Adanthar
@adanthar.bsky.social
Semi-retiredly shitposting online on a new blue website
Pinned
Year in review:
Very good polymarket year, incredible given it was an off off cycle year
Complete wash crypto wise, basically sat out / slightly up on trades; ie, I outperformed 99% of the market
Will give it an 8/10, but hoping next year has more opportunities
Very good polymarket year, incredible given it was an off off cycle year
Complete wash crypto wise, basically sat out / slightly up on trades; ie, I outperformed 99% of the market
Will give it an 8/10, but hoping next year has more opportunities
December 27, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Year in review:
Very good polymarket year, incredible given it was an off off cycle year
Complete wash crypto wise, basically sat out / slightly up on trades; ie, I outperformed 99% of the market
Will give it an 8/10, but hoping next year has more opportunities
Very good polymarket year, incredible given it was an off off cycle year
Complete wash crypto wise, basically sat out / slightly up on trades; ie, I outperformed 99% of the market
Will give it an 8/10, but hoping next year has more opportunities
Reposted by Adanthar
Kavanaugh has spent months watching masked street thugs brutalize Latinos on TV for the crime of being Hispanic in America, watching the entire Latino population of America turning on his party, and realizing it was all directly attributable to him. I bet he’s wanted to melt into the floor.
Interesting that Justice Kavanaugh decided he had to add footnote 4 to his concurrence, which addresses the "State’s underlying objections to the activities of federal immigration officers when they make immigration stops."
![The State and the Government disagree about whether the immigration officers have violated the Constitution in making certain immigration stops and arrests. The basic constitutional rules governing that dispute are longstanding and clear: The Fourth Amendment requires that immigration stops must be based on reasonable suspicion of illegal presence, stops must be brief, arrests must be based on probable cause, and officers must not employ excessive force. Moreover, the officers must not make interior immigration stops or arrests based on race or ethnicity. Cf. Whren v. United States, 517 U. S. 806, 813 (1996) (“[T]he Constitution prohibits selective enforcement of the law based on considerations such as race”). This application does not require us to delve into the parties’ underlying dispute and to determine whether any particular immigration encounter or series of encounters in Illinois has violated those basic constitutional principles.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:iv73mapy52ilxfjnetqatnvu/bafkreiam3tsfxtxu4atn73qvjbdcuuxkcanqxsuj2cenme5r2dwisi2tgm@jpeg)
December 23, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Kavanaugh has spent months watching masked street thugs brutalize Latinos on TV for the crime of being Hispanic in America, watching the entire Latino population of America turning on his party, and realizing it was all directly attributable to him. I bet he’s wanted to melt into the floor.
Reminder that unless this guy moves to polymarket he will be paying (trivial but still) federal taxes on losses AND probably has to itemize all of this somehow, good luck
December 18, 2025 at 3:49 PM
Reminder that unless this guy moves to polymarket he will be paying (trivial but still) federal taxes on losses AND probably has to itemize all of this somehow, good luck
This one is funny: she's (deservedly) taken little comparative blame for her campaign, she has a couple of real messages available to use, her paper cred is solid, and -nobody- is going to vote for her in a primary. the widest spread possible between resume and reality
www.axios.com/2025/12/14/k...
www.axios.com/2025/12/14/k...
Harris stepping toward another White House run
Despite worries from party leaders and donors that she can't win, Harris is polling well and has strong support among Black voters.
www.axios.com
December 15, 2025 at 12:28 AM
This one is funny: she's (deservedly) taken little comparative blame for her campaign, she has a couple of real messages available to use, her paper cred is solid, and -nobody- is going to vote for her in a primary. the widest spread possible between resume and reality
www.axios.com/2025/12/14/k...
www.axios.com/2025/12/14/k...
Reposted by Adanthar
Look I am famously opposed to Democrats focusing on kitchen-table stuff like healthcare but when the president is out here saying "Stop whining about your healthcare going away, losers" you pretty much gotta take that ball and run with it
Q: At the end of this year, those extended Obamacare subsidies expire. What's your message to those 24m Americans who will see their premiums go up?
TRUMP: Don't make it sound so bad. Obviously you're a sycophant for Democrats. You're obviously a provider of bad news for Republicans.
