Brazil
Political science
38%
Law
19%
Terrifying stuff. We are going down branches of the game tree that were truly unimaginable.
How the Military Became Another Instrument of Trump’s Power www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/o...
How the Military Became Another Instrument of Trump’s Power www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/o...
Opinion | How the Military Became Another Instrument of Trump’s Power
www.nytimes.com
August 13, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Terrifying stuff. We are going down branches of the game tree that were truly unimaginable.
How the Military Became Another Instrument of Trump’s Power www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/o...
How the Military Became Another Instrument of Trump’s Power www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/o...
The source of randomness doesn’t really matter. The thing is that it won’t go away, bc it serves that purpose.
August 13, 2025 at 11:43 AM
The source of randomness doesn’t really matter. The thing is that it won’t go away, bc it serves that purpose.
In authoritarian crackdowns, it’s important to randomly ensnare some people whom one would think would be safe, so that everyone is at least a little bit afraid that something could happen to them. The regime scales up its power of intimidation over a much larger group than those directly affected.
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
Sarah Shaw, who has a US visa and lives in Washington state, was detained after attempting to re-enter US from Canada
www.theguardian.com
August 13, 2025 at 11:29 AM
In authoritarian crackdowns, it’s important to randomly ensnare some people whom one would think would be safe, so that everyone is at least a little bit afraid that something could happen to them. The regime scales up its power of intimidation over a much larger group than those directly affected.
Gary Becker’s soul must be smiling right now.
August 13, 2025 at 11:19 AM
Gary Becker’s soul must be smiling right now.
Reposted by Brazil, Families, Adrian Vickers , and 4 more Brazil, Families, Adrian Vickers, Richard Larouche, Michael J. Hicks, Jeannette Sutton, Roger Blum
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
Sarah Shaw, who has a US visa and lives in Washington state, was detained after attempting to re-enter US from Canada
www.theguardian.com
August 13, 2025 at 8:33 AM
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
Real estate! bsky.app/profile/davi...
And here you go. I honestly do not understand the moral cowardice that leads some of our fellow citizens to not speak out against what's going on.
August 12, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Real estate! bsky.app/profile/davi...
Reposted by Brazil, Scott L. Greer, Rosemary A. Joyce , and 2 more Brazil, Scott L. Greer, Rosemary A. Joyce, Illinois., Augustine
And here you go. I honestly do not understand the moral cowardice that leads some of our fellow citizens to not speak out against what's going on.
August 12, 2025 at 12:12 PM
And here you go. I honestly do not understand the moral cowardice that leads some of our fellow citizens to not speak out against what's going on.
President deploying security forces under his personal control in the national capital --> just a real-estate guy doing realestate-y things!
August 12, 2025 at 12:11 PM
President deploying security forces under his personal control in the national capital --> just a real-estate guy doing realestate-y things!
The NYT these days is a daily homage to the "imagine if this were happening in another country" genre.
Grossly irresponsible of the Times to have this ludicrous credulous spin as the top story the morning after a president who rules by fiat proclaims a totally specious emergency to militarize the capital - an editorial insult to our intelligence and our democracy.
August 12, 2025 at 12:09 PM
The NYT these days is a daily homage to the "imagine if this were happening in another country" genre.
Reposted by Joanna Bryson, Henry Farrell
If you were not online yesterday, you had missed out on this, so let me fix that for you...
NEW PAPER!!
We study how the "AI slop" era could actually boost demand for credible news.
In an experiment with thousands of Süddeutsche Zeitung readers, we found that AI misinformation made people *trust news less*, but *read it more*. 🧵
We study how the "AI slop" era could actually boost demand for credible news.
In an experiment with thousands of Süddeutsche Zeitung readers, we found that AI misinformation made people *trust news less*, but *read it more*. 🧵
August 12, 2025 at 12:03 PM
If you were not online yesterday, you had missed out on this, so let me fix that for you...
