Steven Seegel
@stevenseegel.bsky.social
professor & associate chair of Slavic and Eurasian Studies at the University of Texas at Austin, dog lover, slow marathon runner, opinions mine
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Reposted by Steven Seegel
⚡️Ukrainian journalist Roshchyna died in Russian custody in September 2024, investigation finds.
Viktoriia Roshchyna disappeared in August 2023 while reporting in Russian-occupied territories. Russian authorities confirmed her detention the following year.
Viktoriia Roshchyna disappeared in August 2023 while reporting in Russian-occupied territories. Russian authorities confirmed her detention the following year.
Ukrainian journalist Roshchyna died in Russian custody in September 2024, investigation finds
Viktoriia Roshchyna disappeared in August 2023 while reporting in Russian-occupied territories. Russian authorities confirmed her detention the following year.
kyivindependent.com
September 24, 2025 at 6:06 PM
⚡️Ukrainian journalist Roshchyna died in Russian custody in September 2024, investigation finds.
Viktoriia Roshchyna disappeared in August 2023 while reporting in Russian-occupied territories. Russian authorities confirmed her detention the following year.
Viktoriia Roshchyna disappeared in August 2023 while reporting in Russian-occupied territories. Russian authorities confirmed her detention the following year.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
Very interesting. Trump seems to finally be getting intelligence that Russia is not doing well and Ukraine has actually started to gain an upper hand in some areas. The narrative of Ukraine failure, which was always overblown, might be ending in Washington.
September 23, 2025 at 8:32 PM
Very interesting. Trump seems to finally be getting intelligence that Russia is not doing well and Ukraine has actually started to gain an upper hand in some areas. The narrative of Ukraine failure, which was always overblown, might be ending in Washington.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
That is indeed the point.
"Security guarantees for #Ukraine require readiness to fight #Russia, says #Finland ’s president"
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/s...
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/s...
Security guarantees for Ukraine require readiness to fight Russia, says Finland’s president
Exclusive: Alexander Stubb says a plausible deterrent and ‘American backstop’ are needed in the event of a future peace deal
www.theguardian.com
September 20, 2025 at 5:34 PM
That is indeed the point.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
⚡️Update: 1 killed, 13 injured in large-scale Russian missile, drone attack on Ukrainian cities.
In Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, regional Governor Serhii Lysak reported that one person was killed and 13 others injured amid the large-scale attack on the country.
In Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, regional Governor Serhii Lysak reported that one person was killed and 13 others injured amid the large-scale attack on the country.
1 killed, 13 injured in large-scale Russian missile, drone attack on Ukrainian cities
Russia launched a large-scale missile and drone attack on Ukrainian cities overnight on Sept. 20, killing at least one person and injuring 13 others, officials reported.
kyivindependent.com
September 20, 2025 at 4:50 AM
⚡️Update: 1 killed, 13 injured in large-scale Russian missile, drone attack on Ukrainian cities.
In Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, regional Governor Serhii Lysak reported that one person was killed and 13 others injured amid the large-scale attack on the country.
In Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, regional Governor Serhii Lysak reported that one person was killed and 13 others injured amid the large-scale attack on the country.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
The US ceased to be a reliable NATO ally on January 20, 2025. The last week has simply made that undeniable. The only question now is whether European leaders accept it.
The USA will not now defend Europe from Russia. That is reality. Everything else is hopes and dreams.
The USA will not now defend Europe from Russia. That is reality. Everything else is hopes and dreams.
September 20, 2025 at 8:15 AM
The US ceased to be a reliable NATO ally on January 20, 2025. The last week has simply made that undeniable. The only question now is whether European leaders accept it.
The USA will not now defend Europe from Russia. That is reality. Everything else is hopes and dreams.
The USA will not now defend Europe from Russia. That is reality. Everything else is hopes and dreams.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
⚡️Ukraine reportedly strikes oil refinery in Russia's Saratov Oblast, explosions reported deep inside Russia.
Ukrainian drones reportedly struck an oil refinery in the Russian city of Saratov overnight on Sept. 20, Russian Telegram media channels reported, citing resident accounts.
Ukrainian drones reportedly struck an oil refinery in the Russian city of Saratov overnight on Sept. 20, Russian Telegram media channels reported, citing resident accounts.
Ukraine reportedly strikes oil refinery in Russia's Saratov Oblast, explosions reported deep inside Russia
Ukrainian drones reportedly struck an oil refinery in the Russian city of Saratov overnight on Sept. 20, Russian Telegram media channels reported, citing resident accounts.
kyivindependent.com
September 20, 2025 at 2:28 AM
⚡️Ukraine reportedly strikes oil refinery in Russia's Saratov Oblast, explosions reported deep inside Russia.
