willwinters94.bsky.social
@willwinters94.bsky.social
Vols, Dems, MC Scots, and helping young people vote w NextGen
Reposted
A blockbuster investigation by the AP, out today.

So much in it, give it a read, but starts with: "The U.S. Border Patrol is monitoring millions of American drivers nationwide in a secretive program to identify and detain people whose travel patterns it deems suspicious."
Border Patrol is monitoring US drivers and detaining those with 'suspicious' travel patterns
The U.S. Border Patrol is monitoring millions of American drivers nationwide in a secretive program to identify and detain people whose travel patterns it deems suspicious.
apnews.com
November 20, 2025 at 5:51 PM
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“When the eight African American sheriffs took over the largest counties in North Carolina, it became a threat to the good ol’ boy system," the Charlotte sheriff told Bolts in 2023 to explain why the GOP was targeting him.

This weekend, DHS announced the deployment of federal agents in Charlotte.
North Carolina GOP Is Cracking Down on the Black Sheriffs Who Stood Up to ICE - Bolts
Editor’s note: The GOP-run legislature passed this bill in September 2024, sending it to Democratic Governor Roy Cooper’s desk. After Cooper vetoed the bill, Republican lawmakers overrode his veto in....
boltsmag.org
November 16, 2025 at 11:11 PM
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When travelers are stranded by canceled flights and long delays, the airline should compensate those impacted.

The Trump administration just changed the rules to let airlines off the hook. I'm leading the fight in Congress to get the Department of Transportation to restore these vital protections.
White House Scraps Cash Payments for Delayed or Canceled Flights
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 8:00 PM
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With all ballots now counted for the 2025 #Virginia general election, here are the final numbers for statewide offices:

Governor-elect Abigail Spanberger: 57.58% (D+15.36%)

Lieutenant Governor-elect Ghazala Hashmi: 55.65% (D+11.56%)

Attorney General-elect Jay Jones: 53.14% (D+6.68%)
November 15, 2025 at 1:42 PM
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The difference between conservatives crafting 'Project 2025' at the Heritage Foundation, and CAP thinking of going with Larry Summers (even before the disclosures), is very striking.
NEW: Before the recent Epstein disclosures, Larry Summers was poised to lead the economic policy plank for the Democrats' "Project 2029" effort at the Center for American Progress. He signed off on a housing policy paper CAP was prepping for next week.
prospect.org/2025/11/14/e...
Epstein Confidant Larry Summers Guiding Democrats’ ‘Project 2029’ - The American Prospect
Summers was overseeing the economic policy plank of the Center for American Progress’s effort. Emails released this week show him in regular contact with Jeffrey Epstein.
prospect.org
November 14, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Dems are going to come pretty close to flipping an R+7 seat after seeing very high youth turnout. This was a seat that came on the radar late. Similar to HD 41 with Lily Franklin in 2023.
The Virginia city of Harrisonburg now says it's done counting provisional ballots—and while they broke very heavily Democratic, as expected, it wasn't enough to push the Democratic challenger ahead in Virginia's final unresolved legislative race.

That leaves GOP state Rep. Wilt up by 257 votes.
November 13, 2025 at 1:08 AM
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HD-41 voted for Trump by around 3% in 2024

Lily Franklin ran a textbook campaign on how to turn out young voters

But she also persuaded them to back Dems after it was close last year

A lot Dems can learn from her campaign about organizing on campus
November 12, 2025 at 9:39 PM
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Montgomery has been releasing its provisionals in bits, but got most of them just now

Spanberger 1628-270
Franklin 1522-266

Franklin’s margin in HD41 is above 6.5% now
November 12, 2025 at 8:19 PM
In HD 41, Franklin won provisionals(including a ton of SDRs) 1522(85%)- 266(15%) with a roughly 70 point margin!!!
One of biggest red flags for Dems in 2024 was barley winning provisionals in Virginia

These are mainly same-day registrations from younger and less engaged voters

Basically lowest propensity voters

Spanberger winning them big this year

Warning sign for Republicans now
PWC reported its provisionals late last night & Spanberger won them by roughly 60%

In 2024, Harris won them by 7%.

Final margins in PWC:
Harris +17.9

Spanberger +34.3
Hashmi +31.3
Jones +26.2
November 12, 2025 at 7:21 PM
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One of biggest red flags for Dems in 2024 was barley winning provisionals in Virginia

These are mainly same-day registrations from younger and less engaged voters

Basically lowest propensity voters

Spanberger winning them big this year

Warning sign for Republicans now
PWC reported its provisionals late last night & Spanberger won them by roughly 60%

In 2024, Harris won them by 7%.

