Daniel P
@putmands.bsky.social
My estimates are unbiased but my takes might be. Development, networks, risk, household finance, applied metrics, and the Green Bay Packers.
Reposted by Daniel P
just started having recency bias and i love it. easily the best bias
August 12, 2023 at 6:04 PM
just started having recency bias and i love it. easily the best bias
Reposted by Daniel P
Nature suggests you use their "Manuscript Adviser" bot to get advice before submitting
I uploaded the classic Watson & Crick paper about DNA structure, and the Adviser had this to say about one of the greatest paper endings of the century:
I uploaded the classic Watson & Crick paper about DNA structure, and the Adviser had this to say about one of the greatest paper endings of the century:
November 3, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Nature suggests you use their "Manuscript Adviser" bot to get advice before submitting
I uploaded the classic Watson & Crick paper about DNA structure, and the Adviser had this to say about one of the greatest paper endings of the century:
I uploaded the classic Watson & Crick paper about DNA structure, and the Adviser had this to say about one of the greatest paper endings of the century:
Kind of like how it's very hard for robots to put on glasses, Chat GPT really cannot get out of its own way if you ask it to transcribe (in this case moving power point to beamer). As it gets further from the prompt, this decays to where its not really following instructions after ~30 slides
November 3, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Kind of like how it's very hard for robots to put on glasses, Chat GPT really cannot get out of its own way if you ask it to transcribe (in this case moving power point to beamer). As it gets further from the prompt, this decays to where its not really following instructions after ~30 slides
Ended up in the closest Buffalo wild wings to Michigan State to watch the Packers. They hate hate JJ McCarthy here
November 2, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Ended up in the closest Buffalo wild wings to Michigan State to watch the Packers. They hate hate JJ McCarthy here
Some people are gesturing at economic sociology, but not so many people gesturing to social economics as a source of cross pollination. I enjoy this definition (from Benhabib et al.'s intro to the handbook of social economics). One of those thing you read, and say, "oh! that's what I've been doing."
October 29, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Some people are gesturing at economic sociology, but not so many people gesturing to social economics as a source of cross pollination. I enjoy this definition (from Benhabib et al.'s intro to the handbook of social economics). One of those thing you read, and say, "oh! that's what I've been doing."
Reposted by Daniel P
When researchers bring up confounders without ever having declared the actual analysis goal
October 28, 2025 at 10:24 AM
When researchers bring up confounders without ever having declared the actual analysis goal
My modal generative AI use case remains "make this mean email sound nicer"
October 16, 2025 at 6:45 PM
My modal generative AI use case remains "make this mean email sound nicer"
Deafheaven's New Bermuda might pair unusually well with John Carpenter's The Fog
October 11, 2025 at 3:23 AM
Deafheaven's New Bermuda might pair unusually well with John Carpenter's The Fog
I think there is an IRL stick nation meet up happening today?
October 2, 2025 at 5:04 PM
I think there is an IRL stick nation meet up happening today?
Reposted by Daniel P
Had missed this absolutely brilliant paper. They take a widely used social media addiction scale & replace 'social media' with 'friends'. The resulting scale has great psychometric properties & 69% of people have friend addictions.
link.springer.com/article/10.3...
link.springer.com/article/10.3...
Development of an Offline-Friend Addiction Questionnaire (O-FAQ): Are most people really social addicts? - Behavior Research Methods
A growing number of self-report measures aim to define interactions with social media in a pathological behavior framework, often using terminology focused on identifying those who are ‘addicted’ to engaging with others online. Specifically, measures of ‘social media addiction’ focus on motivations for online social information seeking, which could relate to motivations for offline social information seeking. However, it could be the case that these same measures could reveal a pattern of friend addiction in general. This study develops the Offline-Friend Addiction Questionnaire (O-FAQ) by re-wording items from highly cited pathological social media use scales to reflect “spending time with friends”. Our methodology for validation follows the current literature precedent in the development of social media ‘addiction’ scales. The O-FAQ had a three-factor solution in an exploratory sample of N = 807 and these factors were stable in a 4-week retest (r = .72 to .86) and was validated against personality traits, and risk-taking behavior, in conceptually plausible directions. Using the same polythetic classification techniques as pathological social media use studies, we were able to classify 69% of our sample as addicted to spending time with their friends. The discussion of our satirical research is a critical reflection on the role of measurement and human sociality in social media research. We question the extent to which connecting with others can be considered an ‘addiction’ and discuss issues concerning the validation of new ‘addiction’ measures without relevant medical constructs. Readers should approach our measure with a level of skepticism that should be afforded to current social media addiction measures.
link.springer.com
October 1, 2025 at 11:33 AM
Had missed this absolutely brilliant paper. They take a widely used social media addiction scale & replace 'social media' with 'friends'. The resulting scale has great psychometric properties & 69% of people have friend addictions.
link.springer.com/article/10.3...
link.springer.com/article/10.3...