Grossly irresponsible of the Times to have this ludicrous credulous spin as the top story the morning after a president who rules by fiat proclaims a totally specious emergency to militarize the capital - an editorial insult to our intelligence and our democracy.
August 12, 2025 at 11:38 AM
Grossly irresponsible of the Times to have this ludicrous credulous spin as the top story the morning after a president who rules by fiat proclaims a totally specious emergency to militarize the capital - an editorial insult to our intelligence and our democracy.
Reposted by Brazil, Stephen M. Walt, Kim L. Scheppele , and 21 more Brazil, Stephen M. Walt, Kim L. Scheppele, Richard S.J. Tol, Colin F. Camerer, Rosemary A. Joyce, Martin Gaynor, Robert Metcalfe, Joshua Goodman, Shelly Lundberg, Iikka Korhonen, Robert C. Richards, David R. Miller, Jacob T. Levy, Scott A. Imberman, Amy W. Ando, Todd Pugatch, Dean Eckles, W Grant, Augustine, Simon Lester, Kimberly A. Clausing, Antonio Fatás, Stuart Shapiro
I don’t think I have ever publicly criticized any Presidential nominee before.
But E.J. Antoni is completely unqualified to be BLS Commissioner. He is an extreme partisan and does not have any relevant expertise.
He would be a break from decades of nonpartisan technocrats.
But E.J. Antoni is completely unqualified to be BLS Commissioner. He is an extreme partisan and does not have any relevant expertise.
He would be a break from decades of nonpartisan technocrats.
August 11, 2025 at 11:19 PM
I don’t think I have ever publicly criticized any Presidential nominee before.
But E.J. Antoni is completely unqualified to be BLS Commissioner. He is an extreme partisan and does not have any relevant expertise.
He would be a break from decades of nonpartisan technocrats.
But E.J. Antoni is completely unqualified to be BLS Commissioner. He is an extreme partisan and does not have any relevant expertise.
He would be a break from decades of nonpartisan technocrats.
Reposted by Brazil
AI-generated misinformation raises demand for trustworthy news. A field experiment with a top German outlet finds more visits and retention—even as trust drops, from @filipecampante.bsky.social, Ruben Durante, Felix Hagemeister, and Ananya Sen https://www.nber.org/papers/w34100
August 11, 2025 at 5:00 PM
AI-generated misinformation raises demand for trustworthy news. A field experiment with a top German outlet finds more visits and retention—even as trust drops, from @filipecampante.bsky.social, Ruben Durante, Felix Hagemeister, and Ananya Sen https://www.nber.org/papers/w34100
By which I mean, elections are definitionally high-profile events that are widely covered by the quality news sources...
August 11, 2025 at 1:44 PM
By which I mean, elections are definitionally high-profile events that are widely covered by the quality news sources...
Very interesting point... Perhaps ironically given widespread fears, might elections be one of the last bastions that are relatively resistant to deepfakes??
August 11, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Very interesting point... Perhaps ironically given widespread fears, might elections be one of the last bastions that are relatively resistant to deepfakes??
Reposted by Brazil, Rebecca Tushnet, Woodrow Hartzog
AI video is almost there: no amount of post-hoc squinting can tell fake from real.
Losing our last bastion of verification is no joke. Trusted news can help with high-profile events, but what about everyday life? Recipe for chaos.
Gift link:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/11/o...
Losing our last bastion of verification is no joke. Trusted news can help with high-profile events, but what about everyday life? Recipe for chaos.
Gift link:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/11/o...
August 11, 2025 at 1:37 PM
AI video is almost there: no amount of post-hoc squinting can tell fake from real.
Losing our last bastion of verification is no joke. Trusted news can help with high-profile events, but what about everyday life? Recipe for chaos.
Gift link:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/11/o...
Losing our last bastion of verification is no joke. Trusted news can help with high-profile events, but what about everyday life? Recipe for chaos.
Gift link:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/11/o...
Separate problem, though. But as long as some people want to know what’s real, the opportunity is there, and trust in news need not collapse completely.
