Baptiste Lerak
@baptistelerak.bsky.social
"Strong men create good times."
"Good times create weak men."
"Weak men create hard times" <= You are here
"Hard times create strong men."
"Good times create weak men."
"Weak men create hard times" <= You are here
"Hard times create strong men."
Ah, Equestria at War, home to the sanest HOI4 national focus trees known to ponykind.
November 7, 2025 at 1:53 AM
Ah, Equestria at War, home to the sanest HOI4 national focus trees known to ponykind.
This illustrates one of the issues of political discourse in the US, which is that being heavily biased against the right makes you look like a partisan freak despite 100% being one of the most sensible, reasonable and evidence-backed heuristics around.
For months, certain right-wing pollsters on here have accused me of rigging my POTUS approval average against Trump. They say I weight pollsters like YouGov too highly and am "bat shit insane"
Avg bias of right-leaning firms in 2025 gov: 8 pts pro-R (2x 2024 POTUS err)
YouGov avg error: 1pt
Avg bias of right-leaning firms in 2025 gov: 8 pts pro-R (2x 2024 POTUS err)
YouGov avg error: 1pt
November 6, 2025 at 10:07 PM
This illustrates one of the issues of political discourse in the US, which is that being heavily biased against the right makes you look like a partisan freak despite 100% being one of the most sensible, reasonable and evidence-backed heuristics around.
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
Ross Douthat right now:
November 6, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Ross Douthat right now:
Oh my god, they were roommates.
Lmao wait Spanberger and Sherrill were DC roommates? They were roommates? Incredible. No fodder for terrible fic at all.
November 6, 2025 at 12:11 AM
Oh my god, they were roommates.
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
[P] Found a higher-quality photo; IT *IS* TAPED UP SHEETS OF PAPER!
November 5, 2025 at 7:22 PM
[P] Found a higher-quality photo; IT *IS* TAPED UP SHEETS OF PAPER!
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
Inbox— next cover of the New Yorker: “Mayor Mamdani,” by Edel Rodriguez
November 5, 2025 at 3:19 AM
Inbox— next cover of the New Yorker: “Mayor Mamdani,” by Edel Rodriguez
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
good morning patriots
November 5, 2025 at 2:23 PM
good morning patriots
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
virginia democrats winning the three big offices with a cia agent, an indian muslim immigrant, and a black lawyer who loves committing terms of service violations is real 2025 democratic party moment
November 5, 2025 at 1:36 AM
virginia democrats winning the three big offices with a cia agent, an indian muslim immigrant, and a black lawyer who loves committing terms of service violations is real 2025 democratic party moment
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
Bluesky rn
November 5, 2025 at 3:04 AM
Bluesky rn
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
Politicians should probably get on Bluesky to get better in touch with the American electorate.
November 5, 2025 at 2:42 AM
Politicians should probably get on Bluesky to get better in touch with the American electorate.
Yeah, I've been following them since the site launched, and haven't regretted it. Folks, if you want to check the most accurate aggregator in town, fiftyplusone.news is the place to go.
our polling averages at fiftyplusone.news are looking to be the most accurate of any major aggregator (especially if you look at the Dem. leads a couple weeks ago, when other averages were getting whiplashed by partisan firms — which I called out here: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/democrats-...)
November 5, 2025 at 2:38 AM
Yeah, I've been following them since the site launched, and haven't regretted it. Folks, if you want to check the most accurate aggregator in town, fiftyplusone.news is the place to go.
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
I’m just a small-town political scientist, & it’s still relatively early, but it appears that The Actual Democrats did not Need To Do any of the Things or Learn any of the Obvious Lessons that Ezra Douthglesias said they Must Do & Learn.
November 5, 2025 at 2:08 AM
I’m just a small-town political scientist, & it’s still relatively early, but it appears that The Actual Democrats did not Need To Do any of the Things or Learn any of the Obvious Lessons that Ezra Douthglesias said they Must Do & Learn.
Well, well, well, how the turntables...
November 5, 2025 at 2:05 AM
Well, well, well, how the turntables...
T minus 10 minutes.
November 5, 2025 at 1:50 AM
T minus 10 minutes.
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
mine eyes? seeing the glory.
the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored? trampled.
the faithful lighting of his terrible swift sword? buddy, you better believe that's loosed.
the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored? trampled.
the faithful lighting of his terrible swift sword? buddy, you better believe that's loosed.
November 5, 2025 at 1:43 AM
mine eyes? seeing the glory.
the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored? trampled.
the faithful lighting of his terrible swift sword? buddy, you better believe that's loosed.
the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored? trampled.
the faithful lighting of his terrible swift sword? buddy, you better believe that's loosed.
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
At this rate the 2026 Dem meta will be running dead-eyed CIA officers whose campaign ads are just them graphically describing what war crimes they will do to Republicans
November 5, 2025 at 1:35 AM
At this rate the 2026 Dem meta will be running dead-eyed CIA officers whose campaign ads are just them graphically describing what war crimes they will do to Republicans
ahh yeah here he comes, big a d, alan dershowitz himself, looks like he brought a bag lunch, smart
November 5, 2025 at 1:22 AM
ahh yeah here he comes, big a d, alan dershowitz himself, looks like he brought a bag lunch, smart
Reposted by Baptiste Lerak
jay jones said "gilbert gets the wall" and virginians went "that's right" lol
November 5, 2025 at 1:01 AM
jay jones said "gilbert gets the wall" and virginians went "that's right" lol
The lads yearn for a CIA girlboss.
Exit polls say Abigail Spanberger won young men 56–42 today. Talk about a narrative buster.
November 5, 2025 at 1:11 AM
The lads yearn for a CIA girlboss.
NEW JERSEY IS UP, FOLKS!
November 5, 2025 at 1:05 AM
NEW JERSEY IS UP, FOLKS!