Charles Franklin
@pollsandvotes.bsky.social
Director, Marquette Law School poll. Co-founder Pollster.com. Prof Emeritus UW-Madison. R nerd. Site: https://pollsandvotes.com
MULawPoll: https://law.marquette.edu/poll/category/results-and-data/
MULawPoll: https://law.marquette.edu/poll/category/results-and-data/
Wisconsin Assembly top races. Democrats have to run the table of competitive races to win a majority of seats.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
January 25, 2026 at 2:04 PM
Wisconsin Assembly top races. Democrats have to run the table of competitive races to win a majority of seats.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
There are 4 top races in the Wisconsin state Senate. Democrats need 3 of the 4 to win a majority. One of the Republicans just announced his retirement.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
January 23, 2026 at 4:18 AM
There are 4 top races in the Wisconsin state Senate. Democrats need 3 of the 4 to win a majority. One of the Republicans just announced his retirement.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
1 year of Trump 2.0
Trump's approval is bad enough. No need to exaggerate.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
Trump's approval is bad enough. No need to exaggerate.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
January 21, 2026 at 12:24 AM
1 year of Trump 2.0
Trump's approval is bad enough. No need to exaggerate.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
Trump's approval is bad enough. No need to exaggerate.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
With lots of “one year in” posts on Trump approval, here is a slightly different way of looking at how the public feels about him. All or nothing on liking Trump.
charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/all-or-not...
charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/all-or-not...
January 20, 2026 at 8:29 PM
With lots of “one year in” posts on Trump approval, here is a slightly different way of looking at how the public feels about him. All or nothing on liking Trump.
charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/all-or-not...
charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/all-or-not...
Reposted by Charles Franklin
While a substantial number of members of the House of Representatives are retiring, don’t expect these retirements to produce many flipped seats or shifts in the ideological makeup of either party.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
January 14, 2026 at 3:39 AM
While a substantial number of members of the House of Representatives are retiring, don’t expect these retirements to produce many flipped seats or shifts in the ideological makeup of either party.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
While a substantial number of members of the House of Representatives are retiring, don’t expect these retirements to produce many flipped seats or shifts in the ideological makeup of either party.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
January 14, 2026 at 3:39 AM
While a substantial number of members of the House of Representatives are retiring, don’t expect these retirements to produce many flipped seats or shifts in the ideological makeup of either party.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
After more than two decades of conservative dominance liberals have won a majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, with another seat up in April.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
Thirty years of Wisconsin Supreme Court Elections
After more than two decades of conservative majorities, liberals have been winning
open.substack.com
January 12, 2026 at 6:28 AM
After more than two decades of conservative dominance liberals have won a majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, with another seat up in April.
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...
On Jan. 8, 17 House Republicans voted with all Democrats to extend ACA tax credits for 3 years, easily passing the bill, though prospects in the Senate are unclear. Who defected and how do they differ from their GOP colleagues?
substack.com/@charlesatpo...
substack.com/@charlesatpo...
January 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM
On Jan. 8, 17 House Republicans voted with all Democrats to extend ACA tax credits for 3 years, easily passing the bill, though prospects in the Senate are unclear. Who defected and how do they differ from their GOP colleagues?
substack.com/@charlesatpo...
substack.com/@charlesatpo...
Reposted by Charles Franklin
Really useful to have such a significant corpus of news attention qs for comparison!
Also highlights how much tariffs, DOGE, immigration and the Abrego Garcia case in particular broke through.
Also highlights how much tariffs, DOGE, immigration and the Abrego Garcia case in particular broke through.
December 27, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Really useful to have such a significant corpus of news attention qs for comparison!
Also highlights how much tariffs, DOGE, immigration and the Abrego Garcia case in particular broke through.
Also highlights how much tariffs, DOGE, immigration and the Abrego Garcia case in particular broke through.
December 27, 2025 at 9:05 PM
How family finances changed under Trump and Biden. Dig down for partisan and income differences. Beware the unhappy middle-income folks.
charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/family-fin...
charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/family-fin...
December 19, 2025 at 8:15 PM
How family finances changed under Trump and Biden. Dig down for partisan and income differences. Beware the unhappy middle-income folks.
charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/family-fin...
charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/family-fin...