August 11, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Separate problem, though. But as long as some people want to know what’s real, the opportunity is there, and trust in news need not collapse completely.
Yet our model also makes clear the nature of the challenge: as AI becomes better at mimicking reality, your ability to help readers spot it can’t stay still; it has to evolve at least as fast…
August 11, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Yet our model also makes clear the nature of the challenge: as AI becomes better at mimicking reality, your ability to help readers spot it can’t stay still; it has to evolve at least as fast…
This right here is at the heart of the model with which we interpret our findings: when credibility becomes scarcer, it also becomes more valuable.
August 11, 2025 at 12:59 PM
This right here is at the heart of the model with which we interpret our findings: when credibility becomes scarcer, it also becomes more valuable.
Right on cue with our paper, here’s a @zey.bsky.social column on a recent deepfake targeting @aoc.bsky.social. In a world of deepfakes, the ability to help your audience discern real from fake is the way for high-quality news to survive. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/11/o...
August 11, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Right on cue with our paper, here’s a @zey.bsky.social column on a recent deepfake targeting @aoc.bsky.social. In a world of deepfakes, the ability to help your audience discern real from fake is the way for high-quality news to survive. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/11/o...
Paper here: www.nber.org/papers/w34100
And here: cepr.org/publications...
And here (ungated): filipecampante.org/publication/...
And here: cepr.org/publications...
And here (ungated): filipecampante.org/publication/...
GenAI Misinformation, Trust, and News Consumption: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
August 11, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Paper here: www.nber.org/papers/w34100
And here: cepr.org/publications...
And here (ungated): filipecampante.org/publication/...
And here: cepr.org/publications...
And here (ungated): filipecampante.org/publication/...
Takeaway: in the GenAI era, credibility is a competitive edge: if you can help readers mitigate the noise, they will keep coming. But as our model shows, your ability to mitigate the noise needs to increase at least as fast as the noise itself...
August 11, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Takeaway: in the GenAI era, credibility is a competitive edge: if you can help readers mitigate the noise, they will keep coming. But as our model shows, your ability to mitigate the noise needs to increase at least as fast as the noise itself...
We have a model to make sense of that: when misinformation floods the info space, the *relative* value of credible news grows. Even if trust in the credible source also dips, the alternatives become relatively worse, and people turn to trusted outlets more.
August 11, 2025 at 11:44 AM
We have a model to make sense of that: when misinformation floods the info space, the *relative* value of credible news grows. Even if trust in the credible source also dips, the alternatives become relatively worse, and people turn to trusted outlets more.
But here's the twist: trust fell, but engagement *rose*.
Daily visits to SZ content jumped +2.5% right after the treatment.
Subscriber retention increase +1.1% over 5 months -- cutting attrition by 1/3.
Daily visits to SZ content jumped +2.5% right after the treatment.
Subscriber retention increase +1.1% over 5 months -- cutting attrition by 1/3.
August 11, 2025 at 11:44 AM
But here's the twist: trust fell, but engagement *rose*.
Daily visits to SZ content jumped +2.5% right after the treatment.
Subscriber retention increase +1.1% over 5 months -- cutting attrition by 1/3.
Daily visits to SZ content jumped +2.5% right after the treatment.
Subscriber retention increase +1.1% over 5 months -- cutting attrition by 1/3.
Some readers were randomly assigned to a quiz: Spot the real vs AI-generated images. Others got a similar picture quiz on current affairs, real images only.
The quiz made people more worried about misinformation (+0.3 s.d.). It also nudged trust in news down (-0.1 s.d.), *even for SZ itself*.
The quiz made people more worried about misinformation (+0.3 s.d.). It also nudged trust in news down (-0.1 s.d.), *even for SZ itself*.
August 11, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Some readers were randomly assigned to a quiz: Spot the real vs AI-generated images. Others got a similar picture quiz on current affairs, real images only.
The quiz made people more worried about misinformation (+0.3 s.d.). It also nudged trust in news down (-0.1 s.d.), *even for SZ itself*.
