#ncvs
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johnd26.bsky.social
These Repuckans are .. Well Puke.

Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
le.utah.gov/interim/2024...

jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu
November 15, 2025 at 12:42 PM
johnpfaff.bsky.social
Looking at the 2024 NCVS, which came out in September, and this really stood out to me.

The group with the highest rate of violent victimization (serious or not) are the separated. Bet the breakout by sex would be telling too.

Seems to highlight a key role domestic violence plays in crime rate.
TABLE 3 Rate of violent victimization, by type of crime and demographic characteristics of victims, 2023 and 2024 Victim demographic characteristic Total violent crimea Violent crime excluding simple assaultb 2023 2024* 2023 2024* Total 22.5 23.3 8.7 8.9 Sex Male 20.8 24.7 6.9 8.2 Female 24.2 21.9 10.5 9.6 Race/Hispanic origin Whitec 22.5 22.1 8.3 8.6 Blackc 26.9 23.4 12.3 11.2 Hispanic 21.3 23.5 8.5 7.9 Asian/Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islanderc,d 10.7 11.5 4.5 3.4 Otherc,e 50.4 90.2 17.6 31.0 Age 12–17 21.4 29.3 5.4 9.6 18–24 43.9 34.8 24.1 15.5 25–34 33.2 31.7 12.6 11.3 35–49 21.2 ‡ 27.1 7.1 9.8 50–64 19.9 20.4 6.2 ‡ 9.1 65 or older 7.8 7.5 3.5 2.2 Marital status Never married 33.8 32.5 14.8 12.8 Married 12.0 12.5 3.4 4.7 Widowed 9.0 14.8 3.3 6.8 Divorced 32.7 33.4 12.3 13.0 Separated 43.1 74.7 15.6 17.7 Household income Less than $25,000 39.0 38.3 18.7 23.4 $25,000–$49,999 23.9 22.4 10.2 † 6.5 $50,000–$99,999 21.4 23.5 8.3 8.0 $100,000–$199,999 17.4 17.7 5.1 5.7 $200,000 or more 15.7 ‡ 22.1 4.0 ‡ 8.0
November 14, 2025 at 4:49 PM
samghoward.riliberator.com
The NCVS uses survey data rather than official police reports, so it tends to show higher crime than police stats.

In 1993, American households had a 4.5% chance of experiencing a burglary.

The drop is attributed to a few factors: locking houses, shifting to credit cards, and now doorbell cameras.
November 14, 2025 at 4:05 PM
adamanlx.bsky.social
Fractal recursivity on display with a non-linguist I know up here, lifelong Michigan resident with no Northern Cities Vowel Shift - he thinks the NCVS sounds firmly Canadian.
November 7, 2025 at 4:26 PM
jessgrieser.com
Gehringer and Grieser “Shifting Vowels in a Stable Place” retrieved from the printer!

Poster session 1; Poster #20.

#nwav53 #ncvs #michiganEnglish
A hand holding a poster. The poster is mostly white, rolled up, and inside a plastic bag.
November 4, 2025 at 7:32 PM
atunshei.bsky.social
What a deranged meltdown.

