Daniel Donner
@donnermaps.bsky.social
Contributor @the-downballot.com. Focusing on data, maps, and demographics. Find our data (and the CD hexmap template!) at https://the-db.co/data
Pinned
Daniel Donner
@donnermaps.bsky.social
· Oct 24
Several blocks in downtown Chicago are not part of *any* congressional district map (new or old). How on earth is this possible? The answer involves billions of dollars, brothels, Abraham Lincoln, and a bit of geomorphology. 1/
New IL map: t.co/QzQX9spFUO
New IL map: t.co/QzQX9spFUO
Reposted by Daniel Donner
A List of Predictions Made in 1926 About 2026
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January 1, 2026 at 5:13 PM
A List of Predictions Made in 1926 About 2026
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Reposted by Daniel Donner
Goodnight, sweet prince.
Eric Adams is amazing because when he won every media person was leaping over each to go “this is the normal sane leadership that the political left doesn’t understand normal sane Americans crave” and then every day since that Eric Adams has been like “Leprechauns are real and I’m going to cook one”
January 1, 2026 at 12:18 AM
Goodnight, sweet prince.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
The share of counties where 95% or more of kindergartners were vaccinated against measles has dropped from 50% before the pandemic to 28%, according to our analysis of public records from 44 states and the District of Columbia. At least 19,000 schools are now more vulnerable to outbreaks.
December 31, 2025 at 2:29 PM
The share of counties where 95% or more of kindergartners were vaccinated against measles has dropped from 50% before the pandemic to 28%, according to our analysis of public records from 44 states and the District of Columbia. At least 19,000 schools are now more vulnerable to outbreaks.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
The briliant @moriartymaps.com built the beautiful graphics in this piece including the extremely data-heavy lookup map. Read the full piece to check out all of his incredible work. Extremely grateful to work with such talented folks at the Post every day!
December 31, 2025 at 2:29 PM
The briliant @moriartymaps.com built the beautiful graphics in this piece including the extremely data-heavy lookup map. Read the full piece to check out all of his incredible work. Extremely grateful to work with such talented folks at the Post every day!
Reposted by Daniel Donner
For last week's #TidyTuesday, I created a map of endangered languages around the world. Built entirely in R/ggplot2: transforming spatial coordinates, identifying hotspots and composing multiple charts!
Code: github.com/gkaramanis/t...
Inspiration: www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/co...
#RStats #dataviz
Code: github.com/gkaramanis/t...
Inspiration: www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/co...
#RStats #dataviz
December 29, 2025 at 11:47 AM
For last week's #TidyTuesday, I created a map of endangered languages around the world. Built entirely in R/ggplot2: transforming spatial coordinates, identifying hotspots and composing multiple charts!
Code: github.com/gkaramanis/t...
Inspiration: www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/co...
#RStats #dataviz
Code: github.com/gkaramanis/t...
Inspiration: www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/co...
#RStats #dataviz
December 27, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Reposted by Daniel Donner
From the NYT today, 2 charts on the brokenness of American politics:
December 27, 2025 at 3:11 PM
From the NYT today, 2 charts on the brokenness of American politics:
Reposted by Daniel Donner
Bedmap - Ever wondered what the land underneath the frozen ice of Antarctica looks like? We released the most detailed map of Antarctica's hidden landscape, revealing ice up to 4,757m thick and filling major knowledge gaps across the continent.
December 27, 2025 at 9:01 AM
Bedmap - Ever wondered what the land underneath the frozen ice of Antarctica looks like? We released the most detailed map of Antarctica's hidden landscape, revealing ice up to 4,757m thick and filling major knowledge gaps across the continent.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
I'm going to do a deep dive into the last 15 years of traffic data and publish a full analysis, because it reveals some very interesting trends, but here is my initial takeaway:
Bluesky in 2025 was more effective at driving traffic to our marine science website than Twitter. Ever. Was
Bluesky in 2025 was more effective at driving traffic to our marine science website than Twitter. Ever. Was
Southern Fried Science social media traffic, 2025:
Bluesky is the clear winner, with 12,000 visitors.
Facebook: 9300
LinkedIn: 3100
Pinterest: 1600
Instagram: 900
Reddit: 700
Twitter: 600
Is 2020, with roughly the same traffic, Twitter drove 6,000 visitors.
