Elias Koch
@eliaskoch.bsky.social
Doctoral Candidate in Political Science @dynamics.bsky.social (HU Berlin/Hertie School) & Research Associate @hertieschool.bsky.social | Party Competition, Public Opinion & Quantitative Methods | https://www.elias-koch.com
Pinned
Elias Koch
@eliaskoch.bsky.social
· Aug 1
New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social!
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
Reposted by Elias Koch
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
Reposted by Elias Koch
Time to reshare this piece on the pitfalls of following the road Denmark has taken on immigration: ukandeu.ac.uk/denmarks-mig...
November 8, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Time to reshare this piece on the pitfalls of following the road Denmark has taken on immigration: ukandeu.ac.uk/denmarks-mig...
Reposted by Elias Koch
In an ongoing project, we ask which countries citizens prefer as benchmarks for policy decisions.
Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.
Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.
November 8, 2025 at 4:09 PM
In an ongoing project, we ask which countries citizens prefer as benchmarks for policy decisions.
Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.
Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.
Reposted by Elias Koch
More and more young people are turning to the far right. Why and what can we do about it?
Join our #COVIDEU Workshop on Nov 21 (2–5 PM) to discuss causes and counter-strategies.
🚀 Hosted by @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
💡 Funded by @volkswagenstiftung.de
👉 Register: tinyurl.com/bdenyfnw
Join our #COVIDEU Workshop on Nov 21 (2–5 PM) to discuss causes and counter-strategies.
🚀 Hosted by @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
💡 Funded by @volkswagenstiftung.de
👉 Register: tinyurl.com/bdenyfnw
November 7, 2025 at 7:54 AM
More and more young people are turning to the far right. Why and what can we do about it?
Join our #COVIDEU Workshop on Nov 21 (2–5 PM) to discuss causes and counter-strategies.
🚀 Hosted by @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
💡 Funded by @volkswagenstiftung.de
👉 Register: tinyurl.com/bdenyfnw
Join our #COVIDEU Workshop on Nov 21 (2–5 PM) to discuss causes and counter-strategies.
🚀 Hosted by @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
💡 Funded by @volkswagenstiftung.de
👉 Register: tinyurl.com/bdenyfnw
Reposted by Elias Koch
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics - Nuffield College Oxford University
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
November 6, 2025 at 1:27 PM
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Reposted by Elias Koch
🗳️ New study (w @jessicakuhlm.bsky.social) on AfD success in integration council elections in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany: AfD achieved significant results in councils elected exclusively by voters with migration backgrounds. It's not about economics—it's about political competition. (1/3)
November 3, 2025 at 11:43 AM
🗳️ New study (w @jessicakuhlm.bsky.social) on AfD success in integration council elections in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany: AfD achieved significant results in councils elected exclusively by voters with migration backgrounds. It's not about economics—it's about political competition. (1/3)
Very much looking forward to presenting recent experimental findings on voters’ perceptions of election polls @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social (@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social) next week!
🚨 Upcoming: "What Shapes Voter Perceptions of Election Polls? The Impact of Partisanship and Visual Design"
👤 @eliaskoch.bsky.social (Hertie School)
🗓️ Wed, November 5, 13:45-15:15 CET
📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
👤 @eliaskoch.bsky.social (Hertie School)
🗓️ Wed, November 5, 13:45-15:15 CET
📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
![What Shapes Voter Perceptions of Election Polls? The Impact of Partisanship and Visual Design
Hybrid event [A5, 6, Room A231 + Zoom]
November 05, 2025, 13:45-15:15
Abstract
Election polls are a central feature of modern electoral campaigns, providing voters with information that can guide their decisions. Yet, voters are often confronted with many polls showing volatile or conflicting outcomes, and media outlets present these polls in very different ways. This raises two key questions: (1) How do voters judge the trustworthiness of a poll’s results? and (2) How does the way a poll is presented affect these perceptions? I present experimental evidence from two large-scale studies in Germany. Together, they show that both the content of a poll and the way it is presented influence voter perceptions, offering new insights into how individuals navigate modern campaigns environments.
Presenter(s)
Elias Koch is a Doctoral Researcher at the Research Training Group DYNAMICS (HU Berlin/Hertie School) and a Research Associate at the Hertie School in Berlin. His research explores party competition and political behaviour in established democracies, with a particular focus on shifting public opinion landscapes.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:oizrkjzyr6vekl76tjctghcl/bafkreiea2wek2lsf5fbeqvhbk7bxgtzh6nvd6oodcuvj42nsza6uztkrma@jpeg)
October 29, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Very much looking forward to presenting recent experimental findings on voters’ perceptions of election polls @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social (@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social) next week!
