Daniel Forti
@fortid.crisisgroup.org
Senior UN Analyst @crisisgroup.org
Reposted by Daniel Forti
ONLINE EVENT | Violence and Politics in Haiti’s Transitional Government
26 February | 10am Port-Au-Prince | 4pm Brussels | 10am New York
@emmadouyon.bsky.social, Frantz Duval,
@fortid1.bsky.social, @diegodarin.bsky.social & @renatasegura.bsky.social
Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
26 February | 10am Port-Au-Prince | 4pm Brussels | 10am New York
@emmadouyon.bsky.social, Frantz Duval,
@fortid1.bsky.social, @diegodarin.bsky.social & @renatasegura.bsky.social
Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
February 20, 2025 at 2:49 PM
ONLINE EVENT | Violence and Politics in Haiti’s Transitional Government
26 February | 10am Port-Au-Prince | 4pm Brussels | 10am New York
@emmadouyon.bsky.social, Frantz Duval,
@fortid1.bsky.social, @diegodarin.bsky.social & @renatasegura.bsky.social
Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
26 February | 10am Port-Au-Prince | 4pm Brussels | 10am New York
@emmadouyon.bsky.social, Frantz Duval,
@fortid1.bsky.social, @diegodarin.bsky.social & @renatasegura.bsky.social
Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
With strong quotes from @fortid1.bsky.social.
Israel’s ban on UNRWA, the primary United Nations aid agency for Palestinians, went into effect on Jan. 30, and it’s expected to have rippling consequences across the region.
Israel’s UNRWA Ban, Explained
“It’s very hard to see how this is going to bring more stability to Gaza,” one expert said.
foreignpolicy.com
January 31, 2025 at 4:32 PM
With strong quotes from @fortid1.bsky.social.
Richard has spent the past few weeks canvassing colleagues at the UN about what they expect from the new US administration.
He lays out a few ideas, and more uncertainties, in this new article for @justsecurity.org
He lays out a few ideas, and more uncertainties, in this new article for @justsecurity.org
I look at how UN insiders are bracing for Elise Stefanik's confirmation hearing @justsecurity.org.
www.justsecurity.org/106397/stefa...
www.justsecurity.org/106397/stefa...
Stefanik’s Senate Confirmation Hearings Bring Mix of Worry and Opportunity at UN
Foreign diplomats at the U.N. will likely watch Stefanik's confirmation hearings with a mixture of trepidation and tempered optimism.
www.justsecurity.org
January 15, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Richard has spent the past few weeks canvassing colleagues at the UN about what they expect from the new US administration.
He lays out a few ideas, and more uncertainties, in this new article for @justsecurity.org
He lays out a few ideas, and more uncertainties, in this new article for @justsecurity.org
Reposted by Daniel Forti
While there is a lot of talk about a "crisis of peacekeeping" @fortid1.bsky.social and I argue @crisisgroup.org that the debate about the future of UN peace ops is starting to get a little more positive and constructive.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
Fresh Thinking about Peace Operations at the UN | Crisis Group
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over. But at UN headquarters in New York, the discussions about the subject are not quite so fatalistic.
www.crisisgroup.org
January 7, 2025 at 4:40 PM
While there is a lot of talk about a "crisis of peacekeeping" @fortid1.bsky.social and I argue @crisisgroup.org that the debate about the future of UN peace ops is starting to get a little more positive and constructive.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
A reason not to give up on UN missions is the difficulty of sustaining credible alternatives. But says @fortid1.bsky.social @richardgowan1.bsky.social UN members should bear in mind that Trump's White Hse is almost certain to ask hard questions about their value.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
Fresh Thinking about Peace Operations at the UN | Crisis Group
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over. But at UN headquarters in New York, the discussions about the subject are not quite so fatalistic.
www.crisisgroup.org
January 7, 2025 at 4:28 PM
A reason not to give up on UN missions is the difficulty of sustaining credible alternatives. But says @fortid1.bsky.social @richardgowan1.bsky.social UN members should bear in mind that Trump's White Hse is almost certain to ask hard questions about their value.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
NEW COMMENTARY | Fresh Thinking about Peace Operations at the UN
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
Fresh Thinking about Peace Operations at the UN | Crisis Group
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over. But at UN headquarters in New York, the discussions about the subject are not quite so fatalistic.
www.crisisgroup.org
January 7, 2025 at 4:36 PM
NEW COMMENTARY | Fresh Thinking about Peace Operations at the UN
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
In our latest for @crisisgroup.org, @richardgowan1.bsky.social and I take stock of recent peacekeeping debates at the UN.
