed."
"Hear me out now."
November 19, 2025 at 10:43 PM
"Hear me out now."
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
We're the sidekick.
As I said to @juliaradio.bsky.social and Anthony Kuhn "What America does is part of the story—it's not the main part of the story, it's a cute side character. #China is now the main character in the story of fighting #climatechange."
www.npr.org/2025/11/18/n...
As I said to @juliaradio.bsky.social and Anthony Kuhn "What America does is part of the story—it's not the main part of the story, it's a cute side character. #China is now the main character in the story of fighting #climatechange."
www.npr.org/2025/11/18/n...
As China becomes the global leader in renewable energy, the U.S. is falling behind
China is expanding renewable energy exponentially while the U.S. is going backward. How China became the global leader, why the U.S. falling behind and what it means for these countries' economies.
www.npr.org
November 18, 2025 at 3:29 PM
We're the sidekick.
As I said to @juliaradio.bsky.social and Anthony Kuhn "What America does is part of the story—it's not the main part of the story, it's a cute side character. #China is now the main character in the story of fighting #climatechange."
www.npr.org/2025/11/18/n...
As I said to @juliaradio.bsky.social and Anthony Kuhn "What America does is part of the story—it's not the main part of the story, it's a cute side character. #China is now the main character in the story of fighting #climatechange."
www.npr.org/2025/11/18/n...
Stardate 2003
November 17, 2025 at 2:04 AM
Stardate 2003
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Like it or not this technology is here to stay and if you don’t use it you’ll fall behind in your industry
November 16, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Like it or not this technology is here to stay and if you don’t use it you’ll fall behind in your industry