TRUMP: Don't make it sound so bad. Obviously you're a sycophant for Democrats. You're obviously a provider of bad news for Republicans.
December 12, 2025 at 11:54 PM
Look I am famously opposed to Democrats focusing on kitchen-table stuff like healthcare but when the president is out here saying "Stop whining about your healthcare going away, losers" you pretty much gotta take that ball and run with it
jesus fucking rotating orwell ghost badly animated piss christ
December 12, 2025 at 11:50 PM
jesus fucking rotating orwell ghost badly animated piss christ
this is a pretty epic trump-proofing before JPow departs, ngl
December 12, 2025 at 12:39 PM
this is a pretty epic trump-proofing before JPow departs, ngl
There is an even older and even funnier option available
oh hell yeah do I want to see Philip Rivers quarterbacking the Colts
December 9, 2025 at 1:39 AM
There is an even older and even funnier option available
look, I think prediction markets are awesome when we're betting on things where the outcome is important for society to know in advance
this though? this can fuck off
this though? this can fuck off
December 5, 2025 at 8:52 PM
look, I think prediction markets are awesome when we're betting on things where the outcome is important for society to know in advance
this though? this can fuck off
this though? this can fuck off
looks like a 15 point swing, and feels to me like we're heading for something like D+11 midterms (for comparison, 2018 was D+9)
I'm sorry but even given Trump's collapsing numbers there is just no real chance that a T+22 district is going to elect a Dem. It will be close but I don't expect an upset.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
December 3, 2025 at 2:40 AM
looks like a 15 point swing, and feels to me like we're heading for something like D+11 midterms (for comparison, 2018 was D+9)
Reposted by Adanthar
oh is your whole politics just "orange man bad" is that it?? because if so that's a reasonably efficient lens through which to process a lot of stuff
December 3, 2025 at 2:00 AM
oh is your whole politics just "orange man bad" is that it?? because if so that's a reasonably efficient lens through which to process a lot of stuff
obviously the gimmick here is that all these charts are inverse, just quoting a funny and true post
MY BAGS aside, I currently find 0 investable assets in crypto, not even counting a late stage AI bubble that makes everything tech related riskier than usual
MY BAGS aside, I currently find 0 investable assets in crypto, not even counting a late stage AI bubble that makes everything tech related riskier than usual
November 30, 2025 at 7:12 PM
obviously the gimmick here is that all these charts are inverse, just quoting a funny and true post
MY BAGS aside, I currently find 0 investable assets in crypto, not even counting a late stage AI bubble that makes everything tech related riskier than usual
MY BAGS aside, I currently find 0 investable assets in crypto, not even counting a late stage AI bubble that makes everything tech related riskier than usual
I'm sorry but even given Trump's collapsing numbers there is just no real chance that a T+22 district is going to elect a Dem. It will be close but I don't expect an upset.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
November 30, 2025 at 1:47 PM
I'm sorry but even given Trump's collapsing numbers there is just no real chance that a T+22 district is going to elect a Dem. It will be close but I don't expect an upset.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
MAGA will then claim victory while ignoring the 17 point swing.
Still not donating to MTGs 2028 independent third party run, but it is definitely tremendous content
Definitely an “I feel bad for our country. But this is tremendous content” moment.
November 26, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Still not donating to MTGs 2028 independent third party run, but it is definitely tremendous content
Reposted by Adanthar
congratulations to r/buttcoin for holding onto their views in the face of overwhelming evidence of a successful meme for the fourth consecutive cycle
you may not be rich, but you'll have more content than ever on the way back down, and that's more important than money
you may not be rich, but you'll have more content than ever on the way back down, and that's more important than money
March 5, 2024 at 2:12 AM
congratulations to r/buttcoin for holding onto their views in the face of overwhelming evidence of a successful meme for the fourth consecutive cycle
you may not be rich, but you'll have more content than ever on the way back down, and that's more important than money
you may not be rich, but you'll have more content than ever on the way back down, and that's more important than money
this poll is temporarily fake (just pissed off R nonresponse) but is the type of thing you could actually see in a year if the AI bubble pops early, in which case, it's probably House D+100 or something similar
November 19, 2025 at 3:37 PM
this poll is temporarily fake (just pissed off R nonresponse) but is the type of thing you could actually see in a year if the AI bubble pops early, in which case, it's probably House D+100 or something similar
the line between "we're in a bubble" and "the bubble has popped, get out" is the exact trickiest thing to time as an investor/trader, and not just in crypto; it's basically impossible to be perfect.