Ukrainian drones reportedly struck an oil refinery in the Russian city of Saratov overnight on Sept. 20, Russian Telegram media channels reported, citing resident accounts.
Ukrainian drones reportedly struck an oil refinery in the Russian city of Saratov overnight on Sept. 20, Russian Telegram media channels reported, citing resident accounts.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
Not only the Saratov refinery, which produces annually over 7 million tons in oil products, was hit by Ukrainian drones last night, but also the Novokuybyshevsk refinery in the Samara region, Russia, the latter producing 7.9 million tons in oil products, annually.
September 20, 2025 at 7:25 AM
Not only the Saratov refinery, which produces annually over 7 million tons in oil products, was hit by Ukrainian drones last night, but also the Novokuybyshevsk refinery in the Samara region, Russia, the latter producing 7.9 million tons in oil products, annually.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
Against the backdrop of Russian jets violating the airspace of Estonia and Poland earlier today, I find it odd that so many sensible people, including Lithuania’s Defence Minister, invoke Turkey’s response to a Russian attack aircraft in 2015. 1/7
September 20, 2025 at 6:59 AM
Against the backdrop of Russian jets violating the airspace of Estonia and Poland earlier today, I find it odd that so many sensible people, including Lithuania’s Defence Minister, invoke Turkey’s response to a Russian attack aircraft in 2015. 1/7
Reposted by Steven Seegel
I have heard this view many times and interestingly, I am hearing it more now than in the past. Often it is little more than a convenient excuse to sit back and do nothing. Even when it isn't, the distance from here to complacency is short. "Kyiv in 3 days" is history but Russia might as well win
September 15, 2025 at 10:12 AM
I have heard this view many times and interestingly, I am hearing it more now than in the past. Often it is little more than a convenient excuse to sit back and do nothing. Even when it isn't, the distance from here to complacency is short. "Kyiv in 3 days" is history but Russia might as well win
Reposted by Steven Seegel
⚡️Zelensky calls for tougher US sanctions, warns Russian drone strikes on Poland are 'Putin’s war.'
Zelensky remarks come days after Russian drones violated Polish airspace and were shot down in what marked the first known instance of NATO forces directly engaging Russian aerial assets.
Zelensky remarks come days after Russian drones violated Polish airspace and were shot down in what marked the first known instance of NATO forces directly engaging Russian aerial assets.
Zelensky calls for tougher US sanctions, warns Russian drone strikes on Poland are 'Putin’s war'
Zelensky remarks come days after Russian drones violated Polish airspace and were shot down in what marked the first known instance of NATO forces directly engaging Russian aerial assets during the fu...
kyivindependent.com
September 13, 2025 at 7:46 PM
⚡️Zelensky calls for tougher US sanctions, warns Russian drone strikes on Poland are 'Putin’s war.'
Zelensky remarks come days after Russian drones violated Polish airspace and were shot down in what marked the first known instance of NATO forces directly engaging Russian aerial assets.
Zelensky remarks come days after Russian drones violated Polish airspace and were shot down in what marked the first known instance of NATO forces directly engaging Russian aerial assets.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
⚡️Romania scrambles jets, Poland closes airport over Russian drone alerts.
"Russian military personnel know exactly where their drones are headed and how long they can stay in the air," Volodymyr Zelensky said, commenting on the attacks. "This cannot be an accident.”
"Russian military personnel know exactly where their drones are headed and how long they can stay in the air," Volodymyr Zelensky said, commenting on the attacks. "This cannot be an accident.”
Romania scrambles jets, Poland closes airport over Russian drone alerts
"Russian military personnel know exactly where their drones are headed and how long they can stay in the air," President Volodymyr Zelensky said, commenting on the attacks. "The routes are always calc...
kyivindependent.com
September 13, 2025 at 8:31 PM
⚡️Romania scrambles jets, Poland closes airport over Russian drone alerts.
"Russian military personnel know exactly where their drones are headed and how long they can stay in the air," Volodymyr Zelensky said, commenting on the attacks. "This cannot be an accident.”
"Russian military personnel know exactly where their drones are headed and how long they can stay in the air," Volodymyr Zelensky said, commenting on the attacks. "This cannot be an accident.”
Reposted by Steven Seegel
⚡️'This is just the beginning' — Pro-Ukrainian partisans claim strike on Russian air defense factory.
