Andrew Flowers
@andrewflowers.bsky.social
Chief economist at Appcast. Founder: recruitonomics.com. Lover of sports & books. Formerly: Indeed, FiveThirtyEight, AtlantaFed
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
ryan is right. people HATE hearing this. but it is just a matter of simple incentives. if you want a more representative legislature — and if you want a legislature more resistant to corruption — then you need to jack up the salaries. serving as mayor of NYC should net you a cool 500K *at least*
people hate hearing this but it's 100% true, creating a huge pay gap between political leaders, their staffs, and other elites is a recipe for corruption. of course the flip side of that is taxes on the rich should be jacked way the hell up
The Mayor of New York only makes $260k. I bet there are police that make more than that in NY with overtime.
We need to pay elected leaders more money and stop pretending it's some sort of calling. They're managing hundreds of billions of dollars in investments and millions of people's lives.
We need to pay elected leaders more money and stop pretending it's some sort of calling. They're managing hundreds of billions of dollars in investments and millions of people's lives.
November 7, 2025 at 3:42 PM
ryan is right. people HATE hearing this. but it is just a matter of simple incentives. if you want a more representative legislature — and if you want a legislature more resistant to corruption — then you need to jack up the salaries. serving as mayor of NYC should net you a cool 500K *at least*
1/ As the government shutdown, now officially the longest-ever, stretches to 38 days, with no end in sight, today is the second "first Friday" with an unpublished BLS employment report. I miss the old jobs day routine. That's now two months of data we're missing.
November 7, 2025 at 2:45 PM
1/ As the government shutdown, now officially the longest-ever, stretches to 38 days, with no end in sight, today is the second "first Friday" with an unpublished BLS employment report. I miss the old jobs day routine. That's now two months of data we're missing.
Infuriating article for econ data wonks: monopoly power extorting state governments, outdated UI infrastructure, Medicaid work requirements, etc. This has it all...
November 5, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Infuriating article for econ data wonks: monopoly power extorting state governments, outdated UI infrastructure, Medicaid work requirements, etc. This has it all...
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
We now have unemployment claims data for all 50 states for the week ending 10/25. Still no sign of a big uptick in initial claims. (Note that these charts do NOT include federal workers -- see down thread for those.) #NumbersDay #EconSky
November 3, 2025 at 5:22 PM
We now have unemployment claims data for all 50 states for the week ending 10/25. Still no sign of a big uptick in initial claims. (Note that these charts do NOT include federal workers -- see down thread for those.) #NumbersDay #EconSky
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
October 3, 2025 at 12:58 PM
Because of the government shutdown, there is no jobs day data. And if the shutdown persists, no CPI, no GDP, etc. So
my colleague Julius Probst and I wrote a guide for how policymakers and economists, as well as HR and recruiting leaders, can navigate this economy while "flying blind."
my colleague Julius Probst and I wrote a guide for how policymakers and economists, as well as HR and recruiting leaders, can navigate this economy while "flying blind."
October 3, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Because of the government shutdown, there is no jobs day data. And if the shutdown persists, no CPI, no GDP, etc. So
my colleague Julius Probst and I wrote a guide for how policymakers and economists, as well as HR and recruiting leaders, can navigate this economy while "flying blind."
my colleague Julius Probst and I wrote a guide for how policymakers and economists, as well as HR and recruiting leaders, can navigate this economy while "flying blind."
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
Data revisions are a normal, necessary part of trying to measure a $30 trillion economy in real time. They can also be jarring, especially for people who don't obsessively scrutinize every jobs report.
So I dug into the how and why of revisions. A few big takeaways:
#EconSky
So I dug into the how and why of revisions. A few big takeaways:
#EconSky
Why the B.L.S. Regularly Revises Jobs Data
www.nytimes.com
August 6, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Data revisions are a normal, necessary part of trying to measure a $30 trillion economy in real time. They can also be jarring, especially for people who don't obsessively scrutinize every jobs report.
So I dug into the how and why of revisions. A few big takeaways:
#EconSky
So I dug into the how and why of revisions. A few big takeaways:
#EconSky
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
US population growth is slowing, more volatile, and harder to estimate than it used to be, mostly due to immigration swings and also population aging.