but
these are glaring mid 2008 signs, and not just in crypto
but
these are glaring mid 2008 signs, and not just in crypto
November 18, 2025 at 1:22 PM
the line between "we're in a bubble" and "the bubble has popped, get out" is the exact trickiest thing to time as an investor/trader, and not just in crypto; it's basically impossible to be perfect.
but
these are glaring mid 2008 signs, and not just in crypto
but
these are glaring mid 2008 signs, and not just in crypto
late stage bubble behavior; combined with where the crypto canary is, I think AI has...not years left to run
November 18, 2025 at 12:32 PM
late stage bubble behavior; combined with where the crypto canary is, I think AI has...not years left to run
personally I will simply NOT donate to MTG when she becomes an independent running against the swamp filled Republican Party
November 15, 2025 at 2:32 PM
personally I will simply NOT donate to MTG when she becomes an independent running against the swamp filled Republican Party
I am as sympathetic to Amanda (ex regulator)'s POV as it is possible to get in crypto, and so, I don't want her to get into legal trouble for this tweet (that would be lawfare)
instead I would like her to reflect on her boss, Gensler going after Uniswap for years while SBF got private meetings
instead I would like her to reflect on her boss, Gensler going after Uniswap for years while SBF got private meetings
November 14, 2025 at 5:50 PM
I am as sympathetic to Amanda (ex regulator)'s POV as it is possible to get in crypto, and so, I don't want her to get into legal trouble for this tweet (that would be lawfare)
instead I would like her to reflect on her boss, Gensler going after Uniswap for years while SBF got private meetings
instead I would like her to reflect on her boss, Gensler going after Uniswap for years while SBF got private meetings
everybody on the planet's doing prediction markets, but most of them are focused on sports, which is a short term cash grab that has regulatory problems written all over it
long term, IMO, the money in this format is in the intersection of politics and business
long term, IMO, the money in this format is in the intersection of politics and business
November 13, 2025 at 1:34 PM
everybody on the planet's doing prediction markets, but most of them are focused on sports, which is a short term cash grab that has regulatory problems written all over it
long term, IMO, the money in this format is in the intersection of politics and business
long term, IMO, the money in this format is in the intersection of politics and business
Reposted by Adanthar
Also, very funny how the Dems keep trying to do this “release the Epstein files!” thing as a naked base pander in mimicry of the other side’s conspiratorial muckraking, and then the files actually do get released, and it’s like “oh wait Trump really is all over these things, he really did it huh”
November 12, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Also, very funny how the Dems keep trying to do this “release the Epstein files!” thing as a naked base pander in mimicry of the other side’s conspiratorial muckraking, and then the files actually do get released, and it’s like “oh wait Trump really is all over these things, he really did it huh”
Reposted by Adanthar
Landon Thomas Jr of the New York Times got told by Jeffrey Epstein that Trump walked into a glass door bc he was so busy staring at girls in Epstein's house and didn't print it. wild that the Times didn't consider that newsworthy.
November 12, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Landon Thomas Jr of the New York Times got told by Jeffrey Epstein that Trump walked into a glass door bc he was so busy staring at girls in Epstein's house and didn't print it. wild that the Times didn't consider that newsworthy.
You are Joe Biden's attorney general. you see this email from a well known author that says, in so many words, that he knows Trump was at The House and that Jeffrey Epstein could personally make him lie or tell the truth.
You do not subpoena the author.
CECOT *this* fucking guy please tia
You do not subpoena the author.
CECOT *this* fucking guy please tia
November 12, 2025 at 4:29 PM
You are Joe Biden's attorney general. you see this email from a well known author that says, in so many words, that he knows Trump was at The House and that Jeffrey Epstein could personally make him lie or tell the truth.
You do not subpoena the author.
CECOT *this* fucking guy please tia
You do not subpoena the author.
CECOT *this* fucking guy please tia