Communications were disabled after a strike on an air defense factory in the Russian city of Tula, the pro-Ukrainian Atesh partisan group claimed on Sept. 11.
Communications were disabled after a strike on an air defense factory in the Russian city of Tula, the pro-Ukrainian Atesh partisan group claimed on Sept. 11.
'This is just the beginning' — Pro-Ukrainian partisans claim strike on Russian air defense factory
Communications were disabled after a strike on an air defense factory in the Russian city of Tula, the pro-Ukrainian Atesh partisan group claimed.
kyivindependent.com
September 11, 2025 at 4:59 AM
⚡️'This is just the beginning' — Pro-Ukrainian partisans claim strike on Russian air defense factory.
Communications were disabled after a strike on an air defense factory in the Russian city of Tula, the pro-Ukrainian Atesh partisan group claimed on Sept. 11.
Communications were disabled after a strike on an air defense factory in the Russian city of Tula, the pro-Ukrainian Atesh partisan group claimed on Sept. 11.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
Latest in @theatlantic.com . The Russian deliberate attack on Poland (and thats what it was) should have been easy for NATO to handle. However the alliance failed--and the reasons why show just how dysfunctional it has become.
The incursion of “Russian drones into Poland overnight were a test of NATO’s capabilities”—and NATO flunked, Phillips Payson O’Brien writes.
Russia Tested NATO in Poland. NATO Flunked.
A drone incursion shows the limits of an alliance without America at its head.
bit.ly
September 11, 2025 at 7:54 AM
Latest in @theatlantic.com . The Russian deliberate attack on Poland (and thats what it was) should have been easy for NATO to handle. However the alliance failed--and the reasons why show just how dysfunctional it has become.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
Russia attacked Poland with 19 Shahed and Gerbera drones costing around $35,000 each.
Four of the drones were shot down with AIM-120C-7 missiles, each costing over $1 million.
Given Poland and NATO refuse to recognize they're at war, the battle advantage lies with Russia.
Four of the drones were shot down with AIM-120C-7 missiles, each costing over $1 million.
Given Poland and NATO refuse to recognize they're at war, the battle advantage lies with Russia.
September 11, 2025 at 10:38 AM
Russia attacked Poland with 19 Shahed and Gerbera drones costing around $35,000 each.
Four of the drones were shot down with AIM-120C-7 missiles, each costing over $1 million.
Given Poland and NATO refuse to recognize they're at war, the battle advantage lies with Russia.
Four of the drones were shot down with AIM-120C-7 missiles, each costing over $1 million.
Given Poland and NATO refuse to recognize they're at war, the battle advantage lies with Russia.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
🤡 Russia has demanded that Poland immediately reopen checkpoints on the Polish-Belarusian border.
😵💫 Zakharova called the decision to close the checkpoint “destructive” and warned Poland of “serious damage.”
😵💫 Zakharova called the decision to close the checkpoint “destructive” and warned Poland of “serious damage.”
September 11, 2025 at 9:28 PM
🤡 Russia has demanded that Poland immediately reopen checkpoints on the Polish-Belarusian border.
😵💫 Zakharova called the decision to close the checkpoint “destructive” and warned Poland of “serious damage.”
😵💫 Zakharova called the decision to close the checkpoint “destructive” and warned Poland of “serious damage.”
Reposted by Steven Seegel
NEW: Russian drones violated Polish airspace on the night of September 9 to 10 in what NATO and European officials have suggested was an intentional Russian incursion.
Read the full update: isw.pub/UkrWar091025
Read the full update: isw.pub/UkrWar091025
September 11, 2025 at 4:14 AM
NEW: Russian drones violated Polish airspace on the night of September 9 to 10 in what NATO and European officials have suggested was an intentional Russian incursion.
Read the full update: isw.pub/UkrWar091025
Read the full update: isw.pub/UkrWar091025
Reposted by Steven Seegel
The Russian drone attack on Poland has created an extremely sensitive situation. Some groups within Poland may push to trigger Article 4 of the NATO treaty, which would mean requesting Alliance-wide consultations on the country’s security concerns. 1/7
September 10, 2025 at 8:37 AM
The Russian drone attack on Poland has created an extremely sensitive situation. Some groups within Poland may push to trigger Article 4 of the NATO treaty, which would mean requesting Alliance-wide consultations on the country’s security concerns. 1/7
Reposted by Steven Seegel
⚡️ Update: NATO activates Article 4 after Russian drones entered Polish airspace, Warsaw says.