That will weaken economic growth -- and will make economic statistics less accurate and more prone to revisions.
www.piie.com/publications...
That will weaken economic growth -- and will make economic statistics less accurate and more prone to revisions.
www.piie.com/publications...
August 6, 2025 at 1:34 PM
US population growth is slowing, more volatile, and harder to estimate than it used to be, mostly due to immigration swings and also population aging.
That will weaken economic growth -- and will make economic statistics less accurate and more prone to revisions.
www.piie.com/publications...
That will weaken economic growth -- and will make economic statistics less accurate and more prone to revisions.
www.piie.com/publications...
In 1997, Fujitsu released the first commercial flat-screen TV for consumers, a 42-inch plasma TV.
It was priced around $17,500 to $20,000.
It was priced around $17,500 to $20,000.
July 11, 2025 at 1:24 AM
In 1997, Fujitsu released the first commercial flat-screen TV for consumers, a 42-inch plasma TV.
It was priced around $17,500 to $20,000.
It was priced around $17,500 to $20,000.
Check out this first of a four-part series on Recruitonomics covering the impact of the Trump administration's immigration policies on the labor market. Julius Probst estimates an annual decline in the U.S. labor force between 640k to 960k.
June 27, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Check out this first of a four-part series on Recruitonomics covering the impact of the Trump administration's immigration policies on the labor market. Julius Probst estimates an annual decline in the U.S. labor force between 640k to 960k.
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
Meanwhile, back at home: Trump's Big Beautiful Bill will make the poor poorer and the rich richer. Regressivity is even worse if you layer on Trump's tariffs.
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
June 22, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Meanwhile, back at home: Trump's Big Beautiful Bill will make the poor poorer and the rich richer. Regressivity is even worse if you layer on Trump's tariffs.
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Hotel hiring is a mixed bag. And restaurants are still playing catch-up on hiring. Read @samrkuhn.bsky.social on how summer hiring is heating up, with recruiters facing both labor shortages and softer consumer spending.
June 20, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Hotel hiring is a mixed bag. And restaurants are still playing catch-up on hiring. Read @samrkuhn.bsky.social on how summer hiring is heating up, with recruiters facing both labor shortages and softer consumer spending.
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
@budgetlab.bsky.social tariff update through June 16, incorporating:
• Broader scope for the 50% steel & aluminum tariffs to include some steel-derivative products.
• Relaxation of Chinese export restrictions on magnets & rate minerals.
• New distributional methodology.
1/9
• Broader scope for the 50% steel & aluminum tariffs to include some steel-derivative products.
• Relaxation of Chinese export restrictions on magnets & rate minerals.
• New distributional methodology.
1/9
June 17, 2025 at 6:54 PM
@budgetlab.bsky.social tariff update through June 16, incorporating:
• Broader scope for the 50% steel & aluminum tariffs to include some steel-derivative products.
• Relaxation of Chinese export restrictions on magnets & rate minerals.
• New distributional methodology.
1/9
• Broader scope for the 50% steel & aluminum tariffs to include some steel-derivative products.
• Relaxation of Chinese export restrictions on magnets & rate minerals.
• New distributional methodology.
1/9
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
EXTREMELY BAD NEWS for economic research, per former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social on LinkedIn.
BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky
BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky
June 6, 2025 at 6:54 PM
EXTREMELY BAD NEWS for economic research, per former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social on LinkedIn.
BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky
BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky
The U.S. added 139k jobs in May, which on its face isn’t bad. However, the average monthly job gains over the past year have slowed to about 144,000, which is the lowest level since late 2011 (excluding the sharp pandemic-era drop). So, the labor market is treading water.
June 6, 2025 at 3:05 PM
The U.S. added 139k jobs in May, which on its face isn’t bad. However, the average monthly job gains over the past year have slowed to about 144,000, which is the lowest level since late 2011 (excluding the sharp pandemic-era drop). So, the labor market is treading water.
