Sam Kuhn
@samrkuhn.bsky.social
Economist writing about the labor market on https://recruitonomics.com/ and #rstats fan
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
#BrooklineTownMeeting begins tomorrow night! I've written a guide to all the items on the agenda: bit.ly/fall2025brooklineTM
Always happy to see @brooklinenews.bsky.social's coverage, too -- though some of the information in the linked article is already out of date as TMMs file last-minute changes
Always happy to see @brooklinenews.bsky.social's coverage, too -- though some of the information in the linked article is already out of date as TMMs file last-minute changes
November 17, 2025 at 5:23 PM
#BrooklineTownMeeting begins tomorrow night! I've written a guide to all the items on the agenda: bit.ly/fall2025brooklineTM
Always happy to see @brooklinenews.bsky.social's coverage, too -- though some of the information in the linked article is already out of date as TMMs file last-minute changes
Always happy to see @brooklinenews.bsky.social's coverage, too -- though some of the information in the linked article is already out of date as TMMs file last-minute changes
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
Consumer spending and after-tax incomes both fell in May, adjusted for inflation. #NumbersDay
Full data: www.bea.gov/news/2025/pe...
Full data: www.bea.gov/news/2025/pe...
June 27, 2025 at 12:37 PM
Consumer spending and after-tax incomes both fell in May, adjusted for inflation. #NumbersDay
Full data: www.bea.gov/news/2025/pe...
Full data: www.bea.gov/news/2025/pe...
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
🇨🇦 Canada's upcoming election coincides with a pivotal economic moment. @samrkuhn.bsky.social covers the state of the Canadian economy, and labor market in particular: recruitonomics.com/a-pivotal-mo...
April 25, 2025 at 2:19 AM
🇨🇦 Canada's upcoming election coincides with a pivotal economic moment. @samrkuhn.bsky.social covers the state of the Canadian economy, and labor market in particular: recruitonomics.com/a-pivotal-mo...
A larger share of Canadian households fear they may lose their job in the next 12 months than compared to the peak of the pandemic
April 18, 2025 at 2:02 PM
A larger share of Canadian households fear they may lose their job in the next 12 months than compared to the peak of the pandemic
🚨 JPMorgan recession risk odds now at 60%
April 3, 2025 at 11:13 PM
🚨 JPMorgan recession risk odds now at 60%
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
News today pushing GDP forecast further negative due to another -0.6 percentage point annualized rate revised forecast for personal consumption expenditures (PCE), -0.2 for equipment, & -0.1 for residential fixed investment.
The only upward revised forecast is in government spending.
The only upward revised forecast is in government spending.
April 1, 2025 at 4:58 PM
News today pushing GDP forecast further negative due to another -0.6 percentage point annualized rate revised forecast for personal consumption expenditures (PCE), -0.2 for equipment, & -0.1 for residential fixed investment.
The only upward revised forecast is in government spending.
The only upward revised forecast is in government spending.
Gold adjusted GDP now still tracking negative
www.atlantafed.org/cqer/researc...
www.atlantafed.org/cqer/researc...
March 31, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Gold adjusted GDP now still tracking negative
www.atlantafed.org/cqer/researc...
www.atlantafed.org/cqer/researc...
March 22, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Next years inflation expectations are back to Oct '22
March 14, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Next years inflation expectations are back to Oct '22
Two concerning data points emerging from consumer spending: Chicago Fed's Advance Retail Trade Summary is tracking a near percentage point decline in retail sales for Feb, following a weak Jan
www.chicagofed.org/research/dat...
www.chicagofed.org/research/dat...
March 12, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Two concerning data points emerging from consumer spending: Chicago Fed's Advance Retail Trade Summary is tracking a near percentage point decline in retail sales for Feb, following a weak Jan
www.chicagofed.org/research/dat...
www.chicagofed.org/research/dat...
