Jon Green
@jongreen.bsky.social
Assistant professor, Department of Political Science, Duke University
jgreen4919.github.io
jgreen4919.github.io
Reposted by Jon Green
A lovely trip down to Durham. Thanks @jongreen.bsky.social for the invite!
November 19, 2025 at 9:20 PM
A lovely trip down to Durham. Thanks @jongreen.bsky.social for the invite!
Reposted by Jon Green
This is, of course, a fascinating thread from Kate asking why Google is effectively cannibalizing its own market for both digital ads on third party properties and search ads, by effectively taking away the incentive to click through to third party sites. I have a theory as to why they're doing it.
So this ad revenue metric is indicative of such a fascinating and weird set of business decisions by Google to inexplicably kill of SEO-- and I honestly don't get how they think this is going to pay off for them in the long run.
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Stereogum says Google's switch to AI Overviews reduced its ad revenue by *70 percent* www.theverge.com/entertainmen...
November 18, 2025 at 9:26 PM
This is, of course, a fascinating thread from Kate asking why Google is effectively cannibalizing its own market for both digital ads on third party properties and search ads, by effectively taking away the incentive to click through to third party sites. I have a theory as to why they're doing it.
Reposted by Jon Green
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
November 18, 2025 at 7:16 PM
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
how to solve grade inflation
November 18, 2025 at 9:55 PM
how to solve grade inflation
Schumer putting up Mitch McConnell numbers -- modern party leaders may just be structurally positioned to have bad national favorability ratings?
Zohran Mamdani has a higher favorability rating than Donald Trump, JD Vance or Chuck Schumer. The most popular political figures in America are Barack Obama and Bernie Sanders www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
November 18, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Schumer putting up Mitch McConnell numbers -- modern party leaders may just be structurally positioned to have bad national favorability ratings?
this is essentially the question I had my intro students answer for their last essay assignment and they all did better than this
Was just listening to a conversation between a VC and an author who writes about innovation, and they were discussing "why Elon couldn't successfully reform the government" and it was the dumbest conversation I've heard in a while. And I realized they were starting with the wrong premise...
November 18, 2025 at 5:51 PM
this is essentially the question I had my intro students answer for their last essay assignment and they all did better than this
cloudflare outage once again showing that the internet really is a series of tubes after all
November 18, 2025 at 1:59 PM
cloudflare outage once again showing that the internet really is a series of tubes after all
Reposted by Jon Green
Measuring the Ideology of Political Parties Worldwide
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
November 18, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Measuring the Ideology of Political Parties Worldwide
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
Given how much material he has to work with I don’t think Lizza did himself any favors by commenting on how old Nuzzi’s other partners have been.
oh my god you have to read this until the end www.telos.news/p/part-1-how...
Part 1: How I Found Out
Olivia had just returned from a reporting trip—at least that’s what she told me it was—and her Herschel backpack, the one with the flap that never quite closed properly, was tossed beside our bed, its...
www.telos.news
November 18, 2025 at 2:15 AM
Given how much material he has to work with I don’t think Lizza did himself any favors by commenting on how old Nuzzi’s other partners have been.
I get a lot more forgiving of measurement challenges in the social sciences when I try to answer the question: how many words are in this PDF?
November 17, 2025 at 8:06 PM
I get a lot more forgiving of measurement challenges in the social sciences when I try to answer the question: how many words are in this PDF?
Would you still love me if I w̴a̴s̴ ̴a̴ ̴w̴o̴r̴m̴ had a brain worm?
November 17, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Would you still love me if I w̴a̴s̴ ̴a̴ ̴w̴o̴r̴m̴ had a brain worm?
Reposted by Jon Green
A short thread of observations using Max Andrew's tool to explore the network of relationships revealed in the Epstein estate email cache. @thatsjustlikeyouropinionman.com
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1. There is a tight inner circle, densely connected. Trump is in the near outer rim.
epstein-doc-explorer-1.onrender.com
🧵
1. There is a tight inner circle, densely connected. Trump is in the near outer rim.
epstein-doc-explorer-1.onrender.com
November 17, 2025 at 4:29 AM
A short thread of observations using Max Andrew's tool to explore the network of relationships revealed in the Epstein estate email cache. @thatsjustlikeyouropinionman.com
🧵
1. There is a tight inner circle, densely connected. Trump is in the near outer rim.
epstein-doc-explorer-1.onrender.com
🧵
1. There is a tight inner circle, densely connected. Trump is in the near outer rim.
epstein-doc-explorer-1.onrender.com
ah of course that little known clause in Article II that says the president gets one “get out of judicial review free” voucher they can turn in at any point during their term for something they really care about
Bessent on tariffs: "This is one of President Trump's signature policies, and traditionally the Supreme Court does not interfere with a president's signature policy."