We argue that the time is ripe for fresh thinking about the future of UN missions.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
We argue that the time is ripe for fresh thinking about the future of UN missions.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
Fresh Thinking about Peace Operations at the UN | Crisis Group
With blue-helmet deployments shrinking, and facing political and financial headwinds, it may seem that the heyday of multilateral peacekeeping is over. But at UN headquarters in New York, the discussions about the subject are not quite so fatalistic.
www.crisisgroup.org
January 7, 2025 at 5:01 PM
In our latest for @crisisgroup.org, @richardgowan1.bsky.social and I take stock of recent peacekeeping debates at the UN.
We argue that the time is ripe for fresh thinking about the future of UN missions.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
We argue that the time is ripe for fresh thinking about the future of UN missions.
www.crisisgroup.org/global/fresh...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
The biggest change is, of course, the fact that China—the 2nd largest assessed contributor—is now responsible for over 20% under both scales. The fact that the two largest contributors do not pay assessments on time is one of the main factors driving the ongoing liquidity crisis at the UN. [2/3]
January 7, 2025 at 2:20 PM
The biggest change is, of course, the fact that China—the 2nd largest assessed contributor—is now responsible for over 20% under both scales. The fact that the two largest contributors do not pay assessments on time is one of the main factors driving the ongoing liquidity crisis at the UN. [2/3]
Big vote in UNSC tomorrow to determine the fate of @ATMIS_Somalia / #AUSSOM
Rapid reaction: 2719 closer to reality but not a done deal.
Next decision point in May ‘25 with different US leadership at the table.
Good to see African/Euro synergies.
AU, UN ops still in limbo.
Rapid reaction: 2719 closer to reality but not a done deal.
Next decision point in May ‘25 with different US leadership at the table.
Good to see African/Euro synergies.
AU, UN ops still in limbo.
December 27, 2024 at 4:39 AM
Big vote in UNSC tomorrow to determine the fate of @ATMIS_Somalia / #AUSSOM
Rapid reaction: 2719 closer to reality but not a done deal.
Next decision point in May ‘25 with different US leadership at the table.
Good to see African/Euro synergies.
AU, UN ops still in limbo.
Rapid reaction: 2719 closer to reality but not a done deal.
Next decision point in May ‘25 with different US leadership at the table.
Good to see African/Euro synergies.
AU, UN ops still in limbo.
Reposted by Daniel Forti
At least 184 people killed in Port-au-Prince’s Cite de Soleil neighborhood. The MSS said to the NYT they were not aware of the killings.
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
Massacre in Haiti’s Capital Leaves Over 100 Dead, Rights Group Says
The killings in a Port-au-Prince slum, which appeared to target practitioners of voodoo, were ordered by a gang leader, a human rights organization said.
www.nytimes.com
December 9, 2024 at 1:04 PM
At least 184 people killed in Port-au-Prince’s Cite de Soleil neighborhood. The MSS said to the NYT they were not aware of the killings.
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
Reposted by Daniel Forti
THREAD 🧵: The ceasefire in Lebanon and the current turmoil in Syria has prompted a recalibration of priorities among Iraqi resistance groups. Before, their attacks on Israel kept the government busy trying to avert potential Israeli strikes on Iraq. 1/9
December 4, 2024 at 7:30 PM
THREAD 🧵: The ceasefire in Lebanon and the current turmoil in Syria has prompted a recalibration of priorities among Iraqi resistance groups. Before, their attacks on Israel kept the government busy trying to avert potential Israeli strikes on Iraq. 1/9
Reposted by Daniel Forti
NEW Q&A | Syria’s North-western Front Erupts
Rebels have captured Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, putting the Syrian government on the back foot.
