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donnermaps.bsky.social
Daniel Donner
@donnermaps.bsky.social
3.8K followers 790 following 420 posts
Contributor @the-downballot.com. Focusing on data, maps, and demographics. Find our data (and the CD hexmap template!) at https://the-db.co/data
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donnermaps.bsky.social
Daniel Donner @donnermaps.bsky.social · Oct 24
Several blocks in downtown Chicago are not part of *any* congressional district map (new or old). How on earth is this possible? The answer involves billions of dollars, brothels, Abraham Lincoln, and a bit of geomorphology. 1/

New IL map: t.co/QzQX9spFUO
Satellite view of downtown Chicago with congressional district map overlay, showing several block are not included in any district.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
datawrapper.de
Raising a healthy chick is the dream of many albatross mamas. And, as Erle (@erlemo.bsky.social) from our visualization team found out, there's more than one way to go about it. 🪺 🐥

www.datawrapper.de/blog/albatro...
How albatross mamas get bi | Datawrapper Blog
In this Weekly Chart, we learn about albatrosses in Hawaii and their parenting habits.
www.datawrapper.de
November 6, 2025 at 8:05 PM
donnermaps.bsky.social
The National Turkey Report says the wholesale price of turkeys has gone through the roof this year. (price in cents/lb)

www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/am...
Graph showing current price of frozen whole turkey hens at about $1.70 per lb compared to $1.00 per lb a year ago
November 6, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
davidnir.com
I cannot tell you how touched I am by this tribute from Martin Longman (@booman23.bsky.social), a contemporary who came up with me during the dawn age of the blogosphere. Last night was incredible, but this has truly made my day—my week! martinlongman.substack.com/p/im-never-d...
What happened last night was that after I got home, turned on MSNBC, grabbed my laptop and settled in on the couch, I got a notification: “Live video with G. Elliott Morris, David Nir, and David Beard now: Election night live coverage, with The Downballot & Strength In Numbers.” G. Elliott Morris’s Strength in Numbers website is something I just began following in the last month or so. He’s very impressive, and I was happy to see him teamed up with the Downballot crew. I immediately put on their three-way video chat coverage. After about five minutes of listening to them, I muted MSNBC. I never turned the volume back on. I never checked the New York Times. I never opened the county and state board of elections sites that I usually track down. I never looked at X-Twitter or BlueSky. I didn’t need any of that because these guys were telling me exactly what I needed to know pretty much exactly when I needed to know it.
November 5, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
publicdomainrev.bsky.social
Divide and concur — this radical plan from 1920, for "lasting peace" after WW1, proposed uniting central Europe into 24 wedge-shaped cantons which would radiate out from Vienna’s St. Stephen’s Cathedral: https://publicdomainreview.org/collection/unionization-of-central-europe/
November 5, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
lazarogamio.bsky.social
Good morning. We crunched 4.6GB of trade data to find out how much of U.S. imports are getting tariffed (quite a bit) www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Almost Half of U.S. Imports Now Have Steep Tariffs
President Trump has transformed U.S. trade policy. Here's how much of his tariff agenda is under threat at the Supreme Court.
www.nytimes.com
November 5, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
alv9n.com
My latest piece for @puddingviz.bsky.social: In pursuit of democracy

pudding.cool/2025/11/demo...
November 4, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
gelliottmorris.com
Seven data-driven lessons from the 2025 elections

www.gelliottmorris.com/p/seven-data...
Seven data-driven lessons from the 2025 elections
Democrats outran their polls and swept statewide races from Georgia to New Jersey, on an agenda of affordability and a broad anti-Trump backlash
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 5, 2025 at 1:07 PM
donnermaps.bsky.social
Democrats romp coast-to-coast:
Morning Digest: Voters deliver massive wins to Democrats in rejection of Trump and GOP
From coast to coast, Democrats ran up the score—and ran ahead of the polls
www.the-downballot.com
November 5, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
simonwdc.bsky.social
New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social data shows GOP position on the shutdown eroding; deep unhappiness with Trump's attempt to starve people; Republicans losing the big arguments.

navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
November 5, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
carlosodio.bsky.social
Looking at all available precincts in Hudson County, Sherrill support is higher in the most-densely Hispanic turf & tracks closely with '21. Turnout is *higher* than '21 across the county-- and even more so in the most Hispanic precincts.
November 5, 2025 at 4:58 AM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
the-downballot.com
Election night 2025 begins now! Check out our livestream all night long with @davidnir.com, @dwbeard.bsky.social, and @gelliottmorris.com
LIVE NOW: Election night live coverage, with The Downballot & Strength In Numbers
David Nir on Substack
open.substack.com
November 5, 2025 at 12:05 AM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
katestarbird.bsky.social
Perhaps relevant today, a framework for understanding how many election rumors mislead.
katestarbird.bsky.social Kate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · Oct 25
The 2024 election is upon us. Millions of ballots have already been cast. Mail-in ballots are being returned. Early voting is taking place. And dozens of rumors are spreading. So, let me re-introduce our framework for diagnosing how many “evidence-based” rumors mislead:
FIVE "MOVES" OF MISLEADING ELECTION RUMORS FALSE EVIDENCE — The rumor is fabricated or manipulated evidence, such as false statements, deceptively edited content, and synthetic (AI-generated) content. MISINTERPRETED EVIDENCE — The rumor is based on real evidence that has been mischaracterized or misinterpreted to create a false impression. OMITTED REMEDIES — The rumor highlights real or perceived issues with election administration but overlooks or obscures remedies, such as downstream security measures, to imply an untrustworthy process or results. EXAGGERATED IMPACT — The rumor exaggerates the impact of real or perceived issues with election adminstration to imply an untrustworthy process or results. FALSE ATTRIBUTED INTENT — The rumor falsely attributes intention to real or perceived issues with election administration to imply voter or election fraud.
November 4, 2025 at 10:27 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
the-downballot.com
We obsessively track overlooked elections all year so that we can bring you special reports like this one—our guide to the top races of 2025.

We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more!

Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->
The Downballot's 2025 election preview
We go way beyond Virginia and New Jersey to spotlight dozens of races nationwide
www.the-downballot.com
November 3, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
scottlincicome.bsky.social
"The business of the culture war" marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...
"Our results suggest that the economic incentives of cable news played a significant role in the growth of cultural conflict."
November 2, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
jlray.bsky.social
The analysis you've been waiting for: "Do you remember who was actually president when that happened?" Turns out the answer is often...no.

1 in 3 forgot Trump was in office on Jan. 6.

HALF didn't say Biden was President during the Afghanistan withdrawal!

yougovamerica.substack.com/p/how-many-a...
October 31, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
drkimwood.bsky.social
A nearly one-week animation for Hurricane Melissa with infrared (IR) imagery on the left and its maximum wind speed (intensity) evolution on the right. The animation briefly pauses at landfall in Jamaica.

IR images extend about 600 km from the center of the storm to illustrate its shape evolution.
October 30, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
conradhackett.bsky.social
A secular transition is happening in countries around the world. Detailed explanation🧪 www.nature.com/articles/s41....
Many Muslim-majority countries, Hindu-majority India in early stage. Countries with large Buddhist & Christian populations in later stages.
Blog: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Religion generally declines between generations in three steps: People participate in worship services less often. The importance of religion declines in their personal lives. Belonging to religion becomes less common. They call this the Participation-Importance-Belonging (P-I-B) sequence. In this sequence, generations first shed aspects of religion that require more time and resources. People are slower to shed religious identity, which is not necessarily as burdensome. In the early stage of secular transition, generations differ primarily in their religious participation. In some countries that remain highly religious today, recent surveys show that each country’s share of adults under age 40 who frequently attend religious services has dropped below the share of older adults who do so. Many African countries are currently in this early stage. For example, in Senegal, 78% of older adults attend worship services weekly, but younger adults are 14 percentage points less likely to do so. Yet almost all adults in Senegal – both young and old – still identify as Muslims and consider religion very important in their lives. In the medium stage of secular transition, generations differ in their religious participation, importance and belonging. In countries that are moderately religious, all three steps in the P-I-B sequence are visible in recent surveys. Adults under 40 attend services less frequently than their elders, are less likely to say religion is important in their lives and are less likely to identify with any religion. This is the case currently in the U.S., along with many other countries in the Americas and Asia. In the late stage of secular transition, generations differ primarily in religious belonging. The authors contend that this is because the first two steps have been completed. The shares of older adults who attend services and who consider religion important in their lives have already dropped to low levels, similar to those of younger adults. In the least religious countries today, the main difference between age groups is that younger adults are less likely to identify with any religion. Many countries in Europe have reached this stage. For example, in Denmark, 79% of older adults remain religiously affiliated, but adults under 40 are 26 points less likely to say they belong to any religion. Attendance at religious services and self-assessments of the importance of religion are low among people of all ages.
September 15, 2025 at 6:03 AM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
subfossilguy.bsky.social
UTTERLY SURREAL LOW ANGLE GLACIER SLIDE!! 😮😱