November 16, 2025 at 5:55 PM
ah of course that little known clause in Article II that says the president gets one “get out of judicial review free” voucher they can turn in at any point during their term for something they really care about
Reposted by Jon Green
This is a very vague and consequently stupid headline, and the copy is a little too coy for the subject matter, but guys, this is an article mainly about how Epstein was able to manipulate his media connections and Manhattan power broker buds to maintain his public image. It’s not a eulogy
November 16, 2025 at 2:58 PM
This is a very vague and consequently stupid headline, and the copy is a little too coy for the subject matter, but guys, this is an article mainly about how Epstein was able to manipulate his media connections and Manhattan power broker buds to maintain his public image. It’s not a eulogy
Reposted by Jon Green
Nuzzi, like TCW, exists as a kind of simulacrum of the midcentury public intellectual. Not even ripping off the writers of that era, but imitating a sort of half-remembered, half-invented idea of what those writers were sort of like and what their general vibe was.
November 14, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Nuzzi, like TCW, exists as a kind of simulacrum of the midcentury public intellectual. Not even ripping off the writers of that era, but imitating a sort of half-remembered, half-invented idea of what those writers were sort of like and what their general vibe was.
separate drivers license/road test requirements for pickups/SUVs above a certain height/length threshold. you want a vehicle 2x the size you need to get around town, you should have to prove to the state that you can navigate a parking garage in that thing
"my least woke opinion is---"
That's enough. We've had enough people indulging in the "thrill of a little conservatism", as a treat. Of considering reactionary thought to be a salacious and taboo in a world descending into reactionary mania.
Give me your MOST woke opinions. We're bringing it back.
That's enough. We've had enough people indulging in the "thrill of a little conservatism", as a treat. Of considering reactionary thought to be a salacious and taboo in a world descending into reactionary mania.
Give me your MOST woke opinions. We're bringing it back.
November 14, 2025 at 4:10 PM
separate drivers license/road test requirements for pickups/SUVs above a certain height/length threshold. you want a vehicle 2x the size you need to get around town, you should have to prove to the state that you can navigate a parking garage in that thing
this is combining like three different black mirror episodes into one bad idea, all the way down to a guy who looks vaguely like Domhnall Gleeson
November 14, 2025 at 3:06 PM
this is combining like three different black mirror episodes into one bad idea, all the way down to a guy who looks vaguely like Domhnall Gleeson
memebrane is what you get when you go too long without touching grass
"skin as part of brain?"
This is that great intellect people talk about?
November 13, 2025 at 3:12 PM
memebrane is what you get when you go too long without touching grass
everyone is twelve
what if, as a thought experiment, we imagine leadership class that isn't addicted to basement-tier incel whining
November 13, 2025 at 2:40 PM
everyone is twelve
Reposted by Jon Green
QANON CULTIST IN 2017: "In this 1,879 page thread I will unravel the byzantine system of codewords and phrases the global elite use to mask their pedophile cabal."
JEFFREY EPSTEIN WRITING AN EMAIL AT THE SAME TIME: "helo its me jeff had fun cmmitting sex crimes wit u lst weeknd"
JEFFREY EPSTEIN WRITING AN EMAIL AT THE SAME TIME: "helo its me jeff had fun cmmitting sex crimes wit u lst weeknd"
pretty funny in retrospect that QAnon hinged on the idea that powerful elites at the highest levels of government were smart enough to talk in code when sending emails to each other about their despicable crimes
November 12, 2025 at 10:15 PM
QANON CULTIST IN 2017: "In this 1,879 page thread I will unravel the byzantine system of codewords and phrases the global elite use to mask their pedophile cabal."
JEFFREY EPSTEIN WRITING AN EMAIL AT THE SAME TIME: "helo its me jeff had fun cmmitting sex crimes wit u lst weeknd"
JEFFREY EPSTEIN WRITING AN EMAIL AT THE SAME TIME: "helo its me jeff had fun cmmitting sex crimes wit u lst weeknd"
conspiracy theory: epstein advised the Russians on how to deal with Trump (blackmail)
reality: epstein advised the Russians on how to deal with Trump (telling them not to overthink it because he's not that bright)
reality: epstein advised the Russians on how to deal with Trump (telling them not to overthink it because he's not that bright)
NEW: Jeffrey Epstein said in emails that he had been advising the Russian government on how to deal with Donald Trump, one of several cases in which he wielded his connections to try to influence the course of foreign affairs. w @nahaltoosi
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
November 12, 2025 at 8:59 PM
conspiracy theory: epstein advised the Russians on how to deal with Trump (blackmail)
reality: epstein advised the Russians on how to deal with Trump (telling them not to overthink it because he's not that bright)
reality: epstein advised the Russians on how to deal with Trump (telling them not to overthink it because he's not that bright)
I suspect that anyone who can be flipped now could have been flipped whenever it looked like Grijalva would actually get sworn in.
Trump called Boebert re: her Epstein Files discharge petition signature, Annie Karni reports.
If she can be flipped ASAP, the delay in seating Grijalva will have again blocked the full release of the files.
If she can be flipped ASAP, the delay in seating Grijalva will have again blocked the full release of the files.
November 12, 2025 at 8:34 PM
I suspect that anyone who can be flipped now could have been flipped whenever it looked like Grijalva would actually get sworn in.
This is a draft working paper. Please do not repeat this insight without consulting the authors.
November 12, 2025 at 5:22 PM
This is a draft working paper. Please do not repeat this insight without consulting the authors.