In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain what has happened and how the various parties may react.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Rebels have captured Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, putting the Syrian government on the back foot.
In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain what has happened and how the various parties may react.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Syria’s North-western Front Erupts | Crisis Group
Rebels have captured Aleppo, the country’s second most significant city, abruptly throwing the Syrian government on the back foot. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain what has happened and how the various parties to Syria’s conflict may react.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 5, 2024 at 11:10 AM
NEW Q&A | Syria’s North-western Front Erupts
Rebels have captured Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, putting the Syrian government on the back foot.
In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain what has happened and how the various parties may react.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Rebels have captured Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, putting the Syrian government on the back foot.
In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain what has happened and how the various parties may react.
www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
At times, it may seem that all @CrisisGroup work is exclusively in English. You'll be pleased to know that we're trying to promote our work in other languages as well - including French, Spanish, Arabic etc
Our last report on #Mali is solely available in French : www.crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sa...
Our last report on #Mali is solely available in French : www.crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sa...
Le tournant souverainiste au Mali : ajuster la trajectoire | Crisis Group
Depuis 2021, les autorités maliennes ont fait du souverainisme le moteur d’une politique de rupture dans les domaines sécuritaire, diplomatique et économique. Elles peinent cependant à répondre aux attentes des populations, faute de ressources et de solutions durables aux problèmes sécuritaires. Le régime devrait explorer la voie d’un souverainisme plus équilibré.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 4, 2024 at 1:09 PM
At times, it may seem that all @CrisisGroup work is exclusively in English. You'll be pleased to know that we're trying to promote our work in other languages as well - including French, Spanish, Arabic etc
Our last report on #Mali is solely available in French : www.crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sa...
Our last report on #Mali is solely available in French : www.crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sa...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
Israel and Lebanon (meaning Hezbollah) agreed to a ceasefire a week ago. How is it faring? UNIFIL reports already 100 Israeli violations. Yet by and large the ceasefire seems to be holding. What can we expect? My @crisisgroup.org colleagues offer their views. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Can the Hizbollah-Israel Ceasefire Hold? | Crisis Group
Lebanon and Israel have reached an agreement to end the Hizbollah-Israel fighting that began on 8 October 2023. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Heiko Wimmen, David Wood and Mairav Zonszein examine the truce’s terms and weigh the chances that the parties will honour them.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 3, 2024 at 8:47 PM
Israel and Lebanon (meaning Hezbollah) agreed to a ceasefire a week ago. How is it faring? UNIFIL reports already 100 Israeli violations. Yet by and large the ceasefire seems to be holding. What can we expect? My @crisisgroup.org colleagues offer their views. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
NEW REPORT | A Course Correction for Mali’s Sovereign Turn
Since coming to power in 2021 after two coups d’état, the Malian authorities have taken a “sovereignist” turn that is transforming the country’s domestic policy and foreign relations.
www.crisisgroup.org/en/africa/sa...
December 3, 2024 at 3:14 PM
NEW REPORT | A Course Correction for Mali’s Sovereign Turn
Since coming to power in 2021 after two coups d’état, the Malian authorities have taken a “sovereignist” turn that is transforming the country’s domestic policy and foreign relations.
www.crisisgroup.org/en/africa/sa...
Happy to be at #CAF24Berlin on behalf of @crisisgroup.org!
Looking forward to continuing the debates about the future of UN peace operations with colleagues from around the world.
Many thanks to @challengesforum.bsky.social & @zif.bsky.social
Looking forward to continuing the debates about the future of UN peace operations with colleagues from around the world.
Many thanks to @challengesforum.bsky.social & @zif.bsky.social
December 3, 2024 at 8:24 AM
Happy to be at #CAF24Berlin on behalf of @crisisgroup.org!
Looking forward to continuing the debates about the future of UN peace operations with colleagues from around the world.