Cava in Cambridge must have got an early copy of Ezra Klein’s and @dkthomp.bsky.social new book
March 9, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Cava in Cambridge must have got an early copy of Ezra Klein’s and @dkthomp.bsky.social new book
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
Calm before the storm in the February #jobsreport:
-Payrolls up 151,000, a touch below expectations
-Unemp ticked up to 4.1%
-Wage growth grows 4% YoY
Report was a touch softer than expected but precedes any downstream impacts from the DOGE layoffs + tariffs
#NumbersDay 1/
-Payrolls up 151,000, a touch below expectations
-Unemp ticked up to 4.1%
-Wage growth grows 4% YoY
Report was a touch softer than expected but precedes any downstream impacts from the DOGE layoffs + tariffs
#NumbersDay 1/
March 7, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Calm before the storm in the February #jobsreport:
-Payrolls up 151,000, a touch below expectations
-Unemp ticked up to 4.1%
-Wage growth grows 4% YoY
Report was a touch softer than expected but precedes any downstream impacts from the DOGE layoffs + tariffs
#NumbersDay 1/
-Payrolls up 151,000, a touch below expectations
-Unemp ticked up to 4.1%
-Wage growth grows 4% YoY
Report was a touch softer than expected but precedes any downstream impacts from the DOGE layoffs + tariffs
#NumbersDay 1/
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
I'm traveling today, but the data ended up coming out some time between 11:30 am-3:30 pm PT
bsky.app/profile/dani...
bsky.app/profile/dani...
Initial UCFE claims for federal workers fell slightly last week to 1,580, though are still clearly elevated compared to two weeks prior before the large federal workforce cuts got underway.
March 7, 2025 at 12:13 AM
I'm traveling today, but the data ended up coming out some time between 11:30 am-3:30 pm PT
bsky.app/profile/dani...
bsky.app/profile/dani...
Big jump in UI claims for Federal workers this morning - highest total since '21
March 6, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Big jump in UI claims for Federal workers this morning - highest total since '21
Harmonized CPI (excluding owner-occupied housing) is now more than a percentage point higher than its low last August - no longer is housing to blame for inflation progress
February 18, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Harmonized CPI (excluding owner-occupied housing) is now more than a percentage point higher than its low last August - no longer is housing to blame for inflation progress
Anyone have any idea why the map data function in ggplot2 is missing Alaska/Hawaii? #rstats
ggplot2.tidyverse.org/reference/ma...
ggplot2.tidyverse.org/reference/ma...
Create a data frame of map data — map_data
Easily turn data from the maps package into a data frame suitable
for plotting with ggplot2.
ggplot2.tidyverse.org
February 10, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Anyone have any idea why the map data function in ggplot2 is missing Alaska/Hawaii? #rstats
ggplot2.tidyverse.org/reference/ma...
ggplot2.tidyverse.org/reference/ma...
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
When you talk about instituting policies that raise prices, don't be surprised if it leads people to worry that price rises are coming. And the Fed's going to worry that these expectations become self-fulfilling.
February 7, 2025 at 5:41 PM
When you talk about instituting policies that raise prices, don't be surprised if it leads people to worry that price rises are coming. And the Fed's going to worry that these expectations become self-fulfilling.
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
Just want us all to appreciate the beauty that we have assembled here at #EconSky and #NumbersDay on #JobsDay.
We are legion.
bsky.app/profile/elis...
We are legion.
bsky.app/profile/elis...
First jobs #NumbersDay on the 2025 economy for #EconSky data watchers!!!
The U.S. labor market started the year by adding 143k jobs as the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.0%. As with much of the last year, there were significant gains in health care and social assistance employment in January.
The U.S. labor market started the year by adding 143k jobs as the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.0%. As with much of the last year, there were significant gains in health care and social assistance employment in January.
February 7, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Just want us all to appreciate the beauty that we have assembled here at #EconSky and #NumbersDay on #JobsDay.
We are legion.
bsky.app/profile/elis...
We are legion.
bsky.app/profile/elis...
Reposted by Sam Kuhn
After the benchmark revisions, job gains in 2023 and 2024 were slower than originally reported:
2023: 3,013,000 orig reported -> 2,594,000 revised
2024: 2,232,000 -> 1,996,000
4/
2023: 3,013,000 orig reported -> 2,594,000 revised
2024: 2,232,000 -> 1,996,000
4/
February 7, 2025 at 1:56 PM
After the benchmark revisions, job gains in 2023 and 2024 were slower than originally reported:
2023: 3,013,000 orig reported -> 2,594,000 revised
2024: 2,232,000 -> 1,996,000
4/
2023: 3,013,000 orig reported -> 2,594,000 revised
2024: 2,232,000 -> 1,996,000
4/
With the slowdown in hiring from JOLTS this morning, the net hiring rate is within spitting distance of its 2019 average - jobs day friday likely closes that gap
February 4, 2025 at 8:35 PM
With the slowdown in hiring from JOLTS this morning, the net hiring rate is within spitting distance of its 2019 average - jobs day friday likely closes that gap