Elias Koch
@eliaskoch.bsky.social
Doctoral Candidate in Political Science @dynamics.bsky.social (HU Berlin/Hertie School) & Research Associate @hertieschool.bsky.social | Party Competition, Public Opinion & Quantitative Methods | https://www.elias-koch.com
Pinned
Elias Koch
@eliaskoch.bsky.social
· Aug 1
New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social!
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
Reposted by Elias Koch
🎅2️⃣0️⃣ Inside the Suspicion Machine, by @evaconstantaras.bsky.social, @gabrielgeiger.bsky.social, @jusbraun.bsky.social, @dmehro.bsky.social, and Htet Aung from @lighthousereports.com in @wired.com www.wired.com/story/welfar...
Inside the Suspicion Machine
Obscure government algorithms are making life-changing decisions about millions of people around the world. Here, for the first time, we reveal how one of these systems works.
www.wired.com
December 20, 2025 at 2:05 PM
🎅2️⃣0️⃣ Inside the Suspicion Machine, by @evaconstantaras.bsky.social, @gabrielgeiger.bsky.social, @jusbraun.bsky.social, @dmehro.bsky.social, and Htet Aung from @lighthousereports.com in @wired.com www.wired.com/story/welfar...
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years)
We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
Postdoctoral Research Associate - International Research Training Group 2560 “Baltic Peripeties" 25/E19
Stellenausschreibung Institut für Politik- und Kommunikationswissenschaft
www.uni-greifswald.de
December 17, 2025 at 9:45 AM
🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years)
We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald.
✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
Reposted by Elias Koch
#psjminfo: 2 x 3-year PostDoc positions, deadline Jan 4. We'll study the effects of border change, in ways that overlap with many subfields in CompPol and IR: e.g., HPE, PE of development, state formation, pol. geography, identity, ethnic politics. Also lots of (new) methods (ML, GIS, CausalInf...)!
🚨Jobs!🚨
3-year PostDoc positions (aka Research Officers) at @lsegovernment.bsky.social to work with me on the local consequences of border change. Please reach out for questions and apply by Jan 4th to join the team and department: I’d love to hear from you!
Job ad: jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
3-year PostDoc positions (aka Research Officers) at @lsegovernment.bsky.social to work with me on the local consequences of border change. Please reach out for questions and apply by Jan 4th to join the team and department: I’d love to hear from you!
Job ad: jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Research Officer
Research Officer,
,
<p style="background: white; margin: 0cm; text-align: center;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</s...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
December 15, 2025 at 1:40 PM
#psjminfo: 2 x 3-year PostDoc positions, deadline Jan 4. We'll study the effects of border change, in ways that overlap with many subfields in CompPol and IR: e.g., HPE, PE of development, state formation, pol. geography, identity, ethnic politics. Also lots of (new) methods (ML, GIS, CausalInf...)!
Happy to share that @ecprtheloop.bsky.social has published a blogpost summarising the key findings from my paper @wepsocial.bsky.social on how opposition party strategies relate to their performance in election polls.
Paper: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Blog post: shorturl.at/lLPgm
Paper: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Blog post: shorturl.at/lLPgm
How election polls shape government-opposition conflict
Elias Koch finds that opposition parties become more confrontational towards the government when losing in the polls, and particularly when their support drops below the previous election result. But ...
theloop.ecpr.eu
December 12, 2025 at 9:30 AM
Happy to share that @ecprtheloop.bsky.social has published a blogpost summarising the key findings from my paper @wepsocial.bsky.social on how opposition party strategies relate to their performance in election polls.
Paper: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Blog post: shorturl.at/lLPgm
Paper: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Blog post: shorturl.at/lLPgm
Reposted by Elias Koch
🌟 PHD FELLOWSHIP ALERT! 🌟
I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!
I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!
Doctoral student in Political Science, specialization in political economy and political behavior
Doctoral position in Political Science, specialization in political economy and political behavior
The Department of Political Science
web103.reachmee.com
December 10, 2025 at 6:54 AM
🌟 PHD FELLOWSHIP ALERT! 🌟
I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!
I’m hiring 1 PhD fellow for my ERC project ECONENGAGE (@ Gothenburg 🇸🇪)! Starting 09/26! Great PhD community + int'l & supportive environment + FUN city. 💰for conferences + workshops! Lots of mentoring & career development opportunities! Deadline Jan 29th. Please apply!
Reposted by Elias Koch
At the recent Zweitstimme.org Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour at the Hertie School, researchers from across Europe shared new insights on elites, participation and polling, highlighting how data, methodology and communication are reshaping the study of democratic politics.
December 10, 2025 at 12:29 PM
At the recent Zweitstimme.org Workshop on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour at the Hertie School, researchers from across Europe shared new insights on elites, participation and polling, highlighting how data, methodology and communication are reshaping the study of democratic politics.