Many thanks to @challengesforum.bsky.social & @zif.bsky.social
Looking forward to continuing the debates about the future of UN peace operations with colleagues from around the world.
Many thanks to @challengesforum.bsky.social & @zif.bsky.social
Reposted by Daniel Forti
Also on who is HTS, how they got here, their evolving position on other radicals, Turkey and their approach to governance based on interviews with Jolani and other leaders: cadmus.eui.eu/bitstream/ha...
cadmus.eui.eu
November 29, 2024 at 8:52 PM
Also on who is HTS, how they got here, their evolving position on other radicals, Turkey and their approach to governance based on interviews with Jolani and other leaders: cadmus.eui.eu/bitstream/ha...
Exciting to see Richard Atwood @crisisgroup.org join the Eighth Advisory Group of the UN Peacebuilding Fund.
A lot of important work ahead!
www.un.org/sg/en/conten...
A lot of important work ahead!
www.un.org/sg/en/conten...
Note to Correspondents: appointment of members of the Eighth Advisory Group of the Peacebuilding Fund | United Nations Secretary-General
www.un.org
November 27, 2024 at 12:10 AM
Exciting to see Richard Atwood @crisisgroup.org join the Eighth Advisory Group of the UN Peacebuilding Fund.
A lot of important work ahead!
www.un.org/sg/en/conten...
A lot of important work ahead!
www.un.org/sg/en/conten...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
UN OCHA recently announced that 2024 has become the "the deadliest year on record for aid workers..." and we still have a month left
281 humanitarian workers were killed this year.
In Gaza alone since Oct 7, 320 humanitarian personnel have been killed.
www.ochaopt.org/content/un-r...
281 humanitarian workers were killed this year.
In Gaza alone since Oct 7, 320 humanitarian personnel have been killed.
www.ochaopt.org/content/un-r...
UN relief chief decries ‘bullets and bombs’ against aid workers | United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs - occupied Palestinian territory
Statement by Muhannad Hadi, Humanitarian Coordinator for the Occupied Palestinian Territory
www.ochaopt.org
November 26, 2024 at 6:55 PM
UN OCHA recently announced that 2024 has become the "the deadliest year on record for aid workers..." and we still have a month left
281 humanitarian workers were killed this year.
In Gaza alone since Oct 7, 320 humanitarian personnel have been killed.
www.ochaopt.org/content/un-r...
281 humanitarian workers were killed this year.
In Gaza alone since Oct 7, 320 humanitarian personnel have been killed.
www.ochaopt.org/content/un-r...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
On the new @crisisgroup.org War & Peace podcast, Elissa Jobson & I welcome back @joshuakucera.bsky.social to talk Georgia. We unpack Georgian Dream's popularity & election fraud accusations against it, future EU roles, & whether Abkhazia unrest is driven by local, regional, or geopolitical factors.
What Next for Georgia and Its Breakaway Regions after Contested Elections? | Crisis Group
This week on War & Peace, Olga and Elissa talk with Tbilisi-based journalist Joshua Kucera about Georgia’s disputed parliamentary elections, the ruling Georgian Dream party’s success, the recent unrest in the breakaway region of Abkhazia, and the evolving ambitions of Russia and the EU in the region.
www.crisisgroup.org
November 26, 2024 at 5:08 PM
On the new @crisisgroup.org War & Peace podcast, Elissa Jobson & I welcome back @joshuakucera.bsky.social to talk Georgia. We unpack Georgian Dream's popularity & election fraud accusations against it, future EU roles, & whether Abkhazia unrest is driven by local, regional, or geopolitical factors.
Reposted by Daniel Forti
I have a new essay @foreignaffairs.com on US-Egypt relations after a year plus of regional war and intensive diplomatic collaboration to end the fighting in Gaza. Alignment extends beyond the war, but accepting status quo in Egypt carries longer term risks.
reader.foreignaffairs.com/2024/11/26/d...
reader.foreignaffairs.com/2024/11/26/d...
Does America Still Need Egypt?