Bluesky is the clear winner, with 12,000 visitors.
Facebook: 9300
LinkedIn: 3100
Pinterest: 1600
Instagram: 900
Reddit: 700
Twitter: 600
Is 2020, with roughly the same traffic, Twitter drove 6,000 visitors.
December 24, 2025 at 1:51 PM
I'm going to do a deep dive into the last 15 years of traffic data and publish a full analysis, because it reveals some very interesting trends, but here is my initial takeaway:
Bluesky in 2025 was more effective at driving traffic to our marine science website than Twitter. Ever. Was
Bluesky in 2025 was more effective at driving traffic to our marine science website than Twitter. Ever. Was
Reposted by Daniel Donner
Sharing Bright Line Watch's violin plot chart with alt-text.
December 23, 2025 at 11:50 AM
Sharing Bright Line Watch's violin plot chart with alt-text.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
Here's a quilt of Volume 4 of the Epstein document dump. Gives you a 10,000 foot view of the redactions. that's 2,704 docs.
December 19, 2025 at 10:28 PM
Here's a quilt of Volume 4 of the Epstein document dump. Gives you a 10,000 foot view of the redactions. that's 2,704 docs.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
A couple of interesting things: First, generally, voters respond as we'd expect: They are more likely to cross-over when their candidate is extreme, and less likely to when the out-party candidate is extreme. But the effects are tiny: Moving from least to most extreme D increases voting for R by 2pp
December 19, 2025 at 5:03 PM
A couple of interesting things: First, generally, voters respond as we'd expect: They are more likely to cross-over when their candidate is extreme, and less likely to when the out-party candidate is extreme. But the effects are tiny: Moving from least to most extreme D increases voting for R by 2pp
Reposted by Daniel Donner
In fact, the five-year change in real wages (left chart) does a much better job of accounting for the changes in the fraction "better off" than the one-year changes (right chart) in the current business cycle and the prior one. On a five-year basis, real wages gains are still quite low.
December 19, 2025 at 4:46 PM
In fact, the five-year change in real wages (left chart) does a much better job of accounting for the changes in the fraction "better off" than the one-year changes (right chart) in the current business cycle and the prior one. On a five-year basis, real wages gains are still quite low.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
On the flip side, 50% said they're worse off than a year ago. (The residual are those saying about the same.) Even more disconcerting, we have been stuck in a cycle of worsening finances. Since mid-2022, in each quarter at least 40% of people said they were worse off than the year before.
December 19, 2025 at 4:21 PM
On the flip side, 50% said they're worse off than a year ago. (The residual are those saying about the same.) Even more disconcerting, we have been stuck in a cycle of worsening finances. Since mid-2022, in each quarter at least 40% of people said they were worse off than the year before.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
Call it affordability, vibes, politics: asking people how they're doing financially has been a grim exercise for some time.
Only 21% in 4th quarter said they're better off financially than a year ago, near Great Recession lows. Drop in 3 steps: pandemic '20, high inflation '21-22, and past year.
Only 21% in 4th quarter said they're better off financially than a year ago, near Great Recession lows. Drop in 3 steps: pandemic '20, high inflation '21-22, and past year.
December 19, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Call it affordability, vibes, politics: asking people how they're doing financially has been a grim exercise for some time.
Only 21% in 4th quarter said they're better off financially than a year ago, near Great Recession lows. Drop in 3 steps: pandemic '20, high inflation '21-22, and past year.
Only 21% in 4th quarter said they're better off financially than a year ago, near Great Recession lows. Drop in 3 steps: pandemic '20, high inflation '21-22, and past year.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
GOP departures up to 27, the 3rd-most of either party since 2006. 1 and 2 are the GOP in 2018 and 2020. "Trump is president" really seems to be the highest-powered explanatory variable of the modern era.
As always, the loudest of shout-outs to @the-downballot.com for the invaluable departure data.
As always, the loudest of shout-outs to @the-downballot.com for the invaluable departure data.
December 17, 2025 at 4:11 PM
GOP departures up to 27, the 3rd-most of either party since 2006. 1 and 2 are the GOP in 2018 and 2020. "Trump is president" really seems to be the highest-powered explanatory variable of the modern era.
As always, the loudest of shout-outs to @the-downballot.com for the invaluable departure data.
