Antony Sheffield
@as368.bsky.social
Still just ‘zis guy, you know?
He/him/his.
Refugee from Twitter.
Delighted how similar this site is and that most of my favourite follows are here.
He/him/his.
Refugee from Twitter.
Delighted how similar this site is and that most of my favourite follows are here.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Bloody hell. Looks like someone went down into the Labour HQ basement and located the party's spine. Maybe he can pass it onto the front bench?
December 12, 2025 at 11:13 AM
Bloody hell. Looks like someone went down into the Labour HQ basement and located the party's spine. Maybe he can pass it onto the front bench?
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Getting very bored with the conflation of Russia and the Soviet Union
December 10, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Getting very bored with the conflation of Russia and the Soviet Union
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
“I am so bored by AI. One of the things I love about the theatre is AI can’t do it.”
Ethan Hawke is a dude 👌🏻
Ethan Hawke is a dude 👌🏻
December 10, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
I’ve never seen the two of them together in the same room before. Just say’n.
December 6, 2025 at 5:58 PM
I’ve never seen the two of them together in the same room before. Just say’n.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
I'm sorry but in order to accept this specific award, the recipient should have to publicly explain the offside rule.
December 5, 2025 at 6:03 PM
I'm sorry but in order to accept this specific award, the recipient should have to publicly explain the offside rule.
@alanallport.bsky.social I’m assuming that like me you’re choosing to believe the sport of football no longer exists.
December 3, 2025 at 9:57 PM
@alanallport.bsky.social I’m assuming that like me you’re choosing to believe the sport of football no longer exists.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
In Nov. 2021, Biden sent Bill Burns, CIA Director & former Ambassador to Russia, to warn Putin of the consequences of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Trump sends his son-in-law and a real estate buddy, neither of whom know anything about Russia or Ukraine.
I prefer envoys who know things.
Trump sends his son-in-law and a real estate buddy, neither of whom know anything about Russia or Ukraine.
I prefer envoys who know things.
Before meeting Putin, Witkoff and Kushner took in the sights of central Moscow, escorted by Kremlin adviser Kirill Dmitriev. (shopping at TsUM looks like)
December 2, 2025 at 3:47 PM
In Nov. 2021, Biden sent Bill Burns, CIA Director & former Ambassador to Russia, to warn Putin of the consequences of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Trump sends his son-in-law and a real estate buddy, neither of whom know anything about Russia or Ukraine.
I prefer envoys who know things.
Trump sends his son-in-law and a real estate buddy, neither of whom know anything about Russia or Ukraine.
I prefer envoys who know things.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Taking down Trump when the time comes will require us to shed certain illusions about power. Chief among these is the notion that dictators can *force* people to do things or not do things. They can’t.
Don’t believe me? Ask the Nazis. 1/n
Don’t believe me? Ask the Nazis. 1/n
Don’t Do the Dance
To remove Trump, we must shed some illusions about power.
www.readthedetox.com
December 2, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Taking down Trump when the time comes will require us to shed certain illusions about power. Chief among these is the notion that dictators can *force* people to do things or not do things. They can’t.
Don’t believe me? Ask the Nazis. 1/n
Don’t believe me? Ask the Nazis. 1/n
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Ukraine, like Yossarian, finds itself trapped in a logic where every rational choice could lead to the same catastrophic result.
November 29, 2025 at 6:29 AM
Ukraine, like Yossarian, finds itself trapped in a logic where every rational choice could lead to the same catastrophic result.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
My carefully considered, nuanced and balanced policy view is that we should tax gambling profits, including sports betting, at like 98% and one executive's kidney per quarter.
I'm not sure having every UK mainstreet be three quarters Ladbrokes is good, actually.
I'm not sure having every UK mainstreet be three quarters Ladbrokes is good, actually.
November 27, 2025 at 8:57 AM
My carefully considered, nuanced and balanced policy view is that we should tax gambling profits, including sports betting, at like 98% and one executive's kidney per quarter.