Reposted by Elias Koch
I'm very excited, extremely grateful and deeply honoured to receive the Best Dissertation Award from the German Political Science Association(DVPW)!
🏆 Der #DVPW #Dissertationspreis 2025 wird geteilt und geht an Teresa Völker @tevoelker.bsky.social und Julian Michel @julianpolsci.bsky.social!
Beide Arbeiten leisten einen herausragenden Beitrag zur Erforschung der #Stabilität von #Demokratie.
Herzlichen Glückwunsch! 🥳
Beide Arbeiten leisten einen herausragenden Beitrag zur Erforschung der #Stabilität von #Demokratie.
Herzlichen Glückwunsch! 🥳
October 28, 2025 at 12:31 PM
I'm very excited, extremely grateful and deeply honoured to receive the Best Dissertation Award from the German Political Science Association(DVPW)!
Reposted by Elias Koch
@ckreudersonnen.bsky.social and I are happy to announce two open research positions in our joint DFG-funded project VARICRIS (👉 bit.ly/varicris).
We are recruiting a #PostDoc and a #PhD candidate 🧵:
#PoliSky #PoliSkyJobs #polsci 🌐
We are recruiting a #PostDoc and a #PhD candidate 🧵:
#PoliSky #PoliSkyJobs #polsci 🌐
Welcome! – VARICRIS
VARICRIS research project
bit.ly
October 22, 2025 at 2:40 PM
@ckreudersonnen.bsky.social and I are happy to announce two open research positions in our joint DFG-funded project VARICRIS (👉 bit.ly/varicris).
We are recruiting a #PostDoc and a #PhD candidate 🧵:
#PoliSky #PoliSkyJobs #polsci 🌐
We are recruiting a #PostDoc and a #PhD candidate 🧵:
#PoliSky #PoliSkyJobs #polsci 🌐
Reposted by Elias Koch
It's finally out! All parliamentary committee assignments for 14 countries, 30+ years, harmonized with other MP and parties datasets
New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner:
Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries
Harmonized roles/policy areas
Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940
Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p
⬇️
Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries
Harmonized roles/policy areas
Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940
Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p
⬇️
GESIS-Suche
doi.org
October 8, 2025 at 1:22 PM
It's finally out! All parliamentary committee assignments for 14 countries, 30+ years, harmonized with other MP and parties datasets
Reposted by Elias Koch
New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: “Far-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstream” doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.social🧵
October 7, 2025 at 7:14 AM
New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: “Far-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstream” doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.social🧵
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨 We have a cool new ESRC PhD studentship opportunity on the topic of political persuasion for someone interested in campaigning, field experiments and/or computational methods @lsegovernment.bsky.social, in collaboration with
@campaign-lab.bsky.social. All info 👇
www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...
@campaign-lab.bsky.social. All info 👇
www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...
LSE Collaborative Studentship with Campaign Lab
LSE Collaborative Studentship with Campaign Lab
www.lse.ac.uk
October 6, 2025 at 10:57 AM
🚨 We have a cool new ESRC PhD studentship opportunity on the topic of political persuasion for someone interested in campaigning, field experiments and/or computational methods @lsegovernment.bsky.social, in collaboration with
@campaign-lab.bsky.social. All info 👇
www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...
@campaign-lab.bsky.social. All info 👇
www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...
Reposted by Elias Koch
Are universities perceived as left-wing bastions? Are police officers seen as right-wing? And are judges considered impartial?
In a new publication in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Erika van Elsas, @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, and I answer these questions ... (1/3)
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
In a new publication in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Erika van Elsas, @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, and I answer these questions ... (1/3)
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Citizen perceptions of ideological bias in public service institutions: A cross-institutional analysis in five countries | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Citizen perceptions of ideological bias in public service institutions: A cross-institutional analysis in five countries
www.cambridge.org
October 3, 2025 at 9:57 AM
Are universities perceived as left-wing bastions? Are police officers seen as right-wing? And are judges considered impartial?
In a new publication in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Erika van Elsas, @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, and I answer these questions ... (1/3)
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
In a new publication in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Erika van Elsas, @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social, and I answer these questions ... (1/3)
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨 New publication out @jeppjournal.bsky.social w/ Katrin Praprotnik @luanarusso.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social
We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions.
Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions.
Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
October 1, 2025 at 3:26 PM
🚨 New publication out @jeppjournal.bsky.social w/ Katrin Praprotnik @luanarusso.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social
We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions.
Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
We show that coalition signals from the mainstream right to the radical right shift, rather than reduce, existing political divisions.
Open-access article: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
Reposted by Elias Koch
New publication with @kgattermann.bsky.social :
“Does media framing of election results affect whether voters perceive parties as election winners or losers?”
@polstudies.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/0032...
A short 🧵:
“Does media framing of election results affect whether voters perceive parties as election winners or losers?”
@polstudies.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/0032...
A short 🧵:
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
September 25, 2025 at 8:31 AM
New publication with @kgattermann.bsky.social :
“Does media framing of election results affect whether voters perceive parties as election winners or losers?”
@polstudies.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/0032...
A short 🧵:
“Does media framing of election results affect whether voters perceive parties as election winners or losers?”
@polstudies.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/0032...
A short 🧵:
Reposted by Elias Koch
📢 Neue Publikation
Mit @sarahdingler.bsky.social und @corinnakroeber.bsky.social habe ich für die Zeitschrift des @juristinnenbund.bsky.social den Beitrag „Wahlsystem und Wahlrecht – Barrieren und Lösungsansätze für die Wahl von Frauen“ verfasst. Hier gehts zum Heft: www.djb.de/zeitschrift/...
Mit @sarahdingler.bsky.social und @corinnakroeber.bsky.social habe ich für die Zeitschrift des @juristinnenbund.bsky.social den Beitrag „Wahlsystem und Wahlrecht – Barrieren und Lösungsansätze für die Wahl von Frauen“ verfasst. Hier gehts zum Heft: www.djb.de/zeitschrift/...
Wahlsystem und Wahlrecht – Barrieren und Lösungsansätze für die Wahl von Frauen - Nomos eLibrary
www.nomos-elibrary.de
September 23, 2025 at 1:19 PM
📢 Neue Publikation
Mit @sarahdingler.bsky.social und @corinnakroeber.bsky.social habe ich für die Zeitschrift des @juristinnenbund.bsky.social den Beitrag „Wahlsystem und Wahlrecht – Barrieren und Lösungsansätze für die Wahl von Frauen“ verfasst. Hier gehts zum Heft: www.djb.de/zeitschrift/...
Mit @sarahdingler.bsky.social und @corinnakroeber.bsky.social habe ich für die Zeitschrift des @juristinnenbund.bsky.social den Beitrag „Wahlsystem und Wahlrecht – Barrieren und Lösungsansätze für die Wahl von Frauen“ verfasst. Hier gehts zum Heft: www.djb.de/zeitschrift/...
Reposted by Elias Koch
New 📝 out in @reggovjournal.bsky.social
1. Governments are taking a more active role in education and training
2. Linking technical issues to politically salient debates, such as climate change and digitalization, helps open the door to new public policies
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
1. Governments are taking a more active role in education and training
2. Linking technical issues to politically salient debates, such as climate change and digitalization, helps open the door to new public policies
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
September 24, 2025 at 12:04 PM
New 📝 out in @reggovjournal.bsky.social
1. Governments are taking a more active role in education and training
2. Linking technical issues to politically salient debates, such as climate change and digitalization, helps open the door to new public policies
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
1. Governments are taking a more active role in education and training
2. Linking technical issues to politically salient debates, such as climate change and digitalization, helps open the door to new public policies
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨 New paper: “Does Rent Control Turn Tenants Into NIMBYs?” in the Journal of Politics (JOP)
(joint work with @anselmhager.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social)
👉 Have a look over here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Most important findings in this thread:
1/11
(joint work with @anselmhager.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social)
👉 Have a look over here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Most important findings in this thread:
1/11
September 20, 2025 at 10:11 AM
🚨 New paper: “Does Rent Control Turn Tenants Into NIMBYs?” in the Journal of Politics (JOP)
(joint work with @anselmhager.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social)
👉 Have a look over here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Most important findings in this thread:
1/11
(joint work with @anselmhager.bsky.social and @hannohilbig.bsky.social)
👉 Have a look over here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Most important findings in this thread:
1/11
Thank you so much to the three of you for putting together this great conference 🙏
Two fantastic days of the annual conference of the #AKWahlen are now behind us.
Many thanks for the many excellent presentations, the friendly atmosphere, and to the local Berlin team for the fabulous organisation on site! ❤️
Watch out for the special issue in @electoralstudies.bsky.social!
