Isabelle Arradon
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isabellearradon.bsky.social
Isabelle Arradon
@isabellearradon.bsky.social
Research Director @CrisisGroup.org

Leads on #EarlyWarning #HorizonScanning #CrisisWatch. Tweets on #ConflictPrevention #CivilianProtection #Gender.

Formerly amnesty.org and peacebrigades.org.
Our new CrisisWatch updates on 85 situations across the world are now out!

Our field analysts @crisisgroup.org spotlighted 7 conflict risks this month and 1 conflict resolution opportunity including for #Gaza, #Yemen, #Cameroon, #Venezuela, #DRCongo and #Sudan.

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
October 6, 2025 at 2:36 PM
I find the conclusion of this event useful to bear in mind as we all try to think through the next steps to make a difference : "making the case to skeptical publics is now central to the future of aid."

Politics, not economics, driving foreign aid cuts, experts warn www.devex.com/news/politic...
Politics, not economics, driving foreign aid cuts, experts warn
At Devex Impact House, Jorge Moreira da Silva and Comfort Ero warned that political choices — not shrinking economies — are driving aid cuts, eroding public empathy, and threatening peace building and...
www.devex.com
September 29, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Parce-que l'organisation des Nations unies est à un tournant de son histoire et qu'il est important pour tous d'oeuvrer afin de préserver sa mission première pour le maintien de la paix, notre rapport sur ses défis à venir est désormais disponible en français: www.crisisgroup.org/fr/global/sb...
Dix défis pour les Nations unies en 2025-2026 | International Crisis Group
Alors que la réunion annuelle de haut niveau de l’Assemblée générale des Nations unies approche, l’organisation est confrontée à d’importants défis politiques et financiers. Toutefois, elle peut toujo...
www.crisisgroup.org
September 26, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Reposted by Isabelle Arradon
With India’s airstrikes against it’s neighbour, and Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif calling the strikes an “act of war”, my post over the weekend is a reminder of why @crisisgroup.org named India-Pakistan the conflict in focus for this month. ⬇️
🚨Our new update for our global conflict tracker is here.

The conflict in focus this month is India-Pakistan after a deadly attack in #Kashmir, but we also have eyes on Israel’s bombardment of #Gaza and Donald Trump’s ever-expanding campaign in #Yemen.

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch?...
May 7, 2025 at 5:42 AM
A new edition of our global conflict tracker #CrisisWatch has just been published!

Alerts in March: #DRCongo #Burundi #Israel#Palestine #Yemen

Peace Opportunities: PKK/ #Türkiye #Thailand

New CrisisWatch entries: #TasmanSea, #CookIslands

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
March 4, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Happy New Year all! I wish you and your loved ones all the best for this new year which appears to be already quite volatile and eventful on the global stage.

We've just published our first #CrisisWatch for 2025!

This month's Conflict in Focus is on #Syria.

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
January 10, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Reposted by Isabelle Arradon
I teamed up with @natashahall.bsky.social to share our initial assessment of the origins and implications of the fall of the House of Assad in @foreignaffairs.com. @crisisgroup.org @CSISMidEast

www.foreignaffairs.com/syria/day-af...
The Day After Assad
The Syrian dictator’s stunning fall will scramble the balance of power in the Middle East.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 9, 2024 at 4:29 PM
Happy #HumanRightsDay!

Although it may feel like so much more needs to happen to celebrate, the release of disappeared from #Syria's prisons, shows that even in places where hope is nearly gone, change may come and bring light to families. shorturl.at/kvIIM

I hope for light in #Gaza #Sudan #Haiti
December 10, 2024 at 9:19 AM
Reposted by Isabelle Arradon
At least 184 people killed in Port-au-Prince’s Cite de Soleil neighborhood. The MSS said to the NYT they were not aware of the killings.

www.nytimes.com/2024/12/08/w...
Massacre in Haiti’s Capital Leaves Over 100 Dead, Rights Group Says
The killings in a Port-au-Prince slum, which appeared to target practitioners of voodoo, were ordered by a gang leader, a human rights organization said.
www.nytimes.com
December 9, 2024 at 1:04 PM
Reposted by Isabelle Arradon
Despite Israeli assurances, public and private, about the temporary nature of their move into Syria, their presence there is a concern. Biden administration should make clear publicly that this must be a short-term response and withdrawal cannot be contingent on unrealistic demands.
December 9, 2024 at 5:42 PM
It can be challenging to keep track of all major conflict shifts globally.

