Timo Kelder
timokelder.bsky.social
Timo Kelder
@timokelder.bsky.social
Researcher @CAS_climate | PhD @lborogeog | climate extremes #UNSEEN | Caribbean climate resilience #hometown | Views my own
Reposted by Timo Kelder
Can climate models reproduce observed trends?

The answer can be challenging. Our new review paper in Science Advances led by Isla Simpson and Tiffany Shaw @drshaw.bsky.social discusses challenges and ways forward in confronting climate models and observations.

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
March 13, 2025 at 8:48 AM
We made a short video on our paper 'how to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather' 👇
Our new Nature Communications paper, led by Timo Kelder with coauthor Lisette Klok and an incredible team, explores how we can anticipate extreme weather before disaster strikes and build resilience to its impacts.

📽️ Watch this short video to learn more! 👇@naturecomms.bsky.social
March 18, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
It’s rare these days for an article to get me excited but this one sets out some excellent perspectives. #climatestorylines #unprecedentedweather #adapt www.nature.com/articles/s41...
How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather - Nature Communications
Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of transformative, incremental, an...
www.nature.com
March 14, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
New perspective article by Kelder et al. explores methods to anticipate unprecedented #weather events and highlights the role of transformative, incremental, and reactive #adaptation strategies to achieve enhanced #resilience. @stichtingcas.bsky.social

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather - Nature Communications
Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of transformative, incremental, an...
www.nature.com
March 10, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
For folks working with communities on climate action there is some excellent framing. Paying attention to stories helps process the new extreme/ reality & need for transformation. A story that resonated with me this year was ice rinks going out of business. We must respond.
1/ How to Stop Being Surprised by Unprecedented Weather

Our new @naturecomms.bsky.social paper provides our multi-author perspective on methods to anticipate extreme weather and reduce impacts, shifting from reacting with surprise towards resilience.

🔗 Read it here: doi.org/10.1038/s414...

🧵⬇️
March 12, 2025 at 2:47 AM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
What do we do with this information?

More transformative adaptation in advance to ensure greater resilience means less reactive adaptation required when the unprecedented event occurs.
March 11, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
Enjoyed being involved in this new perspective led by @timokelder.bsky.social, where we show the value of using multiple lines of evidence to assess plausible yet unprecedented extreme events that we need to be preparing for 🌍🌧️🌀🌡️
1/ How to Stop Being Surprised by Unprecedented Weather

Our new @naturecomms.bsky.social paper provides our multi-author perspective on methods to anticipate extreme weather and reduce impacts, shifting from reacting with surprise towards resilience.

🔗 Read it here: doi.org/10.1038/s414...

🧵⬇️
March 11, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather?

Transformative adaptation, foundation for long-term resilience, supported by incremental adaptation through upgrading existing infrastructure, and reactive adaptation - early action and disaster response.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
Nature Communications - Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of...
www.nature.com
March 11, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather

Kelder et al. discusses a multitude of ways that we could anticipate unprecedented weather events that might otherwise be a surprise

rdcu.be/ecWQF
How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather
Nature Communications - Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of...
rdcu.be
March 11, 2025 at 9:53 AM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
How can we stop being surprised by unprecedented weather? Led by @timokelder.bsky.social (+many other colleagues) look at this in a new OA paper in @naturecomms.bsky.social. In particular, we discuss methods for that help anticipate unprecedented weather hazards. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
March 11, 2025 at 7:52 AM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
We have seen many record-shattering and unprecedented weather extremes in recent years. In the paper led by @timokelder.bsky.social we review methods on how to stop being surprised by the next one.
March 11, 2025 at 10:24 AM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
Excited to have been part of this perspective, led by @timokelder.bsky.social, discussing how society can build resilience to, rather than be surprised by, unprecedented weather: 💪 vs 😱

Includes a review of methods to anticipate events, and discussion on adaptation practice and disaster management.
March 11, 2025 at 11:32 AM
1/ How to Stop Being Surprised by Unprecedented Weather

Our new @naturecomms.bsky.social paper provides our multi-author perspective on methods to anticipate extreme weather and reduce impacts, shifting from reacting with surprise towards resilience.

🔗 Read it here: doi.org/10.1038/s414...

🧵⬇️
March 11, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
Just for the record, a complete 🧵 of my 🧵 on adaptation.
bsky.app/profile/lisa...

Part I
Since COP29 is turning into an adaptation COP, I am bringing some of my past threads on adaptation from another place here.

PART I: A 🧵 on adaptation and development over the years, digging deep back to the 1990s through to current scholarship.
November 19, 2024 at 3:27 PM
Reposted by Timo Kelder
#EGU24 High-impact climate events
After a year of countless record-breaking extremes, we organize (again) an #EGU24 session on understanding and quantifying such high-impact climate events and developing storylines for them!

Submit your abstract here:
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/sessio...
November 8, 2023 at 8:25 AM