Is there a new embrace of religion among the young? News reports have found examples of flourishing young congregations. But Pew national polls find stability over last 5 years and some decline among the young. Some perspective. charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/religion-a...
December 9, 2025 at 6:22 PM
Is there a new embrace of religion among the young? News reports have found examples of flourishing young congregations. But Pew national polls find stability over last 5 years and some decline among the young. Some perspective. charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/religion-a...
December 9, 2025 at 12:07 AM
Pizzeria Dolorosa in La Crosse. Amazing pizza, original toppings. Not to be missed when in the Driftless.
December 6, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Pizzeria Dolorosa in La Crosse. Amazing pizza, original toppings. Not to be missed when in the Driftless.
Trump net approval has been slipping in polling averages. This story looks at economic issues and among independents. Good use of MULawPoll, Fox & Ipsos data.
December 5, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Trump net approval has been slipping in polling averages. This story looks at economic issues and among independents. Good use of MULawPoll, Fox & Ipsos data.
No second acts: Repeat performances in Wisconsin elections
Is the second time the charm?
open.substack.com
December 3, 2025 at 6:49 PM
November 30, 2025 at 10:11 PM
November 30, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Gallup Nov. Trump approval: 36% approve, 60% disapprove, a 5 point drop in approval and 6 point increase in disapproval since Oct. Several points below my approval trend across all polls which puts approval at 40.5%, disapproval at 56.1%
Here is Gallup approval history since FDR
Here is Gallup approval history since FDR
November 28, 2025 at 11:15 PM
Gallup Nov. Trump approval: 36% approve, 60% disapprove, a 5 point drop in approval and 6 point increase in disapproval since Oct. Several points below my approval trend across all polls which puts approval at 40.5%, disapproval at 56.1%
Here is Gallup approval history since FDR
Here is Gallup approval history since FDR
Trump's approval has declined in October and November, after holding pretty steady July-Sept. Steady decline Jan-Mar, then sharper after announcing tariffs in April, rose in May after backing off on tariffs. Then small decline in June. Current decline is across most pollsters.
November 28, 2025 at 11:08 PM
Trump's approval has declined in October and November, after holding pretty steady July-Sept. Steady decline Jan-Mar, then sharper after announcing tariffs in April, rose in May after backing off on tariffs. Then small decline in June. Current decline is across most pollsters.
Harry Enten on ACA tax credit extension, data from @MULawPoll national survey.
November 26, 2025 at 4:01 AM
Harry Enten on ACA tax credit extension, data from @MULawPoll national survey.
Trump approvals across topics. Topics ordered by average net approval (after overall).
November 26, 2025 at 3:30 AM
Trump approvals across topics. Topics ordered by average net approval (after overall).
Trump net favorability by race and ethnicity, 2022-25. Decline among Hispanic respondents in 2025 is notable after gains in 2023-24.
November 25, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Trump net favorability by race and ethnicity, 2022-25. Decline among Hispanic respondents in 2025 is notable after gains in 2023-24.
More from this week’s @MULawPoll national poll on UpFront. Inflation and grocery prices.
www.wisn.com/article/upfr...
www.wisn.com/article/upfr...
UPFRONT: Partisan grocery divide
Marquette Law School Poll Director Charles Franklin joins ‘UPFRONT’
www.wisn.com
November 23, 2025 at 11:15 PM
More from this week’s @MULawPoll national poll on UpFront. Inflation and grocery prices.
www.wisn.com/article/upfr...
www.wisn.com/article/upfr...
Wisconsin Public Television conversation about my @MULawPoll national poll this week looking to 2026 midterms.
pbswisconsin.org/news-item/ch...
pbswisconsin.org/news-item/ch...
Charles Franklin on Trump's approval ratings as 2025 ends
Charles Franklin on approval ratings for President Donald Trump as the midterms begin.
pbswisconsin.org
November 22, 2025 at 4:32 AM
Wisconsin Public Television conversation about my @MULawPoll national poll this week looking to 2026 midterms.
pbswisconsin.org/news-item/ch...
pbswisconsin.org/news-item/ch...