Did he pull a muscle line dancing?
The 49ers have now officially ruled out QB Brock Purdy, with Mac Jones set to make his first start.
September 12, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Did he pull a muscle line dancing?
Made toad in the hole with Japanese milk bread
September 9, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Made toad in the hole with Japanese milk bread
Not an entirely positive response to that Jayden Reed touchdown in East Lansing
September 7, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Not an entirely positive response to that Jayden Reed touchdown in East Lansing
I wanna be Tucker Kraft when I grow up
September 7, 2025 at 8:36 PM
I wanna be Tucker Kraft when I grow up
Reposted by Daniel P
A quick bit of journalism reveals that at least three members of Trump's cabinet claimed more than one property as their primary residence, and I'm starting to wonder whether Trump's attacks on Lisa Cook reflect a sincere concern about mortgage fraud.
www.propublica.org/article/trum...
www.propublica.org/article/trum...
September 4, 2025 at 11:19 PM
A quick bit of journalism reveals that at least three members of Trump's cabinet claimed more than one property as their primary residence, and I'm starting to wonder whether Trump's attacks on Lisa Cook reflect a sincere concern about mortgage fraud.
www.propublica.org/article/trum...
www.propublica.org/article/trum...
Fair. The ministry of peace would have been too on the nose
September 4, 2025 at 11:26 PM
Fair. The ministry of peace would have been too on the nose
Used the calculus textbook I've been lugging around since 2012
Just thought everyone should know
Just thought everyone should know
August 29, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Used the calculus textbook I've been lugging around since 2012
Just thought everyone should know
Just thought everyone should know
This has been running in a loop in my brain since the Parsons trade
youtu.be/0iqLhdInGrk?...
youtu.be/0iqLhdInGrk?...
MST3k says: Packers win the Super Bowl!
YouTube video by grapefruitdiva
youtu.be
August 29, 2025 at 3:53 AM
This has been running in a loop in my brain since the Parsons trade
youtu.be/0iqLhdInGrk?...
youtu.be/0iqLhdInGrk?...
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit really nailed what being an economist is like
an interesting subtopic! which shows/movies are beloved by the profession for Getting It Right! Lawyers famously love MY COUSIN VINNIE, doctors I believe love SCRUBS, apparently Aussie barristers are surprisingly fond of RAKE's depiction of some aspects of the law.
Oh god I remember watching HOUSE with some doctors, it was a the usual mix of “you would get fired instantly and never practice medicine again no matter how good u are” and “that case actually isn’t hard to solve at all”
August 28, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit really nailed what being an economist is like
Herbert Simon was spitting: "They believe that businessmen maximize, but they know that economic theorists satisfice"
(Teaching micro this fall, and preparing for a day on economic modeling.)
(Teaching micro this fall, and preparing for a day on economic modeling.)
August 24, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Herbert Simon was spitting: "They believe that businessmen maximize, but they know that economic theorists satisfice"
(Teaching micro this fall, and preparing for a day on economic modeling.)
(Teaching micro this fall, and preparing for a day on economic modeling.)
Just had an e-commerce website route me to a buy now pay later product with no option to pay directly/using a credit card (at least without an account). I'd be interested to know how common this experience is, and why a platform would have a default like this
August 18, 2025 at 8:52 PM
Just had an e-commerce website route me to a buy now pay later product with no option to pay directly/using a credit card (at least without an account). I'd be interested to know how common this experience is, and why a platform would have a default like this
Reposted by Daniel P
Paper: A Statistical Critique of Antoni-St. Onge (Nov. 2024)
Given EJ Antoni has been nominated to be head of one of the most important statistical agencies in the country, we should know how much he knows about statistics #econsky
www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/OnAS...
Given EJ Antoni has been nominated to be head of one of the most important statistical agencies in the country, we should know how much he knows about statistics #econsky
www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/OnAS...
August 12, 2025 at 1:57 AM
Paper: A Statistical Critique of Antoni-St. Onge (Nov. 2024)
Given EJ Antoni has been nominated to be head of one of the most important statistical agencies in the country, we should know how much he knows about statistics #econsky
www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/OnAS...
Given EJ Antoni has been nominated to be head of one of the most important statistical agencies in the country, we should know how much he knows about statistics #econsky
www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/OnAS...
this is where I post from
July 19, 2025 at 3:18 PM
this is where I post from
Always incredible to have Adobe's AI offer to summarize an academic paper when I have the abstract pulled up
June 5, 2025 at 6:18 PM
Always incredible to have Adobe's AI offer to summarize an academic paper when I have the abstract pulled up