Reposted by Elias Koch
2️⃣4️⃣🎁🎄 Doing something new for Advent this year: one great data journalism piece per day until Dec 24. I’m teaching a data journalism course @hertieschool.bsky.social next semester, so this is partly selfish homework. But maybe interesting for others too.
November 30, 2025 at 11:03 PM
2️⃣4️⃣🎁🎄 Doing something new for Advent this year: one great data journalism piece per day until Dec 24. I’m teaching a data journalism course @hertieschool.bsky.social next semester, so this is partly selfish homework. But maybe interesting for others too.
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨 New article out!
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
October 22, 2025 at 3:14 PM
🚨 New article out!
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social
👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.
Short summary thread below 👇
Reposted by Elias Koch
Jag söker en forkningsassistent i statsvetenskap för att hjälpa till med diverse uppgifter! Sök här: www.uu.se/om-uu/jobba-...
Forskningsassistent i statsvetenskap - Uppsala universitet
Forskningsassistent i statsvetenskap, Statsvetenskapliga institutionen, Uppsala universitet
www.uu.se
December 8, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Jag söker en forkningsassistent i statsvetenskap för att hjälpa till med diverse uppgifter! Sök här: www.uu.se/om-uu/jobba-...
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨Jobs!🚨
3-year PostDoc positions (aka Research Officers) at @lsegovernment.bsky.social to work with me on the local consequences of border change. Please reach out for questions and apply by Jan 4th to join the team and department: I’d love to hear from you!
Job ad: jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
3-year PostDoc positions (aka Research Officers) at @lsegovernment.bsky.social to work with me on the local consequences of border change. Please reach out for questions and apply by Jan 4th to join the team and department: I’d love to hear from you!
Job ad: jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Research Officer
Research Officer,
,
<p style="background: white; margin: 0cm; text-align: center;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</s...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
December 6, 2025 at 3:35 PM
🚨Jobs!🚨
3-year PostDoc positions (aka Research Officers) at @lsegovernment.bsky.social to work with me on the local consequences of border change. Please reach out for questions and apply by Jan 4th to join the team and department: I’d love to hear from you!
Job ad: jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
3-year PostDoc positions (aka Research Officers) at @lsegovernment.bsky.social to work with me on the local consequences of border change. Please reach out for questions and apply by Jan 4th to join the team and department: I’d love to hear from you!
Job ad: jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨📆🤓 One more week to apply for our Data4Good Festival @hertieschool.bsky.social! Now in its third year, we’re bringing a fresh set of datasets for this round’s hackathon challenge. If you teach undergrads who might want to join us in Berlin in January, please help us spread the word.
📢 Applications for the Data4Good Festival 2026 are now open!
Join bachelor students from across Europe for a weekend of innovation, creativity, and fun in Berlin.
📅 Deadline: 12 Dec, 2025
📝 Apply now with your team, each member must register separately.
More: www.hertie-school.org/en/data4good...
Join bachelor students from across Europe for a weekend of innovation, creativity, and fun in Berlin.
📅 Deadline: 12 Dec, 2025
📝 Apply now with your team, each member must register separately.
More: www.hertie-school.org/en/data4good...
December 6, 2025 at 10:18 AM
🚨📆🤓 One more week to apply for our Data4Good Festival @hertieschool.bsky.social! Now in its third year, we’re bringing a fresh set of datasets for this round’s hackathon challenge. If you teach undergrads who might want to join us in Berlin in January, please help us spread the word.
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨Job News: Postdoc positions in LSE Government Department 🚨
Apply to work with the brilliant and wonderful Carl Muller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social on his BORDERS ERC project at LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Apply to work with the brilliant and wonderful Carl Muller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social on his BORDERS ERC project at LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
December 6, 2025 at 8:48 AM
🚨Job News: Postdoc positions in LSE Government Department 🚨
Apply to work with the brilliant and wonderful Carl Muller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social on his BORDERS ERC project at LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Apply to work with the brilliant and wonderful Carl Muller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social on his BORDERS ERC project at LSE @lsegovernment.bsky.social
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Reposted by Elias Koch
Political communication research overwhelmingly relies on text. But parliamentary speech is multimodal! In our new @psrm.bsky.social article, Mathias Rask and I show that legislators also signal partisan conflict nonverbally— through changes in vocal pitch during floor speeches. 🧵 1/11 #polisky
December 4, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Political communication research overwhelmingly relies on text. But parliamentary speech is multimodal! In our new @psrm.bsky.social article, Mathias Rask and I show that legislators also signal partisan conflict nonverbally— through changes in vocal pitch during floor speeches. 🧵 1/11 #polisky
Reposted by Elias Koch
Christian Baehr, @hannohilbig.bsky.social and I have a new working paper on the electoral consequences of short-term climate adaptation, where we look at interventions in the insurance market.