I'm not sure having every UK mainstreet be three quarters Ladbrokes is good, actually.
I'm not sure having every UK mainstreet be three quarters Ladbrokes is good, actually.
@jonatomic.bsky.social listening to your Brussels Sprouts recording about nuclear stability right now. A very absorbing listen and I did enjoy your snark about Trump.
November 26, 2025 at 9:11 PM
@jonatomic.bsky.social listening to your Brussels Sprouts recording about nuclear stability right now. A very absorbing listen and I did enjoy your snark about Trump.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Sorry I haven't been active on social media today, I've been flat out making sure everything goes smoothly on my first day as website manager for the OBR.
November 26, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Sorry I haven't been active on social media today, I've been flat out making sure everything goes smoothly on my first day as website manager for the OBR.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Monday morning re-up: the proposed Ukraine deal framework (while we wait and see what revisions followed the US-Ukraine meeting) and the 1825 Decembrist Revolt, and what it may say about the situation today
In Moscow's Shadows 225: A Chance for Peace in Ukraine?
In the 1st half, I look at the proposed Ukraine peace deal (and what it's not).
In the 2nd, I spin off Rabow-Edling's excellent book on the 1825 Decembrist Revolt to consider its modern resonances.
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
In the 1st half, I look at the proposed Ukraine peace deal (and what it's not).
In the 2nd, I spin off Rabow-Edling's excellent book on the 1825 Decembrist Revolt to consider its modern resonances.
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
In Moscow's Shadows 225: A Chance for Peace in Ukraine? - In Moscow's Shadows
In the first half of the podcast, I look at the proposed Ukraine peace deal, which is only a foundation for proper negotiations, especially in terms of what it is not.In the second, I spin off Su...
www.buzzsprout.com
November 24, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Monday morning re-up: the proposed Ukraine deal framework (while we wait and see what revisions followed the US-Ukraine meeting) and the 1825 Decembrist Revolt, and what it may say about the situation today
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
I'm less confident I understand what's happening with this Peace Proposal Saga than I was three episodes into Severence season 1.
Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
What the actual fuck is going on.
America put forward a nearly carbon copy version of the Russian plan for Ukrainian conquest, admitted it and backtracked, then doubles down.
America put forward a nearly carbon copy version of the Russian plan for Ukrainian conquest, admitted it and backtracked, then doubles down.
November 23, 2025 at 10:45 AM
I'm less confident I understand what's happening with this Peace Proposal Saga than I was three episodes into Severence season 1.
Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
Perhaps because like in that show, several of the key protagonists appear to be operating on about half a brain.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Much of the discussion of the “peace plan” evades two blunt truths: (a) Europe has no strategy, and (b) Trump is chaotic and aligned with Putin. This isn’t ignorance but a refusal to reckon with reality - a depoliticised move that, at scale, helps Trump and Putin.
November 23, 2025 at 10:56 AM
Much of the discussion of the “peace plan” evades two blunt truths: (a) Europe has no strategy, and (b) Trump is chaotic and aligned with Putin. This isn’t ignorance but a refusal to reckon with reality - a depoliticised move that, at scale, helps Trump and Putin.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Thread. Yup. Re “written in Moscow,” lots of reason to believe the “plan” was drafted in Russian and then translated by a bonehead into English.
Some notable things in what's being called the "Trump peace plan" but which could not have been more clearly written in Moscow if it came with a 2 for 1 deal on tickets to the Bolshoi Ballet. 🧵
November 22, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Thread. Yup. Re “written in Moscow,” lots of reason to believe the “plan” was drafted in Russian and then translated by a bonehead into English.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
1/ What a Russian breaking of the ceasefire will look like, step by step.
There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.
So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.
So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
November 21, 2025 at 2:23 PM
1/ What a Russian breaking of the ceasefire will look like, step by step.
There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.
So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.
So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
My own thoughts on Trump’s peace plan for Ukraine.