It’s statistically rare for trans women to be perpetrators of sexual violence — they are in fact four times more likely to be *victims* of it! williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
September 30, 2025 at 4:29 AM
ruthz.bsky.social
An important reminder, trans people are much more likely to be killed than kill someone else. Trans people are over 4X more likely than cis people to be the victim of a violent crime: williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
September 19, 2025 at 12:53 AM
rosemyne.xyz
It's not worth arguing with them in the first place. We know that trans-identifying people are more likely to be victims of sexual abuse/assault than cis-identifying individuals, and they're trying to claim otherwise.
ovc.ojp.gov/sites/g/file...
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
November 23, 2024 at 8:56 PM
velvetglitterman.bsky.social
Trans men suffer rates of violent victimisation even higher than trans women (both vastly higher than cis ppl) so please don't wish trans men's experience on trans women.
Per 1000 ppl:
Trans women: 86.1
Trans men: 107.5
Cis women: 23.7
Cis men: 19.8
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu
May 25, 2025 at 9:22 AM
odrowaz.bsky.social
The July 2021–November 2022 period aligns with the 2022 NCVS data collection, though it’s not isolated in reports. Increases were likely concentrated in urban regions, supported by city-specific rises in robberies and assaults,
April 14, 2025 at 6:00 AM
ravenonthill.bsky.social
I believe the NCVS would have such data.
August 30, 2023 at 11:43 AM
anthropophagy.bsky.social
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
Wrong
Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu
November 25, 2024 at 6:14 PM
roxy11.bsky.social
Ah, and we're back. I've read that we're 4 times more likely to be victims of assault than cis people. But why is that any excuse to harass random trans people as if we're all rapists? I've never raped anybody and don't plan to.
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu
November 17, 2024 at 1:27 AM
skleinedler.bsky.social
I moved to Boston from the Midwest in the mid-90s, and yeah, I picked up “wicked”. 7 years in Philly got me saying “wooder” too, but being back in Boston for 5, the word “water” for me is some weird incomprehensible mix of NCVS vowels, a Philly middle consonant and a trace of NE nonrhoticity.
January 23, 2024 at 2:55 PM
sammyrach.bsky.social
You need to do your research dear. The problem with anti trans activists is that they ignore actual verified researched evidence and produce unverified made up photo shops of their own.

williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu
May 27, 2025 at 12:18 PM
atheistgirl.bsky.social
it really pisses me off when terfs use the excuse “we’re protecting women” to be bigoted assholes

if you gave a shit about violence against others then you would be protecting the trans community not making the world a more dangerous place 🖕

williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime Transgender people are over four times more likely than cisgender people to experience violent victimization, including rape, sexual assault, and aggravated or simple assault, according to a new study by the Williams Institute at UCLA School of Law. In addition, households with a transgender person had higher rates of property victimization than cisgender households.
November 20, 2024 at 11:27 PM
statsjew.bsky.social
SPI. Vital info on who is incarcerated and why. There's no way to reform the system without this national info. NCVS. Good data on crime (including unreported) is hard to get, but this survey collects it from victims.
February 14, 2025 at 3:31 PM
matchatea420.bsky.social
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/press/ncvs-t...
www.nsvrc.org/sites/defaul...
Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime
williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu
December 9, 2024 at 5:57 AM
johnpfaff.bsky.social
Oh, I like this one!

1. UCR/NCVS divergence (so hard to know what our crime numbers say).

2. That famous Gallup poll (fear of crime is abt broader social fears).

3. Who voted for Krasner (so much info is at the super-micro level).
Graph showing UCR and NCVS moving in different directions for the 1970s-1990s. Gallup poll showing declining fear of crime in 1990s, but higher fear of crime in low-crime 2000s, 2010s. Precinct-level map of who voted for Krasner in 2021, showing his wins came from higher-crime nbhds.
September 26, 2023 at 3:02 PM
bisexualarchive.bsky.social
"Violent victimizations of bisexual persons (31%) were less likely to be reported to police than violent victimizations of straight persons (45%)" or lesbian or gay people (58%)
The NCVS provides statistics on crimes reported and not reported to police and on the reasons why a crime was not reported to police. During 2017-20, violent victimizations against persons who identified as lesbian or gay were more likely to be reported to police (58%) than violent victimizations of persons who identified as straight (45%) or bisexual (31%) (figure 2). Lesbian or gay persons chose not to report their violent victimization to police for a variety of reasons. Some of the most common reasons included considering the crime to be minor or unsuccessful, believing the crime to be a private or personal issue, not wanting to get the offender in trouble with the law, or believing police would be ineffective (not shown in figure). For persons identifying as bisexual or straight, the most common reasons for not reporting the victimization to police were because they reported it to another official or believed the crime to be a private or personal issue (not shown in figure).
December 16, 2024 at 9:47 PM
johnpfaff.bsky.social
The graph here is the national reported-to/identified-by police rates (UCR).

But at least for violence, the NCVS shows a similar trend: johnkroman.substack.com/p/unpacking-.... (Post doesn't look at property, bet it's the same.)
Unpacking National Crime Statistics
More frequent crime reporting would reduce the confusion that is clouding the presidential election
johnkroman.substack.com
January 6, 2025 at 1:17 PM