#CrisisWatch sums up key deteriorations each month.

In November:
#Ecuador, #Haiti
#Georgia, #Kosovo
#Iran, #Israel/Palestine, #Syria
#India #Pakistan
#Mali, #Mozambique, #Somalia, #Sudan

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
December 9, 2024 at 12:50 PM
#Syria What next?
The real challenge is the transition. How to keep the institutions to avoid vacuum and chaos The opposition apparently learned from other failures (Iraq) and its own mistakes in the past. Keeping the factions away from ministries and coordinating with the former PM are good signs
December 9, 2024 at 9:46 AM
#Syria To understand conflict dynamics that led to Assad's fall, check #CrisisWatch.

Weeks ago, we spotted how regime forces & Russia carried out strikes on Idlib city in an "apparent bid to pre-empt a potential HTS offensive to exploit regional escalation".

www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch/...
December 9, 2024 at 9:27 AM
Reposted by Isabelle Arradon
NEW Q&A | Counting the Costs of Bolivia’s High-level Schism

In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Glaeldys González Calanche examines how the standoff between Bolivia's current and former leftist presidents is contributing to economic misery and social unrest.

www.crisisgroup.org/latin-americ...
Counting the Costs of Bolivia’s High-level Schism | Crisis Group
Bolivia is mired in a crisis that can be partially attributed to a standoff between the country’s current and former leftist presidents. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Glaeldys González Calanche reports on the rivalry and how it contributes to economic misery and social unrest.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 6, 2024 at 12:38 PM
#CrisisWatch with December alerts and November trends is now out!

Our Conflict in Focus this month is on #Pakistan.

We have one resolution opportunity and four conflict risk alerts for December: #Lebanon, #Iran, #Syria, #Israel/Palestine #Somalia.

All 78 entries : crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch
December 6, 2024 at 2:18 PM
As we finalise #CrisisWatch, some situations are (again) high on our radar #Georgia, #Gaza, #Sudan, #Haiti, #Pakistan...

And some are returning to the spotlight #Syria.

We have rare 'brighter' spots... #Somaliland

Some fragile #Lebanon

Watch this space : www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch?...
December 5, 2024 at 3:57 PM
At times, it may seem that all @CrisisGroup work is exclusively in English. You'll be pleased to know that we're trying to promote our work in other languages as well - including French, Spanish, Arabic etc

Our last report on #Mali is solely available in French : www.crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sa...
Le tournant souverainiste au Mali : ajuster la trajectoire | Crisis Group
Depuis 2021, les autorités maliennes ont fait du souverainisme le moteur d’une politique de rupture dans les domaines sécuritaire, diplomatique et économique. Elles peinent cependant à répondre aux attentes des populations, faute de ressources et de solutions durables aux problèmes sécuritaires. Le régime devrait explorer la voie d’un souverainisme plus équilibré.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 4, 2024 at 1:09 PM
After rich discussions at our All Staff retreat in #Istanbul about the state of the world today and ways to make a difference, we're all back working on our new round of #CrisisWatch updates.

Watch this space for our 256th edition later this week: crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch #EarlyWarning
December 4, 2024 at 12:59 PM
New @CrisisGroup report on #Mali offers deep analysis on political changes in the past few years and ways the regime can address long-term demands from the population -- including the need for greater security and social services.

The full report is in French.

www.crisisgroup.org/en/africa/sa...
A Course Correction for Mali’s Sovereign Turn | Crisis Group
Since taking power in 2021, Mali’s rulers have put the recovery of state sovereignty at the heart of the government's approach to security, diplomacy and the economy. But as they struggle to meet public expectations to reduce violence and face a financial squeeze, they should explore ways to adjust their approach.
www.crisisgroup.org
December 4, 2024 at 10:05 AM
I'm delighted to be joining this new platform today!

Thanks @genrenard.bsky.social for the advice...
November 26, 2024 at 10:58 AM