Elise Gould
elisegould.bsky.social
Elise Gould
@elisegould.bsky.social
Economist, bike commuter, ultimate frisbee player. Studying wages, jobs, and economic inequality. Striving to be part of the solution.

https://www.epi.org/people/elise-gould/
More data release dates provided today at www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...

After tomorrow's release of September 2025 #Jobs data, I'll be looking forward to #JOLTS on December 9 and Jobs on Dec 16. These will be highly unusual with catchup data on the establishment side.
#NumbersDay #EconSky @epi.org
November 19, 2025 at 7:13 PM
BLS operations are back up! Release dates have been set for some missing reports. The next #jobsday will be Thursday, November 20 where we will get to see data for September 2025.
#NumbersDay #EconSky
November 14, 2025 at 8:51 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
The large uptick in federal unemployment insurance claims in the initial spate of layoffs last spring have been overshadowed nearly 10 fold by the UI claims of federal workers after the end of the fiscal year, in the longest ever government shutdown.
#NumbersDay #EconSky
November 13, 2025 at 11:13 PM
The large uptick in federal unemployment insurance claims in the initial spate of layoffs last spring have been overshadowed nearly 10 fold by the UI claims of federal workers after the end of the fiscal year, in the longest ever government shutdown.
#NumbersDay #EconSky
November 13, 2025 at 11:13 PM
Tomorrow marks the first time the federal government has failed to release a jobs report two months in a row. Without these data, unemployment insurance claims provide the most up-to-date read on the labor market. As the shutdown drags on, continued UI claims by federal workers hits 30k.
#EconSky
November 6, 2025 at 9:59 PM
For useful analysis on the latest unemployment insurance claims data in the shutdown, check out @aimstettner.bsky.social's newsletter:
substack.com/profile/1759...
Andrew Stettner (@andrewstettner)
I’ll be publishing my weekly analysis of the shutdown induced spike in unemployment claims here: New state unemployment data show the growing toll of the shutdown on federal workers, with an addition...
substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Without BLS monthly jobs and JOLTS reports, unemployment insurance claims data provide the most up-to-date read on the labor market. As the shutdown continues, initial claims by federal workers shoot up for the third week in a row. Over 10k initial claims reported nationally last week.
#EconSky
October 24, 2025 at 2:21 PM
The latest #UIClaims show much higher continued unemployment insurance claims for federal workers, up 156% for the week ending October 4—compared to the same week last year. The growth this year are due to federal layoffs, exacerbated this month by workers leaving federal payrolls and the shutdown.
October 17, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Nothing replaces the comprehensive, trustworthy, and timely labor market data found in monthly jobs and JOLTS reports, but unemployment insurance claims—collected at the state level—offer a useful read on one key angle of the labor market.
#EconSky #NumbersDay
www.epi.org/blog/amid-th...
Amid the shutdown data blackout, state unemployment insurance claims continue to shed light on the labor market
On Friday, October 3, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) did not publish the September Employment Situation Summary report. The monthly “jobs report” provides policymakers, businesses, and the ...
www.epi.org
October 15, 2025 at 7:16 PM
Latest #JOLTS data out this morning for August 2025 tells us job openings remained unchanged since July. Hires and quits both ticked down while layoffs and discharges held steady. The low hires rate is troubling, now at a rate similar to the immediate aftermath of the Great Recession.
#EconSky
September 30, 2025 at 2:27 PM
"Protecting worker power and advancing equity are intersecting goals, and both are essential to building better schools, and a thriving economy, that serves all communities," writes @adewalemaye.bsky.social @epi.org
Learn more here: www.epi.org/blog/anti-eq...
Anti-equity legislation reinforces threats to education and unions
On March 28, Ohio Governor Mike DeWine signed an anti-diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) higher education law that regulates classroom discussions, puts diversity scholarships at risk, and largely...
www.epi.org
September 26, 2025 at 1:46 PM
In August, nominal wage growth ticked down to 3.7% while #inflation continued to rise up 0.6 percentage points since April and hitting 2.9% last month. Taken together, real wage growth has continued to fall. Real wage growth is now at 0.7% over the year, cut in half over the last 3 months.
#EconSky
September 11, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
The preliminary benchmark revision of -911K amounts to -0.6% to March 2025 payroll employment. Combined with 2-month revisions, recent total revisions are big but hardly unprecedented, & smoothed over the business cycle the payroll survey has gotten more accurate over time.
September 9, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
BLS releases annual preliminary benchmark revision, something they do every year.

