Charles Franklin
@pollsandvotes.bsky.social
Director, Marquette Law School poll. Co-founder Pollster.com. Prof Emeritus UW-Madison. R nerd. Site: https://pollsandvotes.com
MULawPoll: https://law.marquette.edu/poll/category/results-and-data/
MULawPoll: https://law.marquette.edu/poll/category/results-and-data/
U Michigan consumer sentiment fell to 50.3 in preliminary November data. That is just 0.3 higher than the low point of the Biden administration, 50.0, in June 2022 at the peak of the inflation surge. Down 29.9% year-over-year. www.sca.isr.umich.edu
November 7, 2025 at 6:11 PM
U Michigan consumer sentiment fell to 50.3 in preliminary November data. That is just 0.3 higher than the low point of the Biden administration, 50.0, in June 2022 at the peak of the inflation surge. Down 29.9% year-over-year. www.sca.isr.umich.edu
Dems do very well in VA. Win Gov by 14, AG by 5 (despite texting scandal), perhaps most impressive shift house of delegates from D 51-49 to D 64-36
Talk of NJ as swing state premature: Dem win Gov by nearly 13. Was supposed to be much closer
Surprise 2 PSC D wins in GA
most vote in but unofficial
Talk of NJ as swing state premature: Dem win Gov by nearly 13. Was supposed to be much closer
Surprise 2 PSC D wins in GA
most vote in but unofficial
November 5, 2025 at 3:52 AM
Dems do very well in VA. Win Gov by 14, AG by 5 (despite texting scandal), perhaps most impressive shift house of delegates from D 51-49 to D 64-36
Talk of NJ as swing state premature: Dem win Gov by nearly 13. Was supposed to be much closer
Surprise 2 PSC D wins in GA
most vote in but unofficial
Talk of NJ as swing state premature: Dem win Gov by nearly 13. Was supposed to be much closer
Surprise 2 PSC D wins in GA
most vote in but unofficial
Presidential approval, 1937-present. Data from Gallup polls.
October 18, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Presidential approval, 1937-present. Data from Gallup polls.
Informative map of where Obamacare/ACA enrollment grew the most from 2020-2025. From Wall Street Journal. Story, no paywall. www.wsj.com/health/healt...
October 8, 2025 at 8:39 PM
Informative map of where Obamacare/ACA enrollment grew the most from 2020-2025. From Wall Street Journal. Story, no paywall. www.wsj.com/health/healt...
See what 1041 Americans say they like & dislike about Trump and their biggest concerns. Click Shuffle Responses to see 5 at a time, page through at bottom right. Filter in the boxes, here for example Trump voters, Fox viewers who say "cost" is a concern. lubarcenter.shinyapps.io/mlspsc28-ope...
October 3, 2025 at 8:24 PM
See what 1041 Americans say they like & dislike about Trump and their biggest concerns. Click Shuffle Responses to see 5 at a time, page through at bottom right. Filter in the boxes, here for example Trump voters, Fox viewers who say "cost" is a concern. lubarcenter.shinyapps.io/mlspsc28-ope...
Who gets news from where and uses which social media apps? New @MULawPoll *national* survey takes a look overall and by party identification. See @jdjmke post on this at our @mulaw blog: law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...
October 3, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Who gets news from where and uses which social media apps? New @MULawPoll *national* survey takes a look overall and by party identification. See @jdjmke post on this at our @mulaw blog: law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...
Maybe this explains why I confuse Spotify so much. My two top plays of the week.
October 2, 2025 at 9:06 PM
Maybe this explains why I confuse Spotify so much. My two top plays of the week.
New @MULawPoll *National* survey out yesterday and today. See Full results at law.marquette.edu/poll/2025/10...
Court release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
National politics release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
Next @MULawPoll Wisconsin poll will be out Oct. 29.
Court release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
National politics release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
Next @MULawPoll Wisconsin poll will be out Oct. 29.
