Laurens Swinkels
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Laurens Swinkels
@lswinkels.bsky.social

Associate Professor of Finance at Erasmus University Rotterdam and Executive Director at Robeco Asset Management. www.laurensswinkels.com #FinSky #EconSky

📍Oslo, Norway 🇳🇴

Economics 72%
Business 26%

A new working paper on "The Viability of Bitcoin as a Central Bank Reserve Asset" concludes that Bitcoin lacks stability and liquidity, but could still play a role in central bank management.

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

#EconSky #FinSky #Finance #Bitcoin #Academic
Headline from a serious and long working paper on the economic impact of Brexit. Possible that this has been feeding into OBR and HMT discussions?

Reposted by Caroline Fohlin

My paper just published *open access* in the Journal of International Money and Finance "The risk and reward of investing" doi.org/10.1016/j.ji...

Short video clip about the content on www.laurensswinkels.com, where you can also find the data.

#EconSky #FinSky #Academic #Investing #Finance

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

New working paper on Gold and Bitcoin

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

#Gold #Bitcoin #Investing #FinSky #EconSKy #Safehaven

"The main lesson is that a country can reduce its debt without resorting to sovereign default or high inflation. Sensible, credible reforms can achieve both debt reduction and economic stability."

Rangvid's blogpost: blog.rangvid.com/2025/10/26/h...

#EconSky #Denmark #Debt #InterestRates #Book
How low interest rates change Denmark – Rangvid’s Blog
blog.rangvid.com
🚨What’s up with private credit ratings? on.ft.com/47sTNV9
What’s up with private credit ratings?
Could this be a film we’ve seen before?
on.ft.com

Gained -4%, does that mean lost 4%?

The economic consequences of war

Link to paper: www.nber.org/papers/w34389

#EconSky #War #Economy #Academic #HistorySky

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

"Although pass-through at the border was incomplete, our estimates indicate that U.S. consumers paid more than the government received in tariff revenue, because domestic markups amplified downstream price effects." www.nber.org/papers/w34392

New paper on how to best reduce carbon emissions.

#Climate #Carbon #Investing #Assets #EconSky

Link to paper: www.nber.org/papers/w34342

New paper comparing investment in gold with investment in gold miners.

#Investing #Gold #Stocks #FinSky

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

Just published a new paper on investing in emerging markets debt in the Journal of Asset Management. Free to download from the link below.

#EMD #EmergingMarkets #Investing #FinSky #EconSky #Academic
Exploring emerging markets debt: Bond voyage?
rdcu.be

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

Bernanke, Cochrane, Greenspan, Mankiw, Paulson, Rogoff, Romer, Rubin, Summers, Yellen, etc & me: "allowing the removal of Governor Lisa D. Cook while the challenge to her removal is pending would threaten that independence and erode public confidence in the Fed." www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/25...
www.supremecourt.gov

Our new report with capital market assumptions for the next five years: "The Stale Renaissance".

#FinSky #EconSky #Investing #Investment #Stocks #Bonds
5-year Expected Returns: The Stale Renaissance | Robeco Global
Robeco publishes Expected Returns 2026-2030
www.robeco.com
Post no one asked for on how to compare bond yields across currencies (more) properly. on.ft.com/48fJTIf

🤣

First thought that this was about stocks that Republican voters like, but the term red turns out to be related to something completely different, accounting related: "The Rise of Red Equity"

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

#Investing #EconSky #FinSky #Stocks #Equities #Red
Lemme speak with directness and a sense of urgency about our most important economic threats, and what history teaches us about moments like this.

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

FX hedging sounds mysterious & intimidating/ super simple depending on your knowledge.

Its pretty basic maths informs massive capital allocations.

A no equation explainer: on.ft.com/4p7CwsD

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

Opinion: On the assumption that a chaotic, incoherent trade war was baked in the cake, FT Alphaville’s main bet for a financial-economic calamity under Trump 2.0 has long been that he launches a full assault on the Fed. Well, it's here now. on.ft.com/3HRQKgo

Reposted by Georg Weizsäcker

Despite the US backtracking on its energy transition ambitions (trying to forbid emissions trading schemes for example), China seems to keep moving full speed ahead...

#Climate #Sustainability #China #Investing #Carbon #Emissions #Energy
China issues guideline to advance low-carbon transition, strengthen national carbon trading market
China has unveiled a guideline to accelerate the country's green and low-carbon transition and strengthen the construction of the national carbon trading market.
english.www.gov.cn

Very sad to have lost such brilliant colleague and coauthor.
In Memoriam Professor Benedict Dellaert
It is with deep sadness that we learned of the passing of Professor Benedict Dellaert on August 20, 2025.
www.eur.nl

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

Measures of physical climate risk lead to slightly lower credit ratings. Ambitious CO2 reduction targets and actual emissions reductions have been reflected in higher ratings, but only since the 2015 Paris Agreement.
L Cappiello, G Ferrucci, A Maddaloni, V Veggente
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

A practical way to approach lifecycle investing for retirement

Link to paper: doi.org/10.3386/w34166

#pension #retirement #finance #investing #econsky

Reposted by Laurens Swinkels

Average US tariffs on Chinese exports now stand at 57.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods. China's average tariffs on US exports are at 32.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods, according to ‪@chadpbown.com‬ tracker update:
US-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart
www.piie.com

Researchers at the FED examined the uptake of flood insurance and the location people live: "Flood Risk and Flood Insurance"

Link to research: libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2025/08/floo...

#Climate #Economics #Flood
Flood Risk and Flood Insurance - Liberty Street Economics
A look at the state of the flood insurance market and how mortgage lenders manage their exposure to flood risk.
libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org