Timo Kelder
@timokelder.bsky.social
Researcher @CAS_climate | PhD @lborogeog | climate extremes #UNSEEN | Caribbean climate resilience #hometown | Views my own
Reposted by Timo Kelder
What do we do with this information?
More transformative adaptation in advance to ensure greater resilience means less reactive adaptation required when the unprecedented event occurs.
More transformative adaptation in advance to ensure greater resilience means less reactive adaptation required when the unprecedented event occurs.
March 11, 2025 at 10:23 AM
What do we do with this information?
More transformative adaptation in advance to ensure greater resilience means less reactive adaptation required when the unprecedented event occurs.
More transformative adaptation in advance to ensure greater resilience means less reactive adaptation required when the unprecedented event occurs.
7/ Scientific advances improve our ability to anticipate extreme weather, but knowledge alone is not enough.
🌍 Interdisciplinary collaboration is essential—climate science, engineering & social sciences must work together.
🙏 Grateful to my brilliant co-authors for their collaboration on this work!
🌍 Interdisciplinary collaboration is essential—climate science, engineering & social sciences must work together.
🙏 Grateful to my brilliant co-authors for their collaboration on this work!
March 11, 2025 at 2:02 PM
7/ Scientific advances improve our ability to anticipate extreme weather, but knowledge alone is not enough.
🌍 Interdisciplinary collaboration is essential—climate science, engineering & social sciences must work together.
🙏 Grateful to my brilliant co-authors for their collaboration on this work!
🌍 Interdisciplinary collaboration is essential—climate science, engineering & social sciences must work together.
🙏 Grateful to my brilliant co-authors for their collaboration on this work!
6/ One example:
🏝️ Sint Maarten restored power quickly after Maria with underground cables (incremental adaptation), yet informal settlements remained vulnerable, showing need for transformative change.
⚡ Puerto Rico, lacking such upgrades, faced prolonged outages from decades of underinvestment.
🏝️ Sint Maarten restored power quickly after Maria with underground cables (incremental adaptation), yet informal settlements remained vulnerable, showing need for transformative change.
⚡ Puerto Rico, lacking such upgrades, faced prolonged outages from decades of underinvestment.
March 11, 2025 at 2:02 PM
6/ One example:
🏝️ Sint Maarten restored power quickly after Maria with underground cables (incremental adaptation), yet informal settlements remained vulnerable, showing need for transformative change.
⚡ Puerto Rico, lacking such upgrades, faced prolonged outages from decades of underinvestment.
🏝️ Sint Maarten restored power quickly after Maria with underground cables (incremental adaptation), yet informal settlements remained vulnerable, showing need for transformative change.
⚡ Puerto Rico, lacking such upgrades, faced prolonged outages from decades of underinvestment.
5/ Adaptation requires a multi-layered approach. We follow the conceptual Adaptation Pyramid:
🟥 Reactive adaptation
🟧 Incremental adaptation
🟩 Transformative adaptation
A balanced strategy is essential for reducing future surprises.
⬇️
🟥 Reactive adaptation
🟧 Incremental adaptation
🟩 Transformative adaptation
A balanced strategy is essential for reducing future surprises.
⬇️
March 11, 2025 at 2:02 PM
5/ Adaptation requires a multi-layered approach. We follow the conceptual Adaptation Pyramid:
🟥 Reactive adaptation
🟧 Incremental adaptation
🟩 Transformative adaptation
A balanced strategy is essential for reducing future surprises.
⬇️
🟥 Reactive adaptation
🟧 Incremental adaptation
🟩 Transformative adaptation
A balanced strategy is essential for reducing future surprises.
⬇️
4/ We can be surprised by unprecedented weather, or by its impacts.
❗ Some events are truly new—record heat, unexpected floods.
❗ Others aren’t new, but their impacts catch us off guard—because risks were underestimated, systems were unprepared.
We need better tools for both.
⬇️
❗ Some events are truly new—record heat, unexpected floods.
❗ Others aren’t new, but their impacts catch us off guard—because risks were underestimated, systems were unprepared.
We need better tools for both.
⬇️
March 11, 2025 at 2:02 PM
4/ We can be surprised by unprecedented weather, or by its impacts.
❗ Some events are truly new—record heat, unexpected floods.
❗ Others aren’t new, but their impacts catch us off guard—because risks were underestimated, systems were unprepared.
We need better tools for both.
⬇️
❗ Some events are truly new—record heat, unexpected floods.
❗ Others aren’t new, but their impacts catch us off guard—because risks were underestimated, systems were unprepared.
We need better tools for both.
⬇️
3/ Our research reviews key methods to anticipate unprecedented weather, including:
📊 Conventional statistical methods
📜 Historical observations & oral history
📖 Event-based storylines
🌍 Weather & climate models
Each provides a different piece of the puzzle.
📊 Conventional statistical methods
📜 Historical observations & oral history
📖 Event-based storylines
🌍 Weather & climate models
Each provides a different piece of the puzzle.
March 11, 2025 at 2:02 PM
3/ Our research reviews key methods to anticipate unprecedented weather, including:
📊 Conventional statistical methods
📜 Historical observations & oral history
📖 Event-based storylines
🌍 Weather & climate models
Each provides a different piece of the puzzle.
📊 Conventional statistical methods
📜 Historical observations & oral history
📖 Event-based storylines
🌍 Weather & climate models
Each provides a different piece of the puzzle.
2/ From record-breaking heatwaves to out-of-season floods, disasters are catching us off guard.
🌪️🌊 In 2017, Hurricanes Irma & Maria devastated the Caribbean, causing 4600+ deaths in Puerto Rico alone. Could we have foreseen & mitigated such impacts? 🤔
⬇️
🌪️🌊 In 2017, Hurricanes Irma & Maria devastated the Caribbean, causing 4600+ deaths in Puerto Rico alone. Could we have foreseen & mitigated such impacts? 🤔
⬇️
March 11, 2025 at 2:02 PM
2/ From record-breaking heatwaves to out-of-season floods, disasters are catching us off guard.
🌪️🌊 In 2017, Hurricanes Irma & Maria devastated the Caribbean, causing 4600+ deaths in Puerto Rico alone. Could we have foreseen & mitigated such impacts? 🤔
⬇️
🌪️🌊 In 2017, Hurricanes Irma & Maria devastated the Caribbean, causing 4600+ deaths in Puerto Rico alone. Could we have foreseen & mitigated such impacts? 🤔
⬇️