Article 4 of the NATO treaty allows member states to request consultations with the allies if they believe their security has been threatened, without triggering a military response.
Article 4 of the NATO treaty allows member states to request consultations with the allies if they believe their security has been threatened, without triggering a military response.
NATO activates Article 4 after Russian drones entered Polish airspace, Warsaw says
Article 4 of the NATO treaty allows member states to request consultations with the allies if they believe their security has been threatened, without triggering a military response.
kyivindependent.com
September 10, 2025 at 12:26 PM
⚡️ Update: NATO activates Article 4 after Russian drones entered Polish airspace, Warsaw says.
Article 4 of the NATO treaty allows member states to request consultations with the allies if they believe their security has been threatened, without triggering a military response.
Article 4 of the NATO treaty allows member states to request consultations with the allies if they believe their security has been threatened, without triggering a military response.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
Russia sentences Crimean Jehovah’s Witness to six years 'for reading religious texts'
khpg.org/en/1608814987
khpg.org/en/1608814987
Russia sentences Crimean Jehovah’s Witness to six years 'for reading religious texts'
This is the latest of 32 criminal prosecutions which Russia has brought to Crimea, in which men and women are accused solely of studying the Bible and of gathering with other believers
khpg.org
September 10, 2025 at 3:38 PM
Russia sentences Crimean Jehovah’s Witness to six years 'for reading religious texts'
khpg.org/en/1608814987
khpg.org/en/1608814987
Reposted by Steven Seegel
The Union State of Russia and Belarus carried out a pre-planned armed attack on Poland.
Because Poland and NATO do not recognize last night's assault with drones to be an act of war, this engagement must be regarded as a victory for the russian terrorist state.
Because Poland and NATO do not recognize last night's assault with drones to be an act of war, this engagement must be regarded as a victory for the russian terrorist state.
September 10, 2025 at 4:13 PM
The Union State of Russia and Belarus carried out a pre-planned armed attack on Poland.
Because Poland and NATO do not recognize last night's assault with drones to be an act of war, this engagement must be regarded as a victory for the russian terrorist state.
Because Poland and NATO do not recognize last night's assault with drones to be an act of war, this engagement must be regarded as a victory for the russian terrorist state.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
So if Russia did not attack Poland last night--can we say the Russians launched a special military operation against Poland? That cant offend anyone right....
September 10, 2025 at 3:41 PM
So if Russia did not attack Poland last night--can we say the Russians launched a special military operation against Poland? That cant offend anyone right....
Reposted by Steven Seegel
Today, millions of people suddenly discovered, to their astonishment, that the North Atlantic Treaty also has articles 1 to 4. Thanks to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation for their educational efforts
September 10, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Today, millions of people suddenly discovered, to their astonishment, that the North Atlantic Treaty also has articles 1 to 4. Thanks to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation for their educational efforts
Reposted by Steven Seegel
Russian drones attacked Poland, a NATO country. Are we just supposed to spin this story some other way?
September 10, 2025 at 6:57 AM
Russian drones attacked Poland, a NATO country. Are we just supposed to spin this story some other way?
Reposted by Steven Seegel
⚡️Putin ‘testing NATO resolve,’ US congressman warns as Poland confirms airspace breach by Russian drones.
Polish authorities temporarily closed Warsaw Chopin Airport and placed the country’s air defenses on high alert overnight on Sept. 10.
Polish authorities temporarily closed Warsaw Chopin Airport and placed the country’s air defenses on high alert overnight on Sept. 10.
Putin 'testing NATO resolve,' US congressman warns as Poland confirms airspace breach by Russian drones
Polish authorities temporarily closed Warsaw Chopin Airport and placed the country’s air defenses on high alert overnight on Sept. 10, following reports that Russian drones have entered Polish airspac...
kyivindependent.com
September 10, 2025 at 2:24 AM
⚡️Putin ‘testing NATO resolve,’ US congressman warns as Poland confirms airspace breach by Russian drones.
Polish authorities temporarily closed Warsaw Chopin Airport and placed the country’s air defenses on high alert overnight on Sept. 10.
Polish authorities temporarily closed Warsaw Chopin Airport and placed the country’s air defenses on high alert overnight on Sept. 10.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
The "coalition of the willing" should be called the "coalition of the meetings". They don't do blitzkrieg, they do sitzkrieg.
September 10, 2025 at 7:13 AM
The "coalition of the willing" should be called the "coalition of the meetings". They don't do blitzkrieg, they do sitzkrieg.