Nick Gourevitch
@nickgourevitch.bsky.social
Democratic Pollster and Public Opinion Researcher. Partner at Global Strategy Group. Dad to three.
Pinned
First (of several) @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social “what happened” reports is out. The core dynamic: Trump won the 15% of swing voters by 8 points, who disapproved of Biden presidency, said inflation was the top issue, and had far more positive views of Trump’s presidency than Trump the person.
Great night for Dems. And proud of our team.
We are thrilled with last night’s Democratic victories, and proud to serve as the pollster for the gubernatorial campaigns of both @mikiesherrill.bsky.social and @abigailspanberger.com — marking historic wins as the first female Gov in VA and the first Democratic woman Gov in NJ.
Onwards to 2026!
Onwards to 2026!
November 5, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Great night for Dems. And proud of our team.
A lot of noise out there, but latest @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social shows Trump's economic ratings at a low, increasingly negative views of tariffs, continued negative sentiment on the economy, and people uneasy about their personal finances.
June 18, 2025 at 1:44 PM
A lot of noise out there, but latest @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social shows Trump's economic ratings at a low, increasingly negative views of tariffs, continued negative sentiment on the economy, and people uneasy about their personal finances.
Trump's economic approval rating is the worst it's been since
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social started tracking the metric way back in 2018. And his disapproval on handling inflation is 61% and on his handling tariffs at 59%.
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social started tracking the metric way back in 2018. And his disapproval on handling inflation is 61% and on his handling tariffs at 59%.
April 30, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Trump's economic approval rating is the worst it's been since
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social started tracking the metric way back in 2018. And his disapproval on handling inflation is 61% and on his handling tariffs at 59%.
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social started tracking the metric way back in 2018. And his disapproval on handling inflation is 61% and on his handling tariffs at 59%.
Hard to pick which numbers are the worst for Trump in the latest NYT/Siena poll but it's probably that 50% of voters think he's made the economy worse and only 21% say he made it better, leaving him under water in terms of his economic approval (43% approve/55% disapprove).
April 25, 2025 at 8:02 PM
Hard to pick which numbers are the worst for Trump in the latest NYT/Siena poll but it's probably that 50% of voters think he's made the economy worse and only 21% say he made it better, leaving him under water in terms of his economic approval (43% approve/55% disapprove).
NEW: @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social survey fielded over the weekend puts Trump economic disapproval at 42% approve/55% disapprove (-13), which is tied for the worst he's ever had in this poll across both of his terms (Jan '19 after a prolonged gov't shutdown was the other time it was this low).
April 8, 2025 at 1:08 PM
NEW: @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social survey fielded over the weekend puts Trump economic disapproval at 42% approve/55% disapprove (-13), which is tied for the worst he's ever had in this poll across both of his terms (Jan '19 after a prolonged gov't shutdown was the other time it was this low).
Musk and Tariffs in a tight polling battle over which can become the most unpopular albatross around Trump's neck... (Musk chart via Morning Consult and tariff chart via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social)
April 3, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Musk and Tariffs in a tight polling battle over which can become the most unpopular albatross around Trump's neck... (Musk chart via Morning Consult and tariff chart via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social)
Musk becoming the clear the lightning rod. In a message test of various statements about GOP threatening Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, the clear top statement is about Musk saying Social Security is "the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time." Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
April 1, 2025 at 12:59 PM
Musk becoming the clear the lightning rod. In a message test of various statements about GOP threatening Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, the clear top statement is about Musk saying Social Security is "the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time." Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
The public becoming increasingly negative towards tariffs, and tariffs (along with high prices) are dominating the negative conversation around Trump's handling of the economy. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
March 27, 2025 at 2:50 PM
The public becoming increasingly negative towards tariffs, and tariffs (along with high prices) are dominating the negative conversation around Trump's handling of the economy. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
They were even incompetent in how they tried to break records laws by setting their disappearing messages to up to four weeks!
March 24, 2025 at 9:06 PM
They were even incompetent in how they tried to break records laws by setting their disappearing messages to up to four weeks!
New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social report on Trump's handling of the economy out this AM. Half of voters say that Trump's economic policies since taking office have negatively impacted the economy vs. just a third who say positive.
March 24, 2025 at 12:58 PM
New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social report on Trump's handling of the economy out this AM. Half of voters say that Trump's economic policies since taking office have negatively impacted the economy vs. just a third who say positive.
Reposted by Nick Gourevitch
GSG President @nickgourevitch.bsky.social weighs in on how inflation and economic sentiment could shape Trump’s second term in CNN’s latest analysis.
Read more: www.cnn.com/2025/03/14/p...
Read more: www.cnn.com/2025/03/14/p...
Analysis: Why Trump’s greatest first-term strength may be his biggest second-term weakness | CNN Politics
In President Donald Trump’s first White House term, public confidence in his handling of the economy was always among his greatest strengths. But in the early days of his second term, public views abo...
www.cnn.com
March 14, 2025 at 7:56 PM
GSG President @nickgourevitch.bsky.social weighs in on how inflation and economic sentiment could shape Trump’s second term in CNN’s latest analysis.
Read more: www.cnn.com/2025/03/14/p...
Read more: www.cnn.com/2025/03/14/p...
Another day, another poll showing Donald Trump receiving very poor ratings on the main topic (the economy), the voters who swung towards him most wanted him to address. Via Quinnipiac:
March 13, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Another day, another poll showing Donald Trump receiving very poor ratings on the main topic (the economy), the voters who swung towards him most wanted him to address. Via Quinnipiac:
Trump's cuts are uniting his opposition and siphoning off a portion of his base. Focusing on issues that do this is how Presidents become unpopular. Via today's CNN poll:
March 12, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Trump's cuts are uniting his opposition and siphoning off a portion of his base. Focusing on issues that do this is how Presidents become unpopular. Via today's CNN poll:
The latest @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social poll finds growing negativity towards tariffs, especially those against Mexico and Canada. Only those who strongly approve of Trump are positive - Independents and not-strong Trump voters are net negative.
