Prophesy Not Punditry
danlb.bsky.social
Prophesy Not Punditry
@danlb.bsky.social
Lawyer, writer, software developer, Quaker
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Reposted by Prophesy Not Punditry
It's cool that these guys just use pepper spray casually now, against people who are wholly within their rights, without a moment's hesitation. Several shots of them using it as they climb into their cars and drive away, not even a pretense of urgency or need. Just a parting "fuck you" to them.
This is what happened in our neighborhood yesterday. ICE snatched a human being off of our streets, roughed them up badly, and then pepper sprayed legal observers as they documented it all. This is a daily occurrence happening all throughout Minnesota right now.
January 19, 2026 at 4:44 PM
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Senior White House official says local and state police in Minneapolis “have been ordered to stand down and surrender.”

What?
January 19, 2026 at 5:14 PM
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YOU CAN'T CHANGE BAD-FAITH MEDIA BULLSHIT WITH SUBSTANTIVE POLICY REFORMS.
January 19, 2026 at 7:07 PM
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It's like they took all of Donald Trump's fatal flaws -- the arrogance, the dishonesty, the narcissism, the stupidity, the vanity -- and compressed them into a perfect diamond of disphittery.
January 19, 2026 at 7:09 PM
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New in PN: Trump's long-awaited healthcare "plan" is a joke

"Is it great? No. Is it a plan? Not really. It is, however, in its combination of stupidity, ideological derangement, and unseriousness, a near-perfect expression of Trump and his party."
Trump's long-awaited healthcare "plan" is a joke
He can barely bring himself to pretend he cares.
www.publicnotice.co
January 19, 2026 at 1:17 PM
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He will without any exaggeration destroy America, reduce this country to a lawless mafia state, start a civil war, start a world war, kill us all, or all at once.

And the biggest obstacle to preventing this remains not his objective strength but that OUR LEADERS WILL NOT ACKNOWLEDGE THE THREAT.
January 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM
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Impeachment is for literally whatever you want it to be. Trump could be impeached for saying “fuck.”
Someone asked me if Trump can be impeached for taking away health care or not supporting gun control.

The answer is yes. Of course!
January 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM
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Córy Doctorow with another verbal bullseye: pluralistic.net/2026/01/13/n...
January 18, 2026 at 5:29 PM
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I think he gets a lot right, but what he misses is perhaps more informative.
This David French article shows the analytic peril of ignoring the way normal policing and repression work in communities of color. The so-called "dual state" he's highlighting (laws applied unequally, non-compliance met with violence) is *exactly* what Black Lives Matter was protesting.
Opinion | An Old Theory Helps Explain What Happened to Renee Good
www.nytimes.com
January 18, 2026 at 1:28 PM
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This IS indeed very much worth reading.

[Gift article]

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/18/o...
January 18, 2026 at 1:25 PM
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Ask yourself: If Donald Trump was intentionally trying to destroy the United States, how could you tell the difference?
January 17, 2026 at 8:59 PM
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Exactly
Miller’s miscalculation - the logic of a privileged and sheltered brat - is that violence would pull white folks away from black and brown folks, when in fact it’s done the opposite. And now America’s other cities also know how to face him.
Terror is essential to Miller's project. It's designed to dissuade us from showing solidarity with the immigrants getting removed. Stand in the way of ethnic cleansing and you risk violence yourself.

(h/t @whstancil.bsky.social and @sjshancoxli.liberalcurrents.com)

newrepublic.com/article/2053...
January 17, 2026 at 3:32 PM
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Being in the minority in Congress gives you one real power and that's the power to criticize, complain and charge the majority with incompetence. It's incredibly easy, especially with a fat target like this GOP Congress.
January 17, 2026 at 3:42 PM
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Not the law of nations but the law of the jungle.
Miller: Denmark is a tiny country with a tiny economy and a tiny military. They cannot defend Greenland… Under every understanding of law that has existed about territorial control for 500 years, to control a territory you have to be able to defend a territory…
January 17, 2026 at 2:01 PM
Trump has already said he controls Venezuela even though he doesn’t, so there’s nothing to stop him from declaring tomorrow that he controls Greenland without taking any overt military action at all.
More: as to military operation now, this isn't feasible due to the weather (US has no icebreakers, flying in isn't optimal.

If all fails, Trump will increase military presence and declare it a "win". This is what I also heard from other officials off the rec this week.
January 16, 2026 at 9:44 PM
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ICE needs to mask to protect their identities, but ICE will publicize the names of protesters

ICE demands to be addressed respectfully, or ICE will call you a "fucking bitch"

ICE demands to be treated civilly, or ICE will fly into a rage and kill more innocents

ICE, the biggest snowflakes of all
January 16, 2026 at 4:27 PM
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The NY Times concludes that the ICE agent who shot Renee Good was NOT hit by her car

“the visual evidence shows no indication that..Jonathan Ross, had been run over..It also establishes-millisecond by millisecond-how Mr. Ross put himself in a dangerous position near her vehicle in the first place”
January 16, 2026 at 6:52 AM
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1. It's been more than a day since 2 of America's most storied newsrooms, CBS and ABC, reported that killer ICE agent Jon Ross suffered "internal bleeding" based on unnamed sources

Since then

- No other news org has confirmed the story

- No evidence (photos, medical records) has been produced
January 16, 2026 at 12:48 AM
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Pritzker: The Insurrection Act is designed for circumstances where your rights can’t be protected by local authorities

This is exactly the opposite.

Your civil rights are being infringed upon by CBP and ICE, and then they want to call in troops claiming that they’re protecting CBP and ICE.
January 15, 2026 at 10:31 PM
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It's definitely some kind of fantasy. I think most dudes who walk around packing are just DYING to have a reason to shoot someone. That's why it's dangerous for random people to carry guns, because they're subconsciously always looking for an excuse to bust it out. Self-fulfilling prophecy, etc.
January 15, 2026 at 2:00 AM
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This is a critical point. What we're really witnessing is the *collapse* of law and order, brought about by Trump's lawless thugs. I think a lot of ordinary people intuitively understand that this is what's happening.
It is hard to explain institutional collapse to voters; videos where state actors are clearly acting in abusive ways explain themselves.
This is incredible: 81% of working class and 83% of young voters have seen video of Renee Good's killing, per new data I've obtained. Majority of working class disapproves of ICE enforcement. ICE brutality is breaking through big time.

Some thoughts on this here:

newrepublic.com/article/2052...
January 15, 2026 at 12:43 PM
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Thank you for the admission, time to abolish it.
Mike Johnson: "ICE is doing what ICE is designed to do"
Mike Johnson comes out against additional guardrails on ICE as Democrats call for it.

“I think there's a lot of Democrats playing games right now with national security and with law enforcement. And I think it's dangerous. Ice is doing what ice is designed to do by its very name.”
January 14, 2026 at 9:06 PM
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Let’s talk about abolishing ICE.

Very few people who say “abolish ICE” mean “abandon all immigration enforcement.” Rather, they mean “the structure of immigration enforcement is irretrievably broken and needs to be reorganized, just like we did 23 years ago when we created ICE.”
/1
January 14, 2026 at 6:27 PM