#JobsReport estimates are based on employer survey responses, that arrive quickly. Later, BLS checks slow-arriving, more-reliable administrative data from employers' UI premium filings.
www.bls.gov/news.release...
September 9, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
Seems Trump would be happy to agree job growth was lower than previously measured in the Biden administration.

Revisions come from dedicated BLS economists using science and transparency, not bc of political ends, as @elisegould.bsky.social and @benzipperer.org explain www.epi.org/blog/todays-...
Today’s BLS preliminary benchmark revisions are necessary for timely and accurate data—not fodder for Trump’s attacks
Today’s preliminary benchmark announcement from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reveals weaker job growth between March 2024 and March 2025 than when it was first reported based on survey data. T...
www.epi.org
September 9, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
As we point out in a new report, Trump and Congressional Republicans’ attacks on basic needs programs that keep millions of children out of poverty will continue to expand these inequities – forcing children of color to inherit poverty for generations.
www.epi.org/publication/...
The last two recessions have hit low-income families of color hard: Trump’s economic agenda will expose millions to even more pain when the next recession strikes
The Great Recession and the pandemic recession hit low-income families of color especially hard—pushing many into unemployment, poverty, and housing insecurity. The swift and bold policy response to t...
www.epi.org
September 9, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
Disparities in income continue to leave families of color with children disproportionately vulnerable to poverty. Black & Hispanic children remain 3 times as likely as their white peers to suffer poverty. #EconSky #NumbersDay
September 9, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
New Census 2024 income data show a mixed picture for families of color. Asian & Hispanic families saw their median income rise. But Black families experienced a fall. Typical Black & Hispanic households continue to earn just a fraction of their white peers' income. #EconSky #NumbersDay
September 9, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
There is simply no substitute for government data infrastructure. Pressure from the executive branch to alter data to fit political aims will damage a valuable public good that is critical for business decisions, policymaking, and planning by all stakeholders in the economy.
September 9, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
Some big #NumbersDay releases today—Just a reminder that the Census data are incredibly valuable. We get transparent and non-politicized data to make informed decisions about what policies are delivering economic security for working people.
September 9, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
About 8% of people lacked any form of health insurance in 2024. Unfortunately that rate will dramatically increase in the coming years, from 27 million to more than 40 million thanks to Republicans who cut Medicaid and ACA marketplace subsidies
September 9, 2025 at 2:33 PM
The latest data out from #Census today show median earnings and median household incomes kept pace with inflation in 2024. Men's earnings rose 3.7% increasing the gender wage gap back to 2019 levels. Income grew at the top, but not the middle or bottom, reversing recent trends.
#EconSky #NumbersDay
September 9, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Today’s preliminary benchmark announcement from BLS reveals that job growth between March 2024 and March 2025 was half as fast as when it was first reported based on survey data.

Read what @benzipperer.org and I wrote about those revisions and what they mean:
www.epi.org/blog/todays-...
#EconSky
Today’s BLS preliminary benchmark revisions are necessary for timely and accurate data—not fodder for Trump’s attacks
Today’s preliminary benchmark announcement from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reveals weaker job growth between March 2024 and March 2025 than when it was first reported based on survey data. T...
www.epi.org
September 9, 2025 at 2:22 PM
The labor market continues to soften, according to the latest #JobsReport out this morning from the BLS. Payroll employment grew only 22,000 in August and revisions now show employment losses for June (-13,000). Over the last three months, job growth has slowed to just 29,000 on average.
#EconSky
September 5, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Reposted by Elise Gould
Ahead of #JobsDay tomorrow, Friends of BLS published a FAQ answering pressing questions like:

Can the public trust BLS products?

What's up with the firing of Dr. McEntarfer & nomination of Dr. Antoni?

Why and how does the BLS revise jobs estimates?
#EconSky
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
Background Information for Jobs Day – Sept 5 — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Click Background Information for Jobs Day – Sept 5 to read the entire PDF document.
www.friendsofbls.org
September 4, 2025 at 12:15 PM