The quiz made people more worried about misinformation (+0.3 s.d.). It also nudged trust in news down (-0.1 s.d.), *even for SZ itself*.
Reposted by Brazil, Joshua Goodman, Henry Farrell
NEW PAPER!!
We study how the "AI slop" era could actually boost demand for credible news.
In an experiment with thousands of Süddeutsche Zeitung readers, we found that AI misinformation made people *trust news less*, but *read it more*. 🧵
We study how the "AI slop" era could actually boost demand for credible news.
In an experiment with thousands of Süddeutsche Zeitung readers, we found that AI misinformation made people *trust news less*, but *read it more*. 🧵
August 11, 2025 at 11:44 AM
NEW PAPER!!
We study how the "AI slop" era could actually boost demand for credible news.
In an experiment with thousands of Süddeutsche Zeitung readers, we found that AI misinformation made people *trust news less*, but *read it more*. 🧵
We study how the "AI slop" era could actually boost demand for credible news.
In an experiment with thousands of Süddeutsche Zeitung readers, we found that AI misinformation made people *trust news less*, but *read it more*. 🧵
Reposted by Brazil
Ontem foi dia da conversa com o @filipecampante.bsky.social explicando o que o Trump está fazendo coma economia dos EUA com as tarifas, isenção pros mais ricos e afins.
Pra que serve o tarifaço do Trump - PODCAST Não Ficção
YouTube video by Atila Iamarino
youtu.be
August 9, 2025 at 11:12 PM
Ontem foi dia da conversa com o @filipecampante.bsky.social explicando o que o Trump está fazendo coma economia dos EUA com as tarifas, isenção pros mais ricos e afins.
Eu no podcast do @atila.bsky.social, falando de tarifas e da situação nos EUA.
m.youtube.com/watch?v=8zqa...
m.youtube.com/watch?v=8zqa...
Pra que serve o tarifaço do Trump - PODCAST Não Ficção
Compre Insider: https://creators.insiderstore.com.br/ATILA Cupom: ATILA #insiderstore Uma conversa sobre como as tarifas de Trump estão afetando a economia do seu país e como ele está desmantelando a estrutura do Estado para diminuir impostos para os mais ricos, com Filipe Campante, mestre em economia pela PUC Rio, PhD por Harvard e é professor de economia na Universidade Johns Hopkins em Washington, que trata de economia política e economia do desenvolvimento. Apresentação: Atila Iamarino - Bluesky @atila.bsky.social Instagram @oatila Direção e Produção executiva: Paloma Sato Pré-produção: Carol Piza Thumb e edição: Giulia Donadio: Instagram: @giulia_donadio Produção e edição: Dener Yukio: Instagram: @dyukio
m.youtube.com
August 9, 2025 at 11:18 AM
Eu no podcast do @atila.bsky.social, falando de tarifas e da situação nos EUA.
m.youtube.com/watch?v=8zqa...
m.youtube.com/watch?v=8zqa...
Minha nova coluna no @nexojornal.bsky.social é sobre o fato de que os EUA são hj governados por um autocrata eleito, e que isso torna muito difícil qualquer negociação. www.nexojornal.com.br/colunistas/2...
É difícil negociar com um autocrata como Donald Trump
As negociações do governo brasileiro em torno das tarifas impostas pelos EUA esbarram no fato de o republicano governar sem restrições: não há processo de formulação de políticas, tampouco garantia de...
www.nexojornal.com.br
August 8, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Minha nova coluna no @nexojornal.bsky.social é sobre o fato de que os EUA são hj governados por um autocrata eleito, e que isso torna muito difícil qualquer negociação. www.nexojornal.com.br/colunistas/2...
Reposted by Brazil, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
Don't show Trump/Miran/Hassett this picture from Cavallo et al. #econsky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
August 5, 2025 at 3:47 AM
Don't show Trump/Miran/Hassett this picture from Cavallo et al. #econsky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
econbrowser.com/archives/202...