@inpinn.bsky.social
Reposted
The UK will celebrate net emigration and depopulation come 2027.
And by 2028 it will start to realise, with an ageing society and low growth, what a really silly thing it has done.
The right will go "pro-natalist", the centre-left will be completely stuck.
And by 2028 it will start to realise, with an ageing society and low growth, what a really silly thing it has done.
The right will go "pro-natalist", the centre-left will be completely stuck.
December 22, 2025 at 7:28 AM
The UK will celebrate net emigration and depopulation come 2027.
And by 2028 it will start to realise, with an ageing society and low growth, what a really silly thing it has done.
The right will go "pro-natalist", the centre-left will be completely stuck.
And by 2028 it will start to realise, with an ageing society and low growth, what a really silly thing it has done.
The right will go "pro-natalist", the centre-left will be completely stuck.
Reposted
New post just out:
"The Overshoot"
Net migration is collapsing, and will fall further over the coming years. We could even have net emigration.
What does that mean for the country and the political narrative as we head towards the next election?
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
"The Overshoot"
Net migration is collapsing, and will fall further over the coming years. We could even have net emigration.
What does that mean for the country and the political narrative as we head towards the next election?
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
The Overshoot
What happens to politics, and the country, as net migration collapses?
open.substack.com
December 16, 2025 at 8:46 AM
New post just out:
"The Overshoot"
Net migration is collapsing, and will fall further over the coming years. We could even have net emigration.
What does that mean for the country and the political narrative as we head towards the next election?
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
"The Overshoot"
Net migration is collapsing, and will fall further over the coming years. We could even have net emigration.
What does that mean for the country and the political narrative as we head towards the next election?
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
Reposted
This is an excellent, level-headed, informative piece. I'd kill for a government which could discuss the issue with the same sense of objectivity and calm.
Here's this week's column. Please - please - can we stop talking about migration in a way that's completely detached from the facts? www.theguardian.com/business/202...
Net migration is plummeting. Why can’t Labour say so? | Heather Stewart
An honest debate is needed on this polarising topic as sectors such as social care struggle with recruitment
www.theguardian.com
November 30, 2025 at 12:48 PM
This is an excellent, level-headed, informative piece. I'd kill for a government which could discuss the issue with the same sense of objectivity and calm.
Reposted
This is not a peace plan. It is a proposal that weakens Ukraine and divides America from Europe, preparing the way for a larger war in the future. In the meantime, it benefits unnamed Russian and American investors, at the expense of everyone else.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Trump Has a Recipe for War and Corruption, Not Peace
Who would benefit from the White House’s 28-point proposal for Ukraine?
www.theatlantic.com
November 22, 2025 at 11:11 AM
This is not a peace plan. It is a proposal that weakens Ukraine and divides America from Europe, preparing the way for a larger war in the future. In the meantime, it benefits unnamed Russian and American investors, at the expense of everyone else.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Reposted
It's all so supine and pathologically risk averse. A government trying to survive day to day, too scared to take the kindness of big decisive action which would repair the country and win an election. An unbelievable wasted opportunity.
November 26, 2025 at 5:57 PM
It's all so supine and pathologically risk averse. A government trying to survive day to day, too scared to take the kindness of big decisive action which would repair the country and win an election. An unbelievable wasted opportunity.
Reposted
According to Kemi Badenoch, Rachel Reeves is the worst Chancellor in history.... er....
#KwasiKwarteng
#KwasiKwarteng
November 26, 2025 at 1:53 PM
According to Kemi Badenoch, Rachel Reeves is the worst Chancellor in history.... er....
#KwasiKwarteng
#KwasiKwarteng
Reposted
But it is appalling for the female leader of the opposition to be so personally vindictive against the first female Chancellor.
It is simply childish. Using personal insults to cover up for the lack of policy response from the hollowed out con party
It is simply childish. Using personal insults to cover up for the lack of policy response from the hollowed out con party
November 26, 2025 at 1:57 PM
But it is appalling for the female leader of the opposition to be so personally vindictive against the first female Chancellor.
It is simply childish. Using personal insults to cover up for the lack of policy response from the hollowed out con party
It is simply childish. Using personal insults to cover up for the lack of policy response from the hollowed out con party
Reposted
And honestly I don't give a fuck if it's popular or not. It's going to make a lot of kids' lives better. That's the point of government. Not an opinion poll.
November 26, 2025 at 1:12 PM
And honestly I don't give a fuck if it's popular or not. It's going to make a lot of kids' lives better. That's the point of government. Not an opinion poll.
Reposted
The UK’s problems stem from having too few successful, productive, international industries. This permeates all areas of national life. It means many places have too few well paid jobs and too little income coming in. This constrains spending in the local economy, hurting smaller businesses.
