Ed Hawkins
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edhawkins.org
Ed Hawkins
@edhawkins.org

Climate scientist at the National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading | IPCC AR6 Lead Author | MBE | Views own | https://edhawkins.org

Warming Stripes: http://www.ShowYourStripes.info

Edward Hawkins is a British climate scientist who is Professor of climate science at the University of Reading, principal research scientist at the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), editor of Climate Lab Book blog and lead scientist for the Weather Rescue citizen science project. He is known for his data visualizations of climate change for the general public such as warming stripes and climate spirals. .. more

Environmental science 47%
Geology 18%
Pinned
Monitoring changes in UK temperature

To (almost) no-one’s surprise, multiple sources of data agree on the long-term trends in UK temperatures.

climatelabbook.substack.com/p/monitoring...
Monitoring changes in UK temperature
Multiple sources of data agree on long-term observed trends
climatelabbook.substack.com
Parents & anyone else up early on Christmas morning: there’s a bright pass of the International Space Station over the UK, just after 6.15.

Well, I say it’s the ISS. Could be Santa heading home…

Exact timings for where you are at www.heavens-above.com/PassSummary....
ISS - Visible Passes
Satellite predictions and other astronomical data customised for your location.
www.heavens-above.com

It is likely that 2025 will be the warmest year on record for the UK.

Why does this matter?

Burning fossil fuels is warming the planet, including the UK, causing heatwaves to get hotter. For Central England this is happening 2x faster than the mean change.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Reposted by Ed Hawkins

For all you global temperature aficionados, HadCRUT5 is now updated to November. 12-month running mean timeseries and HadCRUT5 Analysis map for November.

For the December update -- and release of the 2025 annual temperature data -- put 14 January in your diary.

Reposted by Ed Hawkins

The 6 new model simulations spanning the time period 1750-2014 which are described in this post are now available to download from here: dx.doi.org/10.5285/9487...
Dataset Record: GloSAT historical1750 simulations : UKESM1-1-LL simulations covering the period 1750-2014
dx.doi.org

Met Office 2026 global temperature forecast released today: very likely a fourth consecutive year above 1.4 C and >1.5 C possible again. Highlights the vanishingly small headroom we have to stay below 1.5 C to avoid the most severe impacts of climate change.

www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...
2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industrial levels.
www.metoffice.gov.uk
Exclusive: The Trump administration is moving to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, according to a senior White House official, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
Trump moves to dismantle major US climate research center in Colorado
The Trump administration is breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
bit.ly

Reposted by Ed Hawkins

Looking back at 2025 (through mid-December): a snapshot of the climate fingerprint on the UK’s unusual, at times excessive, heat.

The Climate Shift Index signal ramps up in spring, then flickers on and off in waves into early September. Notice how it shows up again throughout November.

Reposted by Ed Hawkins

Here's a one-stop shop for links to the new GloSAT global temperature record and its constituent parts: crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/glo...
GloSAT: Global Surface Air Temperature
Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Climate data
crudata.uea.ac.uk

Both datasets will be updated regularly we hope. They are designed to be complementary.

Reposted by Ed Hawkins

📣 New estimates shed light on late-18th century temperatures!

🕰️🌡️🌎 New research provides the first global record from near-surface air temperature measurements, peering back in time to the late-18th century.

Read more about it here: brnw.ch/21wYn3Z
Climate Lab Book
Discussions on various aspects of climate science. Click to read Climate Lab Book, by Ed Hawkins, a Substack publication.
brnw.ch
CNN @cnn.com · 11d
New climate data raises questions about how much the Earth has warmed: https://cnn.it/44YS8pM

Reposted by Ed Hawkins

The new GloSAT air temperature data extends observational estimates of global temperature change back to the year 1781.

The data set paper is accompanied by a second study presenting new simulations of early industrial climate from 1750.

Blog: climatelabbook.substack.com/p/new-estima...

Reposted by Peter Thorne

The new GloSAT temperature dataset extends our observational estimates of global temperature change back to 1781

Blog: climatelabbook.substack.com/p/new-estima...

Paper by Morice et al.: essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/...
New estimates of surface temperature change since the late 18th century
Releasing an observation-based global temperature dataset extending back to 1781
climatelabbook.substack.com
As we move into the final days of the year, 2025 has just overtaken 2022 as warmest year-to-date for Central England.

Given the forecast, it looks likely that 2025 will end up being the warmest calendar year for this region since records began in 1659.

The top 3 warmest will be 2022, 2023 & 2025.

I loved being a guest on The Infinite Monkey Cage. Sad to hear that Robin has had to resign as presenter because of opinions expressed outside of the show. His energy, passion and humour are key reasons why the show is so popular.
Heartbreaking night where I told the final audience for Monkey Cage that I will ever play to that I had no choice but to resign
In the audience today at the amazing Niamos theatre in Manchester for the Christmas recording of Infinite Monkey Cage. Devastating news from @robinince.bsky.social - what must have been an incredibly difficult decision but absolutely the correct and humane one. Robin remains the best of us.

Reposted by Ed Hawkins

Heartbreaking night where I told the final audience for Monkey Cage that I will ever play to that I had no choice but to resign
In the audience today at the amazing Niamos theatre in Manchester for the Christmas recording of Infinite Monkey Cage. Devastating news from @robinince.bsky.social - what must have been an incredibly difficult decision but absolutely the correct and humane one. Robin remains the best of us.

Very warm for the time of year, obviously, not very warm in absolute terms. It is the UK, in December, after all.

Is it warm in the UK right now?

Yes, it is very warm!

Track temperatures every hour: istheukhotrightnow.com