Melissa Bell
banner
melissabell04.bsky.social
Melissa Bell
@melissabell04.bsky.social
Democratic pollster at Global Strategy Group. PoliSci PhD. Mia and Sophie's Mom. Chicagoan.
🚨 Fresh Data Drop 🚨

👀 @gsgpolitical.bsky.social latest report unpacking voter attitudes toward American Democracy.

✔️ Most view American democracy as in decline and under major threat
✔️ To voters, democracy is a multi-dimensional concept (we dig in further)
✔️Many voters see Trump as biggest threat
In today's landscape, Democrats are grappling with a critical question: Is talking about democracy a winning message—or just an abstraction voters tune out?

Our newest report sheds light on the issue and helps reframe messaging that works.

Read it now: globalstrategygroup.com/2025/06/05/d...
Democracy in the Balance: A Shifting Political Landscape
“Democracy” is invoked on campaign trails, cable news, and in everyday conversation—its meaning and value remains elusive and uncertain.
globalstrategygroup.com
June 5, 2025 at 8:02 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
Final_Version_of_Tarrifs_actualFINALcopy_version7_USETHISONE.docx
April 9, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
A tricky thing about modern society is that no one has any idea when they don’t die.

Like, the number of lives saved by controlling air pollution in America is probably over 200,000 per year, but the number of people who think their life was saved by controlling air pollution is zero.
April 7, 2025 at 4:13 AM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
Horrifying. Allison Riggs won by 734 votes but Judge Griffin has tried to throw out 65,000+ ballots from voters who all showed valid ID. Now the court has sided with him, giving those voters just 15 days to cure their ballots. This is a direct attack on the will of the people.
April 4, 2025 at 5:35 PM
LFG 🔥💪👏
We need new leaders in Washington. I’m running for Senate to be one. Let’s go.
April 2, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Everyone would be better served if more folks started listening to @annecaprara.bsky.social
As we watch these ominous developments, I keep thinking of a post from Anne Caprara, chief of staff to Illinois governor JB Pritzker, which summed up the party’s struggles quite well: “The fight going on in the Democratic Party right now is not between hard left..

www.vanityfair.com/news/story/d...
Democrats Are Reaching a Trump Tipping Point
The party leadership’s tepid response to Donald Trump’s agenda could provoke a grassroots insurgency by its own voters.
www.vanityfair.com
March 25, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
They were even incompetent in how they tried to break records laws by setting their disappearing messages to up to four weeks!
March 24, 2025 at 9:06 PM
Me reading the Hegseth/Signal story...
March 24, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
Circling back on this…
March 24, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
GSG President @nickgourevitch.bsky.social weighs in on how inflation and economic sentiment could shape Trump’s second term in CNN’s latest analysis.

Read more: www.cnn.com/2025/03/14/p...
Analysis: Why Trump’s greatest first-term strength may be his biggest second-term weakness | CNN Politics
In President Donald Trump’s first White House term, public confidence in his handling of the economy was always among his greatest strengths. But in the early days of his second term, public views abo...
www.cnn.com
March 14, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
standing outside the grocery store and asking people for their impressions about eggs and eggs only

an egg's-it poll
March 6, 2025 at 8:03 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
Comments from a member of President Trump’s cabinet over the weekend have renewed concerns that the new administration could seek to interfere with federal statistics — especially if they start to show that the economy is slipping into a recession.
Lutnick Remarks on Removing Government Spending in GDP Data Raises Fears
Howard Lutnick, the commerce secretary, suggested government spending should be excluded from data about U.S. economic output.
www.nytimes.com
March 4, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Its not just that Musk's numbers are underwater, a plurality of voters are very unfavorable while those who are positive are just meh towards him.
February 22, 2025 at 7:15 PM
While there may be partisan disagreement over the best policy solution, one thing is clear: across the ideological spectrum voters believe climate change is a major problem and want government action. A majority of Republicans are even frustrated with lawmakers who deny climate change!
January 31, 2025 at 9:34 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
Damning.
Caroline Kennedy reads her letter to Senators denouncing her “predator” cousin Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
YouTube video by The Golden Circle
youtu.be
January 29, 2025 at 4:01 AM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
There is no substitute for in-depth public opinion research when it comes to understanding potential voters. Any conversation about political strategy should include a plan for better understanding the public.
January 25, 2025 at 7:23 PM
Can not believe I am going to write this....but wasn't this the legal argument Elle Woods made in Legally Blonde in the classroom scene?

www.nbcnews.com/politics/pol...
Mississippi lawmaker introduces 'Contraception Begins at Erection Act'
The bill, which is unlikely to pass, would make it unlawful for “a person to discharge genetic material without the intent to fertilize an embryo.”
www.nbcnews.com
January 24, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Do you like stats? Do you like math jokes? This is your moment. 🤓
It's time! Submit your #aapor25 80th Annual Conference t-shirt slogan to win the chance to live on in AAPOR history. Deadline: Feb 14th. Learn more: bit.ly/2025aaportshirt
January 21, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
Congratulations to all the new Democratic House Members of the 119th Congress, who are now officially sworn in! On behalf of the GSG team, we are so proud of our clients and partners. Their deep commitment to representing our communities and nation cannot be understated.
January 10, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
Oh this is both bad and also bad
December 17, 2024 at 2:51 AM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
In House battleground districts, the economic argument that voters heard the most about Dems was that they'd make the wealthy pay their fair share in taxes. They heard less from Dems about cost of living and middle class taxes. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
December 10, 2024 at 1:51 PM
The gender gap is interesting...though the real question is how does this compare to men's general inclination to rate themselves as excellent/knowledgeable at most things!
% who think the average driving ability of people in their state is better | worse compared to people in other states
U.S. adults: 31% | 16%
Northeast: 34% | 14%
Midwest: 32% | 11%
West: 30% | 19%
South: 29% | 19%
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
December 9, 2024 at 8:03 PM
Reposted by Melissa Bell
Turnout was down in Illinois, but voters are changing their habits. 53.3% of voters cast a ballot before Election Day, either by mail or early in person. Voters are showing they like convenience.
Chart by @drewjayadams.bsky.social
capitolnewsillinois.com/news/state-b...
December 2, 2024 at 10:56 PM