November 17, 2025 at 8:05 AM
The UK’s problems stem from having too few successful, productive, international industries. This permeates all areas of national life. It means many places have too few well paid jobs and too little income coming in. This constrains spending in the local economy, hurting smaller businesses.
Reposted
I have a new blog post out with The UK In A Changing Europe on how lower migration will be bad for the UK economy: ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic p...
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 6, 2025 at 3:30 PM
I have a new blog post out with The UK In A Changing Europe on how lower migration will be bad for the UK economy: ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Reposted
Immigration, indecency, and incompetence. New post on my Brexit & Brexitism Blog. The ever-more indecent terms of the immigration 'debate' are another failure of Brexit, which links to the ever-more obvious incompetence of Reform in local government: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/10/immi...
October 31, 2025 at 7:39 AM
Immigration, indecency, and incompetence. New post on my Brexit & Brexitism Blog. The ever-more indecent terms of the immigration 'debate' are another failure of Brexit, which links to the ever-more obvious incompetence of Reform in local government: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/10/immi...
Reposted
It certainly could, as our eight-page SPECIAL REPORT sets out in full, financially unsound detail in the new Private Eye, out now.
🧵3/3
🧵3/3
October 15, 2025 at 10:54 AM
It certainly could, as our eight-page SPECIAL REPORT sets out in full, financially unsound detail in the new Private Eye, out now.
🧵3/3
🧵3/3
Reposted
Parents fined as daughter with SEND absent nearly 200 times from school. Basically, we tried to help, the parents tried hard, but we thought it best to fine them… It doesn’t say if she had a needs assessment or an EHCP www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/...
Parents fined as daughter absent nearly 200 times from Stoke-on-Trent school
A mum and dad have been fined, despite spending up to £70 per week trying to get daughter to school, a court heard.
www.bbc.co.uk
October 8, 2025 at 12:25 PM
Parents fined as daughter with SEND absent nearly 200 times from school. Basically, we tried to help, the parents tried hard, but we thought it best to fine them… It doesn’t say if she had a needs assessment or an EHCP www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/...
Reposted
Has Labour woken up? New post on my Brexit & Brexitism Blog analysing how Starmer’s Labour seems to be taking a firmer line with Reform and Brexitism, rattling Farage, but many ambiguities and contradictions remain:
chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/10/has-...
chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/10/has-...
October 3, 2025 at 6:29 AM
Has Labour woken up? New post on my Brexit & Brexitism Blog analysing how Starmer’s Labour seems to be taking a firmer line with Reform and Brexitism, rattling Farage, but many ambiguities and contradictions remain:
chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/10/has-...
chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/10/has-...
Reposted
Which is it?
We need ID cards or we don’t need ID cards.
Because Councillor Darren Grimes can’t make up his mind.
We need ID cards or we don’t need ID cards.
Because Councillor Darren Grimes can’t make up his mind.
September 25, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Which is it?
We need ID cards or we don’t need ID cards.
Because Councillor Darren Grimes can’t make up his mind.
We need ID cards or we don’t need ID cards.
Because Councillor Darren Grimes can’t make up his mind.
Reposted
There is another country. New post on my Brexit & Brexitism Blog discussing the thuggery, sanctimony and hypocrisy of the last fortnight, and how Starmer should lead in articulating an alternative version of patriotism to that of the far-right: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/09/ther...
September 19, 2025 at 6:23 AM
There is another country. New post on my Brexit & Brexitism Blog discussing the thuggery, sanctimony and hypocrisy of the last fortnight, and how Starmer should lead in articulating an alternative version of patriotism to that of the far-right: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/09/ther...
Reposted
Pensions, productivity and the myth of the migrant “drain” – why Britain’s real crisis is ageing, not immigration.
Another cracker from the Bear.
@eastangliabylines.co.uk @bearlypolitics.co.uk
Another cracker from the Bear.
@eastangliabylines.co.uk @bearlypolitics.co.uk
Nan’s not bankrupting Britain (but politicians might be)
Pensions, productivity and the myth of the migrant “drain” – why Britain’s real crisis is ageing, not immigration
eastangliabylines.co.uk
September 7, 2025 at 6:38 AM
Pensions, productivity and the myth of the migrant “drain” – why Britain’s real crisis is ageing, not immigration.
Another cracker from the Bear.
@eastangliabylines.co.uk @bearlypolitics.co.uk
Another cracker from the Bear.
@eastangliabylines.co.uk @bearlypolitics.co.uk
Reposted
My main issue with the debate around ECHR is that no one advocating for it seems willing to accept that the past decade of politics has shown us that withdrawing from organisations/treaties/institutions always has more unintended consequences than intended, usually negative.