When War Broke Out in Gaza, Biden Needed Sisi—But Trump’s Calculus Might Differ
reader.foreignaffairs.com
November 26, 2024 at 12:15 PM
I have a new essay @foreignaffairs.com on US-Egypt relations after a year plus of regional war and intensive diplomatic collaboration to end the fighting in Gaza. Alignment extends beyond the war, but accepting status quo in Egypt carries longer term risks.
reader.foreignaffairs.com/2024/11/26/d...
reader.foreignaffairs.com/2024/11/26/d...
One underrated aspect of this question is that Somali officials will spend the next two years in the Security Council working alongside U.S. counterparts on a daily basis.
This won't be determinative, but it's fair to assume that these two govs will interact a lot more than in years past.
This won't be determinative, but it's fair to assume that these two govs will interact a lot more than in years past.
Watch this space.
In Trump 1.0, the US significantly ramped up airstrikes in Somalia.
And after the 2020 election, Trump ordered a precipitous withdrawal of US forces from the country.
Unclear whether Trump 2.0 will escalate in Somalia, withdraw, or both, one after the other.
In Trump 1.0, the US significantly ramped up airstrikes in Somalia.
And after the 2020 election, Trump ordered a precipitous withdrawal of US forces from the country.
Unclear whether Trump 2.0 will escalate in Somalia, withdraw, or both, one after the other.
Confirmed with AFRICOM today that the last USAFRICOM strike in Somalia remains the one on July 15.
Also specifically asked if reported strike on Friday in Somalia was AFRICOM.
Also specifically asked if reported strike on Friday in Somalia was AFRICOM.
November 25, 2024 at 5:48 PM
One underrated aspect of this question is that Somali officials will spend the next two years in the Security Council working alongside U.S. counterparts on a daily basis.
This won't be determinative, but it's fair to assume that these two govs will interact a lot more than in years past.
This won't be determinative, but it's fair to assume that these two govs will interact a lot more than in years past.
Reposted by Daniel Forti
“It is politically easier to make the case for funding missiles than mediators.”
Our President and CEO @comfortero.bsky.social argues that while global conflict is rising, peacemaking is still vital in @economist.com.
www.economist.com/the-world-ah...
Our President and CEO @comfortero.bsky.social argues that while global conflict is rising, peacemaking is still vital in @economist.com.
www.economist.com/the-world-ah...
Comfort Ero offers three lessons for peacemaking in an unstable world
Global conflict is rising, but do not give up on peacemaking, argues Comfort Ero, president of International Crisis Group in The World Ahead 2025
www.economist.com
November 25, 2024 at 4:25 PM
“It is politically easier to make the case for funding missiles than mediators.”
Our President and CEO @comfortero.bsky.social argues that while global conflict is rising, peacemaking is still vital in @economist.com.
www.economist.com/the-world-ah...
Our President and CEO @comfortero.bsky.social argues that while global conflict is rising, peacemaking is still vital in @economist.com.
www.economist.com/the-world-ah...
Reposted by Daniel Forti
As previously promised, some thoughts on Russia's new nuclear doctrine, RS-26, & the Russo-Ukrainian war. A 🧵
1) on doctrine, @shakirov2036.bsky.social's thread of 19 Nov does a great side-by-side of what's changed. I won't recreate it. I'll just highlight what I think matters most
1/15
1) on doctrine, @shakirov2036.bsky.social's thread of 19 Nov does a great side-by-side of what's changed. I won't recreate it. I'll just highlight what I think matters most
1/15
November 24, 2024 at 10:47 PM
As previously promised, some thoughts on Russia's new nuclear doctrine, RS-26, & the Russo-Ukrainian war. A 🧵
1) on doctrine, @shakirov2036.bsky.social's thread of 19 Nov does a great side-by-side of what's changed. I won't recreate it. I'll just highlight what I think matters most
1/15
1) on doctrine, @shakirov2036.bsky.social's thread of 19 Nov does a great side-by-side of what's changed. I won't recreate it. I'll just highlight what I think matters most
1/15