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
November 27, 2025 at 3:52 PM
Christian Baehr, @hannohilbig.bsky.social and I have a new working paper on the electoral consequences of short-term climate adaptation, where we look at interventions in the insurance market.
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
Reposted by Elias Koch
Join us at the last Data Science Brown Bag this year for a talk by @ankuepfer.bsky.social “Look Who’s Confronting: Opposition Status, Gender, & the Far Right.”
He’ll share insights on how politicians use eye contact as confrontation in parliamentary debates.
👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
He’ll share insights on how politicians use eye contact as confrontation in parliamentary debates.
👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
November 28, 2025 at 8:27 AM
Join us at the last Data Science Brown Bag this year for a talk by @ankuepfer.bsky.social “Look Who’s Confronting: Opposition Status, Gender, & the Far Right.”
He’ll share insights on how politicians use eye contact as confrontation in parliamentary debates.
👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
He’ll share insights on how politicians use eye contact as confrontation in parliamentary debates.
👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
Reposted by Elias Koch
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
November 22, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
Reposted by Elias Koch
Wrapping up after two days of great presentations, fresh research, and genuinely lively exchange. Grateful to everyone who contributed their energy, ideas, and time — and thank you all for joining us @hertieschool.bsky.social!
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
November 25, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Wrapping up after two days of great presentations, fresh research, and genuinely lively exchange. Grateful to everyone who contributed their energy, ideas, and time — and thank you all for joining us @hertieschool.bsky.social!
Wrapping up after two days of great presentations, fresh research, and genuinely lively exchange. Grateful to everyone who contributed their energy, ideas, and time — and thank you all for joining us @hertieschool.bsky.social!
🎉 Kicking off the Zweitstimme.org Workshop!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
We’re looking forward to two days discussing new work on Elections, Public Opinion & Elite Behaviour.
Today’s sessions:
👉 Panel I – Elites
👉 Panel II – Participation
👉 Panel III – Party Strategies
Huge thanks to @hertieschool.bsky.social for hosting us!
November 25, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Wrapping up after two days of great presentations, fresh research, and genuinely lively exchange. Grateful to everyone who contributed their energy, ideas, and time — and thank you all for joining us @hertieschool.bsky.social!
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨
We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social
Any questions, please reach out to me
📣 Please share! 📣
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social
Any questions, please reach out to me
📣 Please share! 📣
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
November 25, 2025 at 8:38 AM
🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨
We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social
Any questions, please reach out to me
📣 Please share! 📣
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social
Any questions, please reach out to me
📣 Please share! 📣
jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
Reposted by Elias Koch
📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer”
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
Demokratie: Wenn die Rechte mitregiert, wird sie nicht geschwächt – im Gegenteil
Eine Untersuchung von 57 Ländern zeigt: Wenn die Rechte in Verantwortung kommt, gewinnt sie dazu. Daraus lässt sich für Deutschland lernen.
www.sueddeutsche.de
November 18, 2025 at 8:51 PM
📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer”
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies
➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election)
tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
Reposted by Elias Koch
📢 Since launching EPSS in June 2025, we’ve been thrilled by the positive feedback from across the political science community.
Now that Call for Papers for EPSS Conference in Belfast has closed, we want to share the response has been extraordinary!
🧵
Now that Call for Papers for EPSS Conference in Belfast has closed, we want to share the response has been extraordinary!
🧵
November 12, 2025 at 9:59 AM
📢 Since launching EPSS in June 2025, we’ve been thrilled by the positive feedback from across the political science community.
Now that Call for Papers for EPSS Conference in Belfast has closed, we want to share the response has been extraordinary!
🧵
Now that Call for Papers for EPSS Conference in Belfast has closed, we want to share the response has been extraordinary!
🧵
Reposted by Elias Koch
We are hiring PhDs and postdocs to work on the ERC project GETGOV, where I am the PI.
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (288628) | University of Oslo
Job title: Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (288628), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Monday, November 17, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no
October 20, 2025 at 3:27 PM
We are hiring PhDs and postdocs to work on the ERC project GETGOV, where I am the PI.
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!
Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Reposted by Elias Koch
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
Reposted by Elias Koch
Time to reshare this piece on the pitfalls of following the road Denmark has taken on immigration: ukandeu.ac.uk/denmarks-mig...
November 8, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Time to reshare this piece on the pitfalls of following the road Denmark has taken on immigration: ukandeu.ac.uk/denmarks-mig...
Reposted by Elias Koch
In an ongoing project, we ask which countries citizens prefer as benchmarks for policy decisions.
Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.
Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.
November 8, 2025 at 4:09 PM
In an ongoing project, we ask which countries citizens prefer as benchmarks for policy decisions.
Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.
Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.