Bruno Castanho Silva
@bcastanho.bsky.social
Ass. Prof. of Methods in Empirical Social Research at FU Berlin and EB member @methodsnet.bsky.social
Politics, methods, and occasionally memes
https://bcastanho.github.io/
Politics, methods, and occasionally memes
https://bcastanho.github.io/
Happy to be part of this project, and excited for the work ahead!
Delighted that our project “Democracy and AI” has been selected for Una Europa Seed Funding.
Our project establishes a network of 25 researchers from six Una Europa institutions: University of Zurich, KU Leuven, University of Edinburgh, FU Berlin, Leiden, UCD.
➡️ www.una-europa.eu/stories/10-n...
Our project establishes a network of 25 researchers from six Una Europa institutions: University of Zurich, KU Leuven, University of Edinburgh, FU Berlin, Leiden, UCD.
➡️ www.una-europa.eu/stories/10-n...
10 new projects receive Una Europa Seed Funding to shape Europe’s future | Una Europa
Eleven European research universities have come together to create a unique alliance – Una Europa. Our universities have been educating Europe for almost 1,000 years. Together, we teach more than 400,...
www.una-europa.eu
January 22, 2026 at 3:21 PM
Happy to be part of this project, and excited for the work ahead!
Lots of takes these days on how "even after Trump the world will not see the US as a reliable partner anymore" from people who I thought would know that Latin America or the Middle East are part of the world
January 21, 2026 at 5:38 PM
Lots of takes these days on how "even after Trump the world will not see the US as a reliable partner anymore" from people who I thought would know that Latin America or the Middle East are part of the world
Oh so brave to speak out like this, can we please interview him now on something he can actually act on, like idk supporting the use of Russian frozen assets to support Ukraine?
January 20, 2026 at 2:29 PM
Oh so brave to speak out like this, can we please interview him now on something he can actually act on, like idk supporting the use of Russian frozen assets to support Ukraine?
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
Here's a short write-up of our recently published study:
📰"What People Really Think About Taxing the Rich – the surprising beliefs behind progressive taxation"
TLDR: Most believe taxing the rich brings equality & growth! Elite fears are not shared.
www.cambridge.org/core/blog/20...
📰"What People Really Think About Taxing the Rich – the surprising beliefs behind progressive taxation"
TLDR: Most believe taxing the rich brings equality & growth! Elite fears are not shared.
www.cambridge.org/core/blog/20...
What People Really Think About Taxing the Rich – the surprising beliefs behind progressive taxation « Political Science and International Relations# « Cambridge Core Blog
For decades, political leaders, economists, and business elites have repeated a familiar warning: tax the rich too much, and everyone will suffer. Higher taxes on the wealthy, they argue, might reduce...
www.cambridge.org
January 15, 2026 at 8:35 AM
Here's a short write-up of our recently published study:
📰"What People Really Think About Taxing the Rich – the surprising beliefs behind progressive taxation"
TLDR: Most believe taxing the rich brings equality & growth! Elite fears are not shared.
www.cambridge.org/core/blog/20...
📰"What People Really Think About Taxing the Rich – the surprising beliefs behind progressive taxation"
TLDR: Most believe taxing the rich brings equality & growth! Elite fears are not shared.
www.cambridge.org/core/blog/20...
Applies equally well to academia
January 14, 2026 at 3:07 PM
Applies equally well to academia
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
A new blog post by @beckerbastian.bsky.social, @bcastanho.bsky.social and Hanna Lierse - t.ly/Cs6xb !
The article, entitled “Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation”, is available here: tinyurl.com/2cc7x4jf
The article, entitled “Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation”, is available here: tinyurl.com/2cc7x4jf
What People Really Think About Taxing the Rich – the surprising beliefs behind progressive taxation « Political Science and International Relations# « Cambridge Core Blog
For decades, political leaders, economists, and business elites have repeated a familiar warning: tax the rich too much, and everyone will suffer. Higher taxes on the wealthy, they argue, might reduce...
t.ly
January 14, 2026 at 9:53 AM
A new blog post by @beckerbastian.bsky.social, @bcastanho.bsky.social and Hanna Lierse - t.ly/Cs6xb !
The article, entitled “Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation”, is available here: tinyurl.com/2cc7x4jf
The article, entitled “Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation”, is available here: tinyurl.com/2cc7x4jf
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
📅 Tomorrow: Registration opens.
Join leading experts for the MethodsNET Summer School with CEU. High-demand courses fill up quickly.
Secure your spot in the global research community.
#MethodsNET2026 #AcademicSky #Methods
Join leading experts for the MethodsNET Summer School with CEU. High-demand courses fill up quickly.
Secure your spot in the global research community.
#MethodsNET2026 #AcademicSky #Methods
January 13, 2026 at 7:47 AM
📅 Tomorrow: Registration opens.
Join leading experts for the MethodsNET Summer School with CEU. High-demand courses fill up quickly.