As always, the loudest of shout-outs to @the-downballot.com for the invaluable departure data.
With a resounding victory by Gary Clemons in Kentucky tonight, we now have 65 special elections to consider in 2025 1/
December 17, 2025 at 2:35 AM
With a resounding victory by Gary Clemons in Kentucky tonight, we now have 65 special elections to consider in 2025 1/
Reposted by Daniel Donner
A short 🧵 on the diploma divide in the U.S.:
I know others have identified this trend, but this is amazing to me.
In 1980, knowing the share of a state's population that were college grads would tell you nothing about presidential vote. Today it is one of the strongest predictors.
I know others have identified this trend, but this is amazing to me.
In 1980, knowing the share of a state's population that were college grads would tell you nothing about presidential vote. Today it is one of the strongest predictors.
December 13, 2025 at 6:45 PM
A short 🧵 on the diploma divide in the U.S.:
I know others have identified this trend, but this is amazing to me.
In 1980, knowing the share of a state's population that were college grads would tell you nothing about presidential vote. Today it is one of the strongest predictors.
I know others have identified this trend, but this is amazing to me.
In 1980, knowing the share of a state's population that were college grads would tell you nothing about presidential vote. Today it is one of the strongest predictors.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
Folks on Washington state community Facebook groups are arguing about whether images of local flood damage are real or not. Generative AI is making it so much harder for people to get the reliable information they need to make decisions during disasters.
December 14, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Folks on Washington state community Facebook groups are arguing about whether images of local flood damage are real or not. Generative AI is making it so much harder for people to get the reliable information they need to make decisions during disasters.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
At last, a chance to repost my favourite ever font-related controversy with alt-text, now that Calibri is back in the news.
December 11, 2025 at 12:56 PM
At last, a chance to repost my favourite ever font-related controversy with alt-text, now that Calibri is back in the news.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
Made a site comparing the sizes of living things :)
The great Julius Csotonyi spent 5 months painting over 60 illustrations for the site, no ai used
> neal.fun/size-of-life/
The great Julius Csotonyi spent 5 months painting over 60 illustrations for the site, no ai used
> neal.fun/size-of-life/
December 10, 2025 at 4:03 PM
Made a site comparing the sizes of living things :)
The great Julius Csotonyi spent 5 months painting over 60 illustrations for the site, no ai used
> neal.fun/size-of-life/
The great Julius Csotonyi spent 5 months painting over 60 illustrations for the site, no ai used
> neal.fun/size-of-life/
Reposted by Daniel Donner
I think we know who to thank for the failure of Trump's effort to bully Indiana Republicans into passing a new gerrymander: Aftyn Behn, Eric Gisler, and every Democrat who's run in a special election this year.
The GOP saw all these overperformances, and they were right to be scared.
The GOP saw all these overperformances, and they were right to be scared.
December 11, 2025 at 9:47 PM
I think we know who to thank for the failure of Trump's effort to bully Indiana Republicans into passing a new gerrymander: Aftyn Behn, Eric Gisler, and every Democrat who's run in a special election this year.
The GOP saw all these overperformances, and they were right to be scared.
The GOP saw all these overperformances, and they were right to be scared.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
BREAKING: Indiana Republicans FAILED to pass a new 9-0 congressional gerrymander after enough GOP senators sided with Dems. The GOP's 7-2 map stays in place.
Trump is trying to re-gerrymander maps nationwide. At least 11 Indiana Rs got death threats after he called for primaries—but it still failed
Trump is trying to re-gerrymander maps nationwide. At least 11 Indiana Rs got death threats after he called for primaries—but it still failed
December 11, 2025 at 9:35 PM
BREAKING: Indiana Republicans FAILED to pass a new 9-0 congressional gerrymander after enough GOP senators sided with Dems. The GOP's 7-2 map stays in place.
Trump is trying to re-gerrymander maps nationwide. At least 11 Indiana Rs got death threats after he called for primaries—but it still failed
Trump is trying to re-gerrymander maps nationwide. At least 11 Indiana Rs got death threats after he called for primaries—but it still failed
Reposted by Daniel Donner
tfw the guy who made this chart is going to be in charge of the fed
December 11, 2025 at 4:11 PM
tfw the guy who made this chart is going to be in charge of the fed
Reposted by Daniel Donner