October 2, 2025 at 9:04 PM
New @MULawPoll *National* survey out yesterday and today. See Full results at law.marquette.edu/poll/2025/10...
Court release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
National politics release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
Next @MULawPoll Wisconsin poll will be out Oct. 29.
Court release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
National politics release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
Next @MULawPoll Wisconsin poll will be out Oct. 29.
Large partisan differences on the effect of tariffs on the economy, though relatively little change over time. >50% of Reps say tariffs help. Those saying hurt the economy up slightly across partisanship; help economy down a bit with independents. @MULawPoll national surveys.
September 2, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Large partisan differences on the effect of tariffs on the economy, though relatively little change over time. >50% of Reps say tariffs help. Those saying hurt the economy up slightly across partisanship; help economy down a bit with independents. @MULawPoll national surveys.
Less confidence that Trump policies will decrease inflation, including among Republicans, while more now think his policies will increase inflation. Independents notably more likely to now say increase. @MULawPoll national surveys.
September 2, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Less confidence that Trump policies will decrease inflation, including among Republicans, while more now think his policies will increase inflation. Independents notably more likely to now say increase. @MULawPoll national surveys.
Three looks at how partisanship drives our perceptions of reality 1) Right direction or wrong track: huge shift 2) State of the economy: now much better for Reps, worse for Dems (real economy hasn't shifted that much) and 3) personal finances, more modest changes but still some.
August 31, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Three looks at how partisanship drives our perceptions of reality 1) Right direction or wrong track: huge shift 2) State of the economy: now much better for Reps, worse for Dems (real economy hasn't shifted that much) and 3) personal finances, more modest changes but still some.
Did an interview with Milwaukee CBS58 @AJBayatpour on views of parties. Reps doing better than Dems for both congressional party approval and party favorability. Key difference: Dems much less happy with their party than Reps with theirs. Disappointed Dems. National data.
August 27, 2025 at 8:13 PM
Did an interview with Milwaukee CBS58 @AJBayatpour on views of parties. Reps doing better than Dems for both congressional party approval and party favorability. Key difference: Dems much less happy with their party than Reps with theirs. Disappointed Dems. National data.
Reps remain solid Rep but Dems drifting away to Ind.
My @MULawPoll asked party ID early in 2022. In polls with the same people since then we re-ask party ID. The chart shows PID in subsequent polls by the respondent's PID in 2022.
My @MULawPoll asked party ID early in 2022. In polls with the same people since then we re-ask party ID. The chart shows PID in subsequent polls by the respondent's PID in 2022.
August 20, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Reps remain solid Rep but Dems drifting away to Ind.
My @MULawPoll asked party ID early in 2022. In polls with the same people since then we re-ask party ID. The chart shows PID in subsequent polls by the respondent's PID in 2022.
My @MULawPoll asked party ID early in 2022. In polls with the same people since then we re-ask party ID. The chart shows PID in subsequent polls by the respondent's PID in 2022.
Found on an old backup drive. Once iconic, now requiring explanation to students.
August 11, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Found on an old backup drive. Once iconic, now requiring explanation to students.
Reality check. Headlines describe Trump approval: "crashing", "record low", "major decline". These are driven by cherry picking single polls The polling average HAS shown a decline from Jan but nothing that justifies "crashing". Apr low, small recovery, recent slip Now 43.6-52.1
August 6, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Reality check. Headlines describe Trump approval: "crashing", "record low", "major decline". These are driven by cherry picking single polls The polling average HAS shown a decline from Jan but nothing that justifies "crashing". Apr low, small recovery, recent slip Now 43.6-52.1
Big Wisconsin news today is Gov. Tony Evers will not seek a third term, creating wide open primaries in both parties.
Here is a review of Evers polling as governor, opinion about a 3rd term and the challenge of building name recognition for 2026. law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...
Here is a review of Evers polling as governor, opinion about a 3rd term and the challenge of building name recognition for 2026. law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...