Secure your spot in the global research community.
#MethodsNET2026 #AcademicSky #Methods
Join leading experts for the MethodsNET Summer School with CEU. High-demand courses fill up quickly.
Secure your spot in the global research community.
#MethodsNET2026 #AcademicSky #Methods
Oh Mechahitler is getting access to nukes cool cool cool cool cool
U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth announced the integration of Elon Musk's xAI platform, Grok, into military networks as part of a new "AI acceleration strategy" during a visit to SpaceX.
January 13, 2026 at 9:03 AM
Oh Mechahitler is getting access to nukes cool cool cool cool cool
There's a chance that for the first time ever these two groups largely overlap, no?
🇩🇪🇺🇸 Just 15% of Germans consider the US a trusted partner — the lowest percentage in this ARD survey's history. At least that's higher than the 9% of Germans who trust Russia?
January 9, 2026 at 7:46 PM
There's a chance that for the first time ever these two groups largely overlap, no?
This is textbook colonialism. And what I wonder is how long until people/politicians in countries with a colonial history in living memory start jumping on the bandwagon...
WATTERS: Taking out a dictator in Venezuela -- how does that help the average American?
JD VANCE: First of all, what it means is we're gonna be able to control the incredible natural resources of Venezuela
JD VANCE: First of all, what it means is we're gonna be able to control the incredible natural resources of Venezuela
January 8, 2026 at 10:55 AM
This is textbook colonialism. And what I wonder is how long until people/politicians in countries with a colonial history in living memory start jumping on the bandwagon...
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
🥳 New year, new publication
📑"Contested memories: the political effects of de-commemoration proposals" @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With Francesco Colombo, we study a street renaming proposal in Berlin and find -contrary to conventional wisdom- no political backlash, but a positive feedback effect.
📑"Contested memories: the political effects of de-commemoration proposals" @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With Francesco Colombo, we study a street renaming proposal in Berlin and find -contrary to conventional wisdom- no political backlash, but a positive feedback effect.
January 7, 2026 at 9:47 AM
🥳 New year, new publication
📑"Contested memories: the political effects of de-commemoration proposals" @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With Francesco Colombo, we study a street renaming proposal in Berlin and find -contrary to conventional wisdom- no political backlash, but a positive feedback effect.
📑"Contested memories: the political effects of de-commemoration proposals" @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With Francesco Colombo, we study a street renaming proposal in Berlin and find -contrary to conventional wisdom- no political backlash, but a positive feedback effect.
Make a Bond movie academic:
Prof. Dr. Dr. rer. nat. No
Prof. Dr. Dr. rer. nat. No
Make a Bond movie academic:
No Time to Die … because of all the grading
No Time to Die … because of all the grading
Make a Bond Movie academic
Best, Russia
Best, Russia
December 26, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Make a Bond movie academic:
Prof. Dr. Dr. rer. nat. No
Prof. Dr. Dr. rer. nat. No
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷
How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:
shorturl.at/2ekBj
TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:
shorturl.at/2ekBj
TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
December 18, 2025 at 11:41 AM
🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷
How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:
shorturl.at/2ekBj
TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:
shorturl.at/2ekBj
TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
🚀 MethodsNET Summer School 2026: The Course List is Now Live!
We are thrilled to announce the course list for the MethodsNET Summer School 2026, held in partnership with @weareceu.bsky.social in Vienna.
Full Course Details: methodsnet.org/course-list/
#ResearchMethods #MethodsNET #CEUVienna
We are thrilled to announce the course list for the MethodsNET Summer School 2026, held in partnership with @weareceu.bsky.social in Vienna.
Full Course Details: methodsnet.org/course-list/
#ResearchMethods #MethodsNET #CEUVienna
December 17, 2025 at 8:31 AM
🚀 MethodsNET Summer School 2026: The Course List is Now Live!
We are thrilled to announce the course list for the MethodsNET Summer School 2026, held in partnership with @weareceu.bsky.social in Vienna.
Full Course Details: methodsnet.org/course-list/
#ResearchMethods #MethodsNET #CEUVienna
We are thrilled to announce the course list for the MethodsNET Summer School 2026, held in partnership with @weareceu.bsky.social in Vienna.
Full Course Details: methodsnet.org/course-list/
#ResearchMethods #MethodsNET #CEUVienna
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
It's out!!
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
December 11, 2025 at 10:34 AM
It's out!!
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
🚨 ‼️ Five days left to apply for the postdoc in Political Text Analysis in the MULTIREP ERC project 👇.
Use your last chance to apply 😉
Use your last chance to apply 😉
🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project
You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna!
⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025
wratil.eu/files/MULTIR...
1/4 🧵
You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna!
⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025
wratil.eu/files/MULTIR...
1/4 🧵
December 10, 2025 at 7:45 AM
🚨 ‼️ Five days left to apply for the postdoc in Political Text Analysis in the MULTIREP ERC project 👇.
