Charles Franklin
@pollsandvotes.bsky.social
Director, Marquette Law School poll. Co-founder Pollster.com. Prof Emeritus UW-Madison. R nerd. Site: https://pollsandvotes.com
MULawPoll: https://law.marquette.edu/poll/category/results-and-data/
MULawPoll: https://law.marquette.edu/poll/category/results-and-data/
No. His range has been 33% to 49% approval.
October 18, 2025 at 4:45 PM
No. His range has been 33% to 49% approval.
Here is the Wisconsin party favorability by party ID. Don't have congressional party approval for Wisconsin.
Similar pattern and discrepancy. Dems less favorable to their party than Reps are to theirs.
Similar pattern and discrepancy. Dems less favorable to their party than Reps are to theirs.
August 28, 2025 at 2:46 AM
Here is the Wisconsin party favorability by party ID. Don't have congressional party approval for Wisconsin.
Similar pattern and discrepancy. Dems less favorable to their party than Reps are to theirs.
Similar pattern and discrepancy. Dems less favorable to their party than Reps are to theirs.
Most of those Dem to Ind voters lean Dem and will vote 85% D, but not the 95% D that pure partisans do. Including leaners Reps have gained a small advantage in party balance. Poor Biden performance likely why. See how Trump does now.
August 20, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Most of those Dem to Ind voters lean Dem and will vote 85% D, but not the 95% D that pure partisans do. Including leaners Reps have gained a small advantage in party balance. Poor Biden performance likely why. See how Trump does now.
See NYTimes story on Rep gains in voter registration. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/u...
The Democratic Party Faces a Voter Registration Crisis
www.nytimes.com
August 20, 2025 at 10:05 PM
See NYTimes story on Rep gains in voter registration. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/u...
Their methodology for the averages is here: www.nytimes.com/article/elec...
Methodology: How The Times Calculates Polling Averages
www.nytimes.com
August 6, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Their methodology for the averages is here: www.nytimes.com/article/elec...
I run with and without “questionable” polls. With lots of data as with national approval polls it makes negligible difference. More problematic in state pre election polling.
August 6, 2025 at 8:02 PM
I run with and without “questionable” polls. With lots of data as with national approval polls it makes negligible difference. More problematic in state pre election polling.
It is their polling average. NYT/Siena has done only 1 poll so far this year.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
President Trump’s Approval Rating: Latest Polls
Track the latest approval rating and polls on Americans’ approval of President Trump.
www.nytimes.com
August 6, 2025 at 7:59 PM
It is their polling average. NYT/Siena has done only 1 poll so far this year.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Net is useful and will close to double the apparent slope since very few don’t have an opinion of Trump. He has gone from net positive in Jan to net negative since March.
August 6, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Net is useful and will close to double the apparent slope since very few don’t have an opinion of Trump. He has gone from net positive in Jan to net negative since March.
Hi Josh. NYT today is 44-53. Silver is 43.8-52.7. Morris is 42.1-54.1. I’m at 43.6-53.1. 3 round to 44-53, 1 to 42-54, so there is a lot of agreement. I DO smooth the trend more than they do. More small wiggle in theirs than mine. I think wiggle is noise so I reduce it. Elliott has more recent drop
August 6, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Hi Josh. NYT today is 44-53. Silver is 43.8-52.7. Morris is 42.1-54.1. I’m at 43.6-53.1. 3 round to 44-53, 1 to 42-54, so there is a lot of agreement. I DO smooth the trend more than they do. More small wiggle in theirs than mine. I think wiggle is noise so I reduce it. Elliott has more recent drop