willwinters94.bsky.social
@willwinters94.bsky.social
Vols, Dems, MC Scots, and helping young people vote w NextGen
Dems are going to come pretty close to flipping an R+7 seat after seeing very high youth turnout. This was a seat that came on the radar late. Similar to HD 41 with Lily Franklin in 2023.
The Virginia city of Harrisonburg now says it's done counting provisional ballots—and while they broke very heavily Democratic, as expected, it wasn't enough to push the Democratic challenger ahead in Virginia's final unresolved legislative race.

That leaves GOP state Rep. Wilt up by 257 votes.
November 13, 2025 at 1:08 AM
Reposted
HD-41 voted for Trump by around 3% in 2024

Lily Franklin ran a textbook campaign on how to turn out young voters

But she also persuaded them to back Dems after it was close last year

A lot Dems can learn from her campaign about organizing on campus
November 12, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Reposted
Montgomery has been releasing its provisionals in bits, but got most of them just now

Spanberger 1628-270
Franklin 1522-266

Franklin’s margin in HD41 is above 6.5% now
November 12, 2025 at 8:19 PM
In HD 41, Franklin won provisionals(including a ton of SDRs) 1522(85%)- 266(15%) with a roughly 70 point margin!!!
One of biggest red flags for Dems in 2024 was barley winning provisionals in Virginia

These are mainly same-day registrations from younger and less engaged voters

Basically lowest propensity voters

Spanberger winning them big this year

Warning sign for Republicans now
PWC reported its provisionals late last night & Spanberger won them by roughly 60%

In 2024, Harris won them by 7%.

Final margins in PWC:
Harris +17.9

Spanberger +34.3
Hashmi +31.3
Jones +26.2
November 12, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Reposted
One of biggest red flags for Dems in 2024 was barley winning provisionals in Virginia

These are mainly same-day registrations from younger and less engaged voters

Basically lowest propensity voters

Spanberger winning them big this year

Warning sign for Republicans now
PWC reported its provisionals late last night & Spanberger won them by roughly 60%

In 2024, Harris won them by 7%.

Final margins in PWC:
Harris +17.9

Spanberger +34.3
Hashmi +31.3
Jones +26.2
November 12, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Today election boards will meet in a lot of Virginia. @nextgenamerica.bsky.social three targeted house seats were 34, 41, and 71. Campus turnout in these districts is already sky high (higher than 2024 turnout in 34 and 41), but today SDR provisionals will be counted and that turnout will go way up!
November 12, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Reposted
Federal Fallout on how Dems flipped 13 seats in Virginia House of Delegates

In NOVA, RVA, Hampton Roads, and SWVA

Including suburbs, exurbs, rural, wealthier, working class, and diverse

Candidates ran district specific campaigns which Dems can learn from

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...
Episode 37: How Dems Flipped 13 Seats in House of Delegates
Podcast Episode · Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections · 11/08/2025 · 29m
podcasts.apple.com
November 8, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Reposted
The Dem nominee Andrew Payton trails by 4.66% (1,282 votes) after PE votes from Harrisonburg. There are still PEs for Rockingham and provisionals for Harrisonburg and Rockingham.

The Harrisonburg ones are key because of same-day voter registration at JMU.
enr.elections.virginia.gov/results/publ...
Election Results
enr.elections.virginia.gov
November 7, 2025 at 7:41 PM
Reposted
Federal Fallout pod with lessons from Virginia elections

Dems stayed focused on the economy

GOP was a little too online and lost the plot

Dems also organized to get out less engaged voters

GOP had issue party in power often with lower turnout

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...
Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections
Politics Podcast · Updated Weekly · A podcast exploring the 2025 elections in Virginia and how the changes to the Federal government will influence them. Views expressed are those of the host person...
podcasts.apple.com
November 7, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Reposted
They’re going to fire a US attorney because they couldn’t find evidence for a crime that was manufactured by the administration?