March 5, 2025 at 1:35 PM
The latest @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social poll finds growing negativity towards tariffs, especially those against Mexico and Canada. Only those who strongly approve of Trump are positive - Independents and not-strong Trump voters are net negative.
Interesting look at where Musk's numbers are worse than Trump's... Among Trump voters, Musk's negatives are higher with non-college Trump voters and less politically engaged Trump voters. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
March 3, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Interesting look at where Musk's numbers are worse than Trump's... Among Trump voters, Musk's negatives are higher with non-college Trump voters and less politically engaged Trump voters. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
@jessefferguson.bsky.social spot on with this:
“In every postmortem on 2024 or planning discussion for the years ahead, the fundamental question every Democrat should ask is: How will this help us grow?"
t.co/9xEPssHIws
“In every postmortem on 2024 or planning discussion for the years ahead, the fundamental question every Democrat should ask is: How will this help us grow?"
t.co/9xEPssHIws
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/democrats-get-over-obama-coalition-time-grow-anew
t.co
March 1, 2025 at 4:48 PM
@jessefferguson.bsky.social spot on with this:
“In every postmortem on 2024 or planning discussion for the years ahead, the fundamental question every Democrat should ask is: How will this help us grow?"
t.co/9xEPssHIws
“In every postmortem on 2024 or planning discussion for the years ahead, the fundamental question every Democrat should ask is: How will this help us grow?"
t.co/9xEPssHIws
Calling it "Musk's DOGE" instead of just DOGE, increases its negatives by 10 points. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
February 28, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Calling it "Musk's DOGE" instead of just DOGE, increases its negatives by 10 points. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
JD Vance’s statement that it’s not appeasement if the invaded country can’t win is both a jaw-dropping read of history and an open invitation to dictators across the world.
February 21, 2025 at 6:56 PM
JD Vance’s statement that it’s not appeasement if the invaded country can’t win is both a jaw-dropping read of history and an open invitation to dictators across the world.
To a question about layoffs at the CDC, McCormick said that their jobs were "duplicitous because of AI." Good luck to GOP members if that's their answer for why they are gutting scientific research, laying off veterans, firing park rangers, and so on.
U.S. Rep. Rich McCormick was peppered with boos and catcalls throughout a town hall meeting in Roswell late Thursday, as hundreds of critics jeered the Republican for backing President Donald Trump’s agenda during his first month in office. #gapol ajc.com/politics/mcc...
Georgia congressman confronted by angry crowd over support for Trump’s agenda
U.S. Rep. Rich McCormick was met with boos and jeers at a town hall in a north Atlanta suburb Thursday.
ajc.com
February 21, 2025 at 2:28 PM
To a question about layoffs at the CDC, McCormick said that their jobs were "duplicitous because of AI." Good luck to GOP members if that's their answer for why they are gutting scientific research, laying off veterans, firing park rangers, and so on.
Rarely do you see a polling result so universal than this data from the Quinnipiac Poll on Putin's untrustworthiness. Everyone seems to understand this except...
February 19, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Rarely do you see a polling result so universal than this data from the Quinnipiac Poll on Putin's untrustworthiness. Everyone seems to understand this except...
Drip, drip, drip. Elon Musk slowly getting more unpopular with each passing week in the YouGov/Economist poll.
February 17, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Drip, drip, drip. Elon Musk slowly getting more unpopular with each passing week in the YouGov/Economist poll.
Re: this AM's inflation report:
Inflation and the cost of living is voters' top concern -- 59% of voters say this. But only 29% say that's what Trump/GOP is focusing on, which is down 7 points from mid-January. Via
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
Inflation and the cost of living is voters' top concern -- 59% of voters say this. But only 29% say that's what Trump/GOP is focusing on, which is down 7 points from mid-January. Via
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
February 12, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Re: this AM's inflation report:
Inflation and the cost of living is voters' top concern -- 59% of voters say this. But only 29% say that's what Trump/GOP is focusing on, which is down 7 points from mid-January. Via
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
Inflation and the cost of living is voters' top concern -- 59% of voters say this. But only 29% say that's what Trump/GOP is focusing on, which is down 7 points from mid-January. Via
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
Many political observers have memory-holed what an actual modern day presidential honeymoon looks like. Trump's numbers well below where Biden was at this time in his presidency. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
February 12, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Many political observers have memory-holed what an actual modern day presidential honeymoon looks like. Trump's numbers well below where Biden was at this time in his presidency. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social
Musk's favorable rating is already under water, and can get worse. 24% unfavorable with Republicans is notable.
Important to keep the pressure on and volume up.
Important to keep the pressure on and volume up.
54% of Americans, including 85% of Democrats and 24% of Republicans, have an unfavorable opinion of Elon Musk. www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
February 7, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Musk's favorable rating is already under water, and can get worse. 24% unfavorable with Republicans is notable.
Important to keep the pressure on and volume up.
Important to keep the pressure on and volume up.
The polling on tariffs starts off in a pretty bad place, with various polls saying voters oppose them, think they’ll make costs go up, will hurt their family, etc. Not that surprising after an election where the top issue was costs and inflation.
February 2, 2025 at 1:49 PM
The polling on tariffs starts off in a pretty bad place, with various polls saying voters oppose them, think they’ll make costs go up, will hurt their family, etc. Not that surprising after an election where the top issue was costs and inflation.