Use your last chance to apply 😉
Use your last chance to apply 😉
Really didn't expect matching/reweighting to be more popular than RDD and about as used as IVs
7/ Survey experiments surge and now account for roughly 45% of all design-based studies. Lab experiments decline sharply after 2016, while field experiments and most quasi-experimental designs grow slowly from a very low base
December 3, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Really didn't expect matching/reweighting to be more popular than RDD and about as used as IVs
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
November 22, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Happy that our paper with @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, and @lstoetze.bsky.social found a home at @thejop.bsky.social. You can read it here 👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Thanks to all the fantastic people giving feedback and supporting us
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
“You see, the endless renovation of the Stuttgart train station is a symbol of our late-capitalist condition: the project is always ‘in progress,’ yet nothing ever progresses. The construction site itself becomes the true destination.”
November 19, 2025 at 1:17 PM
“You see, the endless renovation of the Stuttgart train station is a symbol of our late-capitalist condition: the project is always ‘in progress,’ yet nothing ever progresses. The construction site itself becomes the true destination.”
And the answer is... Agreement that under certain circumstances the government should be able to revoke people's citizenship
Political attitude (on a pretty relevant topic and fairly salient) that has little to no correlation to partisanship in Germany. Guesses?
Survey from June/July 2025, online sample with quotas for relevant dems
Hint: outcome is binary, 56% of 1's
Survey from June/July 2025, online sample with quotas for relevant dems
Hint: outcome is binary, 56% of 1's
November 18, 2025 at 5:07 PM
And the answer is... Agreement that under certain circumstances the government should be able to revoke people's citizenship
Political attitude (on a pretty relevant topic and fairly salient) that has little to no correlation to partisanship in Germany. Guesses?
Survey from June/July 2025, online sample with quotas for relevant dems
Hint: outcome is binary, 56% of 1's
Survey from June/July 2025, online sample with quotas for relevant dems
Hint: outcome is binary, 56% of 1's
November 18, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Political attitude (on a pretty relevant topic and fairly salient) that has little to no correlation to partisanship in Germany. Guesses?
Survey from June/July 2025, online sample with quotas for relevant dems
Hint: outcome is binary, 56% of 1's
Survey from June/July 2025, online sample with quotas for relevant dems
Hint: outcome is binary, 56% of 1's
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
I’m so glad to see this paper — my first solo-authored one and second from my dissertation — finally published! If you’ve heard me talk about my research in the last couple of years, you know this is the story that started it all for me, and I’m so happy to finally have it out there in the world.
November 17, 2025 at 2:27 PM
I’m so glad to see this paper — my first solo-authored one and second from my dissertation — finally published! If you’ve heard me talk about my research in the last couple of years, you know this is the story that started it all for me, and I’m so happy to finally have it out there in the world.
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
A new interesting article by @beckerbastian.bsky.social , @bcastanho.bsky.social and Hanna Lierse is now available on our FirstView page. It is entitled "Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation". Enjoy it here: tinyurl.com/2cc7x4jf
November 12, 2025 at 3:31 PM
A new interesting article by @beckerbastian.bsky.social , @bcastanho.bsky.social and Hanna Lierse is now available on our FirstView page. It is entitled "Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation". Enjoy it here: tinyurl.com/2cc7x4jf
Happy to see this out with @beckerbastian.bsky.social and Hanna Lierse!
TL;DR: People believe that taxing the rich both reduces inequality AND promotes economic growth. Even those on the right! Check the thread for more! 👇
TL;DR: People believe that taxing the rich both reduces inequality AND promotes economic growth. Even those on the right! Check the thread for more! 👇
🚨Elites often warn: taxing the rich hurts everyone.
🤔But do citizens buy that story?
With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm
🤔But do citizens buy that story?
With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation | Journal of Public Policy | Cambridge Core
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation
cup.org
November 11, 2025 at 11:54 AM
Happy to see this out with @beckerbastian.bsky.social and Hanna Lierse!
TL;DR: People believe that taxing the rich both reduces inequality AND promotes economic growth. Even those on the right! Check the thread for more! 👇
TL;DR: People believe that taxing the rich both reduces inequality AND promotes economic growth. Even those on the right! Check the thread for more! 👇
Reposted by Bruno Castanho Silva
#OpenAccess from @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social -
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation - https://cup.org/4nUnO6v
- @beckerbastian.bsky.social, @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse
#FirstView
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation - https://cup.org/4nUnO6v
- @beckerbastian.bsky.social, @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse
#FirstView
November 11, 2025 at 10:20 AM
#OpenAccess from @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social -
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation - https://cup.org/4nUnO6v
- @beckerbastian.bsky.social, @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse
#FirstView
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation - https://cup.org/4nUnO6v
- @beckerbastian.bsky.social, @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse
#FirstView