Daniel Donner
@donnermaps.bsky.social
Contributor @the-downballot.com. Focusing on data, maps, and demographics. Find our data (and the CD hexmap template!) at https://the-db.co/data
"Chat, make a song with a noun, a verb, and 9/11"
November 5, 2025 at 7:15 PM
"Chat, make a song with a noun, a verb, and 9/11"
Another example is Fairbanks Alaska, which last month elected a Democratic mayor even though it voted Trump 51-44 in 2020. (Aurora voted for Biden 64-33.)
November 5, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Another example is Fairbanks Alaska, which last month elected a Democratic mayor even though it voted Trump 51-44 in 2020. (Aurora voted for Biden 64-33.)
Reposted by Daniel Donner
Looking at all available precincts in Hudson County, Sherrill support is higher in the most-densely Hispanic turf & tracks closely with '21. Turnout is *higher* than '21 across the county-- and even more so in the most Hispanic precincts.
November 5, 2025 at 4:58 AM
Looking at all available precincts in Hudson County, Sherrill support is higher in the most-densely Hispanic turf & tracks closely with '21. Turnout is *higher* than '21 across the county-- and even more so in the most Hispanic precincts.
Reposted by Daniel Donner
Even after weighting, there's a ton of poll-to-poll variation in estimates of support within demographic subgroups. Saving this for the next time someone goes sub-group diving with future polls.
October 29, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Even after weighting, there's a ton of poll-to-poll variation in estimates of support within demographic subgroups. Saving this for the next time someone goes sub-group diving with future polls.