Banana republic shit
September 19, 2025 at 4:08 AM
Reposted
I bet they were...👇
July 18, 2025 at 5:09 PM
Reposted
Young voters critical in at least 2 House of Delegates seats in Virginia this year

HD-41 with Virginia Tech and HD-71 with William and Mary

Dems narrowly lost both in 2023

But if they get students out this year, good opportunity for pickups
June 12, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Reposted
California Sen. Alex Padilla was just forcibly removed from a DHS press conference and handcuffed.

"I am Senator Alex Padilla. I have questions for the secretary."

Video from @Elex_Michaelson on X via Padilla's staff.
June 12, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Reposted
We feed you.
They hunt us.
June 11, 2025 at 5:05 AM
Reposted
I will be damned if I allow a bunch of Confederate-waving January 6th apologists give the American people a lecture on flag waving.

There is ZERO reason to enter an argument about patriotism with people who still worship traitors to America 150+ years later.

They. Are. Breaking. The. Law.
June 11, 2025 at 1:21 AM
Reposted
Summary of campaign finance info for VA HoD targeted seats fully reported

Dem challenger outraised GOP incumbent and has more COH

HD-41
HD-86

Dem challenger outraised GOP incumbent, but GOP has more COH

HD-57
HD-73

Dem challenger slightly behind GOP incumbent in both

HD-30
Starting to get campaign finance numbers for Virginia state elections for April 1 - June 5 period

Waiting for most candidates, but got the Spanberger report

She raised $6.5 million and has $14.3 million cash on hand

No Earle-Sears filing yet

www.vpap.org/updates/4843...
June 10, 2025 at 12:10 AM
Reposted
"which is why I propose state-administered literacy tests”
NEW: Trump's court pick Josh Divine once called for bringing back literacy tests in elections

Literacy tests were banned in the 1960s for being racially discriminatory, but such tests “are not a bad thing,” Divine argued in a 2010 college op/ed. www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-...
Trump Court Pick Once Called For Bringing Back Literacy Tests In Elections
Literacy tests were banned in the 1960s for being racially discriminatory, but such tests “are not a bad thing,” Josh Divine argued in a 2010 college opinion piece.
www.huffpost.com
May 28, 2025 at 3:39 AM
Reposted
Glenn Youngkin vetoed a bill to "make two African-American history courses count towards the state’s graduation requirements for history": virginiamercury.com/2025/05/27/v...
Virginia governor vetoed bill to make Black history classes count towards graduation. What’s next? • Virginia Mercury
A Northern Virginia faith leader and parent said she will continue asking state lawmakers to make two African-American history courses count towards the state’s graduation requirements for history, af...
virginiamercury.com
May 27, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Reposted
“A construction worker in south Alabama says he was forcibly detained Wednesday by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents who claimed his proof of U.S. citizenship was fake.” www.al.com/news/mobile/...
Alabama worker says ICE dragged him from job despite being US citizen: ‘Color of our skin has become a crime’
He said when he tried to record the incident, the agents knocked his phone out of his hand.
www.al.com
May 23, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Reposted
Project 2025 is erasing Indigenous history in real time. Navajo Code Talkers vanished from Pentagon records, tribal flags stripped from VA hospitals, and reports on missing Indigenous women deleted. Tribal rights are being rebranded as “DEI” to justify their dismantling.
Erasing History: Project 2025's Vision for Tribal Nations
The implementation of Project 2025 isn’t just reshaping policy—it’s erasing history. From the Pentagon’s removal of Navajo Code Talkers to the deletion of federal reports on missing Indigenous women, ...
globalextremism.org
April 30, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Reposted
I cannot imagine why Elon Musk would be interested in downloading internal data at the National Labor Relations Board.
April 15, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Reposted
Bonus episode of Federal Fallout this morning on the Wisconsin Supreme Court election

What it means for Virginia and this November’s elections

Dems are fired up after a big win and looking to the next contest

It’s still early, but risk could slip away from GOP

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...
Bonus Episode: Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
Podcast Episode · Federal Fallout: The 2025 Virginia Elections · 04/02/2025 · 16m
podcasts.apple.com
April 2, 2025 at 11:42 AM
Reposted
Mark Cuban

Welcome to Virginia Election Twitter
March 28, 2025 at 10:50 PM