On Saturday at 11:00 am, a 2 km-long, 25 m-high, and 150-200 m in width section detached off the Ismoil Somoni Glacier (Tajikistan) and slid down the gorge! 🧊🌊

asiaplustj.info/en/node/354309
📽️ via @volcaholic1
October 28, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
leedrutman.bsky.social
I jump into the moderation debate. I agree with @adambonica.bsky.social and @gelliottmorris.com on the methodology, but I want to draw attention to a bigger issue. The collapse of candidate effects generally.
leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-modera...
October 29, 2025 at 8:04 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
mitchellthorson.com
Today @urbaninstitute.bsky.social launches a new data tool: The American Affordability Tracker. We're collecting data that tracks the rising costs of a secure lifestyle, and indicators of financial distress that are contributing to a growing crisis. See the data here: www.urban.org/data-tools/a...
📊
The image shows a line chart displaying state-level data for the average monthly price of rent. There is 1 line for each state, plus the District of Columbia and the national average. Ohio is highlighted, as it trends steadily upward across the chart. The image shows a US map of congressional districts. The map displays data for the average monthly cost of groceries. The image shows a line chart displaying state-level data for the student loan delinquency rate. There is 1 line for each state, plus the District of Columbia and the national average. New York is highlighted, as it trends downward from 2017 to 2024, before sharply rising again by 2025.
October 28, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
kwcollins.bsky.social
Even after weighting, there's a ton of poll-to-poll variation in estimates of support within demographic subgroups. Saving this for the next time someone goes sub-group diving with future polls.
October 29, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
mapasmilhaud.com
Fun with flags

A compilation of natural landscapes that represent the flags of different countries and regions.

www.cartographerstale.com/p/fun-with-f...
Fun with flags
A compilation of natural landscapes that represent the flags of different countries and regions.
www.cartographerstale.com
October 26, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
tterence.bsky.social
Forest canopy height of beautiful Shikotsu-Toya National Park, Hokkaido. I rather like how the mountains look like holes and are distinguishable from the lakes by looking at the way the canopy height changes.

#rayshader adventures, an #rstats tale
A visualisation of the forest canopy height of Shikotsu-Toya National Park, Hokkaido
October 26, 2025 at 12:26 PM
donnermaps.bsky.social
Compare & contrast:
A screenshot of an image search result for the phrase "examples of north korean propaganda" showing similar aesthetics to the Trump administration's graphics
October 26, 2025 at 1:34 PM
donnermaps.bsky.social
The propaganda in red covers the *whole page* when you go to www.usda.gov
Screenshot of USDA.gov website on 10/26/25 with a box of white text on a red background reading "Senate Democrats have now voted 12 times to not fund the food stamp program, also known as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP). Bottom line, the well has run dry. At this time, there will be no benefits issued November 01. We are approaching an inflection point for Senate Democrats. They can continue to hold out for healthcare for illegal aliens and gender mutilation procedures or reopen the government so mothers, babies, and the most vulnerable among us can receive critical nutrition assistance."
October 26, 2025 at 1:31 PM