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
A larger share of Canadian households fear they may lose their job in the next 12 months than compared to the peak of the pandemic
April 18, 2025 at 2:02 PM
A larger share of Canadian households fear they may lose their job in the next 12 months than compared to the peak of the pandemic
🇨🇦 Canada's upcoming election coincides with a pivotal economic moment. @samrkuhn.bsky.social covers the state of the Canadian economy, and labor market in particular: recruitonomics.com/a-pivotal-mo...
April 25, 2025 at 2:19 AM
🇨🇦 Canada's upcoming election coincides with a pivotal economic moment. @samrkuhn.bsky.social covers the state of the Canadian economy, and labor market in particular: recruitonomics.com/a-pivotal-mo...
The March jobs report was calm on the surface, but it is an unfulfilling bright spot in a new economic storm. The truth is this report won’t go down as the biggest jobs story this week.
April 4, 2025 at 3:17 PM
The March jobs report was calm on the surface, but it is an unfulfilling bright spot in a new economic storm. The truth is this report won’t go down as the biggest jobs story this week.
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
The job market has been resilient. The trade war could be its undoing
"You can almost think of the labor market as a rock in the ocean getting battered and getting weathered by all the other things going on in the economy"
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/b... @nytimes.com w/ @bencasselman.bsky.social
"You can almost think of the labor market as a rock in the ocean getting battered and getting weathered by all the other things going on in the economy"
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/b... @nytimes.com w/ @bencasselman.bsky.social
Tariffs Could Sink an Economy Held Aloft by the Labor Market
The U.S. economy has largely withstood inflation and high interest rates. But tariffs could bring new price increases and put a damper on hiring.
www.nytimes.com
April 3, 2025 at 6:18 PM
The job market has been resilient. The trade war could be its undoing
"You can almost think of the labor market as a rock in the ocean getting battered and getting weathered by all the other things going on in the economy"
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/b... @nytimes.com w/ @bencasselman.bsky.social
"You can almost think of the labor market as a rock in the ocean getting battered and getting weathered by all the other things going on in the economy"
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/b... @nytimes.com w/ @bencasselman.bsky.social
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
One of the most memorable news events, where a policy announcement made the stock market tank in such a direct way.
I've seen other press conferences/speeches where the market tanked, but it was always in the context of an ongoing crisis where the response looked insufficient.
I've seen other press conferences/speeches where the market tanked, but it was always in the context of an ongoing crisis where the response looked insufficient.
April 2, 2025 at 8:46 PM
One of the most memorable news events, where a policy announcement made the stock market tank in such a direct way.
I've seen other press conferences/speeches where the market tanked, but it was always in the context of an ongoing crisis where the response looked insufficient.
I've seen other press conferences/speeches where the market tanked, but it was always in the context of an ongoing crisis where the response looked insufficient.
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
paid for by the government of canada! incredible stuff
March 25, 2025 at 10:56 PM
paid for by the government of canada! incredible stuff
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
UPDATE: The Commerce Department has terminated the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee (FESAC) and several other outside committees that advised the statistical agencies. #EconSky
Comments from Howard Lutnick, the secretary of Commerce, and Elon Musk have renewed concerns that the Trump administration could interfere with federal economic statistics.
with @colbylsmith.bsky.social #EconSky
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/04/b...
with @colbylsmith.bsky.social #EconSky
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/04/b...
Lutnick Remarks on Removing Government Spending in GDP Data Raises Fears (Gift Article)
Howard Lutnick, the commerce secretary, suggested government spending should be excluded from data about U.S. economic output.
www.nytimes.com
March 4, 2025 at 7:13 PM
UPDATE: The Commerce Department has terminated the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee (FESAC) and several other outside committees that advised the statistical agencies. #EconSky
Reposted by Andrew Flowers
Past, present and future of US labor market: @andrewflowers.bsky.social and myselfs coverage of jobs day
recruitonomics.com/the-past-pre...
recruitonomics.com/the-past-pre...
The Past, Present, and Future of the US Labor Market | Recruitonomics
January's jobs report features historical revisions of 2024 data that change the way we think about today and tomorrow's labor market.
recruitonomics.com
February 7, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Past, present and future of US labor market: @andrewflowers.bsky.social and myselfs coverage of jobs day
recruitonomics.com/the-past-pre...
recruitonomics.com/the-past-pre...