Wisconsin Governor 2026 Outlook – Marquette University Law School Faculty Blog
law.marquette.edu
July 24, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Big Wisconsin news today is Gov. Tony Evers will not seek a third term, creating wide open primaries in both parties.
Here is a review of Evers polling as governor, opinion about a 3rd term and the challenge of building name recognition for 2026. law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...
Here is a review of Evers polling as governor, opinion about a 3rd term and the challenge of building name recognition for 2026. law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...
Hot summer refreshment.
July 5, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Hot summer refreshment.
The Supreme Court today upheld Tennessee's ban on transgender treatment for minors with a 6-3 majority. In @MULawPoll national surveys this year about 70% favor this outcome with about 30% opposed. Independents and Democrats became slightly more opposed in May.
June 18, 2025 at 5:42 PM
The Supreme Court today upheld Tennessee's ban on transgender treatment for minors with a 6-3 majority. In @MULawPoll national surveys this year about 70% favor this outcome with about 30% opposed. Independents and Democrats became slightly more opposed in May.
Since December each partisan group has become less likely to say Trump policies will decrease inflation. Majority of Reps still believe but down 21 points since Dec. Inds very dubious. MULawPoll, National May 5-15
May 31, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Since December each partisan group has become less likely to say Trump policies will decrease inflation. Majority of Reps still believe but down 21 points since Dec. Inds very dubious. MULawPoll, National May 5-15
A quick look at this week’s *national* MULawPoll results on Trump approval across issues and what are the most important issues. m.youtube.com/watch?v=_qu3...
New Marquette Law School Poll
YouTube video by WGN News
m.youtube.com
May 24, 2025 at 2:51 AM
A quick look at this week’s *national* MULawPoll results on Trump approval across issues and what are the most important issues. m.youtube.com/watch?v=_qu3...
Reposted by Charles Franklin
Trump's job approval on inflation and the cost of living in @pollsandvotes.bsky.social's new Marquette national poll: 34% approve, 66% disapprove.
Americans remain wary of Trump's handling of the economy, new poll shows
They were apprehensive of Trump’s tariff plan even before he launched his sweeping policy in April.
www.politico.com
May 21, 2025 at 6:17 PM
Trump's job approval on inflation and the cost of living in @pollsandvotes.bsky.social's new Marquette national poll: 34% approve, 66% disapprove.
New Marquette Law School *national* poll. law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
May 21, 2025 at 5:11 AM
New Marquette Law School *national* poll. law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...
Consumer confidence fell in May (see earlier post). But note that Trump net approval is up a bit in May. Reps should worry about confidence and Dems should not assume approval will fall continuously.
May 16, 2025 at 6:49 PM
Consumer confidence fell in May (see earlier post). But note that Trump net approval is up a bit in May. Reps should worry about confidence and Dems should not assume approval will fall continuously.
Care about how districts are drawn and their consequences? MULaw’s John Johnson @jdjmke has a great account of Wisconsin’s redistricting past and a look to 2031 (never too early to plan ahead.) today.marquette.edu/2025/05/the-...
The Boundaries of Law and Politics | Marquette Today
Wisconsin’s 2020 redistricting cycle was long, bitterly contested, and subject to dramatic reversals of fortune. Yet perhaps the most unusual feature of the whole process was how it ended in 2024: wit...
today.marquette.edu
May 16, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Care about how districts are drawn and their consequences? MULaw’s John Johnson @jdjmke has a great account of Wisconsin’s redistricting past and a look to 2031 (never too early to plan ahead.) today.marquette.edu/2025/05/the-...
Consumer sentiment fell for the 5th straight month in UMich data. Look for final May data at end of month to see if lower tariffs with China provide a boost.
May 16, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Consumer sentiment fell for the 5th straight month in UMich data. Look for final May data at end of month to see if lower tariffs with China provide a boost.