Final margins in PWC:
Harris +17.9

Spanberger +34.3
Hashmi +31.3
Jones +26.2
November 12, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Today election boards will meet in a lot of Virginia. @nextgenamerica.bsky.social three targeted house seats were 34, 41, and 71. Campus turnout in these districts is already sky high (higher than 2024 turnout in 34 and 41), but today SDR provisionals will be counted and that turnout will go way up!
November 12, 2025 at 1:47 PM
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Federal Fallout on how Dems flipped 13 seats in Virginia House of Delegates

In NOVA, RVA, Hampton Roads, and SWVA

Including suburbs, exurbs, rural, wealthier, working class, and diverse

Candidates ran district specific campaigns which Dems can learn from

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...
Episode 37: How Dems Flipped 13 Seats in House of Delegates
Podcast Episode · Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections · 11/08/2025 · 29m
podcasts.apple.com
November 8, 2025 at 2:02 PM
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The Dem nominee Andrew Payton trails by 4.66% (1,282 votes) after PE votes from Harrisonburg. There are still PEs for Rockingham and provisionals for Harrisonburg and Rockingham.

The Harrisonburg ones are key because of same-day voter registration at JMU.
enr.elections.virginia.gov/results/publ...
Election Results
enr.elections.virginia.gov
November 7, 2025 at 7:41 PM
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Federal Fallout pod with lessons from Virginia elections

Dems stayed focused on the economy

GOP was a little too online and lost the plot

Dems also organized to get out less engaged voters

GOP had issue party in power often with lower turnout

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...
Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections
Politics Podcast · Updated Weekly · A podcast exploring the 2025 elections in Virginia and how the changes to the Federal government will influence them. Views expressed are those of the host person...
podcasts.apple.com
November 7, 2025 at 2:06 PM
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They’re going to fire a US attorney because they couldn’t find evidence for a crime that was manufactured by the administration?

Banana republic shit
September 19, 2025 at 4:08 AM
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I bet they were...👇
July 18, 2025 at 5:09 PM
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Young voters critical in at least 2 House of Delegates seats in Virginia this year

HD-41 with Virginia Tech and HD-71 with William and Mary

Dems narrowly lost both in 2023

But if they get students out this year, good opportunity for pickups
June 12, 2025 at 8:56 PM
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California Sen. Alex Padilla was just forcibly removed from a DHS press conference and handcuffed.

"I am Senator Alex Padilla. I have questions for the secretary."

Video from @Elex_Michaelson on X via Padilla's staff.
June 12, 2025 at 6:34 PM
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We feed you.
They hunt us.
June 11, 2025 at 5:05 AM
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I will be damned if I allow a bunch of Confederate-waving January 6th apologists give the American people a lecture on flag waving.

There is ZERO reason to enter an argument about patriotism with people who still worship traitors to America 150+ years later.

They. Are. Breaking. The. Law.
June 11, 2025 at 1:21 AM
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Summary of campaign finance info for VA HoD targeted seats fully reported

Dem challenger outraised GOP incumbent and has more COH

HD-41
HD-86

Dem challenger outraised GOP incumbent, but GOP has more COH

HD-57
HD-73

Dem challenger slightly behind GOP incumbent in both

HD-30
Starting to get campaign finance numbers for Virginia state elections for April 1 - June 5 period

Waiting for most candidates, but got the Spanberger report

She raised $6.5 million and has $14.3 million cash on hand

No Earle-Sears filing yet

www.vpap.org/updates/4843...
June 10, 2025 at 12:10 AM
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"which is why I propose state-administered literacy tests”
NEW: Trump's court pick Josh Divine once called for bringing back literacy tests in elections

Literacy tests were banned in the 1960s for being racially discriminatory, but such tests “are not a bad thing,” Divine argued in a 2010 college op/ed. www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-...
Trump Court Pick Once Called For Bringing Back Literacy Tests In Elections
Literacy tests were banned in the 1960s for being racially discriminatory, but such tests “are not a bad thing,” Josh Divine argued in a 2010 college opinion piece.
www.huffpost.com
May 28, 2025 at 3:39 AM
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Glenn Youngkin vetoed a bill to "make two African-American history courses count towards the state’s graduation requirements for history": virginiamercury.com/2025/05/27/v...
Virginia governor vetoed bill to make Black history classes count towards graduation. What’s next? • Virginia Mercury
A Northern Virginia faith leader and parent said she will continue asking state lawmakers to make two African-American history courses count towards the state’s graduation requirements for history, af...
virginiamercury.com
May 27, 2025 at 4:42 PM