Regardless of how I feel, I don’t see it bringing about a durable peace. However, it could be something that the Trump administration has devised to find its own off-ramp, and that might be what matters the most. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
Regardless of how I feel, I don’t see it bringing about a durable peace. However, it could be something that the Trump administration has devised to find its own off-ramp, and that might be what matters the most. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
On Trump's Peace Plan
It could be much, much better for Ukraine, but it could also be worse.
open.substack.com
November 21, 2025 at 3:51 PM
My own thoughts on Trump’s peace plan for Ukraine.
Regardless of how I feel, I don’t see it bringing about a durable peace. However, it could be something that the Trump administration has devised to find its own off-ramp, and that might be what matters the most. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
Regardless of how I feel, I don’t see it bringing about a durable peace. However, it could be something that the Trump administration has devised to find its own off-ramp, and that might be what matters the most. open.substack.com/pub/alanoszk...
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
The current military situation does not justify surrendering these territories, and such concessions would almost certainly inflame a “stab-in-the-back” narrative within the military—undermining trust in Ukraine’s civilian leadership.
November 21, 2025 at 4:03 PM
The current military situation does not justify surrendering these territories, and such concessions would almost certainly inflame a “stab-in-the-back” narrative within the military—undermining trust in Ukraine’s civilian leadership.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
In all of this, you need to remember that Donald is actually the 2nd most powerful person in the world.
The most powerful person in the world is the last person to speak to Donald.
The most powerful person in the world is the last person to speak to Donald.
November 21, 2025 at 4:16 PM
In all of this, you need to remember that Donald is actually the 2nd most powerful person in the world.
The most powerful person in the world is the last person to speak to Donald.
The most powerful person in the world is the last person to speak to Donald.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
There is reason one of my friends always calls him Steve Dumbkopf.
November 21, 2025 at 4:57 PM
There is reason one of my friends always calls him Steve Dumbkopf.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Broader Russian industrial economy is, in the words of Russian specialists, now stuck between stagnation and outright decline. The collapse in demand for investment goods foreshadows a much larger fall.
"Russia’s current economic situation is a sustained disequilibrium—like a river that stays within its banks only because an underlying gradient keeps the water moving"
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/when-witkoff...
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/when-witkoff...
When Witkoff Closes a Door, He Opens a Window – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (November 17−21)
ridl.io
November 21, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Broader Russian industrial economy is, in the words of Russian specialists, now stuck between stagnation and outright decline. The collapse in demand for investment goods foreshadows a much larger fall.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Imagine how difficult it is for Ze to manage this. Can’t say “it’s totally ridiculous, f… off,” has to somehow try to flatter/express appreciation. Meanwhile, he has the war and the corruption scandal in Kyiv to deal with. Rather a lot on his plate.
November 21, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Imagine how difficult it is for Ze to manage this. Can’t say “it’s totally ridiculous, f… off,” has to somehow try to flatter/express appreciation. Meanwhile, he has the war and the corruption scandal in Kyiv to deal with. Rather a lot on his plate.
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
Well, if there were a prize for diplomacy, I’d give it to Ze. Artful language, IMO (“work at the advisor level…”).
Zelensky said he spoke for nearly an hour with Vance and Army Secretary Driscoll, discussing key elements of the U.S. peace proposal. He confirmed that Ukraine, the U.S., and Europe will now work at the advisor level to find a workable path to peace.
The image Zelensky posted, says it all.
The image Zelensky posted, says it all.
November 21, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Well, if there were a prize for diplomacy, I’d give it to Ze. Artful language, IMO (“work at the advisor level…”).
Reposted by Antony Sheffield
With the intense negotiations and politicking surrounding the Ukraine war this week, I'm just grateful for all the pundits and online shitbirds like me, tirelessly sharing whatever important insights cross our minds. Thank you and you're welcome, everyone.
November 21, 2025 at 5:18 PM
With the intense negotiations and politicking surrounding the Ukraine war this week, I'm just grateful for all the pundits and online shitbirds like me, tirelessly sharing whatever important insights cross our minds. Thank you and you're welcome, everyone.