September 1, 2025 at 7:09 AM
My main issue with the debate around ECHR is that no one advocating for it seems willing to accept that the past decade of politics has shown us that withdrawing from organisations/treaties/institutions always has more unintended consequences than intended, usually negative.
Reposted
Those who seek to constantly talk it down do so because they have an agenda that is at stark odds with the reality of the streets. And because most of all, London demonstrates a truth that they would rather not face - namely, that multiculturalism not only works but can underpin a thriving city.
July 22, 2025 at 12:01 PM
Those who seek to constantly talk it down do so because they have an agenda that is at stark odds with the reality of the streets. And because most of all, London demonstrates a truth that they would rather not face - namely, that multiculturalism not only works but can underpin a thriving city.
Reposted
University bankruptcies will endanger prosperity and social mobility across a swathe northern towns - and Labour marginals. Yet the Government seems to be sleepwalking into disaster. national.thelead.uk/p/higher-edu...
Higher Education is in financial crisis – and a closure could ruin a northern town
Plus: Defections and scandal in this week's Reform Watch, everything our team recommends in the latest The Lead Digest, and more from the North of England.
national.thelead.uk
July 10, 2025 at 6:28 PM
University bankruptcies will endanger prosperity and social mobility across a swathe northern towns - and Labour marginals. Yet the Government seems to be sleepwalking into disaster. national.thelead.uk/p/higher-edu...
Reposted
Brexit: the next phase. New post on my Brexit & Beyond Blog. With the Gibraltar agreement ending the A50 issues, and the Reset Summit over, we're entering a period of technical adjustments. Thoughts on that, and the 9th anniversary of the Referendum: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/06/brex...
June 20, 2025 at 6:11 AM
Brexit: the next phase. New post on my Brexit & Beyond Blog. With the Gibraltar agreement ending the A50 issues, and the Reset Summit over, we're entering a period of technical adjustments. Thoughts on that, and the 9th anniversary of the Referendum: chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2025/06/brex...
Reposted
The Israeli government has shown that it is not prepared to stop until every Palestinian in #Gaza is dead, disabled or displaced. Every day in which it is still armed and supported by Western states, our own included, is a stain on international law.
June 18, 2025 at 11:16 AM
The Israeli government has shown that it is not prepared to stop until every Palestinian in #Gaza is dead, disabled or displaced. Every day in which it is still armed and supported by Western states, our own included, is a stain on international law.
Reposted
Spain has constructed an entire national network of high-speed rail since the 1990s, covering almost 2,500 miles of track.
If HS2 opens in 2033, it will have taken almost as long to build one-eighteenth of that distance.
Spain is still building more, planning to have 4,300 miles.
If HS2 opens in 2033, it will have taken almost as long to build one-eighteenth of that distance.
Spain is still building more, planning to have 4,300 miles.
Sorry, but this is not true. Designing and building a system to allow travel at 500kph is pushing the boundaries. Having to do that while ensuring a lifespan of 150 years, and accounting for climate change, adds an additional layer of difficulty.
June 18, 2025 at 11:42 AM
Spain has constructed an entire national network of high-speed rail since the 1990s, covering almost 2,500 miles of track.
If HS2 opens in 2033, it will have taken almost as long to build one-eighteenth of that distance.
Spain is still building more, planning to have 4,300 miles.
If HS2 opens in 2033, it will have taken almost as long to build one-eighteenth of that distance.
Spain is still building more, planning to have 4,300 miles.
Reposted
British decline in one story.
Any state which finds itself incapable of managing a project as basic as rolling out a 20th century tech between its biggest cities needs to ask itself some profound questions about what hope it has of managing the technologies of the 21st.
Any state which finds itself incapable of managing a project as basic as rolling out a 20th century tech between its biggest cities needs to ask itself some profound questions about what hope it has of managing the technologies of the 21st.
June 18, 2025 at 10:25 AM
British decline in one story.
Any state which finds itself incapable of managing a project as basic as rolling out a 20th century tech between its biggest cities needs to ask itself some profound questions about what hope it has of managing the technologies of the 21st.
Any state which finds itself incapable of managing a project as basic as rolling out a 20th century tech between its biggest cities needs to ask itself some profound questions about what hope it has of managing the technologies of the 21st.
Reposted
🚨🚨 This is pure evil and heinous war crimes committed by the #russian war machine whilst the Western partners is looking passively on the sides. #Ukraine needs proper #airsupport and it is time for Europe/NATO to get involved on the ground with such support.
The moment when the Russian drone directly hit a residential building in Kyiv appeared online.
Russians continue to fight against civilians.
Russians continue to fight against civilians.
June 17, 2025 at 7:49 AM
🚨🚨 This is pure evil and heinous war crimes committed by the #russian war machine whilst the Western partners is looking passively on the sides. #Ukraine needs proper #airsupport and it is time for Europe/NATO to get involved on the ground with such support.