Many thanks for the many excellent presentations, the friendly atmosphere, and to the local Berlin team for the fabulous organisation on site! ❤️
Watch out for the special issue in @electoralstudies.bsky.social!
September 20, 2025 at 8:22 AM
Thank you so much to the three of you for putting together this great conference 🙏
Great feedback from fantastic colleagues at @hertiedatascience.bsky.social & @hertieschool.bsky.social 🙏 Looking forward to presenting this paper tomorrow @dvpw.bsky.social-AK Wahlen (10:30-12:00; @freieuniversitaet.bsky.social) alongside more findings from the @zweitstimme.bsky.social project!
This week marked 1️⃣st #ResearchGroup meeting of the season.
@eliaskoch.bsky.social, Doctoral Candidate at @dynamics.bsky.social (@hertieschool.bsky.social & @humboldtuni.bsky.social), presented the draft of his paper: Experimental Evidence on Motivated Skepticism in the Consumption of Election Polls
@eliaskoch.bsky.social, Doctoral Candidate at @dynamics.bsky.social (@hertieschool.bsky.social & @humboldtuni.bsky.social), presented the draft of his paper: Experimental Evidence on Motivated Skepticism in the Consumption of Election Polls
September 17, 2025 at 1:29 PM
Great feedback from fantastic colleagues at @hertiedatascience.bsky.social & @hertieschool.bsky.social 🙏 Looking forward to presenting this paper tomorrow @dvpw.bsky.social-AK Wahlen (10:30-12:00; @freieuniversitaet.bsky.social) alongside more findings from the @zweitstimme.bsky.social project!
Such a neat paper by @ankuepfer.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social & @jocmuel.bsky.social in @wepsocial.bsky.social – really glad to see this published! 🎉
👏Applause offers a revealing lens on party competition! In a recent article @wepsocial.bsky.social (w/@jocmuel.bsky.social+@pluggedchris.bsky.social), we study how applause reflects party and coalition unity, ideological agreement, political exclusion, issue ownership, and the electoral cycle! (1/6)
September 15, 2025 at 7:33 AM
Such a neat paper by @ankuepfer.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social & @jocmuel.bsky.social in @wepsocial.bsky.social – really glad to see this published! 🎉
Reposted by Elias Koch
Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered!
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
September 3, 2025 at 10:14 AM
Returning from vacation and looking for a late summer read? @ivobantel.bsky.social and I got you covered!
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social paper, we assess how mainstream parties rhetorically create an affect-based "common front" against the radical right.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Looking forward to presenting recent findings on the attitudinal effects of election polls later this term in Mannheim, in part based on joint work w/ @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social, @linushagemann.de, @hannahrajski.bsky.social, Thomas Gschwend, @lstoetze.bsky.social & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social.
▶️ Social Science Data Lab: Fall 2025 Events
Six input talks by great researchers (see below ⤵️)!
🗓️ Details & Zoom:
socialsciencedatalab.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/page/events/
👥 Organizers:
@rubac.bsky.social,
@denis-cohen.bsky.social and Alexander Wenz
Six input talks by great researchers (see below ⤵️)!
🗓️ Details & Zoom:
socialsciencedatalab.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/page/events/
👥 Organizers:
@rubac.bsky.social,
@denis-cohen.bsky.social and Alexander Wenz
September 3, 2025 at 8:01 AM
Looking forward to presenting recent findings on the attitudinal effects of election polls later this term in Mannheim, in part based on joint work w/ @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social, @linushagemann.de, @hannahrajski.bsky.social, Thomas Gschwend, @lstoetze.bsky.social & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social.
Reposted by Elias Koch
🚨 New publication alert! 🚨
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
September 1, 2025 at 4:08 PM
🚨 New publication alert! 🚨
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits?
Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.
Reposted by Elias Koch
📣1 PhD fellow position open at Department of Political Science, University of Oslo.
👉We invite applications from excellent candidates in all sub-fields of political science.
📅Deadline: September 1st, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
👉We invite applications from excellent candidates in all sub-fields of political science.
📅Deadline: September 1st, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhD Research Fellowship in Political Science (4 years) (282479) | University of Oslo
Job title: PhD Research Fellowship in Political Science (4 years) (282479), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Monday, September 1, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no
July 23, 2025 at 12:24 PM
📣1 PhD fellow position open at Department of Political Science, University of Oslo.
👉We invite applications from excellent candidates in all sub-fields of political science.
📅Deadline: September 1st, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
👉We invite applications from excellent candidates in all sub-fields of political science.
📅Deadline: September 1st, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...